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Post by Kimmy on Feb 4, 2013 11:48:57 GMT
In today's email I am going to show you how to win big money from Accumulative betting using less stakes... When placing accumulative bets such as a Yankee, Heinz and Goliath you are trying to get plenty of winners and a big payout. The problem with bets such as a GOLIATH is that because there are so many accumulators in the bets they can become very expensive Here is a multiple bet I regularly place instead of a Goliath using 9 horses and placing them in doubles, accumulator 4 timers and an accumulator using all 9 horses. Notice I have left out many of the accumulators which brings down the cost of the bet. You could choose your selections from your favourite daily newspaper tipster or the forecast favourite Write out your betting slip as example below - BETTING SLIP EXAMPLE 1.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 1.30 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 2.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 2.30 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 3.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 3.30 - SANDOWN -forecast fav 1.15 - AYR - forecast fav 1.45 - AYR - forecast fav 2.15- AYR - forecast fav Betting Instructions - 36 X 20p WIN DOUBLES 126 X 5p WIN ACCUMULATOR 4'S 1 X 5P ACCUMULATOR ALL 9 TOTAL STAKE = £13.50 Note: You will notice I have increased the price of the doubles so 2 winners should get your stake money back. You can lower or higher your stake money depending on how much money you have to spend. Five winners on this bet at odds of 5/1 would give you about £500 back. Get all 9 winners and you are talking retirement money!
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Post by Kimmy on Feb 5, 2013 15:08:18 GMT
I will start the ball rolling with an old Pro trick when backing 2 horses in different races where NO profit is possible,even when 1 wins because the odds of both make it so @ LSP. Imagine 2 sels @ evens and only 1 of them wins.The profit is ZERO.Now look at this from a Pro's point of view. He would turn it into 2 SAWs Horse A and Horse B as follows:Horse A 1pt & Horse B 2pts = 3 pts SAW. Now he places a 2nd bet:-Horse B 1pt & Horse A 2pts.Now the Pro has turned an impossible to win bet into a winning bet with a 33.333 %profit.
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Post by Kimmy on Feb 8, 2013 22:17:42 GMT
What Makes Horses Win Races
There are hundreds of reasons why horses win races. Handicapping horses can be a very hard way to make money and is considered by many to be an intellectual's sport.
The one thing I would advise new punters to do is to take notes every time you go racing. After a while keep going over your notes and you will find patterns emerging from them that you can base winning systems around.
A big priced winner going in could be something as simple as liking the heavy going or it hits form at a particular time of the year.
It amazes me how many gamblers do not take track conditions into consideration as this a massive factor. Check horses previous results to see if it can handle the days going conditions.
Another area to watch for that finds plenty of winners are horses dropping down in class. Horses that drop down in class of three four grades are a big threat.
Good recent form is one of the main things I tend to look for in picking a winning horse. If a horse has not had a run within say 30 to 40 days I would be very wary of backing it.
Try to understand which horses running styles are suited for which types of races. Sprint races over five and six furlongs suit early speed horses.
Here is a check list for determining if a horse has winning credentials and whether to play or pass.
Determine which horse are the true contenders. If you cannot whittle the field down to two or three contenders then leave the race alone. It is probably too competitive.
Get to know which races to bet in and which to pass. Look for moderate fields of between eight to ten runners with most horses showing plenty of exposed form.
If you narrow a race down to just two horses and you think that one of them will definitely win you could make a nice profit if you back them both. This is called dutching some punters even back three of four in a race if the odds are big enough.
A simple way of finding winners is to look for the four day horse. This is a horse that is entered into races within a four day period of winning its last race. You can be assured that these are in good racing form and will win again.
I make most of my big bets now in the middle of the flat racing season. During this time I back horses in handicap races. I make sure they are in winning form and are ahead of the handicapper.
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Post by Kimmy on Feb 11, 2013 11:23:07 GMT
System Rules: 1.National Hunt Racing Only 2. Heavy going only 3.Look for any race with an odds on favourite 4.Back the last named horse in the betting forecast of the daily newspaper of your choice each way I personally use the Daily Mail for this system but any newspaper will be ok.It wont throw up loads of bets but when it does you will catch some decent priced winners .Last season I managed 50/1, 33/1, 25/1 winners etc. Try it yourself!
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Post by Kimmy on Feb 13, 2013 11:43:15 GMT
Multiple betting is an important part of any betting strategy, as it allows punters to potentially generate massive payoffs using low stakes. Here is a simple multiple bet anyone can use with the added advantage of having many horses running for you. This method centers on a permutation where we select eight likely winners each racing day and cover these eights elections with a 5 from eight perm. This means that if any five of our eight horses win we then have a winning five fold bet. If six of our chosen horses win we have six winning five-folds which dramatically increase our returns. From time to time if you do this bet regularly then you will get days with seven out of eight winners then you are really talking about big winnings. To place the bet is simple. You just write the names races and times of all eight horses on your betting slip. And below this write these instructions.
ANY FIVE WINNERS FROM EIGHT SELECTIONS 56 FIVE-FOLDS AT 10P = £5.60
I really recommend using this method each day, as regular small bets will produce dividends in the long run. One other advantage about this method is that it gives you an interest in many races each day.
Selection method- We now come to selection of the horses for the perm. You can of course use your own method of selection but I suggest you use a regimented approach. 1. First pick races in small fields up to 10 runners. 2. Disregard any races with very short priced favorites. 3. Pick your selections from the first three in the betting forecast 4. Try to pick a horse with top jockey on board Usually the prices of the winners are between 9/4 and 7/2.
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Post by Kimmy on Feb 22, 2013 12:08:55 GMT
How to watch a horse race and the art of race reading. There is a definite art to race reading but once you get the knack of it, seeing as much of the horserace as possible becomes very easy. Much of this helpful article is designed towards an on-the-track encounter and using field glasses, but there are methods that can be used to your benefit in any scenario. Unfocused your eyesight sight and look for a moment. This will help you recognize racehorse's on the run, either moving ahead or backwards! This strategy assisted me to see horses moving very fast arriving out of the backstretch while others just didn't see them until they were moving by the rest of the pack along the rail. Realizing when a runner starts its surge forward can also tell you a lot about their style of running and under what circumstances they are likely to run for their best advantage.
DON'T just observe the selection you have bet on in the race. Obviously this is natural when viewing a competition quickly, but you do not want to end up having to ask yourself "What happened?" if several other runners come past in front of yours right before the winning line when you thought your horse had it in the bag.
Keep looking at the whole pack not just the leaders. Another mistake, particularly when viewing on TV or a computer, is to look at the front of the pack. Many races are transmitted on TV with a divided display offering a close-up taken of the head of the pack and a broader shot of the whole pack. While it can certainly be mesmerizing to look at a number of front runners battle it out, maintaining your sight going around the whole pack will help you spot any horse making a move.
Don't get bogged down in the hype horses. Another typical situation is that all the focus is on the big hyped up favourite in a race, and if that horse flops, you will forget the actual real activity. By getting caught up in the buzz, you will miss the true story unfolding.
Pay special interest to the turn. On the turn into the home straight is where to the best part most races are won or lost, for a wide range of reasons. You can gain a lot from viewing the choices a jockey makes about how and where to place the horse. Some race tracks have a more much longer straight than others. On some of the shorter straights a horse might run out of room.
Learn the colours of the jockey's silks. What is beneficial about the jockey's colours is that sometimes the only distinguishing thing you can see in a bunched up pack is a glimpse of the jockey's silks (and not even the number!). In these cases understanding that red is #3 or yellow-colour is #4 can really help you to determine who is who.
Try to observe the helmet colour. Like seeing a glimpse of the jockey's silks sometimes the only factor you can really see in a pack up of horses is the headgear colour. Of course this does not help if they all have white-colour helmets! Do not be hard on yourself if you don't grasp race reading after just one or two races as it is not easy! You can always observe replays, something we'll discuss more about soon.
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Post by Kimmy on Feb 23, 2013 9:15:30 GMT
Method 1
1. Look at every handicap race of the day with 8 to 12 runners. Have a win level stakes bet on the 2nd and 3rd favourite in your newspapers betting forecast prices. A very simple system that produces consistent results.
Method 2
1. All Weather racing of no less than 9 runners
2. Handicap races only
3. 5 and 6 furlong races only
4. The horse must have raced 4 days ago or less
5. The horse must have come 2nd or 3rd last time out only
6. The horse must be prices in the first 3 or the betting forecast
Method 3
1. Do not bet in Apprentice, Ladies only races and National Hunt Flat races
2. Do not bet at these tracks Ascot, Aintree, Cheltenham, Newmarket and Doncaster
3. Do not bet in any race exceeding £7000 in value
4. Bet only in non-handicap races
5. Use the Daily Mirror newspaper race cards
6. The horse must be favourite or second favourite
7. The horse must be top form rated in your paper
8. The horse must be the strongly fancied or fancied selection
9. The horse must have won last time out
Method 4
1. Note all horses which are running in non-handicap races and are making their second run of the season within 30 days of their seasonal debut
2. Discount horses on your list which won their seasonal debut
3. From the remaining horses on your list note any which placed first in any race the previous season
4. These horses are your selection bets
Method 5
1. Check in your daily newspaper the race cards
2. Look for novice hurdle races only
3. The maximum number of runner must be 14
4. The selection is the forecast favourite as long as the price is not above 11/10. If the price is higher than this it is a no bet
5. Bookmakers hate these bets because they usually go to the favourite and have a very high strike rate
Method 6
1. Use any daily newspaper or specialist racing paper. I use the Daly mail
2. Only use handicap races for possible bets
3. The system works on all codes of racing flat and national hunt
4. The horse must have run in the last 5 days
5. The horse must be the top form rated horse in your newspaper
6. The horse must be in the top 3 or joint in the betting forecast 7. If any horse fits the above rules then it is worth a wager
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 9, 2013 8:04:28 GMT
When I go into my regional bookies there are some frequent gamblers I can almost be assured they will always bet there. They will take a quick look at the racing post tipsters, make out a quick betting slip and place another bet. They will do this one race after another either until the bookies shuts or they run out of cash. Usually they run out of cash. These days 'there are that many race meetings, with perhaps four of five meetings in a normal week day there could only be 5 or 10 minutes between each event. Such a brief period hardly gives them time to research the form of even the first three in the betting forecast. So they would probably do just as well using a pin to choose their bets The sensible gambler knows that you cannot and should not bet in every event. Actually if you want to enhance your possibilities of becoming a frequent victorious punter it can pay to specialise in just one area. In other terms become a professional in some particular area of horseracing and this could offer you the advantage that you need to become a frequent winning gambler. In the UK there are 3 different kinds of horseracing, all of which are now have almost all year round events. They are Jumps Racing, Flat and All-weather racing. A few horses switch from one type of racing to another but most just stick to one discipline. It is also possible to narrow this down even further. In flat racing you can focus on 2 year old maiden's only or classy handicap races. This would provide you with the opportunity not only to research the form of the horses but also understand something about the trainers as well. Which ones are likely to deliver a 2 year old out for its first competition willing to win and which like their horses to have an easy first run to get used to horse racing. In Jumps racing you can have chase's, hurdles and national hunt flat races , Again it can pay to choose one area . For example there are some trainers who have really excellent form in the national hunt flat competitions and it can pay to stick with them. Select an element of racing that you have a passion for, understand as much as you can about it, learn from the outcomes and keep useful information. It is not only going to provide you an advantage of the punters in your local bookmakers, it will also offer you an advantage over the bookie as well. So to summarise, in order to generate some great earnings within horse racing is beneficial to focus on a certain specialised market. The general mug gamblers will often bet on every race. They are going to follow expert's viewpoints, paper tips, telephone tipsters, racing papers tips, all in the hope to generate earnings quickly. There's no such thing as fast cash from gambling and it takes work to generate a maintainable income from betting. By generating a market for you to focus on is probably one the most useful steps. Once you've perfected a particular market, there is no reason that you must not then decide to move on to another if you can handle the time to analyse two or maybe three at once
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2013 12:06:53 GMT
Take a look around your local high street bookmakers and you will notice what sort of bets they want you to place with all their glossy advertising. Lucky 31s, Goliaths, 49s, Canadians Yankees, Irish Lottery. Any bet that the bookie is trying to offer you has mug imprinted all over it. If it's an excellent bet for him, it's bad for you. Here are a few bets that in my opinion are useful if you want to come out ahead in the betting game.
Each Way Double For those in the know, a smartly placed each way double on two well-fancied 5/2, 9/4 or 2/1 shots is a bookmaker's headache. Furthermore, each way on the second or third favourite in an eight-runner non handicap race when the favourite is odds-on is a catastrophe for the bookie. Many of these horses are nailed on for a place so it's a bet to nothing and an awesome pay-out if both horses win.
Lucky 15 Lucky 15 multiple bets have a reputation as a mug bet. But Lucky 15 bets can be a useful wager to beat the bookie when used in the right situations. A Lucky 15 Bet is 4 selections with full cover. This means that all the multiple bet options are covered. So the 15 bets are 4 single win bets, 6 doubles, 4 trebles, and one four fold accumulator. You should always note the terms for your Lucky 15 bets. Most bookies are offering double the odds for only one winner. If you shop around and you will very often find triple the odds for one winner. This means you'll get three times the odds should only one of your selections win. Some of the independent bookmakers will often offer triple the odds such Bet Fred.
Win Singles on football matches Not so long ago you couldn't place win singles on soccer matches with bookmakers. A win single on teams playing at their home ground can be another useful bet to beat the bookie. A win single bet is a bet placed on just one selection or market, allowing you to earn some profit by guessing just one match correctly. Because they feature higher winning percentages than accumulator bets, single bets are recommended by all betting experts as the safest way towards long-term profit
Each way single on horse racing This is two bets in one, and costs double the unit stake. For example £10 Each Way will cost £20. The first part of the bet is a win single. This part of the bet must come first. The second part of the bet is for the horse to get placed second, or third, sometimes forth as well. The amount of places on offer is determined by the amount of runners, and the odds paid are a quarter or fifth of the full odds, which also is determined by the amount of runners. I like this bet because if your horse only gets placed you get some of your stake money back. It is a slow methodical way of betting and at the same time securing your betting bank.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 18, 2013 16:08:16 GMT
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 29, 2013 10:38:45 GMT
13 Quick and Simple Horse Racing Systems That Will Guarantee You More Winners Posted on March 23, 2010 by admin
Simple horse racing systems to improve your betting.
1. Back any horse that has won its last race and runs again within 4days
2. In novice hurdle races back any top weighted horse that is top spot form in the daily mirror or top formcast in the daily mail newspaper
3. Put two strongly fancied 7/4 shots in an each way double. If both get placed you get your stake money back if both win you make a tidy profit
4. Back 3 and 5 lb claiming jockeys at the bottom of the weights in handicap races
5. Back back a top weight in handicap races if it is carrying a stone more weight than the horse next down in the weights
6. In two year old maiden races when a two year old horse has won its first races first time out back the same horse again to follow up with another win
7. Wait until last minute to place your football bets. This way you can check for any last minute injuries to key players or managerial changes etc
8. Avoid local derbies in your soccer bets as form lines sometimes go out of the window.
9. With your greyhound betting back the trap number of the winning greyhound of the previous race
10. Back trainers with a 33% or better strike rate of winners within the last 14 days. This information is available in most daily newspapers racing section
11. At the Cheltenham festival, look for horses with a previous course win as this is an unusual track. If more than one runner go for the horse with the highest form rating. If there is still more than one runner go for the horse shortest in the betting odds.
12. Check all 8 or 9 runner handicap races and back the first 2 in the betting forecast as long as the first in the betting forecast is 9/4 or bigger. You could back them both each way if you don’t like losing runs
13. Back draw 1 at Chester in all races especially if the horse drawn in stall 1 is a quick breaker from the stalls
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 30, 2013 9:13:06 GMT
Most novice punters betting on football try to pick many short odds-on shots and put them in multiple bets. This is a big mistake... The most well-known way to bet on soccer is on the overall win-draw-win market. This gambling market allows you to bet on a home win away win or draw. In almost every match you will get one team preferred to win and the other team will be the outsider with the draw possibility somewhere in between. Although some punters say bookies are never incorrect, sometimes they keep the odds too short for a strong favourite, making the value bet in the draw or the other team to win. The best example of this is when the superior team are playing at home. You will consistently see a strong team well under-priced on the betting odds and this results in the value being in the away team to win or the match to end in a draw at more eye-catching odds. Using this soccer gambling method also performs well if you are looking at accumulator wagers. Our guidance would be not to put any short odds away teams in any type of multiple accumulator type wager. Despite them being the more powerful side a look at their opponents is the key and there are certainly some teams where the larger sides such as Man United do not like to perform. Some bogy teams are Everton, Fulham and Sunderland. When the classier sides are playing at home you will often see some very unappealing odds e.g. 1/3, 1/4 or smaller. These prices are no good to the average gambler (betting £4 to get a comeback of £5 is hardly a fool-proof system) and in this example choosing a number of odds on home teams for an accumulator could be the better gambling system although the more teams you select the larger the risk. Lastly you could look at a gambling method around the bookies draw market. When two sides are about the same quality you will often find short odds for the draw (around 2/1) and these are probably best avoided. If the best team is playing away from home the odds for the tied match could be anything over 5/2, providing a decent price and the value selection to bet on. The key with gambling on the win-draw-win market is that you have good information of the two sides. Information to check would be injuries to key players or any managerial changes. Also check the previous meetings between the two teams and of course the recent home and away form of both teams. If you adhere to these simple guidelines then gambling on the home, away win or draw market could make your soccer gambling profitable.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 1, 2013 8:40:55 GMT
Here are some Hints to help you find more winners in your multi bets: 1.When placing a muliple bet nothing is worse than if you have one or two non runners in your bet. I suggest you write at the bottom of your betting slip "Please insert favourite if non-runner" after all you should be getting the best horse in the race. 2.Pay close attention to a stables second string. Just because a stable jockey has preferred one horse to another does not give the punter licence to dismiss the other contender.The jockey may have agonised for hours over the decision and, they do make mistakes...often! 3.Its a know fact that 80% of horse win at 5/1 or less.So dont stray too far from these prices in your multiple bets. 4.Do not be put off by the price of a horse in the morning paper.Some horse are quoted at odds on in the morning forecast and you omit these thinking they are too short in price,then it goes in at decent odds in the afternoon.Its not unknown for 2/1 favourites in the morning paper to win at 16/1+ in the afternoon! 5.Look for jockeys in form and if some of the top jockeys have five or six rides at one meeting back them all.Dont forget Frankies magnificent 7...we were on all that one weren`t we ;-) The above 5 hints will help you get more winners....and returns from your multiple bets.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 6, 2013 6:35:55 GMT
The key to success in betting on horse racing is the ability to identify a value betting situation where the odds on offer are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise.
Winning professional gamblers make money as they bet at value odds. They probably either have inside information or own superb horse racing systems to work out the odds better than bookmakers. The most direct way to search for value is first to establish the true odds of the event happening, then seeing if and how they differ from the actual bookies odds available.
Bookmakers do not make many mistakes with their odds but they still can be beaten. For example a few years ago two punters traveled the whole country visiting independent bookmakers to get odds about a Hole in One happening in a particular golf tournament. They had estimated the true odds to be about 2/1 that someone would score a hole-in-one in a given tournament. But they managed to take prices ranging from 16/1 to 100/1 from many different bookmakers.
These bookies did not do their homework and thought that a hole-in-one rarely happened, and taking any bets was like money in the bank to them. These two gamblers made thousands of pounds simply by getting fantastic value on an event that, for once, the bookmakers priced up wrongly.
Somehow you have to work out in your own mind the price you consider is a true one about any horse you wish to back. Using Ratings, be it form or speed based, can be good tools in assessing Betting Value.
A genuine value bettor is typically unconcerned about backing a horse other than the favorites. The favorite is more often than not the horse with the best chance of winning, but the value in the race is often in backing horses more likely to lose. Backing horses with a price that suggests a 10% chance of winning, i.e. 9/1 when the true chance is 20% and 4/1 makes sense. They will not always win, but they will win enough times at generous prices and you will collect more money than you stake.
This is a very simple strategy to obtain value. Look for false favorites in horse racing. They may be favorite because they won their last race but check to see if it was in a lower class. Or they may be favorite just because a top jockey is riding it but you may have found a horse with a better chance going on form study. Opposing the favorite means fewer winners but you will win enough times at bigger prices to see you collect more money than you stake.
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Post by Kimmy on May 7, 2013 8:02:38 GMT
How To Regularly Win The Tote Placepot The Placepot is without doubt the best value bet in gambling. Just a £1.00 bet can return dividends in excess of several hundred pounds! To win the placepot you have to select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races at a meeting. As well as being great value it is an excellent "fun" bet as it gives you an interest in a large number of races for just a small investment. Placepots are run by the Tote most high street bookmakers will now accept placepot bets. Whether you bet most days or just on Saturdays, a Placepot bet is a smart investment to make!
Obviously finding a horse to place in six consecutive races is not easy. However this publication "Cracking The Placepot" with a new, updated version is a real winner. It really works! Using it will help you to win the Placepot dividends with great regularity, you are virtually guaranteed a win every week. Not all placepot are in the £500+ region (although from time to time returns can be in four figures!), but compared with other types of race betting the "level-stakes" returns on a week to week basis are huge.
Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult.
Conversely, the lowest grade meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard. So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the one to use.
Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections. To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips which make entering easier.
To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved. Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729 times our stake. Too much.
The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00. It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets.
Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very reliable selection method to use with this plan.
Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act as our "single" entries in the perm.
Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three" selections in the perm.
Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm. We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should scoop the Placepot at least once a week.
One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use, keep to the same one each day
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Post by Kimmy on May 7, 2013 12:45:52 GMT
The method operates on an occasional rather than everyday basis but if you operate if wisely it will give you an extraordinary high proportion of winners 1. Look at the race cards in the Daily Mirror. Now check to see the betting forecast prices of every race of the day. If any of the favourites price is lower than 2/1 or higher than 5/1 cross out the race as it is not suitable for out method. Any race where the favourite has a forecast price from 2/1 to 5/1 then this may be a possible bet. 2. Check the remaining races to see if any of the forecast favourites have won the last race it ran in. If it did not cross out the race as it will not be suitable for betting . 3. Check any of the remaining races for favourites with a course and distance win. This will be shown by the letters C+D on the race card. 4. If you have any horses remaining you have a selection that is in good winning form and proven over the course and distance at a reasonable price. You can back the selection in win singles or if you have more than one put them in multiple bets. Staking: because of the high strike rate I would recommend 5% of your betting bank on each selection if backing the horses in win singles. Once you betting bank doubles then you could double your stake. This system of selecting winners is very easy to use. The method has a high strike rate of winners and reasonable SP prices. The method does not take longer than ten to fifteen minutes a day when you get the hang of it. As you get used to the method you will spot at a glance which races are worth rating. Play with it for a few days until you are confident to bet any real money
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Post by Kimmy on May 15, 2013 7:24:42 GMT
Have you ever considered how horseracing tipsters can estimate the winners of races better than most punters who bet on their own? Well when most tipsters start out they are pretty much the same as most gamblers, being interested and often disappointed in trying to choose the horse that will win a race.
What drives them into the higher ranks and distinguishes them from your normal gambler? It is the experience and the information that they will have obtained after many years of being interested and engaged in horseracing.
From my perspective it was many years studying other professionals and actually visiting racetracks that established my expertise. The problems occur of course when you have to sort out the knowledgeable informed and therefore more efficient tipsters, from the not so knowledgeable and not so efficient ones.
When you seek advice from a racing tipster or advisory service, the fact is that you're using their expertise and experience of being able to recognize which animals can't win and which could win, and in many situations there are definitely horses that cannot win.
I once questioned one of the well-known horse racing advisory services in the UK, although for self-evident factors I will not give you their name. He is regarded one of the top individuals in the tipping game and seems to be on both TV and radio stations. He exposed during the interview that he became enthusiastic about horseracing from a very youthful age, and used to journey to race meetings with his best mate. Having seen some racing and backing a few winners he felt immediately connected, and that's how he got into the scene.
One factor is certain, no matter what type of racing assistance you use there is never going to be such a factor as a sure-fire bet, but you should you discover horses with winning credentials at value prices which improve your possibilities of choosing successful selections considerably, that is for sure. The key is how do you look for these value ones? I'll now describe some of factors to look at out for.
Reliable Racing Tipsters - What To Look For
The first factor I recommend individuals to do is get in touch with their potential tipster. I know this may be obvious and almost elementary; however it is a very excellent way of figuring out about them and an efficient way to begin developing a relationship with them.
A few email messages to begin with should suffice; ask about their racing background and achievements. Try to identify the length of time they have been offering selections and advice to punters and how they got into the racing game. Do they focus on UK or worldwide racing or both? Ask them how effective their strike rate is. Anyone who states they have never had any losing runs can be removed from your records immediately, as can the tipsters who declare to be able to create you wealth instantaneously with a strike rate of 90%.
If they are asking for a registration or one off fee for their advice then ask them if they can provide you a trial period of say one month of their selections. If they're authentic and they're eager to improve their client base, then they ought to assist you in testing their horseracing tips.
Once again, anyone who comes across as hesitant to do so, or difficult, to deal with should be dropped. Furthermore, you are certain to begin developing a viewpoint of them after a while and your gut reaction may well tell you that they are not reliable. Should you trust your gut instinct?
This is a fascinating one, as you're never certain to know whether you've chosen the right option, until you've subscribed to a tipster. If you're testing a service for free, then at least you're not losing cash to find out that the tipping service you've selected is not appropriate for you.
It is a combination of interrogation and a bit of gut reaction tossed in, but seriously this is simpler than you think. By asking particular questions, some of which I have outlined in the following article, you will be able evaluate the better tipsters from the weaker ones.
As you ask more questions and begin to get a connection with a tipster, you should be beginning to think whether or not you feel this is right, and whether he can be reliable to provide you the details that are going to get you some value winning selections consistentantly.
It's a bit like purchasing a car really. You know what you want the end outcome to be, for example own a car, or in this situation, place bets on winners.
The key can be found in the individual 'selling' you the car or horseracing tips. As if you create a connection with him, you may be influenced to buy from him, however if there seems to be something not quite right about him, then move away.
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Post by Kimmy on May 15, 2013 7:27:21 GMT
One of the awesome factors about speed handicapping is that it is so simple. The latest speed figure results are published in the racing papers and they are usually fairly consistent.
Overall, if you are looking for the quickest horse in a competition, an excellent starting point is to use speed ratings as a base.
Unfortunately, it is very hard to make money by just backing a horse that is top rated by speed in every race. When you are handicapping horse racing for extra revenue. Being right is essential, but making a profit by finding value is more important.
Being able to check out the race cards and choose a few races where one horse could possibly be the quickest may create an impression on your fellow punter buddies, but being able to discover one or two selections that the general betting shop punters have not recognised, but may still win at value odds, is what the actual professionals do, day in and day out.
Therefore, there are a few ways to generate income off speed rating figures. One way is to look for a race where the horse with the best speed rating has a few doubtful aspects, such as going conditions, upped in class or running over a new distance etc.
It is better to look for a horse race where the ratings are not so obvious and you may get good odds on a horse that will take advantage from a speed situation where a race prefers its pace and style of running. Though the selection may not have the top speed rating, it is still an excellent bet because it is a bigger price and the horse with the best speed results doesn’t always win. The pace of a race performs a big part in the outcome of most races.
Another aspect that can alter the predicted result of a horse race is equipment changes and racehorses that are improving or declining
The main factor of this article is that it is difficult to generate income from gambling on the horse with the top speed figure ratings in every race, but simpler to make money from your handicapping, by gambling on the horse that could produce a shock at better value odds.
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Post by Kimmy on May 17, 2013 7:31:18 GMT
Alternative Each Way System Let's look at example of backing a 8/1 horse at £10 each way in a race (with Places paying out at ¼ odds). With a win you know that you will make a £100 profit. However, you also know that you will get £10 profit on your Each Way bet if the horse only Places. So here is where you can capitalise without losing any stake. You can take that £10 insurance that you'll have if your Each Way bet Places and simply stake the equivalent of that £10 on your horse to win in a separate single bet. At this stage you are paying out £30 in total stake, but the pay off here is if your horse does win, because you will get the £100 profit from your Each Way bet, plus a further £80 from your single. If you horse just managed to place in this scenario, then you have still not technically lost anything. Why? Because with a Place finish, you would get your £10 back from your Each Way bet, which covers your stake on the single, so that was almost like a free bet. You j ust didn't get that £10 profit from the each way bet, but you haven't lost any original stake. You still get your initial £20 stake back which you laid out for your Each Way bet, but that losing separate single will have been covered by the profit from the Place in the Each Way. So essentially with this free bet you can almost double your winnings by taking this approach.
So in summary. If you can open up a profit margin by a selection Placing, then you can use that profit margin essentially as a free bet as a separate single, to try and boost your winnings.
Just to recap this expanded Each Way Bet system
£10 Each Way at 8/1 (with ¼ Place Odds) = a) £100 profit for a win = b) £10 Profit for a Place
Now take b) and place that same value on separate single bet on the same selection, which leads us to:
Separate £10 Single Win at 8/1 = £80 profit for a win = If the selection only places the £10 stake which would be lost here, would be compensated for by the £10 profit of the Each Way profit of £10 (b). So it is essentially a free bet as you don't lose any stake.
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Post by Kimmy on May 18, 2013 7:12:51 GMT
Why backing odds on shots is ok The Truth About Odds On Shots!
Whenever someone tells you never back odds on do not listen,they are obviously an idiot or a bookmaker trying to spread this myth about! There's no difference between getting 1-2 about a 1-4 chance and getting 4-1 about a 2-1 chance. Confidence is the number one. Say one fellow bets 20-1 shots. After 20 losers, he backs a winner, and he's level. Another fellow's betting evens. After 10 winners and 10 losers, he's level. They've both got the same money, but he's been right 10 times. Who's going to have more confidence? But nobody talks about confidence, the mental instabilities involved in gambling. And that's what it's all about. Quick Tip !
There's always time for a Quick Tip, We are here to help you profit from your gambling... 1. Trainer's - Never underestimate the power of a trainer hitting form. When trainers hit a run of winners not only do their short priced horses win but some of their outsiders win also. How to tell if a trainer is in form? - Check out the hot trainers section in your Daily Newspapers horse racing section. Follow Any trainer with a better than 33% strike rate of winners. This is a fantastic section of the paper that is updated daily so you are always on the hot trainers!!
2.The going and the draw are the two most important variables in determining the outcome of any horse race.
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Post by Kimmy on May 19, 2013 7:44:14 GMT
FOUR FOOTBALL PERMUTAIONS YOU CAN USE THIS SEASON
The first two permutations were devised for use on the long list of your coupon. Pick only away wins and draws. You can select the matches yourself, or follow one of a many experts from the newspapers such as Racing and Football Outlook, or Daily Mirror. Note the matches whom your expert predicts as an away win in Scottish fixtures only. Pick the best odds on the coupon of your choice.
PERMUTATION NUMBER ONE
1. 2222X222XXX Enter the four matches of your choice in the pattern shown to the 2. 222X22XX22X left. Your instructions will read "4 trebles in each column = 11 X 3. 22X22X2X2X2 4 = 44 trebles", then add your stake. Each week after the results are 4. 2X222XX2X22 known check each column for winning trebles. Should the four matches result as: 1. All Away wins. 2. 3 away wins and 1 draw. 3. 2 away wins and 2 draws, then you must have up to SEVEN trebles correct in your entry. It is possible to win with one match resulting as a home win, providing that the remaining matches are not all draws.
PERMUTATION NUMBER TWO
1. 2X Write 2X against each of 4 matches in the long list of your coupon. Add your 2. 2X instructions - "Allow for up to 2 draws in 4 two way matches = 11 fourfolds", 3. 2X then add your stake. If your four matches result as away wins with a maximum 4. 2X of 2 draws, then you will have a winning column.
1. 2222XXXX222 The chart to the left shows the 11 columns of your entry. 2. 222X2X22XX2 3. 22X222X2X2X If you restrict your entries to away win and draw forecasts from 4. 2X22222X2XX Scottish divisions, then you will win often.
THE FOOTBALL METHOD NUMBER THREE
The Football Demon method must be operated on a short list, where you can pick a minimum of 3 matches in any bet.
1. 12X12X12X Simply pick any 4 matches from those listed, with a preference for 2. 12X2X1X12 away win or draw matches for the best winning odds. Enter the 4 3. 12XX122X1 matches as in the 9-column permutation shown to the left. The 4. 222XXX111 instructions will read - "4 trebles in each column = 9 X 4 = 36 trebles". Then add your stake. After the match results are known, simply check each column in turn for a winning treble. Every week without fail, at least one of the 9 columns will give a winning treble with a chance of four winning trebles. The odds that you win are those given for each match multiplied together.
FOOTBALL METHOD NUMBER FOUR
1. 12X Select any 3 matches on a short list of the odds coupon. Place 12X against 2. 12X each match and add the instructions, "27 trebles." Whatever the results of 3. 12X the matches the bet must win a treble each time. Always aim for the bigger draw and away win odds.
All permutations are devised, to be used on the odds coupons supplied by bookmakers. None of the entries can be used on-pools coupons. Where there are insufficient columns on your coupon, then you must use more than one coupon.
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Post by Kimmy on May 25, 2013 19:08:36 GMT
How to beat the bookies The best time to make money at horse racing is during midweek meetings. Weekends are when the general public go racing. What I call bookmakers days. I never go racing at weekends or bank holidays as this is when I seem to come away worse off. During the week there are too many bookmakers chasing too little money. This means there are too few punters and the racing is often less than competitive. So the prices are better. You need to treat betting as a business if you intend to make serious money. Always betting on the favourite horses will not allow you to win big in the long run - it is all about finding the value horses Betting on favourites at short odds is what most fun punters are doing in betting shops all around the country every day. So how do we find value? Well many punters have different methods. My own personal method is very simple but works for me. First of all I go through each runner of a race and eliminate any runner that I think has no chance at all. If I have three horse left I know that I have a one in three chance of my selection winning so I would look for a price of better then 3-1. If there were seven horses left I would be looking at a price of 7-1 or better. These days I very rarely have bet lower than 2-1 in price. I do occasional back more than one horse in a race if the odds are good enough. I somethimes prefer this method to each way betting. Another way to get ahead of the bookies is to specialise in certain types of races. I find that I do well in big field sprint handicap races. I find that I can knock out two thirds of the field because of the draw especially at courses such as Thirsk or Beverly. Then I back 2 or sometimes 3 of the best inform horses that are left. A sprinter inform can offset a weight disadvantage over the shorter sprint distances.
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:27:48 GMT
THE ONE I’m very excited about this system as it has been making me a fortune, not only is it making me money it is easy to do and best of all, the bets needed are found through the racing post website free of charge, I can even get all my bets for the next day the evening before. I’ve named this system “The One” as I believe this will be the only system you will ever need from now on, granted I have got a little excited and offered you the chance to get on board quite early in the trialling period but that’s what I’m about if I’m on a good thing I like to share what I have with all of you, as you all have been very supportive to me over the last year or so. Right less the blabbering on and I’ll continue with this system. SELECTION PROCESS 1. Go to www.racingpost.com 2. Once you have reached the site head straight got the cards tab, click this. 3. Go to the first race of the first meeting and across the top of the card you will see, OR, TS and RPR. 4. You need to click on each of these one at a time, any horse that is top of each including joint top is a potential selection. 5. You make a note of each selection after you have been through every race for the day. 6. Now the staking plan I use for this system is 1,2,3,2,1 reverting back to 1 point after a winner. 7. When the racing begins I log onto Betfair and go to the first race I have a selection in, if the selection is between 1.5 and 6.0 it is a bet, if below 1.5 and above 6.0 DO NOT BET. It is very important to stick to these rules and remember to revert back to 1 point after a winner. Nice and easy but so so so good, I believe this could be one of the best.
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:30:17 GMT
Hope these systems are not repeats
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:32:18 GMT
Favourites Win Races
Favourites win races! That's an undeniable fact if you check independent resources like Adrian Massey's data. Between 1991 and 2001 Favourites in UK horse races won 33% of the time.
The actual percentage varies by race type quite dramatically and is as high as 48% in Novice Chases and 43% in Flat Maiden races! At the other end of the spectrum Selling Handicap's on the flat is only 22% of races . Taking the above knowledge is a very good start for a winning racing system and one which many people simply overlook. If you had bet on all the races over this period at a standard bookmaker your return would have been 92% - in other words you would have lost £8 for every £100 bet. If you had used Betfair or another Exchange the position would have been better since odds to back are typically 10%+ higher. Still not great as a system! However, if we apply some filters and a sensible staking plan we can make a very nice and consistent profit from backing Favourites.
For the system I will refer to Betfair but in theory you can use any betting exchange. I will assume you understand these but if you need help do contact me – alternatively a quick search like 'Betfair tutorial' on Google will take you to some great info.
We also use the Racing Post website – a fantastic and totally free resource! If you aren't familiar with it pop over and take a look. You want the Racecards screen for the info we need and five minutes surfing around will soon have you an expert and finding the data we need.
Later in this guide I will run through a day's selections and results. Please accept my word that this is a genuine day at random which I picked writing the guide – you will see many like it!
Let's take a look at my rules - 1) Ignore Amateur Flat, Selling Handicap Flat and Novice Handicap Hurdle races. These are simply too unpredictable and will impact your strike rate.
2) The Favourite must be between 1.8 and 3.1 on Betfair. You can go slightly below or above this and of course prices do change but the horse needs to be in this range. As low as 1.5 puts are bank at too much exposure and above 3.2 the strike rate starts to fall.
3) The gap between the Favourite and second Favourite must be at least 2.5. What we are doing here is following the money. I'm a great believer that the odds on Betfair reflect all known knowledge about a race and each horse's chance of winning.
To illustrate,
Race 1. Lucky Lady is at 2.1 on Betfair, Lucky Lad is second in the betting at 5.1 Race 2. Temptation is at 2.7 on Betfair and Bank Destroyer is at 4.1 Lucky Lady is a potential qualifier, Bank Destroyer is not!
4) The horse must be the Forecast Favourite, that's to say the experts predicted the horse would be the Favourite on the day. This is generally the case. Now we go to Racing Post and look at the Racecard for the potential bet. The above are the system Rules, the following are really 'filters' to help you make your selections. For each of these we click on the tabs at the bottom of the racecard to access the data. There are 4 things I look for to add to the value of a potential selection. Is the horse is the Postdata selection? This effectively gives it a huge tick based on many criteria used to make an assessment. Is the horse the Racing Post Ratings selection? As above, this is another massive tick from the experts What do the Tipsters think? If we click on the Selections tab we will see the selection of around 12-14 professional tipsters for the race. If around 75% plus are picking the horse it's another strong indicator. For example, there are 14 tipsters offering a selection for the race and 10 of them back ours Finally, are there 11 or fewer runners? Without going too scientific (!) more runners equals less chance of the Favourite winning. So how do we apply the selection process in practise?
The horse must fit the Rules (1 to 4) and each day we write down all selections within this.
There will usually be 4-6 most days. We now go to the Racing Post site and can either verify or whittle down these potential bets. Let's say we have 3 qualifying under the Rules and further data is as follows.
Juicy Lucy. Is the Postdata and Racing Post selection, 11 out of 14 tipsters have selected it and there are 9 runners. A very solid bet. Jack The Lad. Is Postdata selection but not Racing Post. Has 9 out of 14 tipsters supporting and there are 10 runners. This ticks 3 of my 4 boxes and I would back. Troublesome Tom. Is neither Postdata or Racing Post selection. Has 8 out of 14 tipsters supporting and there are 13 runners. I would pass on this bet. You will develop a feel for this – trust me! You can of course pick qualifiers which only meet all of the filters but this will reduce your number and in practice the difference isn't huge. If 3 out of 4 are met I am happy making a bet. With a strike rate of 33% plus making a profit to level stakes -i.e. betting the same stake every race – is unlikely to produce a profit, even when we apply filters. To make this system work I suggest a sensible staking plan, crucially with a stop loss. Personally I work to a 5-race cycle with a profit target per cycle. I'll explain further... On a typical day I'll find 5 qualifying selections. I set my profit target at say £20. If any of the races wins I STOP! I have a profit of £20 for the day. If any race loses I add my stake to my profit target and continue. Crucially I stop at the end of 5 races and write off my losses. Do NOT continue chasing losses as the stakes escalate! You can easily recover a cycle of 5 losses and overall will be well in profit. To give some more detail here... If the chance of each of our 5 selections winning is 33% the chance of of having 5 losing races in a row is around 8%. For simplicity, let's round this up to 10% or 1 in 10. Over my time testing the system with the filters the strike rate of wins is 13 out 14. Yes of course the 1 in 14 losing cycle damages our bank but overall we are in profit. Using this method I suggest a very conservative 5% of your bank as a cycle target, so if you have £500 go for £25 a cycle. At the start I suggest a very modest £5 just while you get to grips with things. I stress again, we are not chasing losses blindly! Statistically the chances of a losing cycle with 5 races is enough to profit over time. On the odd day you don't find a winner, forget it and move on. If there aren't 5 strong selections in a day carry the cycle over. What now follows is an actual day's selections. Again, I promise you I haven't doctored results and chosen a good day! I just took screenshots yesterday of all my bets so I can share with you. You will see there are 4 bets for the day. I'll explain each in turn and then share the results.
In the first race we have a very clear Favourite in Sloop Johnb – it's at 2.46 and the closest is La Capriosa at 6.8. It's a 5 furlong Handicap so qualifies. It was the Forecast Favourite on Racing Post and was both the Racing Post and Postdata selection. 13 of the 14 Tipsters were supporting it. A very strong bet! I placed £20 on the Favourite ... and won! This clears the first cycle for the day and many days I'll stop there – £20 for 5 minutes 'work' – very nice. To illustrate examples I'll move on.
In the next we have Invisible Man at 2.54 and a gap of roughly 2.5 to the next at 5.0. It was the Postdata Selection and had an RPR rating of 97, ten above the next at 87. 7 of 12 Tipsters supported the selection but I felt this to be a strong bet and backed it. ... And unfortunately it lost! To make my £20 plus Betfair commission I staked £13.64. For the next race I carry this loss over and add it to my £20 target.
In the next we have Desert Creek at 2.54 with a nice gap to Emirates Roadshow at 6.0. It's Forecast Favourite, is backed by 9 of 13 Tipsters and is the RPR selection. It's not the Postdata selection but again with a wide gap to the second Favourite and such strong support I'm happy to back it. My stake is £23 give or take a few pennies, I tend to round up. And it won! I've cleared my loss from the previous and made another £20 profit. Again I would very likely stop here on a normal day but there's one more good example.
Here we see Forgotten Voice at 1.75. This is below my usual level but as it's at the start of a cycle I'm happy to play in the race. Of course we don't have to take odds available on Betfair and in fact I asked for 1.8 to back and it was matched. 9 of 13 Tipsters were backing it, it was RPR but not Postdata. Oddly the Postdata selection was a 25-1 outsider so the opposition of the Favourite didn't over concern me. The gap of 6 to Dubai Dynamo was very encouraging on the day. This was a further win, another £20 in the bank.
So on the day here there were 3 wins out of 4 selections. I stress again I would normally stop once the first had won. I could have gone for a very cautious £5 per cycle and suggest you start at this level. We only needed one of the 4 strong selections to win, and if none had we could find another tomorrow. In reality if that were the case I would look for a real Banker Bet with all filters met – that's to say the horse would have to be,
Postdata, RPR top and 75% plus of Tipsters supporting with less than 11 runners.
I hope the system is clear and that you can see the potential. If you more cautious I recommend a less aggressive staking plan and I would suggest a Fibonacci sequence as follows - Bet 1. 1 point, Bet 2. 2 points, Bet 3. 3 points, Bet 4. 5 points, Bet 5. 8 points then STOP! So if you decide 1 point + £2 your sequence would be £2, £4, £6, £10, £16 then stop. In this steady way you can earn so very nice profits without over-exposing a small bank. Start small – don't become greedy when you see 'easy wins' or give up when you hit a losing cycle. Set aside a bank of money to play the system with and use 5% or below a cycle profit target
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:36:41 GMT
2 CHECKS BET METHOD
2 selection methods in one. LAYING
1) Please look at the racecards from Racing Post 2) 1ST CHECK, Identify the betting forecast favourite horse
3) 2ND CHECK, Check the horse's speed under 'TS' in the far middle right-hand column. If it is not the highest speed horse in the race? Then 'Lay' the selection.
PLACE BACKING
1) Please look at the racecards from Racing Post
2) 1ST CHECK, Identify the betting forecast favourite horse
3) 2ND CHECK, Check the horse's speed under 'TS' in the far middle right-hand column. If it is the highest speed horse in the race? Then 'Place Back' the selection. (Back to Place)
Two quick, simple methods to identify your selections.
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:38:44 GMT
The Great Barrier System
The Great Barrier Reef System is my new method which has produced some amazing results in recent weeks. The reason for the unusual title ? Well the system is based on the inside knowledge of one of the UK's biggest bookmakers. CORALS. Get it ? Anyway, after watching countless races on Channel 4 for years I began to notice something very unusual. After loads and loads of races the winner would pass the post and Big Mac would come on shouting what the betting patterns were before the off. He would say things like ' KAUTO STAR generally 4 and 5/1 this morning, CORAL knew they only went 7/2 . Now, for years it has been widely regarded that Ladbrokes have been the bookie to watch when ducking a horse. This still may very well be true but times change and there has been literally tons of races where Big Mac has said CORALS knew after another winner has just went in. So, taking heed of this I began to look a little closer at all handicaps to see if there was an angle which could be explored. It started promisingly and to be honest there were some tasty odds winners but after monitoring literally tons and tons of races I noticed one glaring thing. Whenever Corals went clearly LOWEST on a fav or 2nd fav but ESPECIALLY a favourite then the strike rate was quite exceptional. The winners have flowed ever since and to be honest it has really surprised me. At 10.30 am I check the ODDSCHECKER site and go through the handicaps. I always start with the big meeting especially if the meeting is on Channel 4. SATURDAY 13th May 2012. 2.10 Lingfield CHACHAMAIDEE - Corals 2/1 , EVERY other bookie 9/4 , 5/2 . Won easy Now , you may think that at after 10.30 the prices can change and thats true. But no matter when you do this you will still often find races where Corals are clearly lowest. I find my horse that Coral are lowest and then make sure the GENERAL price is the same or Lower than the RACING POST betting forecast. That’s when I bet. UNUSUAL DAY THURSDAY 17th MAY. Corals went LOWEST on the fav & 2nd fav in the 4.45 York. Competitive handicap - CAPE TRIBULATION 11/4 @10.30 generally 7/2 , 4/1 and CLOUDY SPIRIT 6/1 @10.30 generally 7/1 ,8/1 . Result Fav disappointed but 2nd FAV won at 13/2 . There were nice winners at Newmarket and Aintree over the last few weeks and its going well. I urge you to try it. Just look at Handicaps on oddschecker where Coral duck a favourite or a 2nd favourite. It seems the tide has turned and Ladbrokes in my opinion are no longer the governors !!
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:40:20 GMT
Lay 2/1 and under
Go to the racing post online press onto cards check forecast odds
look for any horse that's 2/1 fav and under must be forecast fav
1. Go to the racing post online press onto cards check forecast odds look for any horse that's 2/1 fav and under must be forecast fav
2 .look at 'topspeed' number column next to or and rpr columns on the far right of the race card if 'topspeed highest number is fc fav no bet if 'topspeed non runner we are still not ts then ok to lay
3. If horse is course and distance winner no bet if just none or one of those then possible bet
4.click on stats if trainer form and trainer at course are 25% or above no bet
5. No maiden races. On the flat and and all weather but jumps are ok
6. Just before the off on betfair one /two minutes your horse must be 3.00 and under to lay never go above that
7 no horses that won last time out over the jumps (rule updated to increase strike rate and profit)
8 uk and Irish racing only And that's it simple but effective stick with this system and watch your account grow
If you have any questions please get in contact and good luck
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:41:57 GMT
The Simple System Rules
The system rules are short, sweet, but very powerful.
Filtering Process Before Racing:
1. MUST BE CLEAR Forecast Favourite in the Racing Post – All ODDS up to 3/1 2. Last Time Out Winner OR Finished Maximum 2 lengths away – regardless of placing 3. NO FIRST TIME OUT RUNNERS 4. Jockey & Trainer Combined Course Strike Rate Greater Than 5%
Filtering Process DURING Racing:
1. Odds MUST BE at least 8/1 at OFF Time 2. MUST BE 14 Runners Or LESS at OFF Time 3. 8 – 14 Runners STAKE = 1pt Each Way 4. Up To 7 Runners STAKE = 1pt Win
This system identifies horses that are running well, having either won last time out or finished within 2 lengths of the winner (regardless of placing), and that are expected to go well by the well-paid Racing Post team who install it as paper favourite. It’s the betting public who don’t fancy our selection, for whatever reason, so the price drifts.
Working The System
All we are going to do is wait until a few minutes before the OFF Time, and check the price that our potential qualifier is trading at. If it has drifted to 8/1 or greater, we will back it.
IMPORTANT: We must wait until the very, VERY last minute to back the selection.
If we do not wait, the price could move again, which would have resulted in the horse not being a qualifier at all. There could be a flurry of money with 5 minutes left, and it could push the price back into 6/1, or even less. You need to have patience. Local bookies may let you place a bet with a written provision on the betting slip stating a ‘null and void bet’ if the SP is less than 8/1 – check it out, local bookies may accommodate you.
Filter Out The Non Qualifiers at the Racing Post website: www.racingpost.com/ Live Shows for SP’s on Sporting Life website: www.sportinglife.com/racing/liveshows/
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:44:53 GMT
The Horse Racing Formula One of the first things you need to do to use this formula, is to bookmark these three websites that we’ll be using: www.oddschecker.co.uk/ www.betfair.com/ www.betangel.com/ The first two sites contain the information we require to operate the method, and the last site makes the process easier. First things first, you’re only going to target horses which are in the following price range: 4-6 TO 6-1 By sticking to this range and following the formula, you should get an average of 50% winners overall. Obviously, the shorter prices have a higher win percentage, and the higher prices have a lower strike rate. But it averages out to around a 50% strike rate if you stick to this range. Oddschecker The key site we’re going to use is called Oddschecker, if you haven’t used it before, then I strongly recommend you become familiar with it. When you’re looking at a race on this site, it shows you when the prices are shortening or drifting with each bookmaker. If a horse is shortening with a bookmaker, the price appears in blue — if the horse is drifting, the price appears in pink. Fairly straightforward.
What we’re looking for, is horses where the odds are shortening with ALL the bookmakers (where prices are available). So a long blue line appears, and don’t forget that the horse should also be in the 4-6 to 6-1 price range — they still do well outside this range, but for the purposes of this method, I’d recommend you stay within this price range. Hint: The best time to scan the cards and mark these horses, is a few hours before the meeting starts. With the evening races, the same thing applies. When you find horses which have a long blue line and are being backed (shortening) across the board, make sure you note these horses somewhere (Notepad’s pretty useful for this purpose...) Betfair The second site to use is Betfair, once you’ve got your list of horses which are shortening in price with every bookmaker, there’s a final piece of the puzzle to see whether the horse is worth backing or not. If you click on the Betfair odds (on Oddschecker, when in the race), Betfair will open up for the specific race, and you’ll be able to see the price. Now here’s the secret: The price on Betfair, should be slightly shorter than the biggest price available with either Ladbrokes, William Hill, Stan James, Coral or Blue Square. If the biggest price available is 2-1 with Ladbrokes for example, and the price is trading steadily at 2.96 on Betfair (1.96-1) — then this would be a selection from the method. Should the price be fluctuating a lot, then let the price settle and make sure it’s shorter on Betfair for at least 10-15 minutes. If the price is shorter on Betfair than with one of the big bookmakers mentioned above, and is also being backed throughout the board ... this means there’s professional money going on the horse. When the professional players have finished getting the maximum bets they can get on with the bookmakers, they turn to the betting exchanges like Betfair to get their remaining stakes on. If the price is matching instead of shorter (using the criteria above) the selections will still do well, but I’d recommend sticking to when they are slightly shorter. Obviously, some horses become selections at different times of the day, so what I’d recommend doing is a scan occasionally, every 30 minutes, hour, 2 hours ... whatever’s most convenient for you. The more regularly you scan, the more selections you’ll have, but in my experience the strike rate stays the same in the long term, regardless. The most solid selections, will be selections even if you check every 2 hours using the method. Bet Angel A final tool you can use is the Bet Angel software, by downloading the free version, it’s often possible to check the selections on Betfair much faster than going through the Oddschecker site. This is only a personal preference however, and it’s possible to use the method by just using Oddschecker and Betfair alone. Method Recap Let’s recap the process: Step 1: Scan the races on Oddschecker, and list the horses which have a long blue line (all available prices with the bookies should be in blue, and only list horses which are in the 4-6 to 6-1 price range) Step 2: Check the price is shorter on Betfair than the highest price with either Ladbrokes, William Hill, Stan James, Coral or Blue Square. Step 3: Repeat the process at regular intervals for further qualifiers.
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