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Post by Kimmy on Jun 26, 2014 7:09:21 GMT
System 5: MAIDEN WINNERS NEXT RUN IN HANDICAP (added 16/7/12)
When?: All year round Where?: Any flat race in the UK What?: Back all last time out maiden winners running in a handicap that are; 1) 20/1 or under 2) last ran 121-720 days ago 3) male 4) had 1- 4 career starts Why?: 142 winners from 669 runners (21%) and a LSP of +228pts since 2003
System 4: BEATEN FAVOURITES NEXT TIME OUT (added 5/7/12)
When?: All year round Where?: Any race in the UK What?: Back all beaten favourites dropped in class who are turning out quickly (2-5days) Why?: 103 winners from 297 runners (35%) and a LSP of 89pts since 2003
System 3: TOPWEIGHTS IN NURSERIES (added 4/7/12)
When?: July only Where?: On the flat What?: Back all topweights in nurseries over 5f in July at 20/1 or under. Why?: 27 winners from 77 runners (35%) and a LSP of 44.63pts since 2003
System 2: OUTSIDER OF THREE (added 3/7/12)
When?: All year round. Where?: Flat or NH. Not All Weather. What?: On the flat: Outsider in a 3 horse race under 21/1, Class 2 or worse and 6f+. Over jumps: Outsider in a 3 horse Novice Chase race under 21/1. Why?: Flat: 24 winners from 102 runners (23.5%) and a LSP of 74.5pts since 2003 Jumps: 26 winners from 164 runners (15.9%) and a LSP of 48pts since 2003
System 1: FILLIES IN FORM (added 27/6/12)
When?: Start of flat season until 31st August. Where?: UK turf flat racing only. What?: All fillies and mares that won in the last 5 days and are racing over 7f or further. Why?: 66 winners from 170 runners (39%) and a LSP of 117.61pts since 2004
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 27, 2014 8:06:18 GMT
CAN BE AMENDED AT ANY TIME DURING TRIAL.
SWINGING SIXTIES AND LOUIS SYSTEMS.
Check the Racing Post stats. for each meeting jockeys / trainers / owners.
To qualify for consideration the J/T/O must have had at least 20 winners on the course during the past 5 years.
Lets start with the jockey. If he has had 20+ winners on the course check their %. If this is 20+ make a note of all their rides at the meeting.
Do the same for the trainers and owners.
After all the above have been checked multiply the % of the J/T/O as follows: trainer x 3, jockey x 2, owner x 1. Some horses will have points from one or more of the J/T/O's. Add all the points together and that is the rating for the horse.
After you have done that for all the days meetings make a note ot the highest to the lowest rated like a league table.
I have been using the highest rated for the Louis system at the time of the bet no price less than 6/4. I then continue down the league trying to 'Dutch' the next rated for at least 10 points profit on the day. Only consider the next hightest rated horse/s for the next bet. Say the top rated of the day is 140 points and there are 4 rated 120 points only consider any of these 4 to include in the 'Dutch' with the 140 rated. Shortest price first remembering 6/4 or better. You might be able to include all the 120 rated in the Dutch if so go to the next rating. If no selection can be found to go with the top rated stop there. That is the systems bet for the day.
Then continue the same procedure for the Swinging Sixties system.
I started with a 500 points bank and used 2% for the bets but never less that 10 points per horse should the bank fall below 500 points.
These are just ideas and I am sure it can be improved on. Level stakes or any staking plan to suit the individual.
So I have been using the top rated for the Louis system and so on for the swinging sixties system.
Just remember say top rated 100 points try and Dutch all the 100 rated for a 10 points profit. If you can show a profit try the next rated horses. Say there are three at 90 points consider the lowest price first but not less than 6/4. If it is lower that 6/4 you use the next lowest priced 90 points rated and so on. If none of the 90 rated horses can be used in the Dutch with the 100 point rated horse/s do not go any lower than the 90 rated. Of course when you move onto the SS system you start off where you left off with the Louis system.
Rules could change in the future.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 14, 2014 9:24:34 GMT
COW SYSTEM. Top rated Daily Mail Spotform + top selection box. Min. 6 sels. Max last two races 1 win unless Group/Listed races. NO maidens/ amateur/ ladies/ hunter/ seller flat/ apprentice. Must have won at least once in the past. 1/2/3 LTO. Min price you can get 11/10. Dutch selections for profit starting with most selections. SUNDAYS when no Spotform use ATR speed ratings and must be over 50% tipped in selection box.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 15, 2014 12:39:51 GMT
Top Ten Betting Mistakes
The first step to formulating a solution, is to define the problem.
The following points are areas of betting where many punters often get it wrong. My views arise from long personal experience and years of communication with successful and unsuccessful punters alike.
My aim here is to highlight these common areas of failure in the hope that I can speed up your learning curve towards successful betting.
Read the following thoughts and you may be able to side step many of the pot holes others have fallen into in the past.
1) Failure to Use Betting Banks
Most gamblers fail to understand that the best method of achieving a healthy and sustained long term profit from racing is to set aside a sum of money away from your main finances, solely for the betting of horses.
Whatever method or system you are using, whoever you are following or subscribing to or however your own bets are calculated, you are better off with a "Betting Bank" that has built -in advantages that can help you. It needs to be independent from your own personal finances and needs to be protected from factors that can threaten it. This can take a lot of emotion out of the decision making process. Emotion is a factor that threatens all punters.
The size of your betting bank will of course be dependant upon your own individual circumstances and free capital available. An analogy to the world of shares perhaps may be that no financial advisor worth his salt would advise you throw all your capital into the stock market alone.
The vast majority of punters fail to use any form of set aside bank. They bet randomly with what ever money they have in their pocket at the end of the week or go in too deep with stakes far in excess of their personal safety levels.
A punter with a professional attitude will set aside what he can comfortably afford to invest and then determine the best use he can make of that fixed sum of capital.
With a fixed sum of capital available you now move on to the next reason for failure.
2) Failure to Stake Correctly
It is vital that you consider your betting bank as capped in amount. You do not have an endless pool of resources to dip into. Betting by its nature carries inherent risks. These risks include periods of low strike rates and long losing runs. Your betting bank and staking should be adapted for the method you use.
You must in advance, prepare yourself for the possibility of a worse than average sequence of losers through adoption of a sufficient number of units in your betting bank.
Correct methodical staking in addition to the mathematical advantage, can also help overcome the risk of emotional reaction to a sequence of unusually positive or negative results.
Take the Pricewise column in the racing post as an example. Long term if you could get on at the advised prices, it would have returned a decent profit overall. During this time however followers would have to have endured runs of up to 40 losers in a row!
Despite the overall long term profit I suspect the vast majority of Pricewise followers would have been terminated either by a failure to set aside a sufficient amount of points or through failure to cope with the emotion of the losing run.
in essence key to winning money is to manage your accounts in a way that protects them as far as possible from the element of risk that the game presents you. With a long term profitable approach at level stakes you need to plan for and anticipate lean or losing periods.
3) Chasing Losses
Chasing losses at first sight may appear to be an easy way to guarantee an eventual profit but the true story is it is a game for fools and statistically will not work unless you generate an overall level stakes profit.
Chasing losses is a game for the ill informed who do not want to make the effort to seek value in their bets. Bookmakers have to price up every race. Punters don't have to play in every race, they can pick the races they want to bet in ,and that is the main edge that people fail to understand. If you have had a losing day, by attempting to chasing your losses you give up that advantage and bet in the races that you should not be betting in. You are therefore betting the way bookmakers want you to and not in the way to win.
Many punters will alter their stakes in the last race either to "chase" losses or "play up" winnings. Its no coincidence that the bookmakers have ensured that the last race on each day is often a handicap or one of the hardest races that day . There will be more racing the next day and the day after that. The secret is waiting for opportunities and only betting when you know you have circumstances which favour you and not the bookmakers. You must never change your approach, or deviate from sensible staking as there is no such things as "The Last Race".
4) Lack of Value Appreciation
Appreciation of "value" in a bet is core to long term success. To profit over a long series of bets you must be betting at odds greater than the true chance of winning your selection have. To do this however over the long term, you need to concentrate on each race individually and seek the value bet in that race.
There is value to be had in every race. The key to it is understanding where that value is. Many times a punter will screw up a losing betting slip and say "At least I had some value". There is absolutely NO relationship between value and prices. A 33/1 chance may be diabolical value yet a very short priced favorite may be supreme value. It does not follow that the bigger the price you take the better "value" you have . The value is sometimes clear but more often well hidden and it takes a trained eye to see that.
Everyone has this "Foresight" on occasions, it is a game about opinions after all and nobody is always right or wrong. Value can be the most expensive word in racing if you can't bet winner. The old cliche is that value is about betting a horse whose true chance is better than its price reflects. That's only a small part of it. You also have to make sure that you bet in the right way and in the right races as that is the only way you can keep strike rates high and protect a betting bank.
You should continually strive to increase value in your bets. Once you have a selection you feel is value do not just take the first acceptable price that comes along. Seek to improve it by shopping around the various bookmakers or try and top the best bookmakers price by looking to the betting exchanges.
Marginal improvements on odds on each bet you make can have a dramatic effect on long term profits.
5) Greed For Instant Wealth
Many punters seek the thrill of a life changing bet that will produce huge gains of instant wealth for a small outlay. Bookmakers play on your natural desire and go out of their way to encourage you to bet exotic multiple selection bets that can in one hit, turn a small stake into a large sum.
Professionals however rarely bet in multiples. Most professionals bet singles and steer away from the multiple bets. Bookmakers relentlessly promote a host of multiple bets with exotic names such as Yankee, Lucky 15, and Goliath. The reason they are heavily touted is the profit margin in the bookmaker's favour increases the more selections you add to your multiple bet.
Say you select any random 5/1 selection. If you bet this as a single the bookmaker may have a theoretical edge in his favor of 15%. Taking two such selections however and betting them in a win double, the bookmakers profit margin rises to about 30% !
Yes your win double can produce a much bigger win from the same stake however over the long term the bookmaker is eating away at your capital at a much faster rate.
It is a waste of time debating which type of multiple bet is 'best'. Unless your prediction skills are supernatural or you are incredibly lucky, then betting in singles is more often the best option.
You may say that many "Pros," do bet in multiples in bets like The Scoop 6 or the Jackpot, but that's only because they know there is plenty of "Dead" money in any given Pool and they are betting against people who don't understand the dynamics of those types of bet. There are times you should bet in multiples but in truth they are few and far between.
You can't approach this as a "Get Rich Quick " scheme. It is a long slow process of serious and sustained profit and not a game for Get Rich Quick schemers. If you go Into any Betting shop, have a look at all the posters on the wall offering "special offers", "enhanced terms " and "bonus offers". You will see they are all multiple bets. Bookmakers want you betting in multiples and it is easy to see why . They carve most profit from them. You never see a Bookmakers promotion offering extra's on a win or each way single. Ask yourself why .
6) Lack of Discipline
Lack of Discipline is the big hurdle for punters trying to turn a losing hobby into a winning one. Bookmakers know that. That's why in every betting office you can bet on numbers, lotteries, ball games, racing from all over the globe with horses nobody has heard of before and even now computer animated, or as they call it, virtual racing.
Bookmakers just believe that its a case of punters sitting all day betting on what ever is put in front of them and sadly they are right in many cases .They are simply thrill seeking and don't care what they bet on, as long as they can bet. There is no methodology at all and many betting office regulars are simply a bunch of headless chickens prepared to pay long term for the warming buzz of the occasional win.
Even more experienced regular gamblers who are savvy enough to turn down bets that they know are stupid always let themselves down by continually bleeding their profits with a fun tenner here and a fun tenner there.
It takes great discipline to NOT bet at times. It takes discipline to walk away from a horse when the price isn't right. It takes discipline to say no to that small fun bet. It takes discipline to keep your money in your pocket and deny yourself the emotional buzz of watching your runner.
Punters come in all shapes and sizes. Even the shrewder punters who could win at the game, fall into the trap of lack of discipline of study. After a winning period they forget that what made them winners in the first place, was the effort they put in. They fall victim to over confidence, laziness and indiscipline.
Being a long term successful punter is like swimming against the tide. It takes an effort to stay still, even greater effort to move ahead and as soon as you relax or slack off you start to go backwards.
7) Emotion
Betting is a lonely game. Its also a highly skilled game. Emotion undermines success in many ways . There is comfort in knowing that as a sheep when you are wrong it is not your fault as you were simply doing what everyone else was doing. With betting, the laws of market supply and demand, dictate that long term, the sheep will get fleeced. Emotion neutralises discipline and long proven successful practices. The result of any isolated race has little or no relation to races just before that or just after that . Races should be viewed in isolation from each other. We are all emotional in betting but the players at the top of the tree have this down to a fine art and can control those emotions. Other punters have long since been conditioned by bookmakers to EXPECT to lose rather than win.
They have an in built psychological factor that makes them feel like losers and they have been conditioned to losing by years of doing so.
Over 95% of punters are flawed emotionally. Examples of emotive gambling include punters following a horse ,trainer or a jockey blind . The "Hype" horses are cannon fodder for emotional punters. They may also follow tipsters blind as they "hate" the thought of missing out on a winner.
They pay no attention to the changing conditions of a race that may follow non runners or the ground changing. They misunderstand confidence and can't cope with a lack of confidence. Emotion also prevents people from advanced betting subjects such laying , hedging and arbitrages. Emotion forces some punters to bet horses with certain names that remind them of loved ones. Names such as "Long Tall Sally " and "Susan's Pride " attract many to them just for a name that's relevant to them .
Most punters have a grudge against their own money and winning and being successful is alien to them. Emotional punters lose their heads in barren times and fail to capitalise on winning runs. They mess about with systems and staking plans that make no sense. The more emotion you can rule out of your betting , the more successful you will become . You have to view everyone in the game as your enemy and as people trying to take your hard earned money away from you in the same way as you would a pickpocket . Once you can master your emotions you have made the first big step to betting profitably .
8) The Grass is Greener
The grass is rarely Greener on the Other Side. The truth is that the grass that isn't working for you has not been grown, cultivated or looked after properly. Many punters change approaches and methods so quickly that they don't give any method a true test . If they find a system that works they don't continue after a few bad results . It is the same as gamblers who write down every bet they have . Once they have a few losers they often lose the heart to do this and stop doing so and move on to another area .
They are like children with new toys at Christmas . They never stay with any method long enough to prosper . They always feel the" Grass is Greener" , when in truth the "Grass" they are using has been abused and left to deteriorate.
They want the next Big "new idea " or "method " and that doesn't work either as the fault lies not in the Grass, but the Gardener . They have no long term consistency in their betting and are constantly tinkering with what wasn't broke or moving on in search of the holy grail before a full evaluation of what they are currently examining has been completed.
A competition to win best garden will be won by the person who can spend most time in the garden and master its challenges, the gardener who is prepared to care about his garden and invest in the tools that will help his garden grow and keep the weeds at bay.
It's the same with betting. You will do far better long term if you can make a concentrated effort of learning and research in one key area rather than flitting from this to that.
9) Laziness
Most punters are LAZY! They have religiously followed a doctrine of poor planning and lack of research. They refuse to study and spend hours looking at how they can win at betting. They refuse to invest in the game and invest in their own learning . You cant refuse to spend money, just look at the racing for 30 minutes and expect to win long term. You simply can't get away with that in the hardest trade of all , Winning Money at Betting. If it was that easy , then millions would do it .You must either invest in your betting , or pay someone to do just that .
Natural human tendency is to try and get away with the least amount of effort. Lazy punters are cannon fodder for the bookmakers. They make little or no effort in their selection process nor make an effort to extract maximum returns from their bets. Those who put the most work in are the more likely to succeed.
My philosophy is simple. I believe that if a bookmaker, journalist or odds compiler spends 3 hours on a race then I'll spend 6 hours on that race to gain the edge.
The famous golfer Gary Player once said "The Harder I Work the Luckier I Get". That is true about both golf and betting .Most people can't spend 12 hours a day studying betting as they have families, jobs, commitments and lead their own lives. That is what you pay us for. We do that study for you and re-invest money in our betting so that we can find every edge possible to Help You Win.
10) Stupidity!
Amazingly most punters fail to learn from their mistakes. They continue for years making the same basic errors time and time again. Pure stupidity.
Strive to improve your betting performance by continually learning from the mistakes and weakness is your game.
Your bookmaker may have been laughing at you for years. You have it in your power however to improve your betting and hopefully wipe that smile from his face for good.
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Post by Kimmy on Oct 3, 2014 15:28:41 GMT
Favourable Placing Figures And A System For Profit
“However controversial the subject of form may be it is an inescapable fact that a significant percentage of races are won by form horses that are market leaders and this percentage is greatly increased by being selective” Che Van Der Wheil
Every backer must know that horses with such placing figures as 040, 444, 004 and so on, have not the same calculated chance to win as those with 111, 211, 121 and similar indications of good running. However, how many backers have ever seriously got down to a study of this fascinating area?
There is a very simple and common sense way to make winning bets using them:
Let me ask, for instance, which form figure indication is at the ‘top of the class?’. No.. 111 does not work out best from analysis of results. There are several sets of figures which are better by calculation. Though, I can tell you that I am rarely ‘not on’ in some shape or form – a horse that has posted these 111 figures.
The ‘top’ are those ending in 21… 121, 221, 321 and 421 but 021 is not so good. A backer who used these figures with sense and discretion would have a high percentage of winners.
This style of betting is not infallible of course, you need to think through how and when you use it. But it is possible to simplify the approach down to easy and regular rules of thumb.
Form figures ending in 00 are well down the scale.. 400, 300, 200, 100 and 000 or three ‘duck eggs’.
Figures ending in 31 have a very high rating, but 121, 231, and 331 are the best.
A sound system might be based on the right figures, as shown above and one might well support two qualifiers in a race when the forecasted returns were favourable.
I have devised a simple and sensible system that will deliver 6/10 bets a week with a very high percentage of winners
Consider only races up to 10 runners Consider races with only two qualifiers which have the above favourable form figures Back them both to Win Only bet if a return of Evens ( 50% ) can be had from the coupled bet
If less or more than two qualifiers with the required form figures, consider to omit the race.
What do I mean by the fourth rule and a ‘return of evens’?
Let’s look at the following example: Horse Odds Total Stake Total Return Profit Beeswing 3/1(4 as Decimal, 25% as Fraction) 10 ( 1pt) 0 Woodburn 3/1(4 as Decimal, 25% as Fraction) 10 (1pt) 40 (4pts) 20 (2pts)
In the above example, Woodburn has won at 3/1 and we have staked 2pts and made a profit of 2pts.
This is the equivalent of a return at ‘Even’s the pair coupled.
The total stake is 2pts and our total return is 4pts. We obtain our profit figure by deducting our total stake from the total return figure.
This procedure alone will manifestly improve your betting campaign, it is the professional way to record and manage your bets.
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Post by Kimmy on Oct 3, 2014 15:31:51 GMT
As every backer should know, bets on 2nd and 3rd favourites are usually considered to be a risky business owing to potentially lengthy losing runs and the frequency of the SP favourite to spoil the party.
However, there is a way to make the style of betting pay and this is how you do it:
These kinds of horses ( 2nd & 3rd Favourite ) can be backed profitably when you learn the trick. Firstly, we need to consider ‘coupling’ them as a pair, or a Dutch bet. ]
The kind of SP favourites that pop up and sprag the bet are usually those at ‘low prices’. Of course, this seems obvious, but up to the 7/4 mark ( 2.75 ) you will in fact be testing fate, unless you have a very good reason to do so. On the other hand, the shorter price the favourite – the more attractive the price of the 2nd and 3rd favourite.
So, what to do?
Overall, when backing 2nd & 3rd favourites – named from the tissue price forecast or even SP un named, we should choose races in which the favourites are quoted at good prices; 5/2, 3/1 and preferably higher.
Statiscally, these ‘not so hot’ favourites will fail over a series of wagers and this gives us the chance to pop in for the 2 & 3 favourite. Using this simple, common sense approach enables us to obtain good prices on our alternate selections.
Often, you even have two choices – depending on your profit targets.
Back the 2nd & 3rd favourite ‘Each Way’ or ‘Win & Place’ ( if using the betting exchange ) – this technique alone, gives you 6 chances to win as long as 8 runners were declared Group Bet any economical number of horses from the 2nd favourite down ( aim for a minimum return of 8/11 on this bet ) Dutch the 2 & 3 favourites if a decent ‘gap’ to the 4th favourite
Do not underestimate the power of this technique, as long as you choose your races carefully a profitable percentage of winning plays are very likely indeed.
Should you back the 2 & 3 fav Each Way ( as long as the price allows ) you would need to allow for a 4pt bet.
The steady but unspectacular ‘bet by bet’ gains will be offset by discipline and compounding your point value over time.
Before long, you will be doubling and trebling your stake in this type of bet.
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Post by Kimmy on Oct 3, 2014 15:33:05 GMT
Carefully chosen horses and sound staking make the ideal system.
If these two elements are combined well, you gain the winning edge.
But what does it mean to bet systematically?
Let’s discuss that very thing and have a look at two profit plans for systematic betting:
To the casual punter you see, losses are losses and no real record exists of the flow of profit and loss. However, to the shrewd Sportsman; losses are considered mere running expenses which will ultimately be covered by his betting returns.
The casual punter may in fact like to forget his losses as quickly as possible, but the shrewd backer has everything recorded and is working diligently to wipe them out and regain his profitable advance. In the course of his systematic betting the shrewd backer is not afraid to incur these running expenses so long as the prospective profit is gained.
This may take several days of course, whereas the casual punter may be just betting for today, with a sole thought along the lines of ‘how can I back a winner now?’.
In contrast, the shrewd backer does indeed hope his selected play will win, but his plans reach out much further into the future.
Here are some easy to handle ‘entry level’ plans for you to practice daily systematic and methodical betting.
Grey’s LEVEL STAKE Plan
The following simple level-stake plan will be found excellent under both codes of racing. System races are races of every type in which there are two only horses that were placed 1,2,3 or 4 last time out. Each horse is backed with a 1pt stake. Prices of winners will range from odds on to about 14/1 and there are sufficient in the average month to ensure a profit and pay off the point always staked on a losing horse in the winning bet.
When a reasonable profit has been won, the value of the points can be increased. The highest possible stake per meeting would be 12 or 14 points ( depending on whether 6 or 7 races ) and the lowest 2 points. I suggest you work all meetings with this plan.
Example:
102 Beeswing
40 Woodburn
121 Red Hill
455 Stage Hand
080 Permutation
System Horses: Beeswing and Red Hill – 1pt on each
Grey’s SAFETY FIRST Win & Place System
This is an unusually simple technique for making steady gains over a period of time. Select a race with 10 to 12 runners and invest 1 point each way or 1 point win and 1 point place, if using the betting exchanges.
Stake on the horses mentioned first, second, and third in the betting forecast – three horses per race. That is, the morning betting forecast and not horses neccessarily at the head of the live market ( though of course, they may well be the same ).
You will find that it is not unusual to collect on all three horses.
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Post by Kimmy on Oct 3, 2014 15:34:05 GMT
The very smartest Sportsmen know the secret of profitable ‘odds on’ betting.
Over the years I have heard countless debates between keen ‘sporting types‘ on this matter.
One Sportsman says ‘doom’ another Sportsman will say ‘gloom’ – but the very best of these ‘Sportsmen’ will say PROFIT!
Let me show you exactly how:
We are aiming here at a 2/1 Double. If we get a bit more, all the better.
This intelligent and hitherto ‘secret’ strategy means you can couple up horses at very low prices indeed. 4/5 and 8/11 to be exact.
The stakes are set out thus:
1 2 3 4 6 9 10
It will be seen that seven attempts may be made to find a winning double priced at 2/1. Of course, if your selection technique is a tad unsound you could include a 20 at the end of the staking series and enjoy EIGHT attempts at landing a hot ‘odds on’ double.
A minimum profit of 2pts is guaranteed if the double comes within the series and is at the minimum required price of 2/1 or 4/5 & 8/11 ( 1.73 and 1.8 ).
In practice, with a sound selection strategy – such as that promoted by Auto Bet System X; you will be striking doubles at better odds and at a much higher rate than one in seven.
Don’t leave anything to chance. Ensure you can access all the key information to find these type of ‘hot pot’ favourites every day.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:30:23 GMT
Only use the daily mirror. It uses the same starting prices forecast as the Racing Post while only costing about a fifth the price and has the specialist information required to operate the system.
To get the information we require, first look at the horse’s name, and then look at the abbreviations in brackets after the jockey’s name. The abbreviations that we require are:
SF =Strongly Fancied to win F =Fancied to win EW = Each way Fancied to be placed 1st, 2nd, 3rd Only use races of 8, 9, or 10 runners maximum.
Starting from races of 8 runners, look at the strongly fancied marked horses and select those with a starting price forecast of 6/1 or better.
Should there be no 8 runner races with SF horses at 6/1 then move on to 9 runner races and so on.
Should this still not produce any selections then start again at 8 runner races taking only the Fancied horses working your way up, move on to the Each Way horses if this fails to produce horses with an SP of 6/1 and over.
Continue this until you get a maximum of two runners. We back these daily half a point each way each i.e. 50p each way/£5 each way (depending on your spending power and are able to afford the possible loss). Cover with a small each way double if you wish.
If you only find one horse then back it each way. Obviously in such circumstances we will not have a double bet. If no horses are found then no bet. It is very important that the rules are adhered to.
If you find more than two then the following rules should be observed.
Flat races: Horses running over a longer distance are preferred therefore a horse running over 1m would be better suited to one running over 5f
National Hunt: horses running over hurdles make better selections than horses running over fences. Distances should be disregarded as a consideration.
If you have two identical types of races and you need to dispose of one, it is actually best to pick the horse with the lowest SP, as this ought to have a more realistic chance of winning. For example if you have two 8 runner flat races run over 1m both with an SF horse, if one has an SP of 8/1 and one has an SP of 16/1, the horse with the SP of 8/1 is the preferred selections.
And that is all there is to it. It is actually very easy to operate the system and selections should be found in a few minutes.
This system is safe because it only picks horses in small fields at what ought to turn out to be generous odds. If we only used pure guesswork we would have a 30% chance of picking a horse at random finishing in the first three.
But because our selections should at least be able to get a place or better then anyone can see that the odds are tipped in our favour. The essence of this system is to steadily put the odds on your side, so it is important to implement the rules thoroughly and not cut corners.
If you do this you will see that your betting bank will at worst be breaking even but I am convinced that in the long term your bank will grow and grow.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:31:19 GMT
The purpose of this plan is to consistently locate winning fourfold accumulators.
The underlying aim is to locate winning four-folds with odds in excess of 500/1 – hence the name THE 500/1 PLAN.
The accumulators this plan produces are not always quite as profitable as 500/1, but if you use the plan correctly, the minimum returns will be at least 250/1. This plan really is that profitable!
You cannot expect the 500/1 plan to be always winning, but at the kind of adds you’ll get on winning days, you need only the occasional success to stay well and truly in profit.
Having said this, if you apply the principles of the plan with care, you may be surprised at just how consistent it can be.
You will not need a large bank of money to bet with to operate this plan, you will only be placing comparatively small stakes each day you decide to bet.
Neither will you need to use any expensive staking plans, (increasing stakes after losing days etc.). You can decide initially what unit stake you can afford and stick to that unit stake until your winnings allow you to increase it.
One word of caution, don’t be too ambitious when deciding what unit to use at the beginning. Make sure you can afford to suffer a few losing days before you start getting the big returns.
There is nothing to say that one of your first fourfolds won’t win and in such a case you will be off to a flying start and you should then always have sufficient funds to finance your betting, but “sods law” dictates that if you budget your funds to allow you to withstand an initial losing run of ten days, then the first successful accumulator you select will be on the eleventh!
For the purposes of this, I have used a unit stake of £1.00. This would entail having to bet £6.00 per day – you’ll understand why later.
Obviously you can adjust the unit stake to suit your own circumstances. One final point, although there is no reason why this plan can’t be used on any racing day, it is best to limit it to days when there are plenty of races to choose from, Fridays, Saturdays, Bank Holidays etc.
The 500/1 Plan A fourfold accumulator usually entails selecting one horse to win in each of four separate races. All four horses chosen have to win, if not then the bet is lost.
The odds on correctly selecting four winners from four races are huge. Even the most knowledgeable racing enthusiast would find it impossible to select four straight winners with any regularity.
Even if you just picked four odds-on favourites, it would be a rare day that all four came home in front – only about 50-60% of odds-on actually win!
Using reasonable selection methods, most gamblers should be able to pick two or even three winners from four races from time to time, but it is getting a fourth winner that is the problem. How many times have you said “just one horse let me down”?
Each element of an accumulator bet increases the risk of that bet losing greatly, but this risk can be significantly reduced if we select more than one runner in each element of the bet.
Imagine if instead of just one horse in each race you selected two or three. If in each element of your accumulator any one of three horses you selected could win, then even if you made your selections by sticking a pin in the race card and thus produced three runners in each of four races, you would have a reasonable chance of winning.
Unfortunately, as you have no doubt realised, it is more than a little impractical to actually bet on any one of three horses winning in each part of a fourfold.
The number of bets needed to cover all the possible winning combinations would be much too great to make this a viable possibility (81 bets actually), but I am sure you can see the principle of how increasing your selections in each element of a combination, greatly reduces the risks of your bet losing.
Although we may not be able to make multiple selections in every part of an accumulator, we can make more than one choice in at least some of the elements. Good selection methods will help us to reduce the need for too many selections. The principle of the plan is that we combine thoughtful, informed selections with some multiple options working together this will greatly increase our chances of winning.
There are a great many different combinations of bets we can use, e.g. two selections in each of the four races, this would require a total of 16 different bets (still a little too many), or maybe just selecting just one runner in each of the first three races combined with five options in the last race, this would only need 5 different bets to be placed, but it isn’t the most reasoned way of doing things.
The format I suggest requires placing just 6 different bets, but I feel that this format provides the right balance between intelligent selection methods and the use of multiple options.
This is what I propose doing: In two of the races we make just one selection. In the third race we pick two horses and in the remaining race we pick three runners. This requires just six different bets. We will need to be careful with our selecting, especially in the first two elements where we have no margin for error, but I feel this is the right combination to use all things considered.
One of the main advantages of using this combination is the scope it gives us for increasing the accumulated odds of the bet. To explain further, although we need to stick to short priced certainties” in the two elements of the bet where we can only make one selection, the luxury of being able to pick two and more so three horses in a field allows us to more adventurous with our selections. For the “three horse race” we can choose a wide open race and select three runners at longer prices. This really helps to multiply the returns.
Horse Selection As we have said, even though this plan does give us something of a margin of error, we still have to be very careful when making our selections. Methods of selecting horses are many and varied. In all my time of studying racing, I have yet to see a method of selecting winners that was 100% consistent. I know some very good methods of increasing your chances, but it is impossible for me to say to you do x, y and z and you are guaranteed winners.
What I can do is pass on to you a few guidelines that I use when looking for winners. The first pieces of advice are particularly aimed at locating the single horses for elements 1 and 2, after which I have a couple of suggestions to help you when looking for the two and three horse combinations.
1. Use a race at a meeting of reasonable quality. You do not necessarily have to use the major meeting of the day, but the prize value of the race you use should be sufficient to ensure that the horses entered are there to make a genuine effort to win, (£3,000 upwards minimum).
2. Ensure that all the runners in the race you use have a reasonable amount of form behind them. They should have had at least two races in the present season.
3. Look for favourites that are between 1.5 and 2 points clear of the next horse in the betting, e.g. if the favourite is 6/4, then the next horse in the betting should be at least 3/1, preferably around 7/2.
4. Don’t put too much faith in tipsters unless you know from your own experience which tipsters to trust. Having said this, if the horse you are considering is hardly being tipped by any of the tipsters, there is probably a good reason.
5. Try to avoid races which are any of the following; specifically for amateurs, lady jockeys or apprentices, Claimers or Sellers, maiden races. Personally, I am still cautious about using races at all-weather meetings. Form gained on turf does not seem to have too much bearing on a horse’s form on these tracks, and subsequently a little too many outsiders seem to win for my liking. However, this is just my own opinion, and all-weather races can sometimes supply the right kind of races for use as element 3 or 4 where we have the luxury of picking two or three contenders, but where we need better prices.
6. Locating the race to use for the third element of our bet can be awkward. Although it may seem an easier job to find a winner when we are picking two horses in the same race, the problem we have is that we realistically need to find horses around 5/2 or 6/1 if we want to get the really good returns. To help you find a supply of winners around these prices here is probably one of the best selection hints I’ve ever given. Look for a horse in a race that is forecast to be about the correct odds we’re looking for, its form will quite often be fair to indifferent, (plenty of thirds, fourths etc but few firsts), look at this horse’s racing history notes, you will only find these in proper racing papers, I use the Sporting Life. If the horse’s prior results were gained better classes of races than the one it is about to run in, i.e. if its last few races had prize values of £4,000 or £5,000 etc. and it is now running in a race for £2,000 then this horse’s chances might well be better than its odds suggest. Find a horse like this and cover it along with a shorter priced horse in that race, this will act as something of an insurance policy. You will be surprised at just how often a horse dropping in class comes home at a good price!
7. When looking for a race for the fourth element where we pick three horses, what I tend to do is look for a handicap with between 8 and 12 runners in the field and where the betting forecast suggests that the race is quite open. The forecast favourite should be about 4/1+. Pick the favourite plus two others from the top half of the forecast to use. In a handicap race like this it is a bit of a lottery selecting the winner, but by covering three runners in the way we are doing the odds will be in your favour.
Good Luck!
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:32:06 GMT
THE SPECFIC STRATEGY The strategy is based on high value, each-way bets. We are looking to back horses which are between 6/1 and 10/1.
Using the guidelines below around 80-90% of the chosen horses should at least place, which at fifth of the odds will show small profits. However experience has taught us that approximately 1 in 5 of these horses will actually win, it is these win bets, (at prices up to 10/1), that will see our profits spiral.
Effectively, using this method you will be backing on a week to week basis confident in the knowledge that most of the time your money will be returned, plus a small profit for your trouble, patiently waiting for the big price winners we all hope for. The Specific Strategy does not incur any long losing runs. Here is how the plan operates.
Firstly, we confine our betting to certain types of races, these being non-handicap races with eight or sometimes nine runners.
During the jumps season, chases are preferable to hurdles, but don’t exclude hurdles altogether as the plan is still profitable with these types of races.
During the flat season do not ever use two-year-old races or sprints (5-6 furlongs). This may seem to leave us very little to play with, but there will still be quite a few races of interest to us each week.
The next thing we look at in the suitable races is the betting. You can use the morning forecasts in the papers, or wait for the markets to open proper. Look for races which the bookmakers rate as a “two horse race”, i.e. the first two in the betting should be very shortly priced, usually one will be odds-on and the second horse around 7/4 to 2/1.
Find a race that fulfils all the criteria above and you have a bet!
The horse to back each-way will be the third one in the betting. This will usually be 6/1 or better in races with a two-horse book.
This will be the horse that the form experts rate as the third best in the race. Because the odds set by the bookmakers represent each horses chances of winning (not placing), backing the third best horse each-way is the finest value bet you can get in racing.
It really is a loophole in the bookmaker’s way of working. So much so that in races of the kind the strategy is concerned with, the on-course bookmakers are unlikely to accept each-way bets like these. They realise the danger of such bets. The off-course bookmaking chains have to have a general policy and cannot adjust their betting practices for specific races.
Now two notes of caution: Firstly, when you are selecting the “third” horse to back in races with a two horse book, always stick to using the third horse in the betting.
Don’t be tempted to try to pick a bet from the remaining runners. A hard and fast selection method that does not allow room for emotions, hunches or personal judgement will always prove most profitable in the long run.
Secondly, in eight runner races be careful that there are no withdrawals. In eight runner races a place counts as first, second or third, but if there is a withdrawal and less than eight horses start, then only first and second will count as places. This is something to avoid.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:33:49 GMT
The Accurate System
Statistics taken from 5000 recent races show:
93% of winners ran in the same race or lower than their last race.
68% carried the same or less weight than their last race.
59% ran over the same distance than their last race.
62% Finished in the first 3 on their last race.
72% were in the first 3 in the betting market.
As you can see from these percentages there are five very strong points to look for when having a bet.
The percentage pointers above have been blended with an system to produce The Accurate System.
The Accurate System Six Golden Rules
Handicap Races only with a maximum of 12 runners.
Must have finished in the first 3 in its last run.
Must be in the first 3 in the betting forecast.
Never back odds on and never back against an odds-on favourite.
Must be a winner over the distance.
Must be trained by one of the top 4 trainers at the course.
The six golden rules are basically it. Very simple.
Just stick to the rules and you will be backing plenty of decent priced winners. Good Luck!
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:35:43 GMT
The System is quite simple.
As you glance through your paper looking for any horses with the form figures 111 or 1 and 2 in their last three races make a note of any race with two qualifiers only.
You then back both horses in that race at level stakes.
That’s the system pure and simple. Believe me you get some nice priced winners. For example at Cheltenham recently there were three races that qualified and they produced two winners at 16/1 and 4/1 at 60 point stakes with returns of 220 points. Not Bad.
I suggest that where the shortest priced qualifier is quoted less than 2/1 you place the full Stake on the other qualifier. It will almost certainly increase your returns.
10pts on each qualifier, if less than 2/1 in betting place full 20 points on other qualifier.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:37:42 GMT
The AMAZING LOTTERY SYSTEM is simplicity itself to use.
SELECTION STRATEGY Regardless of how many lines you usually do on the lottery, you have probably more than once had several numbers that were only one number out. It has probably gone something like this:
Example 1 You had numbers – 10, 18, 22, 28, 31 and 40 The actual winning numbers that week were – 11, 17, 21, 29, 30 and 40 Thousands of people have had weeks like this. Big players have this “hard luck” every single week!
But, by using THE AMAZING LOTTERY SYSTEM, coupled with our unique selection strategy, a typical “hard luck” week, such as above, will quickly become a winning week.
STEP 1 Select your six numbers as usual and write them down on a piece of paper.
STEP 2 Remember, with THE AMAZING LOTTERY SYSTEM you have SIXTEEN selections to play with, so expand your 6 selections as follows.
On the four central numbers, include the numbers either side of each one. As far as the two end numbers of your six are concerned, include the number immediately after your first selection, and include the number immediately before your last selection.
This now gives you your sixteen selections. By using the example above: 10, 18, 22, 28, 31 and 40 Your sixteen numbers would look like this: 10, 11, 17, 18, 19, 21, 22, 23, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 39 and 40
The above selection strategy is only a suggestion for you to consider using in conjunction with THE AMAZING LOTTERY SYSTEM. You are free to pick your sixteen selections in any way you wish.
THE AMAZING LOTTERY SYSTEM Enter your personal sixteen numbers into the boxes in the System MasterCard below: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Now, taking each selection in turn, place it into the correct position in the grid below. For example, your first selection will go into the 1st position in line 1, and the 1st position in line 2. Your 2nd selection will go into the 2nd position in line 1, and the 2nd position in line 2. Your 3rd selection will go into the 3rd position in line 1, and the 1st position in line 3. Your 4th selection will go into the 4th position in line 1, and the 2nd position in line 3. Your 5th selection will go into the 5th position in line 1, the 1st position in line 1 and the 1st position in line 4 and so on.
LINE 1 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th LINE 2 1st 2nd 7th 8th 9th 10th LINE 3 3rd 4th 7th 8th 9th 10th LINE 4 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th LINE 5 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th Now, simply but carefully, copy each of the five lines onto your lottery ticket. If the six winning numbers appear anywhere in your sixteen selections then you will be assured of, at the very least, a £10 win, but you also have an excellent chance of winning multiple prizes or even one of the major prizes.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:38:58 GMT
This is a great little plan that if followed correctly should return your stake money most of the time, whilst you are waiting for the massive payout.
Simply chose 5 home teams that you think have a good chance of winning. You can choose your own selections or chose a tipster of your choice.
Then mark them all down as a 2-1 correct score home win. Place a 1-unit win on each match correct score and also a 1-unit accumulator on all 5 matches winning 2-1.
If you get just one of your chosen matches correct with an average return of 6/1 you will at least return your stake for the bet. If all 5 correct scores come in you stand to collect a return of £16,807 for a £1 stake! Sometimes a lot more!
We would not advise using more than 5 matches as the chances of getting an accumulator are much too high and the odds are then in the bookies favour.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:40:06 GMT
This a great system that statistically has shown a 10% return on level stakes investment over the last 5 years and its so simple to use.
At any Greyhound meeting do not bet in the first race of the meeting. Note the trap number of the winner of race one at your chosen meeting.
Then simply place a bet on the same trap number to win the next race. If that bet wins you choose the same trap number for your next race if it losses you move onto the trap number that won that race for your next bet.
It’s that easy just keep placing a bet on the previous trap number winners and you will be amazed at how many winners you get, sometimes at big odds! I have done this at many meetings and more times than not walked away with a healthy profit.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:40:40 GMT
Roulette
Always play on a single zero roulette wheel. Another piece of advice would be to walk away once you have bagged your profits for the day and start again the next day.
Here we will concentrate on the Dozen bet which is a bet placed on the first set of twelve, second set of twelve, or third set of twelve numbers on the table.
So for instance, if you place a dozen bet on the first twelve, and then any number from 13 to 36, including zero, was landed after the spin, you would lose your bet. On the other hand, if any number between 1 and 12 were landed you would win twice your stake back. Therefore, for a £10 bet, you would receive your £10 back plus a further £20 back.
Simply chose one of the Dozens to bet on (say the first twelve) and increase your stake by a third each time you lose. When you win you should reset your stakes to the starting stake for your next bet.
Stake List 1.00 1.33 1.78 2.37 3.16 4.22 5.62 7.50 10.00 13.33 17.77 23.70 31.60 42.14 56.19 74.92 99.90
It important to remember when you are in front for the day STOP take your winnings and start again the next day. Never get too greedy with this bet. If you use it correctly you can profit from Roulette for years ahead.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:42:33 GMT
The Gambling Year January/February
This period brings a smile to your bookies face as they expect to make some healthy profits. Frost and snow not only causes havoc to the race fixtures with abandonment, but also the horse training schedule at the yards. Some trainers try to get around the problem by using all weather surfaces to keep their runners fit, but others may have to make do with basic road work and steady cantering. Time to reduce our stakes and concentrate more on the all weather (AW) fixtures. Plus follow recent winning trainers (their yard may not be as severely affected by the weather) and back horses that have ran within days, their fitness is assured. March
Although the flat season kicks off in March, we want to wait another month or so for the form to establish itself. National Hunt (the jumps) is back into full flow after the winter break and lots of fancied runners are winning. Time to dust off our betting banks and increase stakes. April/May
The flat season is still in its infancy with the big guns wheeling out their smart 2 year olds to gain some experience for the classic trials. Leave the supposed good thing alone until it has proved its worth. This is also the time that the mediocre 2 yr olds from last season are flying past the “good things”. The improvement from 2 years to 3 can be great. We want to keep with the jumps season and only start backing the flat horses with form at the back end of May. June/July/August
The weather has usually settled down making the ground more consistent for the midsummer months. Time to increase our stakes, there’s plenty of established form to take advantage of in condition races where we will find the winners more often than handicaps. Following good handicap form into conditions races will make your bookie weep. September
The month the fillies leave their old form behind and improve. Concentrate on all fillies and mares, especially those coming back after a break. It’s also the time when horses have had a long campaign over the summer months suddenly lose their form. From the second half of September on, like January and February, it’s best to follow horses that have ran within days. Form from the big meetings at Doncaster, Ayr, then finally Ascot can produce rich pickings if followed into “weaker” company over the coming weeks or so. October/November/December
Just like the midsummer months of the flat, this is the time to pull our betting boots on. The softer ground National hunt horses are back out and a high percentage of the “form” horses win! There’s usually plenty of profits to be made by everyone except for the poor bookies. Follow horses that can show a turn of foot after the last (fence/hurdle) up the run in on soft going.
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 19, 2015 18:43:18 GMT
The Top 7 Factors For Finding Winners Tip 1 Has it (honestly) got a realistic chance of winning? (Class).
Owners enter their low class horses into “higher” class races every week with big dreams of winning some decent prize money by some fluke. Always compare the class of the horses recent runs, the odds of its last races and its finishing position. Back horses that have been knocking on the door recently in similar company. Tip 2 – Going/Distance
Back horses that are proven (won, placed or within say 6 lengths of winner on the flat, 12 lengths over the jumps) on the going and at the distance. Simple. Tip 3 – Fitness
Another obvious decider. Horses running within say 35 days are usually fit. Coming back after a lay off? Check the trainers recent form. Tip 4 – Showing Improvement (Speed & Rating Figures)
The speed of a horse is an obvious factor to winning races. A good recent speed figure can point to winners with amazing regularity if combined with these other winning factors. Look for horses that have recorded their personal best figures in their last race. Last time out (LTO) figures that are both their personal best and superior to the rest of the field can pinpoint decent priced winners. If the horse is coming from a handicap LTO to a conditions race or into the same/lower class race “today” then even better. Tip 5 – A Turn Of Foot (Race comments)
It’s surprising how many decent priced winners there are from horses that have shown to be able to quicken up or run on well in a recent race. Just by checking the horses last 3 race comments for a “ran on well” or “quickened to lead” can lead to a prime source of winners with occasional big prices. Tip 6 – Proven Winner
You can’t get better form than winning form. Winners are more likely to win again. There can always be excuses for “placed” horses, wrong going, distance, boxed in, not boxed in etc. I don’t know the stats, but a huge percentage (75%+?) of ALL race horses will never win a race during their racing careers. Leave the losers to their excuses and get on proven winners. Tip 7 – Price/Odds
The vast majority of winners come from the first 3 or 4 in the betting! Yes it would be lovely to back 20/1 winners every day, but the betting markets are usually a very good indication to the horses winning chance. If you want to back winners concentrate on the first 4 in the betting. Conclusion
Horses with good recent form, preferably winning form, running against limited opposition within their class, when at their peak, progressing or improving – do win the majority of races, all year round. They are a constant source of winners for anyone to exploit. Almost every winner worth backing falls into this category.
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 7, 2018 12:57:25 GMT
In today's email I am going to show you how to win big money from Accumulative betting using less stakes... When placing accumulative bets such as a Yankee, Heinz and Goliath you are trying to get plenty of winners and a big payout. The problem with bets such as a GOLIATH is that because there are so many accumulators in the bets they can become very expensive Here is a multiple bet I regularly place instead of a Goliath using 9 horses and placing them in doubles, accumulator 4 timers and an accumulator using all 9 horses. Notice I have left out many of the accumulators which brings down the cost of the bet. You could choose your selections from your favourite daily newspaper tipster or the forecast favourite Write out your betting slip as example below - BETTING SLIP EXAMPLE 1.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 1.30 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 2.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 2.30 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 3.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 3.30 - SANDOWN -forecast fav 1.15 - AYR - forecast fav 1.45 - AYR - forecast fav 2.15- AYR - forecast fav Betting Instructions - 36 X 20p WIN DOUBLES 126 X 5p WIN ACCUMULATOR 4'S 1 X 5P ACCUMULATOR ALL 9 TOTAL STAKE = £13.50 Note: You will notice I have increased the price of the doubles so 2 winners should get your stake money back. You can lower or higher your stake money depending on how much money you have to spend. Five winners on this bet at odds of 5/1 would give you about £500 back. Get all 9 winners and you are talking retirement money! This maybe another approach for the same stake but in this case 10p LUCKY 15s [or Yankies for less]
9 Lucky 15 but in this case you MUST NUMBER EACH SELECTION 1 TO 9 then do each lucky as BELOW
1 2 3 6 1 2 4 6 1 2 5 6 1 7 8 9 2 7 8 9 3 4 5 7 3 4 5 8 3 4 5 9 6 7 8 9
Every horse is in 4 different ones but 4 winners anywhere guarantees at least 1 - 3 trebles + many doubles as well as singles and still some bookies pay 3 times a winner. In this case its best for horses around 3/1 or more.
Also this one as the same IDEA but in this case 7 selections [£10.50 st ] in this order
1 2 4 6 1 2 5 7 1 3 4 7 1 3 5 6 2 3 4 5 2 3 6 7 4 5 6 7
once again every selection is in 4 different ones but the GUARANTEES are better
7 winners all come in 6 winners 3 come in + 4 with 3 out of 4 5 winners 1 + 4 with 3 out of 4 4 wins poss 1 or 2 with 3 out of 4 3 wins poss 3 out of 4 + 3 doubles or 6 doubles 2 wins 2 doubles
The initial idea for both was to hit a biggie and not really for FAVS but if you could find one with 3/1 winners that's more or less £60 RETURN for that 1
A CHEAP ONE 6 SELECTIONS
1 2 3 4 1 2 5 6 3 4 5 6
In this case many would prefer to do all 6 in a Heinz but if doing bigger prices and getting 2 up it could make a profit.
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 8, 2018 11:03:39 GMT
Not sure if this is in right place
Just view R/POST NAP TABLE and note top 5 tipsters, Its a lot easier to view them via SPORTING LIFE as they are in order but only do THE TOP 5 [even if some pick the same] you only use those even if n/r.
1ST L TAYLOR [ATTHERACES] + 50.21 2ND THE SCORE [RACING UK] + 47.89 3RD J DELAHUNT [SCOTTISH SUN] + 41.07 4TH FORTUNATAS [SHEFIELD STAR + 24.67 5TH TH GAURDIAN + 23.45
Yon need to look every day as they can change but one as to remember the winner wins 4000 so those at the top likely to be trying to keep there
JAN SO FAR
26/8WINS P/L + 7.22
Maybe of interest
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 8, 2018 11:08:39 GMT
Food for thought.
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 8, 2018 11:48:01 GMT
Usually their are 5 per day if no n/r or duplicated horses but some days their will be no winners others have winners. I really though of this for the LAST 2 MONTHS of the turf season as in my mind those in front would be trying hard to stay their and it had some decent days and the guy in front then went on to win the comp.
I look every day and the winter comp runs from 27oct to the end March I think.
it was in profit from the start until the end of December but around + 12 pts but seems to have started the NEW YEAR well and in theory the form reading should be better now.
7.22pts up in Jan but the selections can be A W OR JUMPS and Irish racing included in TIPSTERS SELECTIONS.
I think its one of those things that wont make a lot of profit will find winners
The best winner shown was BENBENS 14/1 but a 33/1 shot by leader on 1st day but NO TOP 5 THEN.
In my mind the nearer the end it gets the harder they will be trying to WIN the 4000 on offer.
Thiers only 2 qualifiers today with the other meeting called off
4.15w JOEY'S DESTINY [TOP TIPSTER] + 50.21 3.45f SEASON SPIRIT [3RD PLACE] + 41.07
T
PS it better using SPORTING LIFE as that shows the how many WINS OR LOSSES in a row the tipsters have had.
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 9, 2018 18:23:01 GMT
Out of interest yesterday found a 7/4 winner from 2 shown and today found 2 from 5 today @ 25/1 & 2/1 and I give the wrong p/l but correct now
So this month so far
33/10 wins p/l + 29.99
T
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 10, 2018 11:24:32 GMT
OUT OF INTEREST TODAYS TOP 5 [IN ORDER]
AIBELL 3.55L VIRGIN ROCK 2.25LUD MISTY MAI 3.35LUD TB BROKE HER / GORSKY ISLAND 3.00 LUDD
THEY VARY BETWEEN + 23.67 UP TO + 74.21
WARNING
SOME DAYS NO WINNERS
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 16, 2018 14:23:21 GMT
Systems are normally based on past data and some do very well over a period of time then fizzle out to some degree,
This in some ways had 3 poor years but 2015 till now a different story with only 1 year showing a small loss but the others doing very well and although I don't wont to go into great detail any decent paper should show any selections
VERY SIMPLE [English courses only]
HANDICAP CHASE & NOV CHASE ONLY BLINKERS 1ST TIME
Their will be around 120 - 150 per year and from 2015 -2018 so far
397/70 wins p/l + 175pts
2015 119/14 profit 60pts 2016 147/29 profit 97pts 2017 129/15 loss 12pts approx. [100% sure if backed on betfair profit would have been made] 2018 2/2 profit 30pts
If one wants a lot less selections MALE ONLY RACES 241/46WINS PROFIT 190PTS
THESE ARE SP RETURNS and although I don't wish to show them maybe worth keeping an eye out for them and maybe worth mentioning DAYTIME racing is best
Thought it maybe of interest
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Post by Kimmy on Jan 24, 2018 14:38:57 GMT
Yes it is.
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Post by grubbyears on Jan 24, 2018 15:08:35 GMT
Systems are normally based on past data and some do very well over a period of time then fizzle out to some degree,
This in some ways had 3 poor years but 2015 till now a different story with only 1 year showing a small loss but the others doing very well and although I don't wont to go into great detail any decent paper should show any selections
VERY SIMPLE [English courses only]
HANDICAP CHASE & NOV CHASE ONLY BLINKERS 1ST TIME
Their will be around 120 - 150 per year and from 2015 -2018 so far
397/70 wins p/l + 175pts
2015 119/14 profit 60pts 2016 147/29 profit 97pts 2017 129/15 loss 12pts approx. [100% sure if backed on betfair profit would have been made] 2018 2/2 profit 30pts
If one wants a lot less selections MALE ONLY RACES 241/46WINS PROFIT 190PTS
THESE ARE SP RETURNS and although I don't wish to show them maybe worth keeping an eye out for them and maybe worth mentioning DAYTIME racing is best
Thought it maybe of interest
T
Somewhere To Be Wins today for this system Cheerz Tony
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Post by tony2tenths on Jan 25, 2018 13:28:12 GMT
Maybe of interest if you are a FAVORITE FAN [not me]
HANDICAP HURDLES ONLY FEMALES ONLY HORSES [IN FEMALE AND MIXED SEX RACES] FAV ONLY [NO JTS] MUST BE 11/4 OR LESS RACES UNDER 3 MILES ONLY MUST HAVE FINISHED IN 1ST 6 LTO 5 TO 9 YEAR OLDS ONLY MUST HAVE RUN 5 TIMES OR MORE IN JUMP RACES
2014 62/26 S/R 41.9% PROFIT 7PTS 2015 65/26 S/R 40% PROFIT 15PTS APPROX 2016 81/36 S/R 44.4% PROFIT 18PTS APPROX 2017 82/40 S/R 48.8% PROFIT 30PTS APRROX 2018 SO FAR 5/2 S/R 40 % PROFIT 1.35 PTS
OVERALL 295/130 WINS S/R 44.1% ROI + 24.3% PROFIT 70PTS APPROX
No doubt being FEMALE and FAV as well reduces the number of races to not many a year but if the S/R of 40% + is the norm then a fair chance of a profit depending on returns
What's stated above are SP RETURNS and the 11/4 or less is based on those.
Downside if a horse is 3/1 before the race and returned 11/4 or less it could well be missed.
T
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Post by tony2tenths on Mar 11, 2018 11:59:33 GMT
In today's email I am going to show you how to win big money from Accumulative betting using less stakes... When placing accumulative bets such as a Yankee, Heinz and Goliath you are trying to get plenty of winners and a big payout. The problem with bets such as a GOLIATH is that because there are so many accumulators in the bets they can become very expensive Here is a multiple bet I regularly place instead of a Goliath using 9 horses and placing them in doubles, accumulator 4 timers and an accumulator using all 9 horses. Notice I have left out many of the accumulators which brings down the cost of the bet. You could choose your selections from your favourite daily newspaper tipster or the forecast favourite Write out your betting slip as example below - BETTING SLIP EXAMPLE 1.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 1.30 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 2.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 2.30 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 3.00 - SANDOWN - forecast fav 3.30 - SANDOWN -forecast fav 1.15 - AYR - forecast fav 1.45 - AYR - forecast fav 2.15- AYR - forecast fav Betting Instructions - 36 X 20p WIN DOUBLES 126 X 5p WIN ACCUMULATOR 4'S 1 X 5P ACCUMULATOR ALL 9 TOTAL STAKE = £13.50 Note: You will notice I have increased the price of the doubles so 2 winners should get your stake money back. You can lower or higher your stake money depending on how much money you have to spend. Five winners on this bet at odds of 5/1 would give you about £500 back. Get all 9 winners and you are talking retirement money! Their are other ways of finding big returns for small outlays and below this is another way of reducing your outlay but still using a number of selections
To do 9 races this is another method using Yankees or lucky15s and just to do 4 timers would be 126 bets but this method reduces this to just 9 yet gives a good chance if your selections win of hitting a line with all 4 or some with 3. One should realise 4 x 3/1 shots in a yankkee would return £60 for a 10p one''
This is a perm of 9 and must be placed in the correct order for the best possible results
SELECTIONS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
YOU NEED TO DO THE NINE AS SHOWN BELOW
1236 1246 1256 1789 2789 3457 3458 3459 6789
THIS WOULD COST £9.90 YANKEES OR £13.50 LUCKY15s
A smaller version deals with 7 selections and to do all poss Yankees or lucky15 would be 35 but in this case reduces this to just 7 and gives a better chance of finding 4 together providing you can find 4 winne
SELECTIONS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
THE 7 YOU NEED TO DO IN ORDER SHOWN
1246 1237 1347 1356 2345 2367 4567
YANKEE £7.70 LUCKY £10.50 [10p]
In this case if you could find 4 winners you would either have all 4 in 1 or 2 with 3 out of 4
For me I would be looking at horses mainly 3/1 and above for this idea as all favs would not work in this case
There are others using 8 horses but only 6 different ones as below
1234 1256 1278 4567 4578 5678
In any of those if you could find a couple of winners in the 5/1-10/1 bracket as well as others the pay outs can be in the hundreds.
JUST ANOTHER APPROACH
T
PS Having a manic Sunday as I have already shown this before in a past post sorry about that
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