Whispering Grass

[Les]

im of tomorrow waiting to pick speed plus with form spot for my selections see you in the morning lol

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

Im no guaranteed to be on tomorrow Les good luck wi yer picks should you play m8.

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Les]

a think your at it lol
wait till i come on then bugger of

[Les]

how about the horses yourself wattie?
you not bothered this weather

[Les]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

Two notebook horses goin tomorrow les but no bet with either.

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Les]

deaville flyer 25 win 100 place ,speed plus, mails form spot
its best speed figure lto at 9st 6lbs now 8st 3lbs

[Walter Pidgeon]

Good luck les here are some stats for your race from the bf forum.

Racecaller08 Joined: 15 Feb 08
Replies: 13 23 Jun 10 00:38


Trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 1-1-3
4yo: 3-13-6
5yo: 0-6-45
6yo: 3-7-35
7yo : 3-4-37
No very strong age trends though horses aged 6 have won 4 of the last 6.
Horses aged 3 to 5 have a combined record of 4-20-114
Horses aged 6 have a combined record of 6-11-72

Weights
Horses carrying 8-12 or more: 1-12-61
Horses carrying 8-11 or less: 9-19-125
9 of 10 winners (last 7) carried 8-11 or less

Official Ratings
Horses rated 94 or higher: 2-13-63
Horses rated 85 to 93: 8-15-91
Horses rated 84 or less: 0-3-35
8 of 10 winners were officially rated 85 to 93

Recent/Past Form
8 of 10 winners finished in the first 5 last time out
7 of 10 winners posted a career high RPR last time out
9 of 10 winners had ran in a class 2 or better last time out
10 of 10 winners had run 2 to 6 times that year
10 of 10 winners had run in last 55 days
9 of 10 winners had won over 1M 6F
8 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or 4 but at no higher
8 of 10 winners were placed in class 2 or higher
7 of 10 winners had won or placed in a race worth 34K

Other Races
Previous season's winner: 708 (0-0-3)
Chester Cup winner (Mamlook): 9830 (0-1-4)
Ascot Stakes winner (Junior): 288 (0-1-3)
3 of 10 winners ran at Royal Ascot last time out, finishing 725
3 of 10 winners ran in a handicap hurdle last time out, finishing

Trainers
No trainer with an entry in the race this year has won it in the past decade.
Irish-trained runners (1-1-5) have found a win and a place from just 5 representatives.
Alan Swinbank (0-2-3) and Richard Fahey (0-2-5) have both filled a couple of places in the past decade.
Brian Smart (0-1-1), Saeed Bin Suroor (0-1-1) and john Queally (0-1-1) have each seen their one runner make the places.
Trainers who have not done so well include Mark Johnston (0-0-10), Tim Easterby (0-0-5) and Brian Ellison (0-1-9).

Draw
Horses drawn 1 to 7: 6-18-70
Horses drawn 8 to 14: 2-7-70
Horses drawn 15 or higher: 2-6-46
5 of the last 7 winners were drawn 7 or lower.

Price
7 of 10 winners were priced 12/1 or higher
No major trend on the prices though longer priced horses have tended to do well recently with 5 of the last 6 winners going off at prices between 14/1 and 33/1.
Favourites (1-4-11) have won the race just once in the last 10 years and giving a level stakes loss of 4.00.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
%u2022 Aged 6
%u2022 Carrying 8-11 or less
%u2022 Officially rated 85 to 93
%u2022 Finished in the first 5 in a class 2 or higher last time
%u2022 Ran in last 55 days
%u2022 Ran 2 to 6 times this year
%u2022 Won over 1M 6F
%u2022 Drawn 1 to 7
%u2022 Priced 12/1 or higher

Racecaller08 Joined: 15 Feb 08
Replies: 13 23 Jun 10 00:51


Sorry official ratings numbers are slightly off, these are correct:
Horses rated 94 or higher: 2-13-66
Horses rated 85 to 93: 8-15-94
Horses rated 84 or less: 0-3-26

And in summary age should be 6 or older (plus sign not showing for some reason

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Les]

here is another speed+/mail combo nothern fling for goldie
away down at winsor
r winston says deauville would have won with another stone on his back lto

[Walter Pidgeon]

Cheers les i`ll away and have a look at it.

[Walter Pidgeon]

The big neighbour next door was up at the bookies this mornin bettin that Deauville Flyer.Looks like Goldie means business takin it doon tae Windsor les just hope it disnae get taken off its feet.
First win in 2 yrs lto come right doon the handicap as well the RP reporter reckons that 7f suited it well lto and may now even stay the mile?

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Walter Pidgeon]

[Les]

if i,ve return from deauville i,ll go in with goldies

[Les]

the thought behind speed+/mail combonation is speed+ is the old form
the mail is the new form when they agree and goodish form figures
you take another look

[Walter Pidgeon]

Its roastin up here the noo les the sun is jist breakin through.
Big tim next door fancies Deaville strongly he`s got a wedge on it ah dinnae ken what ah`ll dae the day.Ah gave Desert Sea a wee e/w chance bit everyone ah speak tae fancies Easterby`s horse.
If Goldie has found the key to Northern Fling then it should be well handicapped.

[Les]

ma pal has got it last week at 7s
he,s grinning like a cheshire cat bassa

[Walter Pidgeon]