Post by Old Timer on Mar 24, 2009 13:19:17 GMT
Sedgefield 4.30 Cl4 Hcap Hurdle 29/105 (95.2) 27.5f gd/fm – 9 Run
Hasnapour 9-11-2 OR 105 (95.9) (-1.9)
Win % 10% gd/fm 1/1/7 26/29f 1/1/2 Sedge 0/0 LH 0/0/4 Sharp 0/0/3
Tr 14d 0/2 Tr C 0/2 J 14d 2/6 J/C 1/9 J/Tr 3/11 J/H 0/0
Last HH win (2nd last):
05 Nov 33/113 (101) HH 26f gd/sf Hunt 11/2 10-9 (99) 1/10 1.5l Toulouse-Lautrec (-6) – [200.9]
held up in touch, raced keenly, chased leader after 3 out, shaken up to lead flat, ran on
Lto:
29 Nov 39/115 (104.1) HH 24f sf Towc 12/1 10-12 (108) P/11 Coda Agency (+7)
held up, always in rear, pushed along 5th, weakened 8th, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out
Runs off a 6lb higher mark than when winning at Huntingdon in early November and disappointed at Towcester 3 weeks later. Has gone well coming back from a break in the past, though better suited by 1-4 weeks break. Stepping up in trip today, but has won on fast ground. Not proven with the weight however, plus all wins have come in bigger fields and I’m far from convinced that a sharp LH course suits best.
Michaels Dream 10-11-2 OR 95 (84.8) (9.1)
Win % 9% gd/fm 2/6/16 26/29f 0/0/4 Sedge 0/1/5 LH 3/10/37 Sharp 4/7/31
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 3/19 J 14d 2/26 J/C 9% J/Tr 10% J/H 4/5/23
Last HH win:
30 May ’07 39/109 (96.7) HH 22f gd Cart 9/2F 11-12 (110) 1/12 2l Peter’s Imp (-12) – [208.1]
soon chasing leaders, went 2nd soon after last, led 150yds out, stayed on gamely
Lto:
24 Feb 28/100 (93.9) HH 26f gd Catt 20/1 11-10 (98) 8/17 21l Capybara (-11) – [179.8]
made most to 8th, ridden and weakened before 2 out
Ten Carat (+1) was 20l 7th
More of a spring/summer runner and could be getting geared up for another campaign, as Catterick run was the first since November. Going will suit, but not as sure about the distance, nor the course as he seems to prefer Cartmel. Nevertheless, prefers the smaller fields and will have no problem with the weight.
Matmata De Tendron 9-11-1 OR 94 (84.5) (9.5)
Win % 15% gd/fm 0/2/5 26/29f 1/1/2 Sedge 4/2/8 LH 4/5/21 Sharp 5/3/16
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 1/21 J 14d 1/16 J/C 5/61 J/Tr 0/0 J/H 0/0
Last HH win:
08 Apr ’08 26/108 (87.8) HH 27.5f gd/sf Sedge 6/1 10-8 (90) 1/10 2.75l Zaffie Parson (-3) – [179.3]
made virtually all, driven and stayed on from 3 out
Lto:
07 Mar 34/109 (91.5) HC 29f hv Ayr 9/1 10-13 (96) P/6 Skenfrith (-13)
chased leaders, outpaced when hit 13th, weakened next, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out
Lto (Hdl):
20 Jan 30/100 (94.0) HH 27.5f sf Sedge 10/1 11-8 (96) 3/12 21l Minella Boys (+4) – [178.5]
chased leader, went clear 2nd approaching 9th, one pace from 3 out, lost 2nd closing stages
Very much a Sedgefield specialist, especially over this distance, be it over hurdles or fences (3/1/5). However, he ideally wants soft or heavy ground. Class, weight and time since last outing all suit, but the worry is the ground, as is the fact he was the stable’s last winner, 306 days ago!
Ten Carat 9-11-5 OR 98 (83.4) (10.5)
Win % 0/11 gd/fm 0/1/3 26/29f 0/0/3 Sedge 0/0/2 LH 0/3/11 Sharp 0/1/6
Tr 14d 1/7 Tr C 2/28 J 14d 3/41 J/C 17% J/Tr 0/4 J/H 0/0
Last HH win:
None as yet
Lto:
24 Feb 28/100 (93.9) HH 26f gd Catt 11/1 11-11 (99) 7/17 20l Capybara (-12) – [181.4]
held up, pushed along 4 out, no impression from next
Still searching for first success after 11 starts in 17 months and in all honesty I can’t find many positives about this one even if he is forecast favourite. About the only thing you can say is that he should confirm Catterick running with Michaels Dream, even on 2lbs worse terms.
Classic Act 7-11-2 OR 95 (86.2) (18.5)
Win % 0/11 gd/fm 0/0 26/29f 0/0 Sedge 0/0 LH 0/1/9 Sharp 0/0/2
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 0/0 J 14d 0/8 J/C 1/12 J/Tr 0/5 J/H 0/0
Last HH win:
None as yet
Lto:
07 Mar 39/110 (97.7) NHH 25.5f hv Ayr 18/1 10-9 (100) 3/6 28l Lockstown (+5) – [181.2]
chased leaders, outpaced 4 out, plodded on from 2 out
Another that has yet to get off the mark in 11 starts that cover over 2 years. Comment on latest effort at Ayr doesn’t exactly promise that’s going to happen any time soon.
Others:
Borouj – started @ 100/1 when finishing 113l 12/16 in a seller lto; ‘nuff said
Karathaena – has only managed to get within 20l of the winner in 2 of last 10 starts, the latest being at Market Rasen in November; question about the distance too, as she has never made the frame beyond 18f. Not for me.
Remainder – PU in same race as Ten Carat and Michael’s Dream lto and can see no earthly reason why he should reverse that running; 16 months since his sole success, off a 14lb higher mark at Carlisle.
Ajay – another maiden after 14 starts in over 2 years; tried in a first-time visor today on his return to hurdles after five fruitless forays over fences.
As poor a class 4 handicap as you could wish for, but still about the best of the day. As far as I can see there are no form horses to be found, which stops things right there from a VDW perspective. I would expect the winner to come from the quartet of Hasnapour, Michael’s Dream, Matmata De Tendron and Ten Carat, but I guess it’s the sort of race where anything could, and probably will, win. With my arm twisted I could just about go for Matmata De Tendron to make the frame, despite the going being against him.
Oldtimer
Hasnapour 9-11-2 OR 105 (95.9) (-1.9)
Win % 10% gd/fm 1/1/7 26/29f 1/1/2 Sedge 0/0 LH 0/0/4 Sharp 0/0/3
Tr 14d 0/2 Tr C 0/2 J 14d 2/6 J/C 1/9 J/Tr 3/11 J/H 0/0
Last HH win (2nd last):
05 Nov 33/113 (101) HH 26f gd/sf Hunt 11/2 10-9 (99) 1/10 1.5l Toulouse-Lautrec (-6) – [200.9]
held up in touch, raced keenly, chased leader after 3 out, shaken up to lead flat, ran on
Lto:
29 Nov 39/115 (104.1) HH 24f sf Towc 12/1 10-12 (108) P/11 Coda Agency (+7)
held up, always in rear, pushed along 5th, weakened 8th, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out
Runs off a 6lb higher mark than when winning at Huntingdon in early November and disappointed at Towcester 3 weeks later. Has gone well coming back from a break in the past, though better suited by 1-4 weeks break. Stepping up in trip today, but has won on fast ground. Not proven with the weight however, plus all wins have come in bigger fields and I’m far from convinced that a sharp LH course suits best.
Michaels Dream 10-11-2 OR 95 (84.8) (9.1)
Win % 9% gd/fm 2/6/16 26/29f 0/0/4 Sedge 0/1/5 LH 3/10/37 Sharp 4/7/31
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 3/19 J 14d 2/26 J/C 9% J/Tr 10% J/H 4/5/23
Last HH win:
30 May ’07 39/109 (96.7) HH 22f gd Cart 9/2F 11-12 (110) 1/12 2l Peter’s Imp (-12) – [208.1]
soon chasing leaders, went 2nd soon after last, led 150yds out, stayed on gamely
Lto:
24 Feb 28/100 (93.9) HH 26f gd Catt 20/1 11-10 (98) 8/17 21l Capybara (-11) – [179.8]
made most to 8th, ridden and weakened before 2 out
Ten Carat (+1) was 20l 7th
More of a spring/summer runner and could be getting geared up for another campaign, as Catterick run was the first since November. Going will suit, but not as sure about the distance, nor the course as he seems to prefer Cartmel. Nevertheless, prefers the smaller fields and will have no problem with the weight.
Matmata De Tendron 9-11-1 OR 94 (84.5) (9.5)
Win % 15% gd/fm 0/2/5 26/29f 1/1/2 Sedge 4/2/8 LH 4/5/21 Sharp 5/3/16
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 1/21 J 14d 1/16 J/C 5/61 J/Tr 0/0 J/H 0/0
Last HH win:
08 Apr ’08 26/108 (87.8) HH 27.5f gd/sf Sedge 6/1 10-8 (90) 1/10 2.75l Zaffie Parson (-3) – [179.3]
made virtually all, driven and stayed on from 3 out
Lto:
07 Mar 34/109 (91.5) HC 29f hv Ayr 9/1 10-13 (96) P/6 Skenfrith (-13)
chased leaders, outpaced when hit 13th, weakened next, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out
Lto (Hdl):
20 Jan 30/100 (94.0) HH 27.5f sf Sedge 10/1 11-8 (96) 3/12 21l Minella Boys (+4) – [178.5]
chased leader, went clear 2nd approaching 9th, one pace from 3 out, lost 2nd closing stages
Very much a Sedgefield specialist, especially over this distance, be it over hurdles or fences (3/1/5). However, he ideally wants soft or heavy ground. Class, weight and time since last outing all suit, but the worry is the ground, as is the fact he was the stable’s last winner, 306 days ago!
Ten Carat 9-11-5 OR 98 (83.4) (10.5)
Win % 0/11 gd/fm 0/1/3 26/29f 0/0/3 Sedge 0/0/2 LH 0/3/11 Sharp 0/1/6
Tr 14d 1/7 Tr C 2/28 J 14d 3/41 J/C 17% J/Tr 0/4 J/H 0/0
Last HH win:
None as yet
Lto:
24 Feb 28/100 (93.9) HH 26f gd Catt 11/1 11-11 (99) 7/17 20l Capybara (-12) – [181.4]
held up, pushed along 4 out, no impression from next
Still searching for first success after 11 starts in 17 months and in all honesty I can’t find many positives about this one even if he is forecast favourite. About the only thing you can say is that he should confirm Catterick running with Michaels Dream, even on 2lbs worse terms.
Classic Act 7-11-2 OR 95 (86.2) (18.5)
Win % 0/11 gd/fm 0/0 26/29f 0/0 Sedge 0/0 LH 0/1/9 Sharp 0/0/2
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 0/0 J 14d 0/8 J/C 1/12 J/Tr 0/5 J/H 0/0
Last HH win:
None as yet
Lto:
07 Mar 39/110 (97.7) NHH 25.5f hv Ayr 18/1 10-9 (100) 3/6 28l Lockstown (+5) – [181.2]
chased leaders, outpaced 4 out, plodded on from 2 out
Another that has yet to get off the mark in 11 starts that cover over 2 years. Comment on latest effort at Ayr doesn’t exactly promise that’s going to happen any time soon.
Others:
Borouj – started @ 100/1 when finishing 113l 12/16 in a seller lto; ‘nuff said
Karathaena – has only managed to get within 20l of the winner in 2 of last 10 starts, the latest being at Market Rasen in November; question about the distance too, as she has never made the frame beyond 18f. Not for me.
Remainder – PU in same race as Ten Carat and Michael’s Dream lto and can see no earthly reason why he should reverse that running; 16 months since his sole success, off a 14lb higher mark at Carlisle.
Ajay – another maiden after 14 starts in over 2 years; tried in a first-time visor today on his return to hurdles after five fruitless forays over fences.
As poor a class 4 handicap as you could wish for, but still about the best of the day. As far as I can see there are no form horses to be found, which stops things right there from a VDW perspective. I would expect the winner to come from the quartet of Hasnapour, Michael’s Dream, Matmata De Tendron and Ten Carat, but I guess it’s the sort of race where anything could, and probably will, win. With my arm twisted I could just about go for Matmata De Tendron to make the frame, despite the going being against him.
Oldtimer
