Post by Old Timer on Nov 15, 2020 12:15:37 GMT
A weekend when the weather won, as the chase has gone due NRs, and the hurdle is looking very much a gamble. Think I’ll accept this weekend as another to file for experience!
Cheltenham 15.00 Gr 3 Handicap Hurdle 456 (137.3) 16.5f sf – 18 Run (14 at best)
Last year – 563 (136.3) sf – 14 ran
Harambe 16/1 6-11-0 (137) by 0.25 l from Gumball 8/1 5-11-5 (147)
Countister 16/1 7-11-4 (141) was 14.25 l 7th
Ballyandy 9-11-12 (154) (M 0.5)
‘19/20 record: 1/2/6
‘20/21 record: 0/1/2 Best: 291.8 off 154 carrying 11-10
18/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap HHd (250/140.5) 16f gd/sf Ffos Las 11-10 13/2 2/12 2.75 l off 154
raced wide in mid-division, headway chasing leaders when hit 4 out, led before next, ridden and headed 2 out, chased winner after, well held
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (F); form run lto (28 days);
Minus: up 2lbs (wt); up class;
Verdict: getting up in years for a hurdler, but still performing and had Milkwood behind him in the Welsh Champion Hurdle lto, though no match for winner; age and weight against him here, but don’t write him off for maybe making the frame.
Tegerek 6-10-4 (132) (17.7)
‘19/20 record: 1/2/5
‘20/21 record: 1/1/2 Best: 251.6 off 124 carrying 10-3 (Cl 3 HHd 16.5f gd Chelt)
23/10/20 Cl 2 HHd (72/127.6) 16.5f gd Chelt 10-3 5/1 1/17 5.5 l off 124
just worse than midfield, pushed along and progress 3 out, prominent 2 out, jumped last well, stayed on strongly to lead run in, easily
Plus: going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (23 days); down 6lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); up 8lbs (OR); up 2 classes;
Verdict: has been in scintillating form this term under his 7lbs claimer, and won a conditional here lto with ease; raised 8lbs for that but could still be well in.
Proschema 5-10-3 (131) (9.0)
’19/20 record: 1/2/4 Best: 259.3 off 128 carrying 11-0 (Cl 3 HHd 16f gd/sf Weth)
14/10/20 Cl 3 HHd (59/133) 16f gd/sf Weth 11-0 11/8 F 2/11 1.75 l off 128
in rear, progress to track leaders 3 out, asked to quicken approaching last, stayed on but always held
Plus: going (W); form run lto (32 days); down 11lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); distance (?); course (?); up 3lbs (OR); up 2 classes;
Verdict: transfer from Dascombe yard this season and has had just 4 starts; going the right way and made credible hcap debut; the extra half furlong unproven, plus while he acts on gd/sf has failed twice on sf on the Flat, so that a question mark.
Strong Glance 7-10-5 (133)
‘19/20 record: 0/0/3
‘20/21 record: 1/2/5 Best: 262.6 off 129 carrying 10-7 (Cl 2 HHd 20f sf Aint)
25/10/20 Cl 2 HHd (138/134.6) 20f sf Aint 10-7 9/2 F 2/14 1 l off 129
held up towards rear, not fluent 7th, headway going well from 2 out, switched left before 2 out, challenged last, ridden flat, headed towards finish
Plus: going (W); distance (F); form run lto (21 days); down 2lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); course (?); up 4lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: another lightly-raced sort who is dropping back in distance after just losing out over 20f lto; interesting.
With the going shifting from sf almost to hv, it’s a ticklish race to work out. I might have to add last year’s Harambe even though he hasn’t had a run yet. I’m not sure that Proschema will like the going, and I’m very wary of the chances of the favourite Tegerek. It’s very much a gamble, but I think I’ll go for Strong Glance from Ballyandy and Harambe.
Cheltenham 15.00 Gr 3 Handicap Hurdle 456 (137.3) 16.5f sf – 18 Run (14 at best)
Last year – 563 (136.3) sf – 14 ran
Harambe 16/1 6-11-0 (137) by 0.25 l from Gumball 8/1 5-11-5 (147)
Countister 16/1 7-11-4 (141) was 14.25 l 7th
Ballyandy 9-11-12 (154) (M 0.5)
‘19/20 record: 1/2/6
‘20/21 record: 0/1/2 Best: 291.8 off 154 carrying 11-10
18/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap HHd (250/140.5) 16f gd/sf Ffos Las 11-10 13/2 2/12 2.75 l off 154
raced wide in mid-division, headway chasing leaders when hit 4 out, led before next, ridden and headed 2 out, chased winner after, well held
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (F); form run lto (28 days);
Minus: up 2lbs (wt); up class;
Verdict: getting up in years for a hurdler, but still performing and had Milkwood behind him in the Welsh Champion Hurdle lto, though no match for winner; age and weight against him here, but don’t write him off for maybe making the frame.
Tegerek 6-10-4 (132) (17.7)
‘19/20 record: 1/2/5
‘20/21 record: 1/1/2 Best: 251.6 off 124 carrying 10-3 (Cl 3 HHd 16.5f gd Chelt)
23/10/20 Cl 2 HHd (72/127.6) 16.5f gd Chelt 10-3 5/1 1/17 5.5 l off 124
just worse than midfield, pushed along and progress 3 out, prominent 2 out, jumped last well, stayed on strongly to lead run in, easily
Plus: going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (23 days); down 6lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); up 8lbs (OR); up 2 classes;
Verdict: has been in scintillating form this term under his 7lbs claimer, and won a conditional here lto with ease; raised 8lbs for that but could still be well in.
Proschema 5-10-3 (131) (9.0)
’19/20 record: 1/2/4 Best: 259.3 off 128 carrying 11-0 (Cl 3 HHd 16f gd/sf Weth)
14/10/20 Cl 3 HHd (59/133) 16f gd/sf Weth 11-0 11/8 F 2/11 1.75 l off 128
in rear, progress to track leaders 3 out, asked to quicken approaching last, stayed on but always held
Plus: going (W); form run lto (32 days); down 11lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); distance (?); course (?); up 3lbs (OR); up 2 classes;
Verdict: transfer from Dascombe yard this season and has had just 4 starts; going the right way and made credible hcap debut; the extra half furlong unproven, plus while he acts on gd/sf has failed twice on sf on the Flat, so that a question mark.
Strong Glance 7-10-5 (133)
‘19/20 record: 0/0/3
‘20/21 record: 1/2/5 Best: 262.6 off 129 carrying 10-7 (Cl 2 HHd 20f sf Aint)
25/10/20 Cl 2 HHd (138/134.6) 20f sf Aint 10-7 9/2 F 2/14 1 l off 129
held up towards rear, not fluent 7th, headway going well from 2 out, switched left before 2 out, challenged last, ridden flat, headed towards finish
Plus: going (W); distance (F); form run lto (21 days); down 2lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); course (?); up 4lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: another lightly-raced sort who is dropping back in distance after just losing out over 20f lto; interesting.
With the going shifting from sf almost to hv, it’s a ticklish race to work out. I might have to add last year’s Harambe even though he hasn’t had a run yet. I’m not sure that Proschema will like the going, and I’m very wary of the chances of the favourite Tegerek. It’s very much a gamble, but I think I’ll go for Strong Glance from Ballyandy and Harambe.