Post by Old Timer on Nov 7, 2020 11:26:24 GMT
Rushed for time today, so despite some interesting racing at Aintree and Wincanton I’ve stuck to Doncaster, particularly the November Handicap. As usual with these big handicaps I’m not expecting a lot, but you can never tell, and we haven’t had a bad flat season really.
Doncaster 12.55 Cl 2 Handicap 118 (94.3) 7f sf – 15 Run
3yo = 1 lb wfa allowance
Last year – meeting abandoned
Revich 4-9-4 (97) Dr 14 (2.6)
’19 record: 1/4/10 Best: 169.6 off 88 carrying 9-5 (Cl 3 Hcap 7f gd Chest)
’20 record: 2/1/5 Best: 188.7 off 98 carrying 8-7 (Cl 2 Hcap 7f gd Ascot)
05/09/20 Cl 2 Hcap (218/95.5) 7f gd Ascot 8-7 25/1 5/16 1.6 l off 98
close up when groups merged over 3f out, ridden and no impression 2f out, ran on towards finish
Plus: class (W); distance (W); form run lto; down 1lb (OR);
Minus: going; course (?); 63-day break; up 11lbs (wt);
Verdict: won a pair of Chester hcaps before his close up Ascot effort, and now returns from a break for the season closure; however, needs a career best to win and unlikely after the break.
Tomfre 3-9-7 (101) Dr 13 (10.4)
’19 record: 5/1/7
’20 record: 2/2/9 Best: 184.9 off 86 carrying 9-12 (Cl 3 Hcap 7f hv Donc)
23/10/20 Cl 3 Hcap (75/87.9) 7f hv Donc 9-12 5/1 1/15 0.5 l off 97
chased leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out and hung right, went left and stayed on well inside final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (14); down 7lbs (wt);
Minus: up 4lbs; up in class;
Verdict: has won his last 2 starts on hv going, although had previously won on other going as a 2yo; has to try for the hat-trick off a 4lbs higher mark, but not beyond him.
Tranchee 4-9-2 (95) Dr 3 (6.2)
’20 record: 2/5/10 Best: 183.1 off 94 carrying 9-6 (Cl 2 Hcap 6f sf Donc)
23/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap (118/98.1) 6f sf Donc 9-6 7/2 F 3/12 0.5 l off 94
in touch, headway to chase winner 2f out, ridden and unable to quicken inside final furlong, lost 2nd towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (F); distance (F); course (F); form run lto (15 days); down 4lbs (wt);
Minus: up 1lb (OR);
Verdict: suspicion that he doesn’t quite stay 7f, as he while he has won over 6.5f he didn’t quite last home against Young Fire (+5)
Bit rushed in this one having concentrated on the November Handicap. The break puts me off Revich and I’m a little worried on Tranchee getting home over 7f. Kynren is worthy of note in that he has worked his mark back to only 1lb higher that than when over 7f at Ascot last year on sf going. So while I fancy Tomfre for the win, maybe Kynfren will push him close and Tranchee fading into 3rd.
Doncaster 15.15 Cl 2 Handicap 252 (93.6) 12f sf – 23 Run
3yo = 5lbs wfa allowance
Last year – meeting abandoned
On To Victory 6-9-0 (99) Dr 13 (M 0.4)
‘20 record: 0/3/3 Best: 193.0 off 99 carrying 9-13 (Cl 2 Hcap 14f gd Hayd)
26/09/20 Cl 2 Hcap (124/94.2) 14f gd Hayd 9-12 5/1 2/6 0.25 l off 99
held up tracking leaders on inside, switched right over 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong, going on close home, not reach winner
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); form run lto (42 days); down 12 lbs (wt);
Minus: course;
Verdict: transferred to King yard at the end of ‘18 season and ran in NHd in Dec ‘99 and early ’20; reverted to flat in August and has been placed in 3 outings, the latest over 14f at Haydock at the end of September; finished 0.25l ahead of Indianapolis (-2) and meets him on the same terms today; I has since failed to stay the Cesarewitch whereas OTV looked as if he needed further; would prefer Indianapolis’ chances, but he’s drawn 5!
Sam Cooke 4-8-10 (95) Dr 20 (0.6)
’19 record: 1/0/1 Best: 166.5 off 85 carrying 9.3 (Cl 3 Hcap 12.5f sf Chest)
’20 record: 0/1/2 Best: 188.0 off 92 carrying 9-2 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f gd Asc)
26/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (129/96.2) 12f gd Hayd 9-2 5/1 2/9 0.02 l off 92
tracked leaders, went 2nd 5f out, led entering final 2f, ridden and strongly pressed when edged left final furlong, lost on the nod
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (W); form run lto; down 6lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?); 104-day break; up 3lbs (OR);
Verdict: 6 races in 3 years is not exactly overworked, but has obviously been targeted for this race; the Ascot race hasn’t exactly worked out form-wise, but he does look well-handicapped; a favourite’s chance.
Tulip Fields 3-9-4 (94) Dr 15 (4.8)
’19 record: 0/4/5
’20 record: 3/0/7 Best: 182.8 off 90 carrying 8-6 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f sf Donc)
29/10/20 List Stks (214/) 13f AW Ling 8-11 7/2 5/11 4.02 l off 90
tracked leader, tracked leaders 8f out, ridden to chase winner 2f out, weakened inside final furlong
24/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap (123/92.8) 12f sf Donc 8-6 9/1 1/9 2 l off 90
tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, hung left inside final furlong but stayed on well
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); recent run (9 days); down in class; down in distance;
Minus: up 7lbs (wt); up 4lbs (OR);
Verdict: perhaps found the trip too much of a strain on only 5-days rest at Lingfield, but a C&D winner previously; not sure of the value of that form but if there is to be a surprise then he’s among the candidates.
Kingbrook 3-8-7 (97) Dr 22 (8.4)
’19 record: 1/0/4
’20 record: 1/2/3 Best: 182.2 off 91 carrying 8-11 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f sf Nwmkt)
09/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap (560/91.2) 12f sf Nwmkt 8-11 14/1 1/17 0.5 l off 91
sweating, keen close up, led 2f out, ridden out (hand time)
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (F); form run lto (29 days); down 4llbs (wt);
Minus: up 6lbs (OR); all-aged hcap;
Verdict: transferred from Johnston stable between seasons and after a couple of promising 3rds over 10f (including an all-aged hcap) won a valuable 3yo-hcap over 12f on sf; raised 6lbs but is likely still improving.
Eagle Court 3-8-0 (90) Dr 21 (20.2)
’19 record: 0/0/1
‘20 record: 3/0/5 Best: 163.4 off 85 carrying 9-8 (Cl 4 Hcap 10f sf Nott)
O7/10/20 Cl 4 Hcap (52/78.4) 10f sf Nott 9-8 6/1 1/9 1 l off 85
held up towards rear, switched right 2f out, headway on outside over 1f out, edged left and led inside final furlong, readily
Plus: going (W); form run lto (31 days); down 22lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); distance (?); course (?); up 5lbs (OR); up 2 classes; up 2f’;
Verdict: just the single start at 2yo, but has won 3/5 at 3yo ,the last 2 over 10f; steps up in distance today as well as upped form Cl 4 off a 5lbs higher mark, but could well improve some more at this new trip and but sire stats do not back it up.
There are a few more like Rhythmic Intent and Euchen Glen that can be given a chance, but not those drawn at 8 or below as the bend seems to cut them off, so goodbye Surrey Pride. Eagle Court is well drawn and looks to have a chance, but there is a major doubt on him stepping up the trip. I’ve got a feeling that On To Victory needs a longer trip, and I’m confused on why the AW Listed attempt for Tulip Fields lto. For the winner I’ve got to go for the pair that have been obviously targeted at the race, Sam Cooke and Kingbrook, and I presume in that order. Not sure what will follow them home, but will go for Tulip Fields from On To Victory.
Doncaster 12.55 Cl 2 Handicap 118 (94.3) 7f sf – 15 Run
3yo = 1 lb wfa allowance
Last year – meeting abandoned
Revich 4-9-4 (97) Dr 14 (2.6)
’19 record: 1/4/10 Best: 169.6 off 88 carrying 9-5 (Cl 3 Hcap 7f gd Chest)
’20 record: 2/1/5 Best: 188.7 off 98 carrying 8-7 (Cl 2 Hcap 7f gd Ascot)
05/09/20 Cl 2 Hcap (218/95.5) 7f gd Ascot 8-7 25/1 5/16 1.6 l off 98
close up when groups merged over 3f out, ridden and no impression 2f out, ran on towards finish
Plus: class (W); distance (W); form run lto; down 1lb (OR);
Minus: going; course (?); 63-day break; up 11lbs (wt);
Verdict: won a pair of Chester hcaps before his close up Ascot effort, and now returns from a break for the season closure; however, needs a career best to win and unlikely after the break.
Tomfre 3-9-7 (101) Dr 13 (10.4)
’19 record: 5/1/7
’20 record: 2/2/9 Best: 184.9 off 86 carrying 9-12 (Cl 3 Hcap 7f hv Donc)
23/10/20 Cl 3 Hcap (75/87.9) 7f hv Donc 9-12 5/1 1/15 0.5 l off 97
chased leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out and hung right, went left and stayed on well inside final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (14); down 7lbs (wt);
Minus: up 4lbs; up in class;
Verdict: has won his last 2 starts on hv going, although had previously won on other going as a 2yo; has to try for the hat-trick off a 4lbs higher mark, but not beyond him.
Tranchee 4-9-2 (95) Dr 3 (6.2)
’20 record: 2/5/10 Best: 183.1 off 94 carrying 9-6 (Cl 2 Hcap 6f sf Donc)
23/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap (118/98.1) 6f sf Donc 9-6 7/2 F 3/12 0.5 l off 94
in touch, headway to chase winner 2f out, ridden and unable to quicken inside final furlong, lost 2nd towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (F); distance (F); course (F); form run lto (15 days); down 4lbs (wt);
Minus: up 1lb (OR);
Verdict: suspicion that he doesn’t quite stay 7f, as he while he has won over 6.5f he didn’t quite last home against Young Fire (+5)
Bit rushed in this one having concentrated on the November Handicap. The break puts me off Revich and I’m a little worried on Tranchee getting home over 7f. Kynren is worthy of note in that he has worked his mark back to only 1lb higher that than when over 7f at Ascot last year on sf going. So while I fancy Tomfre for the win, maybe Kynfren will push him close and Tranchee fading into 3rd.
Doncaster 15.15 Cl 2 Handicap 252 (93.6) 12f sf – 23 Run
3yo = 5lbs wfa allowance
Last year – meeting abandoned
On To Victory 6-9-0 (99) Dr 13 (M 0.4)
‘20 record: 0/3/3 Best: 193.0 off 99 carrying 9-13 (Cl 2 Hcap 14f gd Hayd)
26/09/20 Cl 2 Hcap (124/94.2) 14f gd Hayd 9-12 5/1 2/6 0.25 l off 99
held up tracking leaders on inside, switched right over 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong, going on close home, not reach winner
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); form run lto (42 days); down 12 lbs (wt);
Minus: course;
Verdict: transferred to King yard at the end of ‘18 season and ran in NHd in Dec ‘99 and early ’20; reverted to flat in August and has been placed in 3 outings, the latest over 14f at Haydock at the end of September; finished 0.25l ahead of Indianapolis (-2) and meets him on the same terms today; I has since failed to stay the Cesarewitch whereas OTV looked as if he needed further; would prefer Indianapolis’ chances, but he’s drawn 5!
Sam Cooke 4-8-10 (95) Dr 20 (0.6)
’19 record: 1/0/1 Best: 166.5 off 85 carrying 9.3 (Cl 3 Hcap 12.5f sf Chest)
’20 record: 0/1/2 Best: 188.0 off 92 carrying 9-2 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f gd Asc)
26/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (129/96.2) 12f gd Hayd 9-2 5/1 2/9 0.02 l off 92
tracked leaders, went 2nd 5f out, led entering final 2f, ridden and strongly pressed when edged left final furlong, lost on the nod
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (W); form run lto; down 6lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?); 104-day break; up 3lbs (OR);
Verdict: 6 races in 3 years is not exactly overworked, but has obviously been targeted for this race; the Ascot race hasn’t exactly worked out form-wise, but he does look well-handicapped; a favourite’s chance.
Tulip Fields 3-9-4 (94) Dr 15 (4.8)
’19 record: 0/4/5
’20 record: 3/0/7 Best: 182.8 off 90 carrying 8-6 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f sf Donc)
29/10/20 List Stks (214/) 13f AW Ling 8-11 7/2 5/11 4.02 l off 90
tracked leader, tracked leaders 8f out, ridden to chase winner 2f out, weakened inside final furlong
24/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap (123/92.8) 12f sf Donc 8-6 9/1 1/9 2 l off 90
tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, hung left inside final furlong but stayed on well
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); recent run (9 days); down in class; down in distance;
Minus: up 7lbs (wt); up 4lbs (OR);
Verdict: perhaps found the trip too much of a strain on only 5-days rest at Lingfield, but a C&D winner previously; not sure of the value of that form but if there is to be a surprise then he’s among the candidates.
Kingbrook 3-8-7 (97) Dr 22 (8.4)
’19 record: 1/0/4
’20 record: 1/2/3 Best: 182.2 off 91 carrying 8-11 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f sf Nwmkt)
09/10/20 Cl 2 Hcap (560/91.2) 12f sf Nwmkt 8-11 14/1 1/17 0.5 l off 91
sweating, keen close up, led 2f out, ridden out (hand time)
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (F); form run lto (29 days); down 4llbs (wt);
Minus: up 6lbs (OR); all-aged hcap;
Verdict: transferred from Johnston stable between seasons and after a couple of promising 3rds over 10f (including an all-aged hcap) won a valuable 3yo-hcap over 12f on sf; raised 6lbs but is likely still improving.
Eagle Court 3-8-0 (90) Dr 21 (20.2)
’19 record: 0/0/1
‘20 record: 3/0/5 Best: 163.4 off 85 carrying 9-8 (Cl 4 Hcap 10f sf Nott)
O7/10/20 Cl 4 Hcap (52/78.4) 10f sf Nott 9-8 6/1 1/9 1 l off 85
held up towards rear, switched right 2f out, headway on outside over 1f out, edged left and led inside final furlong, readily
Plus: going (W); form run lto (31 days); down 22lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); distance (?); course (?); up 5lbs (OR); up 2 classes; up 2f’;
Verdict: just the single start at 2yo, but has won 3/5 at 3yo ,the last 2 over 10f; steps up in distance today as well as upped form Cl 4 off a 5lbs higher mark, but could well improve some more at this new trip and but sire stats do not back it up.
There are a few more like Rhythmic Intent and Euchen Glen that can be given a chance, but not those drawn at 8 or below as the bend seems to cut them off, so goodbye Surrey Pride. Eagle Court is well drawn and looks to have a chance, but there is a major doubt on him stepping up the trip. I’ve got a feeling that On To Victory needs a longer trip, and I’m confused on why the AW Listed attempt for Tulip Fields lto. For the winner I’ve got to go for the pair that have been obviously targeted at the race, Sam Cooke and Kingbrook, and I presume in that order. Not sure what will follow them home, but will go for Tulip Fields from On To Victory.