Post by Old Timer on Oct 11, 2020 11:30:10 GMT
Goodwood 16.25 Cl 2 Handicap 120 (90.1) 12f hv – 8 Run
3yo = 6lbs wfa allowance
Goshen 4-9-1 (88) Dr 2 (0.4)
’19 record: 3/0/3 Best: 158.9 off 80 carrying 9-4 (Cl 4 Hcap 14f sf Nott)
’20 record: 0/0/1 Best: 178.5 off 88 carrying 9-2 (Cl 2 Hcap 14f gd Hayd)
26/09/20 Cl 2 (124/94.2) 14f gd Hayd 9-2 2/5 F L/6 4.25 l off 88
raced keenly, led 12f out, hung right on paddock bend, tried to quicken 3f out, ridden and headed inside final 2f, lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened final furlong
Plus: going (W); distance (W); recent outing (15 days); down 1lb (wt);
Minus: class, course; down 2f;
Verdict: won only 3 starts last year over 12f/14f at up to Cl 4, and then completed a hat-trick of hurdle victories at 15/5f to 17.5f up to Cl 2; has won on gd up to have ground, so all right there; worry is his return over 14f at Haydock a fortnight back, where he obviously needed the run drops to 12f today, over which he’s only run once when winning a Cl 5 at Brighton in June last year; might find one or two going a bit quickly for him.
King’s Caper 3-9-3 (96) Dr 5 (0.3)
’19 record: 3/2/7
’20 record: 0/1/6 Best: 185.8 off 102 carrying 9-7 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f gd Good)
18/09/20 Cl 2 (123/96.9) 12f gd Newb 9-3 12/1 6/8 7.27 l off 100
led until over 2f out, lost 2nd inside final 2f, weakened final furlong
Plus: class (W); recent run (23 days); down 4lbs (OR);
Minus: going (?); distance; course;
Verdict: won 3 times as a 2yo old, but outside of being beaten a nose in the Italian Derby things haven’t gone as well this year; nevertheless he has been dropped 4lbs and that has to put him in with a chance as he hasn’t been running that badly in 12f hcaps
Natural History 5-9-4 (91) Dr 8 (7.1)
’19 record: 1/0/1 Best: 164 off 88 carrying 9-9 (Cl 2 Hcap 12.5f gd Chest)
11/09/20 Cl 3 Hcap (75/86.0) 12.5f gd Chest 9-9 3/1 1/7 0.5 l off 88
prominent, shaken up 2f out, took narrow lead 110 yards out, dug in well
Plus: class (F); going (F); distance (W); forum run lto (30 days); down 5lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?); up 3lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: missed 2019 but made a winning return at Chester a month ago; last race prior that was when 2nd on hv going over 14f at Haydock off today’s mark; must have a great chance providing he doesn’t bounce.
Not a race to be betting in I’m afraid, as these are the most likely three, and they each have a question against then. If there are no non-runners, and that’s a big if, I’d go for King’s Caper e/w. Otherwise no bet.
3yo = 6lbs wfa allowance
Goshen 4-9-1 (88) Dr 2 (0.4)
’19 record: 3/0/3 Best: 158.9 off 80 carrying 9-4 (Cl 4 Hcap 14f sf Nott)
’20 record: 0/0/1 Best: 178.5 off 88 carrying 9-2 (Cl 2 Hcap 14f gd Hayd)
26/09/20 Cl 2 (124/94.2) 14f gd Hayd 9-2 2/5 F L/6 4.25 l off 88
raced keenly, led 12f out, hung right on paddock bend, tried to quicken 3f out, ridden and headed inside final 2f, lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened final furlong
Plus: going (W); distance (W); recent outing (15 days); down 1lb (wt);
Minus: class, course; down 2f;
Verdict: won only 3 starts last year over 12f/14f at up to Cl 4, and then completed a hat-trick of hurdle victories at 15/5f to 17.5f up to Cl 2; has won on gd up to have ground, so all right there; worry is his return over 14f at Haydock a fortnight back, where he obviously needed the run drops to 12f today, over which he’s only run once when winning a Cl 5 at Brighton in June last year; might find one or two going a bit quickly for him.
King’s Caper 3-9-3 (96) Dr 5 (0.3)
’19 record: 3/2/7
’20 record: 0/1/6 Best: 185.8 off 102 carrying 9-7 (Cl 2 Hcap 12f gd Good)
18/09/20 Cl 2 (123/96.9) 12f gd Newb 9-3 12/1 6/8 7.27 l off 100
led until over 2f out, lost 2nd inside final 2f, weakened final furlong
Plus: class (W); recent run (23 days); down 4lbs (OR);
Minus: going (?); distance; course;
Verdict: won 3 times as a 2yo old, but outside of being beaten a nose in the Italian Derby things haven’t gone as well this year; nevertheless he has been dropped 4lbs and that has to put him in with a chance as he hasn’t been running that badly in 12f hcaps
Natural History 5-9-4 (91) Dr 8 (7.1)
’19 record: 1/0/1 Best: 164 off 88 carrying 9-9 (Cl 2 Hcap 12.5f gd Chest)
11/09/20 Cl 3 Hcap (75/86.0) 12.5f gd Chest 9-9 3/1 1/7 0.5 l off 88
prominent, shaken up 2f out, took narrow lead 110 yards out, dug in well
Plus: class (F); going (F); distance (W); forum run lto (30 days); down 5lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?); up 3lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: missed 2019 but made a winning return at Chester a month ago; last race prior that was when 2nd on hv going over 14f at Haydock off today’s mark; must have a great chance providing he doesn’t bounce.
Not a race to be betting in I’m afraid, as these are the most likely three, and they each have a question against then. If there are no non-runners, and that’s a big if, I’d go for King’s Caper e/w. Otherwise no bet.