Post by Old Timer on Sept 12, 2020 11:15:04 GMT
Well Friday ended up better than it started, even if I got the first two the wrong way round again. Today, we’re not likely to continue the good fortune, but at least we tried.
Doncaster 13.15 Cl 2 Handicap 249 (93.6) 8f gd – 12 Run
3yo = 5lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 156 (95.7) gd/fm – 3 ran
Qaysar 13/8 4-9-10 (104) Dr 1 by 0.1 from Bayroot 11/8 F 3-9-12 (97) Dr 4
Diocles Of Rome 5-8-9 (87) Dr 12 (3.0)
’19 record: 1/1/7 Best: 169.2 off 86 carrying 9-8 (Cl 3 7f AW Kemp)
’20 record: 0/0/1 Best: 177.6 off 87 carrying 8-8 (Cl 2 7f gd/fm Domc)
15/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/92.4) 7f gd/fm Donc 8-8 25/1 5/11 0.62l off 87
midfield, switched right and ridden over 2f out, ran on final furlong
Plus: class (F); distance (F); course (W); form run lto (28 days);
Minus: going; up 1lb (wt);
Verdict: promising return running on the final furlong, which augurs well for the return to 8f; likely to be fitter for that and not without a chance.
Mathew Flinders 3-8-9 (92) Dr 1 (9.8)
’20 record: 1/3/4 Best: 176.8 off 90 carrying 9-7 (Cl 3 8f gd/sf Sand)
22/08/20 Cl 3 3yo-Hcap (93/86.8) 8f gd/sf Sand 9-7 9/2 F 4/13 0.45l off 90
keen chasing leaders on outside, ridden and stayed on towards finish, not quite pace to challenge
Plus: going (F); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (21 days); down 12lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); up 2lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: C&D winner, but needs to show it in this class, and against older horses
La Trinidad 3-8-5 (88) Dr 6 (10.4)
’19 record: 0/0/3
’20 record: 2/2/6 Best: 171.2 off 84 carrying 8-0 (Cl 2 8f gd York)
21/08/20 Cl 2 3yo-Hcap (187/90.2) 8-0 50/1 3/16 1l off 84
in rear, headway over 1f out, ridden and ran on final furlong, not reach leaders
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (F); course (W); form run lto (22 days);
Minus: up 5lbs (wt); up 4lbs (OR);
Verdict: proved he can compete at this level against his own age group, now steps up to face his elders
Magical Moment 3-9-0 (97) Dr 9
‘19 record: 0/0/1
’20 record: 2/0/4
Plus: distance (W); course (W); recent run (44 days); down 5lbs (wt); down 2lbs (OR); drop in trip;
Minus: class; going;
Verdict: has won over 8f here, but that was a Cl 5 novice and has failed dismally in listed stakes and a 10f hcap at Goodwood; given the trainer, he could possibly bounce back, but not with my money!
This is a horrible handicap, with problems being the name of the game – Firmament only likes York, Diocles Of Rome is questionable at trip; Mathew Flinders has class to prove, Magical Moment has it all to prove now, etc. Based on least troubles I’ll go for La Trinidad, Diocles Of Rome and Mathew Flinders in that order, but won’t be surprised if I draw a blank.
Doncaster 14.25 Cl 2 Handicap 311 (93.1) 6.5f gd – 22 Run
3yo = 2lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 374 (97.2) gd/fm 22 ran
Oxted 14/1 3-9-4 (105) Dr 14 by 0.5l from A Momentofmadness 9-1 6-8-13 (96) Dr 13
Arecibo 33/1 4-9-4 (100) Dr 2 was 1l 4th
Wentworth Falls 14/1 7-8-8 (90) Dr 9 was 1.25l 5th
Justanotherbottle 10/1 5-9-3 (99) Dr 21was 4.7l 10th
Orvar 28/1 6-8-10 (92) Dr 16 was 6.32l 13th
Konchek 25/1 3-9-0 (98) Dr 5 was 11.12l 19th
Mountain Peak 5-9-6 (99) Dr 19 (2.1)
’19 record: 1/1/8 Best: 172.7 off 86 carrying 9-2 (Cl 3 5.5f fm Bath)
’20 record: 2/2/5 Best: 190.0 off 95 carrying 9-6 (Cl 2 5f gd/fm Hayd)
03/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/95.0) 5f gd/fm Hayd 9-6 15/8 F 1/6 0.25l off 95
chased leaders near side of group, went 2nd inside final furlong, drifted left and ran on to lead towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (F); form run lto (40 days);
Minus: course (?); up 4lbs (OR);
Verdict: goes well at Haydock and just prevailed there lto with Arecibo (-1) just under 2.5l in 4th; meets him on 5lbs worse terms today; running off a career high mark though, and may suffer for it on first visit to Doncaster.
Arecibo 5-9-0 (93) Dr 14 (3.2)
’19 record: 1/6/13 Best: 192.2 off 100 carrying 9-4 (Cl 2 5.5f gd/fm Donc)
’20 record: 0/2/8 Best: 182.9 off 94 carrying 8-13 (Cl 2 5.5f gd York)
31/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/97.4) 5f sf Sand 9-2 3/1 2/5 6.5l off 94
close up, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on to go 2nd inside final furlong, no threat to winner
19/08/20 l 2 Hcap (187/95.3) 5.5f gd York 8-13 10/1 4/21 1.6l off 94
in touch near side, not clear run over 1f out, ridden and ran on final furlong, nearest finish
Plus: class (F+); going ((F); distance (F); course (F); recent run (12 days); last form run (24 days); down 2lbs (wt); down 1lb (OR);
Minus:
Verdict: ran 4th in last year’s renewal and now down 7lbs from that mark; well beaten at Sandown lto, but that was on sf, on which he is never at his best; best run this year before that when he was 4th to Acclaim The Nation over today’s distance at York; Soldier’s Minute (+4) was 0.35l ahead in 2nd and meets him on 2lbs worse terms; claims are tempered by only a Cl 3 win in 21 starts since joining O’Meara,
Soldier’s Minute 5-9-6 (99) Dr 22 (3.8)
’19 record: 3/2/12 Best: 187.0 off 92 carrying 8-9 (Cl 2 6f gd/fm York)
’20 record: 0/3/5 Best: 188.3 off 98 carrying 9-3 (Cl 2 5.5 gd/fm York)
19/08/20 l 2 Hcap (187/95.3) 5.5f gd York 9-3 22/1 2/21 1.25l off 98
towards rear centre, ridden and headway over 1f out, ran on to go 2nd towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (F); distance (F); form run lto (24); up 3lbs (wt); up 1lb (OR);
Minus: course;
Verdict: likes York and sure to get distance; only problem if he’s fast enough; drawn widest, but that’s not exclusive as stall 22 has won before; another to consider.
A Momentofmadness 7-8-12 (91) Dr 10 (5.5)
’19 record: 0/1/7 Best: 192.2 off 95 carrying 8-13
’20 record: 0/1/5 Best: 178.6 off 94 carrying 8-12
29/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (189/93.6) 5f gd Good 8-12 22/1 3/11 2l off 93
tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace inside final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (46 days); down 2lbs (OR);
Minus:
Verdict: hasn’t won since taking the ’18 renewal off 99, but finished 0.5l 2nd off 95 last year and has obviously been aimed at it again; has been dropped another 4lbs from last year but isn’t getting any younger, though 7yo have won twice in 20 years; a sentimental bet only.
Plenty of contenders, although I’ve dropped those drawn in single digits as the last one that won was back in 2010. I’ve also dropped the lowest 8 of the field, which cuts it down to a more manageable size. A Momentofmadness won in 2019, was runner-up last year, and tries again this year. However, he’s only been dropped 4lbs (the same as last year) and as a 7yo I can’t see him winning again despite him being favourite. Likewise, I’m losing faith in Arecibo actually winning, although he could well run into the frame. In fact, I’m going for the pair drawn towards the outside of the field, Mountain Peak and Soldier’s Minute , although picking the right order is posing a problem. I think I’ll take Soldier’s Minute from Mountain Peak with Arecibo edging A Momentofmadness for third.
Doncaster 13.15 Cl 2 Handicap 249 (93.6) 8f gd – 12 Run
3yo = 5lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 156 (95.7) gd/fm – 3 ran
Qaysar 13/8 4-9-10 (104) Dr 1 by 0.1 from Bayroot 11/8 F 3-9-12 (97) Dr 4
Diocles Of Rome 5-8-9 (87) Dr 12 (3.0)
’19 record: 1/1/7 Best: 169.2 off 86 carrying 9-8 (Cl 3 7f AW Kemp)
’20 record: 0/0/1 Best: 177.6 off 87 carrying 8-8 (Cl 2 7f gd/fm Domc)
15/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/92.4) 7f gd/fm Donc 8-8 25/1 5/11 0.62l off 87
midfield, switched right and ridden over 2f out, ran on final furlong
Plus: class (F); distance (F); course (W); form run lto (28 days);
Minus: going; up 1lb (wt);
Verdict: promising return running on the final furlong, which augurs well for the return to 8f; likely to be fitter for that and not without a chance.
Mathew Flinders 3-8-9 (92) Dr 1 (9.8)
’20 record: 1/3/4 Best: 176.8 off 90 carrying 9-7 (Cl 3 8f gd/sf Sand)
22/08/20 Cl 3 3yo-Hcap (93/86.8) 8f gd/sf Sand 9-7 9/2 F 4/13 0.45l off 90
keen chasing leaders on outside, ridden and stayed on towards finish, not quite pace to challenge
Plus: going (F); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (21 days); down 12lbs (wt);
Minus: class (?); up 2lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: C&D winner, but needs to show it in this class, and against older horses
La Trinidad 3-8-5 (88) Dr 6 (10.4)
’19 record: 0/0/3
’20 record: 2/2/6 Best: 171.2 off 84 carrying 8-0 (Cl 2 8f gd York)
21/08/20 Cl 2 3yo-Hcap (187/90.2) 8-0 50/1 3/16 1l off 84
in rear, headway over 1f out, ridden and ran on final furlong, not reach leaders
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (F); course (W); form run lto (22 days);
Minus: up 5lbs (wt); up 4lbs (OR);
Verdict: proved he can compete at this level against his own age group, now steps up to face his elders
Magical Moment 3-9-0 (97) Dr 9
‘19 record: 0/0/1
’20 record: 2/0/4
Plus: distance (W); course (W); recent run (44 days); down 5lbs (wt); down 2lbs (OR); drop in trip;
Minus: class; going;
Verdict: has won over 8f here, but that was a Cl 5 novice and has failed dismally in listed stakes and a 10f hcap at Goodwood; given the trainer, he could possibly bounce back, but not with my money!
This is a horrible handicap, with problems being the name of the game – Firmament only likes York, Diocles Of Rome is questionable at trip; Mathew Flinders has class to prove, Magical Moment has it all to prove now, etc. Based on least troubles I’ll go for La Trinidad, Diocles Of Rome and Mathew Flinders in that order, but won’t be surprised if I draw a blank.
Doncaster 14.25 Cl 2 Handicap 311 (93.1) 6.5f gd – 22 Run
3yo = 2lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 374 (97.2) gd/fm 22 ran
Oxted 14/1 3-9-4 (105) Dr 14 by 0.5l from A Momentofmadness 9-1 6-8-13 (96) Dr 13
Arecibo 33/1 4-9-4 (100) Dr 2 was 1l 4th
Wentworth Falls 14/1 7-8-8 (90) Dr 9 was 1.25l 5th
Justanotherbottle 10/1 5-9-3 (99) Dr 21was 4.7l 10th
Orvar 28/1 6-8-10 (92) Dr 16 was 6.32l 13th
Konchek 25/1 3-9-0 (98) Dr 5 was 11.12l 19th
Mountain Peak 5-9-6 (99) Dr 19 (2.1)
’19 record: 1/1/8 Best: 172.7 off 86 carrying 9-2 (Cl 3 5.5f fm Bath)
’20 record: 2/2/5 Best: 190.0 off 95 carrying 9-6 (Cl 2 5f gd/fm Hayd)
03/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/95.0) 5f gd/fm Hayd 9-6 15/8 F 1/6 0.25l off 95
chased leaders near side of group, went 2nd inside final furlong, drifted left and ran on to lead towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (F); form run lto (40 days);
Minus: course (?); up 4lbs (OR);
Verdict: goes well at Haydock and just prevailed there lto with Arecibo (-1) just under 2.5l in 4th; meets him on 5lbs worse terms today; running off a career high mark though, and may suffer for it on first visit to Doncaster.
Arecibo 5-9-0 (93) Dr 14 (3.2)
’19 record: 1/6/13 Best: 192.2 off 100 carrying 9-4 (Cl 2 5.5f gd/fm Donc)
’20 record: 0/2/8 Best: 182.9 off 94 carrying 8-13 (Cl 2 5.5f gd York)
31/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/97.4) 5f sf Sand 9-2 3/1 2/5 6.5l off 94
close up, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on to go 2nd inside final furlong, no threat to winner
19/08/20 l 2 Hcap (187/95.3) 5.5f gd York 8-13 10/1 4/21 1.6l off 94
in touch near side, not clear run over 1f out, ridden and ran on final furlong, nearest finish
Plus: class (F+); going ((F); distance (F); course (F); recent run (12 days); last form run (24 days); down 2lbs (wt); down 1lb (OR);
Minus:
Verdict: ran 4th in last year’s renewal and now down 7lbs from that mark; well beaten at Sandown lto, but that was on sf, on which he is never at his best; best run this year before that when he was 4th to Acclaim The Nation over today’s distance at York; Soldier’s Minute (+4) was 0.35l ahead in 2nd and meets him on 2lbs worse terms; claims are tempered by only a Cl 3 win in 21 starts since joining O’Meara,
Soldier’s Minute 5-9-6 (99) Dr 22 (3.8)
’19 record: 3/2/12 Best: 187.0 off 92 carrying 8-9 (Cl 2 6f gd/fm York)
’20 record: 0/3/5 Best: 188.3 off 98 carrying 9-3 (Cl 2 5.5 gd/fm York)
19/08/20 l 2 Hcap (187/95.3) 5.5f gd York 9-3 22/1 2/21 1.25l off 98
towards rear centre, ridden and headway over 1f out, ran on to go 2nd towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (F); distance (F); form run lto (24); up 3lbs (wt); up 1lb (OR);
Minus: course;
Verdict: likes York and sure to get distance; only problem if he’s fast enough; drawn widest, but that’s not exclusive as stall 22 has won before; another to consider.
A Momentofmadness 7-8-12 (91) Dr 10 (5.5)
’19 record: 0/1/7 Best: 192.2 off 95 carrying 8-13
’20 record: 0/1/5 Best: 178.6 off 94 carrying 8-12
29/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (189/93.6) 5f gd Good 8-12 22/1 3/11 2l off 93
tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace inside final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (46 days); down 2lbs (OR);
Minus:
Verdict: hasn’t won since taking the ’18 renewal off 99, but finished 0.5l 2nd off 95 last year and has obviously been aimed at it again; has been dropped another 4lbs from last year but isn’t getting any younger, though 7yo have won twice in 20 years; a sentimental bet only.
Plenty of contenders, although I’ve dropped those drawn in single digits as the last one that won was back in 2010. I’ve also dropped the lowest 8 of the field, which cuts it down to a more manageable size. A Momentofmadness won in 2019, was runner-up last year, and tries again this year. However, he’s only been dropped 4lbs (the same as last year) and as a 7yo I can’t see him winning again despite him being favourite. Likewise, I’m losing faith in Arecibo actually winning, although he could well run into the frame. In fact, I’m going for the pair drawn towards the outside of the field, Mountain Peak and Soldier’s Minute , although picking the right order is posing a problem. I think I’ll take Soldier’s Minute from Mountain Peak with Arecibo edging A Momentofmadness for third.