Post by Old Timer on Sept 5, 2020 10:35:22 GMT
I think I should have been satisfied with my Friday efforts, as today does not look a day when dame fortune is likely to smile. However, I have had a look at a couple and that will have to do,
Haydock 14.50 Cl 2 Handicap 518 (94.2) 14f sf – 17 Run
Last year: 647 (93.2) sf 16 ran
Time To Study 7/1 5-8-10 (93) Dr 5 by 0.25l from Alright Sunshine 5/2 F 4-9-1 (93) Dr 15
Reshoun 8/1 5-9-1 (93) Dr 13 was 4.25l 3rd
Cape Coast 6-9-1 (95) Dr 4 (2.4)
’20 record: 1/1/2 Best: 187.8 off 90 carrying 8-8 (Cl 2 14f sf)
10/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (374/97.8) 14f sf Nwmkt 8-8 13/2 1/13 0.5l off 90
keen tracked leaders, chased leader over 4f out, ridden to lead entering final 2f, pushed out
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); form run lto;
Minus: course (?); 57-day break; up 7lbs (wt); up 5lbs (OR);
Verdict: very lightly raced for a 6yo having missed all of 2018 and 2019 and having only 2 starts this season; last seen when winning at Newmarket in July and has been given time to recover; may need the race, but cannot be overlooked on sf ground.
Indianapolis 5-9-4 (98) Dr 17 (2.7)
’19 record: 2/2/7 Best: 188.4 off 95 carrying 9-7 (Cl 3 12f gd)
’20 record: 0/3/6 Best: 190.5 off 98 carrying 9-4 (Cl 2 14f gd/fm)
19/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (187/94.4) 16.5f gd York 9-6 25/1 4/17 2.6l off 98
close up, ridden over 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong, lost 3rd final strides
Plus: class (W); distance (F); course (F); form run lto (17 days); down 2lbs (wt); drop in trip;
Minus: going;
Verdict: won a Cl 2 in the mud at Leicester last autumn, but it was only a 4-horse affair; was unplaced at Ascot and here over 12f on sf, but stepped up to 14f and then 16f was twice placed, the last times behind Rajinsky (+6); 2lbs better off today and not entirely dismissed dropping back in trip off the same mark.
Rajinsky 4-9-0 (94) Dr 9 (3.5)
’19 record: 2/0/5 Best: 161.3 off 80 carrying 9-3 (Cl 4 10f hv)
’20 record: 0/3/5 Best: 185.7 off 92 gd (Cl 2 16.5f gd)
19/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (187/94.4) 16.5f gd York 9-0 15/2 2/17 0.75l off 92
tracked leader, ridden to lead over 2f out, headed close home
Plus: class (F); distance (F); course (F); form run lto (17 days); down in trip;
Minus: going (?); up 2lbs (OR);
Verdict: shown his liking for hv ground when winning at Windsor and has shown his ability over16f so it remains to be seen how the drop back in trip will fare; 2lbs worse of with Indianapolis for just under 2l, so that should be close.
Rhythmic Intent 4-9-2 (96) Dr 12 (17.1)
’19 record: 1/2/7 Best: 170.0 off 84 carrying 8-3 (Cl 2 12f gd/sf)
’20 record: 2/1/4 Best: 174.1 off 90 carrying 10-0 (Cl 3 13.5f sf)
16/08/20 Cl 3 Hcap (97/84.1) 13.5f sf Wind 10-0 100/30 1/10 3l off 90
held up towards rear, close up travelling well 3f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, quickened clear final furlong
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (W); form run lto (20 days); down 12lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?); up 6lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: most impressive when quickening clear of his field under 10-0 lto; however, that was only a Cl 3 and he’s tackling a Cl 2 today off a 6lbs higher mark; has a chance, but not sure it’s a favourite’s chance.
With the going likely to be heavy, I’ve got to negate the chances of Glencadam Glory simply due to the weight. A race to tiptoe about I think and I’ll take a chance of Cape Coast from Rainsky and perhaps Rhythmic Intent to demote Indianapolis to 4th.
Ascot 16.15 Cl 2 Handicap 218 (96.4) 7f gd – 17 Run (16 at Best)
3yo = 4lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 498 (96.0) gd/fm -0 17 ran
Salute The Soldier 10/1 4-09-1 (101) Dr 2 by 0.25l from Tabarrack 8/1 6-9-10 (110) Dr 9
Willie John 5-9-0 (100) Dr 12 (4.2)
’19 record: 0/2/4
’20 record: 0/1/2 Best: 192.2 off 100 carrying 9-1 (Cl 2 8f gd/fm)
31/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (311/100.4) 8f gd/fm Good 9-1 9/1 4/14 2.75l off 100
held up towards rear, smooth headway on outside tracking leaders over 2f out, ridden and every chance over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (W); form run lto (36 days); down 1lb (wt);
Minus: course;
Verdict: interesting back down to 7f for the first time since his debut in October 1917, having worked his way down from 12f; might be the key after he seemed to stutter last time over 8f; a speculative suggestion.
Blue Mist 5-9-1 (101) Dr 2 (6.3)
’19 record: 0/1/4 Best: 194.5 off 96 carrying 9-2 (Cl 2 7f AW)
‘20 record: 1/1/3 Best: 191.1 off 95 carrying 8-11 (Cl 2 7f gd/fm)
25/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (280/86.1) 7f gd/fm Ascot 8-11 9/2 F 1/19 1.25l off 95
held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, led 1f out, ran on well, readily
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (42 days);
Minus: up 4lbs (wt); up 6lns (OR);
Verdict: not overly raced, about 4 races per season, and predominantly at Ascot; well backed on 2nd outing of the season and duly obliged lto; raised to three figure for the first time, but shouldn’t prove beyond him; a player.
Society Lion 3-8-6 (96) Dr 4 (7.5)
’19 record: 1/0/2
’20 record: 1/2/4 Best: 184.9 off 81 carrying 8-12 (Cl 2 7f gd/fm)
22/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (249/96.9) 7f AW Chelm 8-12 6/4F 3/14 2.75l off 96
close up, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (F); distance (W); form run lto (14 days); down 6lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?);
Verdict: won a good race at Goodwood and then finished 3rd in his debut against older horses; worth another chance.
A race where not much qualifies according to my figures, so it’s Willie John from Blue Mist and perhaps Society Lion in third.
Haydock 14.50 Cl 2 Handicap 518 (94.2) 14f sf – 17 Run
Last year: 647 (93.2) sf 16 ran
Time To Study 7/1 5-8-10 (93) Dr 5 by 0.25l from Alright Sunshine 5/2 F 4-9-1 (93) Dr 15
Reshoun 8/1 5-9-1 (93) Dr 13 was 4.25l 3rd
Cape Coast 6-9-1 (95) Dr 4 (2.4)
’20 record: 1/1/2 Best: 187.8 off 90 carrying 8-8 (Cl 2 14f sf)
10/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (374/97.8) 14f sf Nwmkt 8-8 13/2 1/13 0.5l off 90
keen tracked leaders, chased leader over 4f out, ridden to lead entering final 2f, pushed out
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); form run lto;
Minus: course (?); 57-day break; up 7lbs (wt); up 5lbs (OR);
Verdict: very lightly raced for a 6yo having missed all of 2018 and 2019 and having only 2 starts this season; last seen when winning at Newmarket in July and has been given time to recover; may need the race, but cannot be overlooked on sf ground.
Indianapolis 5-9-4 (98) Dr 17 (2.7)
’19 record: 2/2/7 Best: 188.4 off 95 carrying 9-7 (Cl 3 12f gd)
’20 record: 0/3/6 Best: 190.5 off 98 carrying 9-4 (Cl 2 14f gd/fm)
19/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (187/94.4) 16.5f gd York 9-6 25/1 4/17 2.6l off 98
close up, ridden over 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong, lost 3rd final strides
Plus: class (W); distance (F); course (F); form run lto (17 days); down 2lbs (wt); drop in trip;
Minus: going;
Verdict: won a Cl 2 in the mud at Leicester last autumn, but it was only a 4-horse affair; was unplaced at Ascot and here over 12f on sf, but stepped up to 14f and then 16f was twice placed, the last times behind Rajinsky (+6); 2lbs better off today and not entirely dismissed dropping back in trip off the same mark.
Rajinsky 4-9-0 (94) Dr 9 (3.5)
’19 record: 2/0/5 Best: 161.3 off 80 carrying 9-3 (Cl 4 10f hv)
’20 record: 0/3/5 Best: 185.7 off 92 gd (Cl 2 16.5f gd)
19/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (187/94.4) 16.5f gd York 9-0 15/2 2/17 0.75l off 92
tracked leader, ridden to lead over 2f out, headed close home
Plus: class (F); distance (F); course (F); form run lto (17 days); down in trip;
Minus: going (?); up 2lbs (OR);
Verdict: shown his liking for hv ground when winning at Windsor and has shown his ability over16f so it remains to be seen how the drop back in trip will fare; 2lbs worse of with Indianapolis for just under 2l, so that should be close.
Rhythmic Intent 4-9-2 (96) Dr 12 (17.1)
’19 record: 1/2/7 Best: 170.0 off 84 carrying 8-3 (Cl 2 12f gd/sf)
’20 record: 2/1/4 Best: 174.1 off 90 carrying 10-0 (Cl 3 13.5f sf)
16/08/20 Cl 3 Hcap (97/84.1) 13.5f sf Wind 10-0 100/30 1/10 3l off 90
held up towards rear, close up travelling well 3f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, quickened clear final furlong
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (W); form run lto (20 days); down 12lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?); up 6lbs (OR); up in class;
Verdict: most impressive when quickening clear of his field under 10-0 lto; however, that was only a Cl 3 and he’s tackling a Cl 2 today off a 6lbs higher mark; has a chance, but not sure it’s a favourite’s chance.
With the going likely to be heavy, I’ve got to negate the chances of Glencadam Glory simply due to the weight. A race to tiptoe about I think and I’ll take a chance of Cape Coast from Rainsky and perhaps Rhythmic Intent to demote Indianapolis to 4th.
Ascot 16.15 Cl 2 Handicap 218 (96.4) 7f gd – 17 Run (16 at Best)
3yo = 4lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 498 (96.0) gd/fm -0 17 ran
Salute The Soldier 10/1 4-09-1 (101) Dr 2 by 0.25l from Tabarrack 8/1 6-9-10 (110) Dr 9
Willie John 5-9-0 (100) Dr 12 (4.2)
’19 record: 0/2/4
’20 record: 0/1/2 Best: 192.2 off 100 carrying 9-1 (Cl 2 8f gd/fm)
31/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (311/100.4) 8f gd/fm Good 9-1 9/1 4/14 2.75l off 100
held up towards rear, smooth headway on outside tracking leaders over 2f out, ridden and every chance over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong
Plus: class (F); going (W); distance (W); form run lto (36 days); down 1lb (wt);
Minus: course;
Verdict: interesting back down to 7f for the first time since his debut in October 1917, having worked his way down from 12f; might be the key after he seemed to stutter last time over 8f; a speculative suggestion.
Blue Mist 5-9-1 (101) Dr 2 (6.3)
’19 record: 0/1/4 Best: 194.5 off 96 carrying 9-2 (Cl 2 7f AW)
‘20 record: 1/1/3 Best: 191.1 off 95 carrying 8-11 (Cl 2 7f gd/fm)
25/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (280/86.1) 7f gd/fm Ascot 8-11 9/2 F 1/19 1.25l off 95
held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, led 1f out, ran on well, readily
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (42 days);
Minus: up 4lbs (wt); up 6lns (OR);
Verdict: not overly raced, about 4 races per season, and predominantly at Ascot; well backed on 2nd outing of the season and duly obliged lto; raised to three figure for the first time, but shouldn’t prove beyond him; a player.
Society Lion 3-8-6 (96) Dr 4 (7.5)
’19 record: 1/0/2
’20 record: 1/2/4 Best: 184.9 off 81 carrying 8-12 (Cl 2 7f gd/fm)
22/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (249/96.9) 7f AW Chelm 8-12 6/4F 3/14 2.75l off 96
close up, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (F); distance (W); form run lto (14 days); down 6lbs (wt);
Minus: course (?);
Verdict: won a good race at Goodwood and then finished 3rd in his debut against older horses; worth another chance.
A race where not much qualifies according to my figures, so it’s Willie John from Blue Mist and perhaps Society Lion in third.