Post by Old Timer on Aug 30, 2020 10:36:15 GMT
It just shows you, when you least expect it up pops the reverse forecast! And thanks to the N/R I can claim the tricast and combi too! Let’s see if I can get so lucky today.
Goodwood 14.25 Cl 2 Handicap 129 (90.8) 6f gd/sf – 10 Run
3yo = 3lbs wfa allowance
Last year – 189 (93.9) gd – 7 ran
Green Power 4/1 4-9-6 (96) Dr 3 by 0.02l from Embour 7/2 4-9-5 (95) Dr 2
Chairmanoftheboard 4-9-10 (95) Dr 1 (-1.8)
’19 record: 0/0/7
’20 record: 2/3/6 Best: 187.6 off 95 carrying 8-11 (Cl 2 gd/fm)
01/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (467/96.2) 6f gd/fm Good 8-11 33/1 5/271.45l off 95
raced centre, mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); recent form run (29 days);
Minus: up 13lbs (wt);
Verdict: much improvement this year and won a Cl 2 on gd/sf at Newmarket prior to producing a career best in the Steward’s Cup just 0.35l behind Brian The Snail; weighted to reverse the form today.
Brian The Snail 6-9-6 (91) Dr 4 (-1.6)
’19 record: 1/1/13 Best: 166.4 off 86 carrying 9-9 (Cl 4 gd/fm)
’20 record: 1/2/4 Best: 183.4 off 90 carrying 8-6 (Cl 2 gd/fm)
16/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (249/89.4) 6f gd/sf Rip 8-8 12/1 12/19 3.25l off 91
tracked leader near side, brief headway 2f out, outpaced final furlong, 5th of 10 in group
01/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (467/96.2) 6f gd/fm Good 8-6 66/1 3/27 1.1l off 90
raced stands side, chased leaders, driven over 1f out, ran on well inside final 100 yards, went 3rd close home
Plus: class (F); distance (W); course (F); recent outing (14 days); recent form run (29 days);
Minus: going; up 12lbs (wt);
Verdict: seems to give his best running on better ground and career best in Steward’s Cup under today’s rider when 0.35l ahead of Chairmanoftheboard (+8); C weighted to reverse that running; however, de Sousa again booked and must have a chance.
Typhoon Ten 4-9-5 (90) Dr 6 (4.3)
’19 record: 1/5/7 Best: 166.1 off 83 carrying 9-5 (Cl 3 7f AW)
’20 record: 1/3/6 Best: 176.5 off 90 carrying 8-7 (Cl 2 6f gd/sf)
16/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (249/89.4) 6f gd/sf Rip 8-7 22/1 5/19 1.15l off 90
just worse than mid-division far side, not clear run 2f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong, 3rd of 9 in group
Plus: class (F); going (F); distance (W); form run lto (14 days);
Minus: course (?); up 12lbs (wt);
Verdict: might have been a bit closer with a clear run lto in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon, but finished with a career best and must have a chance off the same mark.
Again quite a few that are fancied based on form from some way back. So I’m just going with these three, who have run well within the last month. The one they’ve all got to beat is Commanderinchief who I’m taking from Brian The Snail and Typhoon Ten.
Goodwood 14.25 Cl 2 Handicap 129 (90.8) 6f gd/sf – 10 Run
3yo = 3lbs wfa allowance
Last year – 189 (93.9) gd – 7 ran
Green Power 4/1 4-9-6 (96) Dr 3 by 0.02l from Embour 7/2 4-9-5 (95) Dr 2
Chairmanoftheboard 4-9-10 (95) Dr 1 (-1.8)
’19 record: 0/0/7
’20 record: 2/3/6 Best: 187.6 off 95 carrying 8-11 (Cl 2 gd/fm)
01/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (467/96.2) 6f gd/fm Good 8-11 33/1 5/271.45l off 95
raced centre, mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); recent form run (29 days);
Minus: up 13lbs (wt);
Verdict: much improvement this year and won a Cl 2 on gd/sf at Newmarket prior to producing a career best in the Steward’s Cup just 0.35l behind Brian The Snail; weighted to reverse the form today.
Brian The Snail 6-9-6 (91) Dr 4 (-1.6)
’19 record: 1/1/13 Best: 166.4 off 86 carrying 9-9 (Cl 4 gd/fm)
’20 record: 1/2/4 Best: 183.4 off 90 carrying 8-6 (Cl 2 gd/fm)
16/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (249/89.4) 6f gd/sf Rip 8-8 12/1 12/19 3.25l off 91
tracked leader near side, brief headway 2f out, outpaced final furlong, 5th of 10 in group
01/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (467/96.2) 6f gd/fm Good 8-6 66/1 3/27 1.1l off 90
raced stands side, chased leaders, driven over 1f out, ran on well inside final 100 yards, went 3rd close home
Plus: class (F); distance (W); course (F); recent outing (14 days); recent form run (29 days);
Minus: going; up 12lbs (wt);
Verdict: seems to give his best running on better ground and career best in Steward’s Cup under today’s rider when 0.35l ahead of Chairmanoftheboard (+8); C weighted to reverse that running; however, de Sousa again booked and must have a chance.
Typhoon Ten 4-9-5 (90) Dr 6 (4.3)
’19 record: 1/5/7 Best: 166.1 off 83 carrying 9-5 (Cl 3 7f AW)
’20 record: 1/3/6 Best: 176.5 off 90 carrying 8-7 (Cl 2 6f gd/sf)
16/08/20 Cl 2 Hcap (249/89.4) 6f gd/sf Rip 8-7 22/1 5/19 1.15l off 90
just worse than mid-division far side, not clear run 2f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong, 3rd of 9 in group
Plus: class (F); going (F); distance (W); form run lto (14 days);
Minus: course (?); up 12lbs (wt);
Verdict: might have been a bit closer with a clear run lto in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon, but finished with a career best and must have a chance off the same mark.
Again quite a few that are fancied based on form from some way back. So I’m just going with these three, who have run well within the last month. The one they’ve all got to beat is Commanderinchief who I’m taking from Brian The Snail and Typhoon Ten.