Post by Old Timer on Aug 20, 2020 11:24:01 GMT
Pleased and amazed at yesterday’s result with 1st and 4th, though in the wrong order, and the outsider finished 6th! Let’s hope that’s an omen for today.
York 14.45 Cl 2 Handicap 467 (98.6) 8f gd/sf – 20 Run (19 at best)
Last year: 529 (97.8) gd 18 ran
What’s The Story 12/1 5-9-6 (103) Dr 14 by 0.1 from Vale Of Kent 10/1 4-9-7 (104) Dr 20
Firmament 12/1 7-9-2 (99) Dr 12 was 3.6l 4th
Qaysar 15/2 4-9-3 (100) Dr 1 was 4.85l 6th
Mutamaasik 4-9-1 (101) Dr 16 (199.6)
’19 record: 4/1/5 Best: 185.5 off 97 carrying 9-7 (7f)
’20 record: 0/1/3 Best: 194.5 off 100 carrying 9-5 (7f)
25/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (280/96.1) 7f gd/fm Ascot 9-4 8/1 3.9l 7/19 off 102 – 189.7
chased leaders, ridden 2f out, not pace to challenge, kept on
Plus: class (W); going (F); recent outing (36 days); down 3lbs (wt); down 1lb (OR);
Minus: distance (?); course (?);
Verdict: won 4 in a row last season, but after initial promise he has disappointed the last twice and now blinkers are fitted as he steps up to 8f for the first time;
Prompting 4-8-9 (95) Dr 5 (193.6)
’19 record: 0/1/2
’20 record: 4/1/6 Best: 189.4 off 89.5 carrying 8-4
31/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (311/100.4) 8f gd/fm 8-4 3/1 F 1/14 1.5l off 89 – 189.4
tracked leaders on inside, not clear run and switched left inside final 2f, went 2nd over 1f out, ridden to lead 1f out, ran on well
Plus: class (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (20 days);
Minus: going (?); up 5lbs (wt). up 6lbs (OR);
Verdict: has been a revelation since joining O’Meara from Olly Murphy winning 3 in a row including the Golden Mile last month; however, has been raised another 6lbs for that and not many win 4 in a row in this class.
Montatham 4-9-4 (104) Dr 2 (202.6)
’19 record: 2/1/5 Best: 174.0 off 88 carrying 8-9 (7f)
’20 record: 2/1/4 Best: 196.4 off 100 carrying 9-3 (8f)
05/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (187/96.4) Sand 9-3 6/5 F 1/9 0.05l off 100 – 196.4
tracked leaders, ridden to lead final 150 yards, just held on, all out
Plus: class (W); distance (W); form run lto (46 days);
Minus: going (?); course (?); up 1lb (wt); up 4lb (OR);
Verdict: has continued his improvement this season, though found it tougher last time when just holding on from Dark Vision; however, Dark Vision went on to win in Listed class next time; still with more improvement to come, Montatham is not without a chance.
Top Rank might be favourite having won all four of his starts, but the last one was only in Cl 3 and he has been hiked12lbs for that. He’ll have to be good to win with that and as such doesn’t make my shortlist. Prompting is another that’s won three in a row, but he’s only been raised 6lbs for winning the Golden Mile and while that might be alright, I’m nominating him for third. For the winner though I’m going for Montatham from Mutamaasik who might get some help from first-time blinkers and 8f.
York 14.45 Cl 2 Handicap 467 (98.6) 8f gd/sf – 20 Run (19 at best)
Last year: 529 (97.8) gd 18 ran
What’s The Story 12/1 5-9-6 (103) Dr 14 by 0.1 from Vale Of Kent 10/1 4-9-7 (104) Dr 20
Firmament 12/1 7-9-2 (99) Dr 12 was 3.6l 4th
Qaysar 15/2 4-9-3 (100) Dr 1 was 4.85l 6th
Mutamaasik 4-9-1 (101) Dr 16 (199.6)
’19 record: 4/1/5 Best: 185.5 off 97 carrying 9-7 (7f)
’20 record: 0/1/3 Best: 194.5 off 100 carrying 9-5 (7f)
25/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (280/96.1) 7f gd/fm Ascot 9-4 8/1 3.9l 7/19 off 102 – 189.7
chased leaders, ridden 2f out, not pace to challenge, kept on
Plus: class (W); going (F); recent outing (36 days); down 3lbs (wt); down 1lb (OR);
Minus: distance (?); course (?);
Verdict: won 4 in a row last season, but after initial promise he has disappointed the last twice and now blinkers are fitted as he steps up to 8f for the first time;
Prompting 4-8-9 (95) Dr 5 (193.6)
’19 record: 0/1/2
’20 record: 4/1/6 Best: 189.4 off 89.5 carrying 8-4
31/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (311/100.4) 8f gd/fm 8-4 3/1 F 1/14 1.5l off 89 – 189.4
tracked leaders on inside, not clear run and switched left inside final 2f, went 2nd over 1f out, ridden to lead 1f out, ran on well
Plus: class (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (20 days);
Minus: going (?); up 5lbs (wt). up 6lbs (OR);
Verdict: has been a revelation since joining O’Meara from Olly Murphy winning 3 in a row including the Golden Mile last month; however, has been raised another 6lbs for that and not many win 4 in a row in this class.
Montatham 4-9-4 (104) Dr 2 (202.6)
’19 record: 2/1/5 Best: 174.0 off 88 carrying 8-9 (7f)
’20 record: 2/1/4 Best: 196.4 off 100 carrying 9-3 (8f)
05/07/20 Cl 2 Hcap (187/96.4) Sand 9-3 6/5 F 1/9 0.05l off 100 – 196.4
tracked leaders, ridden to lead final 150 yards, just held on, all out
Plus: class (W); distance (W); form run lto (46 days);
Minus: going (?); course (?); up 1lb (wt); up 4lb (OR);
Verdict: has continued his improvement this season, though found it tougher last time when just holding on from Dark Vision; however, Dark Vision went on to win in Listed class next time; still with more improvement to come, Montatham is not without a chance.
Top Rank might be favourite having won all four of his starts, but the last one was only in Cl 3 and he has been hiked12lbs for that. He’ll have to be good to win with that and as such doesn’t make my shortlist. Prompting is another that’s won three in a row, but he’s only been raised 6lbs for winning the Golden Mile and while that might be alright, I’m nominating him for third. For the winner though I’m going for Montatham from Mutamaasik who might get some help from first-time blinkers and 8f.