Post by Old Timer on Jul 11, 2020 10:35:03 GMT
At last a winner, very welcome as they’ve been a bit of an endangered species since Ascot. Let’s hope that’s a sign of the season really getting under way as far as I’m concerned.
Ascot 15.50 Cl 2 Hcap 249 (92.9) 5f gd – 20 Run (19 at best)
Last year: 623 (95.4) gd/fm – 20 ran
Tis Marvellous 9/2 F 5-9-8 (103) Dr 20 by 2.5 l Open Wide 12/1 5-9-0 (95) Dr 15
Stone Of Destiny 9/1 4-9-5 (100) Dr 6 was 3.9 l 6th
Stone Of Destiny 5-9-4 (96) Dr 14 (108.4)
’18 record: 1/3/12 ’20 record: 0/0/2
20/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (485/99.9) 6f gd Ascot 9-1 28/1 6/22 2.25 l off 97 – 98.4
held up tracking leaders towards far side, headway over 1f out, ran on same pace towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (21 days); down 1lb (OR);
Minus: up 3lbs (wt);
Verdict: promising effort in Wokingham and runs off 1lb lower mark than when winning over C&D last August; contender,
Lahore 6-9-10 (102) Dr 16 (102.3)
’19 record: 1/1/9 ’20 record: 1/0/2
14/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (93/95.2) 5f gd Donc 9-1 10/1 1 12 1.5 l off 96 – 98.3
slowly into stride, held up, headway and switched left over if out, led inside final furlong, edged left towards finish, readily
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); recent AW run (14 days);
Minus: course (?); up 3 lbs;
Verdict: second failure on AW, so discounted; credible effort on return under today’s claimer and useful 3lbs today; possibilities.
Aplomb 4-9-2 (94) Dr 17 (100.1)
’19 record: 2/2/9 ’20 record: 0/0/2
20/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (226/94.4) 6f gd Ascot 9-4 7/1 7/19 3.9 l off 95 – 83.1
held up in mid-division in centre, headway hanging right over 1f out, one pace and no impression in final furlong
Plus: class (F); going (F); course (F); recent run (21 days); down 2lbs (wt); down 1lb (OR);
Minus: distance;
Verdict: has only won over 6f and looks as if he’s not there yet this season.
Mountain Peak 5-9-3 (95) Dr 19 (94.2)
’19 record: 1/1/8 ’20 record: 1/1/2
24/06/20 Cl 3 Hcap (67/88.1) 5f gd Hayd 9-5 5/1 1/13 1.25 l off 88 – 83.2
raced handy, ridden along to take lead over 1f out, ran on well
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (17 days); down 2lbs (wt);
Minus: up 7lbs (OR);
Verdict: defeated Venturous (+1) and likely to have too much even on 5lbs worse terms, another possible.
Jonah Jones 4-8-12 (90) Dr 20 (94.0)
’19 record: 0/0/3 ’20 record: 0/1/1
09/06/20 Cl 3 Hcap (67/86.7) 5f gd Hayd 9-5 13/2 3/12 1.25 l off 88 – 78.0
not much room start, held up in rear, hampered over 1f out, soon switched right, ran on final 100yds, went 3rd close home
Plus: distance (F);
Minus: class; going, course (?)
Verdict: promising first run for yard having left Dascombe, for whom he never fired last year; will need to step up, as he’s no form in this class.
Again I’m going for those drawn high, as it’s tough to win from a single digit stall. And the two that I’m going to leave are Aplomb and Jonah Jones. For the winner I have to go with Stone Of Destiny, but mindful of the weight I’m taking Mountain Peak to edge out Lahore.
Newmarket 15.50 Cl 2 Hcap 249 (92.9) 7f sf – 20 Run (18 at best)
3yo – 8lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 747 (97.2) gd/fm – 17 Ran
Vale Of Kent 13/2 4-9-4 (99) Dr 14 by 0.5 l from Solar Gold 4/1 F 4-9-1 (96) Dr 11
Spanish City 7/1 6-9-1 (96) Dr 8 was 1.25 l 4th
Keyser Soze 16/1 5-9-7 (102) Dr 2 was 8.54 l 11th
Mutamaasik 4-9-4 (102) Dr 11 (106.6)
’19 record: 4/1/5 ’20 record: 0/1/1
16/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (218/99.3) 7f gd/sf Ascot 9-5 7/1 3/23 2.25 l off 100 – 96.6
tracked leaders centre, ridden to lead this group over 1f out, ran on
Plus: class (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (25 days); down 1lb (wt);
Minus: going (?); up 2lbs (OR);
Verdict: progressive last season, and perhaps a little unlucky with the draw in the Buckingham Palace Stks at Ascot where he led his group home; has a chance on more even terms today and may well prevail this time.
Motakhayyel 4-9-7 (105) Dr 14 (106.4)
’19 record: 2/1/4 ’20 record: 1/0/1
16/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (218/99.3) 7f gd/sf Ascot 9-3 14/1 1/23 1.25 l off 98 – 99.4
in touch stands side, switched right and headway 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, ran on
Plus: class (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (25 days);
Minus: going (?); up 4lbs (wt); up 7lbs (OR);
Verdict: had the best of the draw in the Buckingham Palace Stks at Ascot and duly obliged; raised 7lbs for that which means he’s 5lbs worse off with Mutamaasik who enjoys a better draw this time, so likely to be close between the two.
Arigato 5-8-8 (92) Dr 13 (103.5)
’19 record: 1/2/8 ’20 record: 2/1/3
27/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/94.4) 7f gd/fm Nwmkt 8-4 3/1 Jt F 1/6 1 l off 87 – 83.5
keen tracked leaders, switched right over 1f out, led inside final furlong, edged right and ran on
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (14);
Minus: up 4lbs (wt); up 5lbs (OR);
Verdict: career best lto when beating Blown By Wind (+20) and Kasbaan (-9) comfortably enough; meets then on 6lbs and 5lbs worse terms, but may be still improving.
Just the three to consider as I’ve decided to dismiss those drawn in single digits, which include Spanish City, Blown By Wind and Sir Busker. I may be wrong, but it’s usually the high ones that win. I’m going for Mutamaasik to reverse Ascot form with Motakhayyel, but this time I’m looking for Arigato to split the pair. So it’s Mutamaasik, Arigato and Motakhayyel taking third ahead of Blown By Wind.
Ascot 15.50 Cl 2 Hcap 249 (92.9) 5f gd – 20 Run (19 at best)
Last year: 623 (95.4) gd/fm – 20 ran
Tis Marvellous 9/2 F 5-9-8 (103) Dr 20 by 2.5 l Open Wide 12/1 5-9-0 (95) Dr 15
Stone Of Destiny 9/1 4-9-5 (100) Dr 6 was 3.9 l 6th
Stone Of Destiny 5-9-4 (96) Dr 14 (108.4)
’18 record: 1/3/12 ’20 record: 0/0/2
20/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (485/99.9) 6f gd Ascot 9-1 28/1 6/22 2.25 l off 97 – 98.4
held up tracking leaders towards far side, headway over 1f out, ran on same pace towards finish
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (21 days); down 1lb (OR);
Minus: up 3lbs (wt);
Verdict: promising effort in Wokingham and runs off 1lb lower mark than when winning over C&D last August; contender,
Lahore 6-9-10 (102) Dr 16 (102.3)
’19 record: 1/1/9 ’20 record: 1/0/2
14/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (93/95.2) 5f gd Donc 9-1 10/1 1 12 1.5 l off 96 – 98.3
slowly into stride, held up, headway and switched left over if out, led inside final furlong, edged left towards finish, readily
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); recent AW run (14 days);
Minus: course (?); up 3 lbs;
Verdict: second failure on AW, so discounted; credible effort on return under today’s claimer and useful 3lbs today; possibilities.
Aplomb 4-9-2 (94) Dr 17 (100.1)
’19 record: 2/2/9 ’20 record: 0/0/2
20/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (226/94.4) 6f gd Ascot 9-4 7/1 7/19 3.9 l off 95 – 83.1
held up in mid-division in centre, headway hanging right over 1f out, one pace and no impression in final furlong
Plus: class (F); going (F); course (F); recent run (21 days); down 2lbs (wt); down 1lb (OR);
Minus: distance;
Verdict: has only won over 6f and looks as if he’s not there yet this season.
Mountain Peak 5-9-3 (95) Dr 19 (94.2)
’19 record: 1/1/8 ’20 record: 1/1/2
24/06/20 Cl 3 Hcap (67/88.1) 5f gd Hayd 9-5 5/1 1/13 1.25 l off 88 – 83.2
raced handy, ridden along to take lead over 1f out, ran on well
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (17 days); down 2lbs (wt);
Minus: up 7lbs (OR);
Verdict: defeated Venturous (+1) and likely to have too much even on 5lbs worse terms, another possible.
Jonah Jones 4-8-12 (90) Dr 20 (94.0)
’19 record: 0/0/3 ’20 record: 0/1/1
09/06/20 Cl 3 Hcap (67/86.7) 5f gd Hayd 9-5 13/2 3/12 1.25 l off 88 – 78.0
not much room start, held up in rear, hampered over 1f out, soon switched right, ran on final 100yds, went 3rd close home
Plus: distance (F);
Minus: class; going, course (?)
Verdict: promising first run for yard having left Dascombe, for whom he never fired last year; will need to step up, as he’s no form in this class.
Again I’m going for those drawn high, as it’s tough to win from a single digit stall. And the two that I’m going to leave are Aplomb and Jonah Jones. For the winner I have to go with Stone Of Destiny, but mindful of the weight I’m taking Mountain Peak to edge out Lahore.
Newmarket 15.50 Cl 2 Hcap 249 (92.9) 7f sf – 20 Run (18 at best)
3yo – 8lbs wfa allowance
Last year: 747 (97.2) gd/fm – 17 Ran
Vale Of Kent 13/2 4-9-4 (99) Dr 14 by 0.5 l from Solar Gold 4/1 F 4-9-1 (96) Dr 11
Spanish City 7/1 6-9-1 (96) Dr 8 was 1.25 l 4th
Keyser Soze 16/1 5-9-7 (102) Dr 2 was 8.54 l 11th
Mutamaasik 4-9-4 (102) Dr 11 (106.6)
’19 record: 4/1/5 ’20 record: 0/1/1
16/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (218/99.3) 7f gd/sf Ascot 9-5 7/1 3/23 2.25 l off 100 – 96.6
tracked leaders centre, ridden to lead this group over 1f out, ran on
Plus: class (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (25 days); down 1lb (wt);
Minus: going (?); up 2lbs (OR);
Verdict: progressive last season, and perhaps a little unlucky with the draw in the Buckingham Palace Stks at Ascot where he led his group home; has a chance on more even terms today and may well prevail this time.
Motakhayyel 4-9-7 (105) Dr 14 (106.4)
’19 record: 2/1/4 ’20 record: 1/0/1
16/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (218/99.3) 7f gd/sf Ascot 9-3 14/1 1/23 1.25 l off 98 – 99.4
in touch stands side, switched right and headway 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, ran on
Plus: class (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (25 days);
Minus: going (?); up 4lbs (wt); up 7lbs (OR);
Verdict: had the best of the draw in the Buckingham Palace Stks at Ascot and duly obliged; raised 7lbs for that which means he’s 5lbs worse off with Mutamaasik who enjoys a better draw this time, so likely to be close between the two.
Arigato 5-8-8 (92) Dr 13 (103.5)
’19 record: 1/2/8 ’20 record: 2/1/3
27/06/20 Cl 2 Hcap (97/94.4) 7f gd/fm Nwmkt 8-4 3/1 Jt F 1/6 1 l off 87 – 83.5
keen tracked leaders, switched right over 1f out, led inside final furlong, edged right and ran on
Plus: class (W); going (W); distance (W); course (W); form run lto (14);
Minus: up 4lbs (wt); up 5lbs (OR);
Verdict: career best lto when beating Blown By Wind (+20) and Kasbaan (-9) comfortably enough; meets then on 6lbs and 5lbs worse terms, but may be still improving.
Just the three to consider as I’ve decided to dismiss those drawn in single digits, which include Spanish City, Blown By Wind and Sir Busker. I may be wrong, but it’s usually the high ones that win. I’m going for Mutamaasik to reverse Ascot form with Motakhayyel, but this time I’m looking for Arigato to split the pair. So it’s Mutamaasik, Arigato and Motakhayyel taking third ahead of Blown By Wind.