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Post by Old Timer on Mar 9, 2011 13:04:26 GMT
Something I came across some time ago, but while it went on my ‘to do’ list, I have never found the time to have a look at it. However, I did finally jot down the results for yesterday’s handicaps, which make pretty interesting reading:
Exe 3.00 Baccalaureate UNPL / She’s On The Case UNPL
Exe 3.30 Ammunition W 16/1 / Vamizi 2nd 13/2
Exe 5.00 The Fox’s Decree 3rd 9/2 / Tavalu UNPL
South 1.40 Flying Applause UNPL / Bold Diva 3rd 9/2
South 2.10 La Capriosa UNPL / Incomparable 2nd 8/1
South 3.40 Irish Jugger W 11/8 / Mexican Jay UNPL
South 4.10 Olympic Dream 3rd 7/1 / Lindoro W 16/1
South 4.40 Elusive Flame 3rd 7/2 / Trans Sonic W 4/1
South 5.10 Chateau Zara UNPL / Angelena Ballerina W 7/1
Now that’s 5 winners and 6 others placed out of 18 selections in 9 races, or 31.375 pts profit on the day to 1 pt win stakes.
While I don’t expect such fantastic figures to occur again, I did think it was worthwhile giving it a whirl again today, especially as I had a little spare time to work them all out.
Catterick 3.20 Rhyton / Mardood
Catterick 3.50 Bardolet / Go On Be A Lady
Fontwell 4.00 I Can Run Can You / Hurricane Electric
Fontwell 4.30 Marigolds Way / Investment Affair
Lingfield 2.10 Humor Me Rene / Where’s Susie
Lingfield 3.10 Stoneacre Gareth / Tudor Prince
Lingfield 4.10 Athwaab / Lithaam
Lingfield 5.10 Prince Apollo / Fashionable Gal
Kempton 6.00 Rezwaan / Stoppers
Kempton 7.30 Shades Of Grey / Visions of Johanna
Kempton 8.00 Exceedingly Bold / Al Aqabah
Kempton 8.30 Lilli Palmer / Aggbag
That’s a lot I know, but it will be interesting to see how they get on – even if they all lose, you’d still be up over the 2 days!
Bringing in one extra filter though reduces them to just these:
Font 4.00 I Can Run Can You
Ling 3.10 Stoneacre Gareth
Ling 4.10 Athwaab
Might be worth a small e/w patent, if the prices so permit that is.
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 10, 2011 0:18:43 GMT
As was to be expected, we didn't quite get a repeat, although results were not as bad as they might of been and it's perhaps worth following for another day or so.  Catterick 3.20 Rhyton UNPL/ Mardood UNPL Catterick 3.50 Bardolet W 5/2/ Go On Be A Lady UNPL Fontwell 4.00 I Can Run Can You W 2/1/ Hurricane Electric 2nd 11/2 Fontwell 4.30 Marigolds Way 2nd 5/1 / Investment Affair UNPL Lingfield 2.10 Humor Me Rene UNPL/ Where’s Susie W 7/2 Lingfield 3.10 Stoneacre Gareth UNPL/ Tudor Prince UNPL Lingfield 4.10 Athwaab UNPL/ Lithaam UNPL Lingfield 5.10 Prince Apollo W 11/4/ Fashionable Gal 2nd 3/1 Kempton 6.00 Rezwaan W 7/2/ Stoppers UNPL Kempton 7.30 Shades Of Grey UNPL/ Visions of Johanna UNPL Kempton 8.00 Exceedingly Bold UNPL/ Al Aqabah 2nd 5/2 Kempton 8.30 Lilli Palmer 3rd 8/1/ Aggbag UNPL 5 W 5 P out of 24 selections for a loss of 9.75 pts on the day That’s a lot I know, but it will be interesting to see how they get on – even if they all lose, you’d still be up over the 2 days! Bringing in one extra filter though reduces them to just these: Font 4.00 I Can Run Can You W 2/1 Ling 3.10 Stoneacre Gareth UNPL Ling 4.10 Athwaab UNPL Might be worth a small e/w patent, if the prices so dictate that is. Prices not conducive for E/W patent, but 4 pts lost on 1 pt win patent Oldtimer |
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 10, 2011 13:21:34 GMT
Although yesterday was by no means as successful as Tuesday there was enough encouragement to continue for another day or so. Plus, I have now had a little more time to study and tweak a couple of things, which would have increased profits on both days – yes, a small profit yesterday as well; still hasn’t cut the number of selections down much though!
So here we go with today’s hopefuls:
Winc 2.30 Robin Will / Rayon Vert
Winc 4.05 Rivermouth / Miss Miracle
Carl 3.45 Its Teescomponents / Billsgrey
Carl 4.50 Against The Wind / Daytime Dreamer
Folk 4.30 Portrait Royale
Kemp 7.00 Galiotto
Kemp 7.30 Double Carpet / Dvinsky
Kemp 8.00 Running Mate / Stonecrabstomorrow
Kemp 8.30 Space Station / The Scorching Wind
Something else from the same source that I checked on yesterday, which at least cuts down on the selections, although the prices might be a bit cramped on occasions as it takes no account of number of runners or type of race.
Folk 2.50 Erzen
Folk 3.55 Betty Browneyes
Folk 4.30 Portrait Royale
Kemp 6.30 Midnight Rider
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 11, 2011 0:40:54 GMT
Back on track with what was a good day, and would have been unheard of had Rivermouth won instead of finishing 2nd @ 25/1!
Winc 2.30 Robin Will 2nd 15/2/ Rayon Vert UNPL
Winc 4.05 Rivermouth 2nd 25/1/ Miss Miracle 3rd 9/2
Carl 3.45 Its Teescomponents UNPL/ Billsgrey 2nd 7/2
Carl 4.50 Against The Wind W 7/2 / Daytime Dreamer N/R
Folk 4.30 Portrait Royale UNPL
Kemp 7.00 Galiotto UNPL
Kemp 7.30 Double Carpet 3rd 7/2/ Dvinsky W 10/1
Kemp 8.00 Running Mate W 15/2/ Stonecrabstomorrow UNPL
Kemp 8.30 Space Station UNPL/ The Scorching Wind UNPL
3/5/15 for + 9 pts
The other four did so-so as well
Folk 2.50 Erzen UNPL
Folk 3.55 Betty Browneyes W 8/1
Folk 4.30 Portrait Royale UNPL
Kemp 6.30 Midnight Rider UNPL 4/5??
Profit + 5 pts
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 11, 2011 13:08:25 GMT
After a half-decent day yesterday, I’m interested to see how things go today, although time constraints may prevent me from posting the selections prior to racing on Saturday.
So with no more ado, here are today’s hopefuls:
Ayr 3.20 Parc Des Princes / Lewlaur Supreme
Ayr 3.55 Soprano / Sundown Trail
Ayr 4.30 Miss Abbey / Lahib The Fifth
Ayr 5.05 Palace Merano / The Whisperer
Sand 2.20 Verteuex
Sand 4.05 Time For Spring / Educated Evans
Winc 4.20 Senses / Allformary
Wolv 5.50 Efistorm / Kylladdie
Wolv 6.20 Three Scoops / Burnem Green
Wolv 6.50 Russian George / Cobo Bay
Wolv 8.20 Chocolate Caramel / Dart
Wolv 8.50 Kingdom Of Munster / Alternative Choice
Quite a lot I know, but a sprinkling of decent priced winners – or a 25/1 shot! – would show a profit. Actually, the N/R meant I had to cut a few races!
I’ve split the other approach into two groups, those running in decent sized fields and those running in small fields where the price may be a little cramped – Midnight Rider was such a horse at Kempton yesterday, starting at 4/5 and coming nowhere; I personally wouldn’t consider a race where the selection shortens to less than 9/4. So here are the blue chip selections:
Winc 4.20 Senses
Wolv 6.50 Russian George
Wolv 8.50 Kingdom Of Munster
And the small field ones:
Ayr 2.45 Cool Mission (5 Run) (4/5 ??)
Sand 5.15 Rebel Rebellion (6 Run)
Leic 4.15 Cesium (5 Run)
Leic 4.50 Bradford Boris (5 Run)
So a lot to look at today, which rather interrupted my continuing work on Cheltenham, which I’ve been at for over 3 weeks now!
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 12, 2011 4:24:00 GMT
Well I did say that only a few winners were needed!
Ayr 3.20 Parc Des Princes UNPL/ Lewlaur Supreme 3rd 4/1
Ayr 3.55 Soprano UNPL/ Sundown Trail UNPL
Ayr 4.30 Miss Abbey UNPL/ Lahib The Fifth N/R
Ayr 5.05 Palace Merano UNPL/ The Whisperer N/R
Sand 2.20 Verteuex 3rd 11/2
Sand 4.05 Time For Spring W 14/1/ Educated Evans UNPL
Winc 4.20 Senses UNPL/ Allformary W 5/1
Wolv 5.50 Efistorm UNPL/ Kylladdie W 8/1
Wolv 6.20 Three Scoops UNPL/ Burnem Green UNPL
Wolv 6.50 Russian George UNPL/ Cobo Bay UNPL
Wolv 8.20 Chocolate Caramel UNPL/ Dart UNPL
Wolv 8.50 Kingdom Of Munster UNPL/ Alternative Choice UNPL
3/2/21 for + 9.0 pts on the day
Blue Chip (stocks can fall as well!)
Winc 4.20 Senses UNPL
Wolv 6.50 Russian George UNPL
Wolv 8.50 Kingdom Of Munster UNPL
0/3 for -3 pts
And the small field ones:
Ayr 2.45 Cool Mission (5 Run) (4/5 ??) W 4/6
Sand 5.15 Rebel Rebellion (6 Run) W 15/8
Leic 4.15 Cesium (5 Run) UNPL
Leic 4.50 Bradford Boris (5 Run) 2nd 15/8
Too short for me to bother about
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 12, 2011 11:59:22 GMT
After the way it’s been going I made sure that I had enough time to at least get the basics down – just hope there aren’t too many N/R today.
Sand 1.55 Cucumber Run / Skint
Sand 2.25 Five Dream / Circus of Dreams
Sand 3.00 Tito Bustillo / Ronaldo Des Mottes
Sand 4.40 Alesandro Mantegna / Craiglands
Wolv 2.45 Kingscroft / Bosambo
Wolv 3.20 Tartan Gigha / Prime Exhibit
Wolv 4.25 Jimmy Styles / Little Garcon
Wolv 4.55 Record Breaker / Sherman Mccoy
Ayr 2.50 Seven Is Lucky / Rebel Swing
Ayr 4.30 Double Eagle / Chester Lad
Chep 2.35 Ukrainian Star
Chep 4.45 Loco Grande
Chep 5.15 Oscar Gogo
Chep 5.45 Lightening Fire
Perhaps surprisingly, there aren’t too many of these blue chip variety today – I’ve ditched the small fields.
Sand 1.55 The Reformer
Wolv 4.55 Record Breaker
Let’s see how that lot goes.
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 12, 2011 18:03:16 GMT
Yet another winning day. I can't believe this!
Sand 1.55 Cucumber Run UNPL/ Skint W 10/1
Sand 2.25 Five Dream UNPL/ Circus of Dreams UNPL
Sand 3.00 Tito Bustillo UNPL/ Ronaldo Des Mottes UNPL
Sand 4.40 Alesandro Mantegna UNPL/ Craiglands UNPL
Wolv 2.45 Kingscroft W 6/1/ Bosambo UNPL
Wolv 3.20 Tartan Gigha 2nd 10/1/ Prime Exhibit 3rd 4/1 F
Wolv 4.25 Jimmy Styles 3rd 11/2/ Little Garcon UNPL
Wolv 4.55 Record Breaker UNPL/ Sherman Mccoy UNPL
Ayr 2.50 Seven Is Lucky UNPL/ Rebel Swing W 7/2
Ayr 4.30 Double Eagle UNPL/ Chester Lad UNPL
Chep 2.35 Ukrainian Star 2nd 15/2
Chep 4.45 Loco Grande UNPL
Chep 5.15 Oscar Gogo UNPL
Chep 5.45 Lightening Fire W 13/2
4/4/24 for + 6 pts
The blue chips were down again though.
Sand 1.55 The Reformer UNPL
Wolv 4.55 Record Breaker UNPL
-2 pts
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 13, 2011 11:31:19 GMT
Well at last I've managed to get things down in the semblance of some order and weeded out one or two errors.
So from the start on Tuesday through Saturday's racing, sticking with the main selection idea and forgetting all about blue star selections and the like, the figures areas follows:
'A' (first-named) selections 11/54 for + 22.625 pts
'B' (second-named) selection 11/41 for + 46.0 pts
which if my maths is correct means 22/95 for + 68.625 Pts
Now having broken my arm patting my own back, watch it all fall apart today!
Not many today I’m afraid, plus I’ve lost one to the curse of the N/R. Hope there are no more!
Warwick 2.05 The Laodecian / De Welsh Wizzard
Warwick 4.05 Shammy Buskins
Mkt Rasen 2.20 Quilver Tatou
Mkt Rasen 4.25 Crazy Eyes / Pegasus Prince
Mkt Rasen 5.25 Sun Tsu / Overbranch
Fingers crossed then.
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 14, 2011 0:27:47 GMT
Well the day of reckoning had to come!
Warwick 2.05 The Laodecian UNPL / De Welsh Wizzard UNPL
Warwick 4.05 Shammy Buskins UNPL
Mkt Rasen 2.20 Quilver Tatou UNPL
Mkt Rasen 4.25 Crazy Eyes UNPL/ Pegasus Prince UNPL
Mkt Rasen 5.25 Sun Tsu UNPL/ Overbranch UNPL
0/8 for -8 pts
So 22/103 overall for + 60.625
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 14, 2011 12:33:30 GMT
As with every form of investment, what goes up can also go down and a market correction is always likely after a good run. Well, that’s my excuse for yesterday’s blank and I hope that it won’t carry over to today, which is another poor day’s racing, as befits the day before Cheltenham.
Plumpton 4.00 Dansilver / Just Beware
Plumpton 5.00 Aconitum / Rock ‘N’ Roller
Stratford 4.10 Veiled Applause / Remember Now
Taunton 4.20 Be Ashored
Taunton 5.20 Gleannacreim
Let’s hope there’s a winner or two there.
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 15, 2011 0:15:42 GMT
Well, a slight recovery but not enough to make a profit on the day.
Plumpton 4.00 Dansilver UNPL/ Just Beware 2nd 13/2
Plumpton 5.00 Aconitum 3rd 14/1/ Rock ‘N’ Roller UNPL
Stratford 4.10 Veiled Applause UNPL/ Remember Now W 5/2
Taunton 4.20 Be Ashored UNPL
Taunton 5.20 Gleannacreim UNPL
Just the one winner then for a loss of 4.5 pts
So overall it’s 23/111 for + + 56.125
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 15, 2011 12:53:16 GMT
Close with a couple yesterday and with only the one winner a small loss. Still, we live in hope for today.
Chelt 2.45 Carole’s Legacy / Great Endeavour
Chelt 4.00 A New Story / Garde Champetre
Chelt 5.15 Definity / Nadiya De La Vega
Sedge 2.55 Agglestone Rock
Sedge 4.15 Coldwells
South 3.45 Residency / The Tatling
South 5.05 Beau Fighter / Sea Cliff
Right, now on to Cheltenham for tomorrow!
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 16, 2011 0:19:16 GMT
Chelt 2.45 Carole’s Legacy 2nd 9/1/ Great Endeavour UNPL
Chelt 4.00 A New Story 3rd 12/1/ Garde Champetre 2nd 5/1
Chelt 5.15 Definity UNPL/ Nadiya De La Vega UNPL
Sedge 2.55 Agglestone Rock UNPL
Sedge 4.15 Coldwells UNPL
South 3.45 Residency UNPL/ The Tatling UNPL
South 5.05 Beau Fighter W 7/4/ Sea Cliff UNPL
Not too good with only 1/3/12 for a loss of 9.25 pts
So overall 23/115 for + 46.875 pts
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 16, 2011 12:37:34 GMT
Not quite good enough yesterday, let’s hope it’s better today.
Chelt 4.00 Call The Police / Ballyhaunis
Chelt 4.40 Titan De Sarti / Celtus
Hunt 1.45 Kayaan
Hunt 3.35 Toni Alcala
Hunt 4.55 Sambelucky / Borderhopper
Kemp 6.20 Iguacu / Carr Hall
Kemp 8.50 Rum King / Pelmanism
South 1.55 Juarla / Ace Master
South 5.40 Dimaire / Hambleton
I think we stand at 24/123 for + 46.875 pts, not quite as good as we wus!
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 17, 2011 0:33:46 GMT
Back on track it seems
Chelt 4.00 Call The Police UNPL/ Ballyhaunis UNPL
Chelt 4.40 Titan De Sarti UNPL/ Celtus UNPL
Hunt 1.45 Kayaan UNPL
Hunt 3.35 Toni Alcala UNPL
Hunt 4.55 Sambelucky 2nd 7/2/ Borderhopper UNPL
Kemp 6.20 Iguacu 2nd 9/1/ Carr Hall W14/1
Kemp 8.50 Rum King UNPL/ Pelmanism W 9/4
South 1.55 Juarla UNPL/ Ace Master W 4/1
South 5.40 Dimaire UNPL/ Hambleton UNPL
A far better day with 3/2/16 for + 7.25 pts, which means I think that we now stand at 27/139 for + 54.125 pts.
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 17, 2011 13:40:14 GMT
Back to a bit of form yesterday, let’s hope the run continues.
Chelt 2.05 Queiros Bleu / Sivota
Chelt 4.00 You’re The Top / Aigle D’Or
Chelt 4.40 Galant Nuit /Saddlers Storm
Hex 4.15 Panama At Once / Blazing Diva
Hex 5.25 Manoubi
Towc 3.05 Atherstown Hill / Heezagrey
Towc 3.45 Valid Point / Gifted Leader
Towc 5.35 Acquisitive
Wolv 6.45 First Post / Thunderstruck
Wolv 8.15 Sir Nod / Apache Ridge
Wolv 8.45 What’s Up Doc / Needwood Ridge
Fingers crossed once more!
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 18, 2011 0:30:54 GMT
Too many placed horses today and not enough winners I’m afraid
Chelt 2.05 Queiros Bleu / Sivota 3rd 9/1
Chelt 4.00 You’re The Top UNPL/ Aigle D’Or UNPL
Chelt 4.40 Galant Nuit UNPL/Saddlers Storm UNPL
Hex 4.15 Panama At Once 3rd 10/1/ Blazing Diva UNPL
Hex 5.25 Manoubi 2nd 11/4
Towc 3.05 Atherstown Hill W 15/8 / Heezagrey UNPL
Towc 3.45 Valid Point W 11/2/ Gifted Leader UNPL
Towc 5.35 Acquisitive UNPL
Wolv 6.45 First Post UNPL/ Thunderstruck 2nd 5/1
Wolv 8.15 Sir Nod W 6/1/ Apache Ridge UNPL
Wolv 8.45 What’s Up Doc UNPL/ Needwood Ridge 3rd 11/2
3/5/20 on the day for a loss of 3.625 pts
Or overall 30/159 for + 50.5 pts
So not as good as it might be!
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 18, 2011 13:25:27 GMT
And now on to today's selections here - winners wanted, please apply!
Hopefully we’ll have a better day today.
Chelt 2.05 Soldatino / Get Me Out Of Here
Chelt 4.40 King Of The Night / First Point
Chelt 5.15 Pepe Simo / Pigeon Island
Fake 4.55 King Brex
Ling 3.05 Caelis / Saucy Buck
Wolv 5.50 Silver Land / Grace And Virtue
Wolv 6.50 Buzz Bird / Empress Leizu
Wolv 7.20 Celtic Ransom / Spirit Of Love
Wolv 7.50 Northern Flyer / Black Coffee
Wolv 8.20 Crossword
Wolv 8.50 Mary Helen / Our Kes
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 19, 2011 4:41:26 GMT
Ouch, I didn't need that!
Chelt 2.05 Soldatino UNPL/ Get Me Out Of Here 2nd 7/1
Chelt 4.40 King Of The Night UNPL / First Point 3rd 20/1
Chelt 5.15 Pepe Simo UNPL/ Pigeon Island UNPL
Fake 4.55 King Brex UNPL
Ling 3.05 Caelis UNPL/ Saucy Buck UNPL
Wolv 5.50 Silver Land UNPL/ Grace And Virtue UNPL
Wolv 6.50 Buzz Bird UNPL/ Empress Leizu UNPL
Wolv 7.20 Celtic Ransom UNPL/ Spirit Of Love UNPL
Wolv 7.50 Northern Flyer UNPL/ Black Coffee 2nd 2/1
Wolv 8.20 Crossword W 9/2
Wolv 8.50 Mary Helen UNPL/ Our Kes UNPL
Just 1/20 for a loss of 14.5pts, leaving us at 31/179 for +36.0pts
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 19, 2011 12:14:52 GMT
After yesterday’s disaster I really do need a bumper Saturday to get things back on track, as we’ve lost nearly half the winning already this week. So with fingers definitely crossed:
FFos 3.45 My Shamwari / Gambo
Ffos 4.45 Lake Legend / Or Bleu
Ling 2.55 Jonnie Skull / This Ones For Eddie
Ling 4.05 Buaiteoir / Tewin Wood
Nwcs 3.20 The Whisperer / Minster Shadow
Nwcs 5.05 Knockaveen
Uttox 1.55 Speed Dating / Valid Point
Uttox 2.25 Pavillon Bleu /Sir Kezbaah
Uttox 3.00 Nicto De Beauchene
Uttox 3.35 Honourable Arthur / Predictive
Uttox 4.10 Royal Chatelier / Takamaru
Wolv 6.20 Storm Hawk / Little Richard
Wolv 6.50 Dickie Le Davoir / Kheley
Wolv 8.20 Woolfall Sovereign / Downhill Skier
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 20, 2011 6:19:19 GMT
Well not the bumper day hoped for, though thanks to Wolverhampton – never thought I’d say that – the day’s losses were trimmed from disaster level to just disappointing.
FFos 3.45 My Shamwari W 9/2/ Gambo UNPL
Ffos 4.45 Lake Legend UNPL/ Or Bleu UNPL
Ling 2.55 Jonnie Skull 3rd8/1/ This Ones For Eddie UNPL
Ling 4.05 Buaiteoir 2nd 4/1/ Tewin Wood 3rd 8/1
Nwcs 3.20 The Whisperer UNPL/ Minster Shadow UNPL
Nwcs 5.05 Knockaveen UNPL
Uttox 1.55 Speed Dating UNPL/ Valid Point N/R
Uttox 2.25 Pavillon Bleu 3rd 16/1 /Sir Kezbaah UNPL
Uttox 3.00 Nicto De Beauchene UNPL
Uttox 3.35 Honourable Arthur UNPL/ Predictive UNPL
Uttox 4.10 Royal Chatelier UNPL/ Takamaru UNPL
Wolv 6.20 Storm Hawk W 5/1/ Little Richard 3rd 4/1
Wolv 6.50 Dickie Le Davoir W 15/2/ Kheley UNPL
Wolv 8.20 Woolfall Sovereign UNPL/ Downhill Skier UNPL
3/25 on the day for -5.0 pts means that overall we’ve sunk to 34/204 for a profit of just 31 pts.
OT
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 20, 2011 9:40:21 GMT
Just the two today, but it looks as if this is following the many thousands of other ideas that have finished in the rubbish bin!
NAb 4.15 Storm Command
NAb 4.45 Insignia
Oldtimer
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Post by Old Timer on Mar 21, 2011 0:41:12 GMT
Well, that didn't happen, so time to bring down the curtain on this I think while it's still in profit.
NAb 4.15 Storm Command UNPL
NAb 4.45 Insignia UNPL
So 0/2 on the day, which leaves us with 34/206 for a profit of 29pts
Oldtimer
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