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Post by banger on Apr 13, 2009 10:52:19 GMT
More Stay At Home's Chepstow 13:55 5 Mr Logistics (IRE) 14:25 1 How Realee (IRE) 15:35 5 Tastes Like More (IRE) 16:10 10 High Standard (NZ) 16:45 5 Twilight Eagle (IRE),7 Georges Boy (IRE) Fakenham 14:40 2 Ballyalbert 17:00 1 Rydal Park (IRE) 17:35 5 Anis Etoile Huntingdon 15:20 3 Peterfly (FR) Plumpton 15:05 3 Cusp,9 The Little Chancer (IRE) 16:15 3 Knock Boy (IRE),5 She's Humble (IRE) 16:50 8 Quartz Du Montceau (FR) 17:25 3 Push The Port (IRE) 17:55 8 Silver Footnote Redcar 14:00 15 She Who Dares Wins 14:35 12 Coronado's Gold (USA) 16:20 2 Mohathab (IRE) 16:55 2 Just Bond (IRE) 17:30 8 Smelly Cat Warwick 14:55 5 Dinky Deb,7 Kaspirit (IRE),8 Needwood Dancer 16:05 4 Regal Parade 17:15 11 Patronne 17:50 15 Josephine Malines Yarmouth 14:15 10 Topcroft 16:35 5 Sendreni (FR),12 Siraj 17:45 1 Old Romney,4 Street Devil (USA) Cork 16:10 19 Torremuelle (IRE) 17:50 6 Glenda King (IRE) Fairyhouse 14:10 4 Dubh On Ban (IRE) 14:40 9 Araschan (FR) 15:10 2 Beau Michael,6 Ninetieth Minute (IRE),10 Justified (IRE) 16:30 13 Majestic Mayhem (IRE),16 Paddy Pub (IRE) 17:40 14 Lasse Viern (IRE),16 Cochise (IRE) 18:10 15 Model Son (IRE),24 Purrykitten (IRE)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 13, 2009 11:56:00 GMT
More non runners than some meetings have runners.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 13, 2009 18:19:44 GMT
Tuesday: Latest going. EXETER
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places on Hurdle course; GoingStick: Hdl 7.1, Chs 7.5)
WEATHER (Largely cloudy with a few showers and little brightness around; gentle southerly winds) MARKET RASEN
GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places; watering; GoingStick: Chs 7.3 Hdl 7.5; both bends have been moved 3-4 yds)
WEATHER (A misty start; a mainly dry day but generally cloudy with little in the way of sunshine; gentle south-easterly winds) YARMOUTH
GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 7.8)
WEATHER (Rather cloudy but mostly dry with just a small chance of the odd shower; moderate south-easterly winds)
STALLS Straight - Stands' side; Remainder - Inside FAIRYHOUSE
GOING: GOOD
WEATHER (Bright with spells of sunshine and a few showers but becoming more isolated later; moderate south-easterly winds)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 7:56:33 GMT
Tuesday: Latest going, weather. EXETER
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places on Hurdle course; GoingStick: Hdl 7.1, Chs 7.5)
WEATHER (Largely cloudy with a few showers and little brightness around; gentle southerly winds) MARKET RASEN
GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places; watering; GoingStick: Chs 7.3 Hdl 7.5; both bends have been moved 3-4 yds)
WEATHER (A misty start; a mainly dry day but generally cloudy with little in the way of sunshine; gentle south-easterly winds) YARMOUTH
GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 7.8)
WEATHER (Rather cloudy but mostly dry with just a small chance of the odd shower; moderate south-easterly winds)
STALLS Straight - Stands' side; Remainder - Inside FAIRYHOUSE
GOING: GOOD
WEATHER (Bright with spells of sunshine and a few showers but becoming more isolated later; moderate south-easterly winds)
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Post by banger on Apr 14, 2009 8:28:45 GMT
Start of the Non Starters Exeter 14:10 13 Fantastic Morning Yarmouth 15:20 5 King of Defence 16:50 2 Rowan Rio
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 9:59:34 GMT
Timmy Murphy has given up his rides at Exeter this afternoon after taking a crashing fall at Huntingdon on Monday.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 10:00:43 GMT
Jamie Spencer will ride Nashmiah in the Stan James 1000 Guineas after being thrilled with her recent work. The former champion jockey rode Clive Brittain's filly to victory in the Sportingbet.com Spring Cup at Lingfield last month and has been delighted with her progress since.
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Post by banger on Apr 14, 2009 11:20:04 GMT
NON RUNNERS UPDATE Exeter 14:10 13 Fantastic Morning 14:40 7 Russian Orphan Market Rasen 15:30 1 The Dark Lord (IRE) Yarmouth 15:20 5 King of Defence 15:50 4 Love You Louis 16:50 2 Rowan Rio Fairyhouse 14:25 1 Ebadiyan (IRE),8 Kaprun (IRE) 14:55 4 Quiscover Fontaine (FR) 15:25 3 Salford City (IRE) 16:00 5 Emmpat (IRE),6 Sky Hall (IRE),16 Mission Possible (IRE) 17:05 4 Boleybawn Quikstar (IRE),13 Davids Day (IRE) 17:35 17 Unico (IRE)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 18:17:26 GMT
HAYLEY TURNER, who has become one of racing's most high-profile ambassadors, has been stood down for a year after seeing the BHA's chief medical advisor Dr Michael Turner on Tuesday. The meeting was to review her condition after the jockey had been knocked unconscious in a fall on the Newmarket gallops on March 3.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 18:18:31 GMT
GOODWOOD'S 2009 season, which opens on May 2, will be the course's busiest ever, with 23 fixtures, and record prizemoney is on offer. Having attracted 227,000 people across the whole of 2008, Goodwood managing director Rod Fabricius hopes the addition of a Bank Holiday Monday fixture might tip total attendance over the 250,000 mark this year.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 18:19:25 GMT
THE 2009 turf campaign is two and a half weeks old for most of his colleagues but the season will formally start for Frankie Dettori at Newmarket on Wednesday, where he hopes to begin his year in winning style.
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 14, 2009 18:20:29 GMT
Wednesday: Latest going, weather. BEVERLEY
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (Watered; GoingStick 10.1)
WEATHER (Misty and fairly cloudy for much of the day, although it will stay largely dry; moderate north-easterly winds)
STALLS Inside CHELTENHAM
GOING: GOOD (Watered; GoingStick 9.3)
WEATHER (Bright but showery, some heavy with hail and thunder possible later; warm but fairly breezy) NEWMARKET
GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places; GoingStick 8.7)
WEATHER (Sunny with just a little patchy cloud during the morning; warm but fairly breezy)
STALLS (Far side course) - Stands' side FAIRYHOUSE
GOING: GOOD (Good to yielding in places on Chase course)
WEATHER (Dull and wet with rain and drizzle, heavy during the morning; moderate north-easterly winds) KEMPTON
GOING: STANDARD
WEATHER (Dry with some late sunshine and clear spells through the evening; a mild evening with gentle winds)
STALLS 1m 4f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 15, 2009 8:19:57 GMT
You have to be very careful reading the form on the RP site. There is a vast difference to Standard and At a Glance cards. Form figures vary and you need to cross reference to get a true picture if you are using the AAG cards.
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Post by banger on Apr 15, 2009 8:43:34 GMT
Absent today will be
Beverley 13:30 9 Isle of Ellis (IRE) 15:45 16 Golden Future 16:55 1 Special Cuvee Cheltenham 16:30 15 Dance Island (IRE),16 Top Ram (IRE),17 Line Artic (FR) Kempton 19:50 2 Music Box Express 20:50 1 Hucking Hero (IRE),12 Prince Charlemagne (IRE) Fairyhouse 14:30 24 Shuil Ar Am (IRE) 17:40 5 Followmefollowyou (IRE)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 15, 2009 18:13:55 GMT
LIVE TV coverage of stewards inquries and changes to the way the results of photo finishes are announced could be introduced later this year.
After Racing Post columnist Alastair Down raised the issues in Tuesday's edition of the paper, it was revealed both have been discussed in the wide-ranging research project which has been put to the BHA and Racing Enterprises Ltd recently.
Paul Struthers, BHA media relations manager, said: "The BHA is not averse to trialling live stewards' inquiries but there are some key stumbling blocks involving among others the jockeys."
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 15, 2009 18:15:37 GMT
Thursday: Latest going, weather. CHELTENHAM
GOING: GOOD (Good to soft in places; GoingStick 7.6)
WEATHER (Mostly cloudy with a chance of heavy showers; light easterly winds) NEWMARKET
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 8.9)
WEATHER (Largely cloudy with a few slow-moving showers, possibly heavy; a warm day with light winds)
STALLS (Far side course) - Far side RIPON
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 9.5) (Rail on bend from back straight to home straight moved out 5m)
WEATHER (A mainly cloudy day with little sun, but it will stay dry; brisk north-easterly winds)
STALLS Straight course - Stands' side; Round course - Inside WOLVERHAMPTON
GOING: STANDARD
WEATHER (Mainly cloudy with some heavy showers likely; gentle north-easterly winds)
STALLS Inside
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Post by banger on Apr 16, 2009 7:09:12 GMT
Number 1 Non Runner Wolverhampton 19:15 3 High Cross (IRE
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 16, 2009 8:05:23 GMT
Thursday: Latest going, weather. CHELTENHAM
GOING: GOOD (Good to soft in places; GoingStick 7.6)
WEATHER (Mostly cloudy with a chance of heavy showers; light easterly winds) NEWMARKET
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 8.9)
WEATHER (Largely cloudy with a few slow-moving showers, possibly heavy; a warm day with light winds)
STALLS (Far side course) - Far side RIPON
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 9.5) (Rail on bend from back straight to home straight moved out 5m)
WEATHER (A mainly cloudy day with little sun, but it will stay dry; brisk north-easterly winds)
STALLS Straight course - Stands' side; Round course - Inside WOLVERHAMPTON
GOING: STANDARD
WEATHER (Mainly cloudy with some heavy showers likely; gentle north-easterly winds)
STALLS Inside
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Post by banger on Apr 16, 2009 11:15:04 GMT
Non Runners Cheltenham 14:10 5 Proper (IRE) 16:30 5 Hautclan (FR) Newmarket 13:50 9 Reportage (USA),10 Best Shot 15:35 2 City Style (USA) 16:10 9 Virtual 16:45 9 Turning Top (IRE) Ripon 14:00 3 Lord's Seat 14:35 8 Premier Lad 15:45 7 Thunderball 16:20 13 Stanstill (IRE),17 Enhancing 17:30 16 Mickys Mate Wolverhampton 17:15 10 Pinball (IRE),11 Oceanic Dancer (IRE) 17:45 4 Fratellino,10 Dayshah Vu (IRE) 18:15 10 Trimlestown (IRE),11 Irish Music (IRE) 18:45 3 Mystic Art (IRE),8 Dazzling Begum 19:15 3 High Cross (IRE)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 16, 2009 18:06:49 GMT
Friday: Latest going, weather. AYR
GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 9.0; watering) (Track at full width on both Chase and Hurdle courses for Scottish National meeting; chase fences at full width)
WEATHER (Cold at first; dry and fine with lengthy spells of sunshine; moderate north-easterly winds) CHELTENHAM
GOING: GOOD TO SOFT
WEATHER (Cloudy and wet with rain and drizzle, heavy for a while; light north-easterly winds) NEWBURY
GOING: GOOD (Good to soft in places; GoingStick 6.9)
WEATHER (Wet with outbreaks of rain and drizzle, heaviest during the morning; gentle north-westerly winds)
STALLS Straight course - Centre; Round course - Inside
SEDGEFIELD
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places on Chase course; GoingStick Chs 8.2, Hdl 8.3) (watering as necessary; 2m 1f/3m 3f start in temporary position again; cross fence (top of hill) omitted all chases)
WEATHER (Dry with some late sunshine but turning chilly later under partly clear skies; gentle southerly winds) THIRSK
GOING: Straight course - GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 11.6); Round course - FIRM (12.5) (Wateried)
WEATHER (Sunny with just a little patchy cloud during the morning; brisk north-easterly winds)
STALLS Round course - Inside; Straight course - Stands' side KEMPTON
GOING: STANDARD
WEATHER (A wet evening with drizzle or rain at times, mainly light; gentle north-westerly winds)
STALLS 1m4f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
DUNDALK
GOING: STANDARD
WEATHER (Dry and sunny through the late afternoon and remaining clear into the evening; moderate easterly winds)
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Post by banger on Apr 17, 2009 7:13:32 GMT
First Non Runners Cheltenham 17:35 7 The Black Baron (IRE) 19:20 10 Gallik Dawn 19:50 5 Hot Diamond,9 Rockiteer (IRE) Kempton 18:35 11 Rare Bet 21:20 5 Rublevka Star (USA) Newbury 14:40 4 Green Manalishi 16:25 4 Highkingofireland,9 Saptapadi (IRE) Thirsk 14:00 5 Loss Leader (IRE) 14:30 8 Frontline Girl (IRE) 15:05 14 Tanforan 15:40 9 Sawpit Sunshine (IRE) 16:15 3 Equuleus Pictor,8 Woodcote
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 17, 2009 11:19:42 GMT
Friday: Latest going, weather. AYR
GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 9.0; watered) (Track at full width on both Chase and Hurdle courses for Scottish National meeting; chase fences at full width)
WEATHER (Cold at first; dry and fine with lengthy spells of sunshine; moderate north-easterly winds) CHELTENHAM
GOING: GOOD TO SOFT (Soft in places on hurdle course; GoingStick: 7.0) (Hurdles - fresh ground on all bends; Chases - 7 yards fresh ground on inner from fences 8 - 15)
WEATHER (Cloudy and wet with rain and drizzle, heavy for a while; light north-easterly winds)
NEWBURY
GOING: GOOD TO SOFT (Soft in places back straight; GoingStick 5.4)
WEATHER (Wet with outbreaks of rain and drizzle, heaviest during the morning; gentle north-westerly winds)
STALLS Straight course - Centre; Round course - Inside
SEDGEFIELD
GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places on Chase course; GoingStick Chs 7.9, Hdl 8.5) (Watered; 2m 1f/3m 3f start in temporary position again; cross fence (top of hill) omitted all chases)
WEATHER (Dry with some late sunshine but turning chilly later under partly clear skies; gentle southerly winds) THIRSK
GOING: Straight course - GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 11.6); Round course - FIRM (12.5) (Watered)
WEATHER (Sunny with just a little patchy cloud during the morning; brisk north-easterly winds)
STALLS Round course - Inside; Straight course - Stands' side
KEMPTON
GOING: STANDARD
WEATHER (A wet evening with drizzle or rain at times, mainly light; gentle north-westerly winds)
STALLS 1m4f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 17, 2009 15:44:09 GMT
Saturday: Latest going, weathER.
AYR GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 9.0; watered) (Track at full width on both Chase and Hurdle courses for Scottish National meeting; chase fences at full width) WEATHER (A cold start; a dry and fine day with plenty of bright sunshine; light easterly winds)
BANGOR-ON-DEE GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places on hurdle course; watering; GoingStick 7.8) WEATHER (Cold at first; a dry day with blue skies and spring sunshine; gentle easterly winds)
DONCASTER GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 9.3; watered) WEATHER (Plenty of late afternoon sunshine and staying dry with clear skies through the evening; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS Straight course - Stands' side; Round course - Inside
NEWBURY GOING: GOOD TO SOFT (Soft in places back straight; GoingStick 5.4) WEATHER (A dry but rather cloudy morning; dry, fine and sunny in the afternoon; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS Straight course - Centre; Round course - Inside
NOTTINGHAM GOING: (Inner course) GOOD (Good to firm in places; GoingStick 7.8) WEATHER (A cold start; sunny with just a little patchy cloud during the morning.; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS 5f - Stands' side; Remainder - Inside
THIRSK GOING: Straight course - GOOD TO FIRM; Round course - FIRM (Watered) (GoingStick: Overall 12.8) WEATHER (A dry day with sunshine, especially during the afternoon; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS Round course - Inside; Straight course - Stands' side
NAAS GOING: YIELDING (Yielding to soft in places) WEATHER (Fine and dry with long periods of spring sunshine; gentle easterly winds)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 17, 2009 15:44:59 GMT
FRIDAY'S meeting at Ayr is set to continue despite concerns over the bottom bend where Dancing Dik fell in the first race.
Officials, jockeys and trainers inspected the bottom bend, following the fall of Dancing Dik, which also saw Percutant put down with a broken hind leg and the pulled-up Freschezza suffering a fatal leg injury.
Adie Smith, the stipendiary steward, said,"What happened was a freak. The ground is good."
Dancing Dik, partnered by Lucy Horner, was sat close to the rear of the field when appearing to slip for no apparent reasonon the bottom bend.
Davy Condon, who won the opener on Grand Theatre, described the ground as "safe" while David Casey called it "good ground."
The second race will now start at 3.25, the scheduled time of the third race. The new race times are shown below.
2.50 now off at 3.25
3.25 now off at 4.00
4.00 now off at 4.35
4.35 now off at 5.10
5.10 now off at 5.45
5.45 now off at 6.20
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 17, 2009 15:45:54 GMT
THE Scoop6 could break through the £1 million barrier again on Saturday afternoon when the races, all shown live on Channel 4, come from Newbury and Ayr.
There were no winners when the bet celebrated its 500th anniversary last weekend which means there is a rollover of £518,617 in the win fund, while the bonus fund currently stands at £222,264.
With so much to play for, punterscan push the combined pools into seven figures before racing gets underway, although with the Coral Scottish Grand National included in a highly competitive programme, it must be questionable how involved the heavy-hitting syndicates will be.
Tote spokesman, George Primarolo, said: "The totesccop6 is slowly creeping toward the magic £1 million and Saturday's bet is a good mix of Flat and jump racing so it wouldn't be a huge surprise to see the combined pool hit seven figures this weekend."
Leg 1 - 2.05 Newbury Leg 2 - 2.35 Newbury Leg 3 - 2.50 Ayr Leg 4 - 3.10 Newbury Leg 5 - 3.25 Ayr Leg 6 - 3.45 Newbury
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Post by banger on Apr 18, 2009 6:21:03 GMT
Start Of Non Starters
Newbury 14:35 20 Jack Dawkins (USA) 15:10 13 Purissima (USA) 15:45 6 Jobe (USA),7 Lord Shanakill (USA) 17:20 12 Wiggy Smith Nottingham 19:40 14 Great Western (USA)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 18, 2009 8:31:01 GMT
Saturday: Latest going, weather.
AYR GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 8.9; watering due to finish 10am Saturday; take-offs and landings double watered) (Track at full width on both Chase and Hurdle courses for Scottish National meeting; chase fences at full width) WEATHER (A cold start; a dry and fine day with plenty of bright sunshine; light easterly winds)
BANGOR-ON-DEE GOING: GOOD (Good to firm in places on hurdle course; watering; GoingStick 7.8) WEATHER (Cold at first; a dry day with blue skies and spring sunshine; gentle easterly winds)
DONCASTER GOING: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 9.3; watered) WEATHER (Plenty of late afternoon sunshine and staying dry with clear skies through the evening; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS Straight course - Stands' side; Round course - Inside
NEWBURY GOING: SOFT WEATHER (A dry but rather cloudy morning; dry, fine and sunny in the afternoon; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS Straight course - Centre; Round course - Inside
NOTTINGHAM GOING: (Inner course) GOOD TO FIRM (Good in places) WEATHER (A cold start; sunny with just a little patchy cloud during the morning.; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS 5f - Stands' side; Remainder - Inside
THIRSK GOING: FIRM WEATHER (A dry day with sunshine, especially during the afternoon; gentle north-easterly winds) STALLS Round course - Inside; Straight course - Stands' side
NAAS GOING: YIELDING (Yielding to soft in places) WEATHER (Fine and dry with long periods of spring sunshine; gentle easterly winds)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 18, 2009 8:43:04 GMT
Email from Oddschecker.
This weekend brings us the FA Cup semi-finals from Wembley. With three of the four Champions League semi-finalists still in the competition the standard of football promises to be very high. Elsewhere, the Scottish Grand National takes place at Ayr and in Beijing the Chinese Grand Prix gives Jenson Button his chance for a third win from three races. The Snooker World Championship comes to us from the Crucible in Sheffield and Andy Murray hopes to progress at the Monte Carlo Masters.
ARSENAL V CHELSEA Arsenal and Chelsea meet at Wembley for this FA Cup semi-final on Saturday with both teams coming straight from midweek qualification for the Champions League semi-final's. FA Cup semi's often see the scores tied at 90 minutes and while both teams having plenty of attacking options they also have one or two problems in defence so I expect we will see a few goals slipping through. Dr.Hanks # Back 2-2 Correct Score 18/1
MANCHESTER UNITED V EVERTON Fact: Tim Cahill has been on the winning side every time he has played in a cup semi-final. Fact: Tim Cahill has scored in every semi-final he has ever played in. Fact: Tim Cahill has always worn blue when playing in a cup semi-final. Fact: The losing side has always worn red. Fact: Tim Cahill plays in a Cup Final every five years. Sometimes you don't need to be a rocket scientist to know a good bet when you see one. Crazyhorse # Back Tim Cahill to score anytime at a very generous 4/1
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Post by banger on Apr 18, 2009 11:37:26 GMT
Plenty of racing with non runners to match Ayr 15:25 11 According To John (IRE),20 Native Coral (IRE) 16:00 12 Leac An Scail (IRE),13 The Shy Man (IRE),14 Description (IRE) 16:35 4 Medicinal (IRE) 17:05 5 Silver By Nature,8 Fiftyfive Degrees (IRE) 17:35 4 Storm Brig Bangor 14:10 7 Mysortofman 16:25 9 Native Coral (IRE),10 Rakalackey,14 Aces Or Better (IRE) Doncaster 18:50 4 Theocritus (USA) 19:25 6 Tres Froide (FR) 19:55 3 Darley Sun (IRE) Newbury 13:30 1 African Art (USA),9 Hi Fling,15 Satwa Star (IRE) 14:05 5 Spanish Moon (USA) 14:35 5 Flipando (IRE),20 Jack Dawkins (USA) 15:10 13 Purissima (USA) 15:45 2 Elnawin,3 Finjaan,6 Jobe (USA),7 Lord Shanakill (USA) 16:15 4 Broad Cairn,8 King's Masque,9 Mehendi (IRE) 16:50 9 Alnwick,12 Colonel Flay 17:20 5 Regional Counsel,6 Basra (IRE),12 Wiggy Smith Nottingham 17:30 7 Pressed For Time (IRE) 18:00 4 Figaro Flyer (IRE),16 Belle Bellino (FR) 18:35 3 Incendo,6 Ponting (IRE) 19:10 5 Spensley (IRE) 19:40 14 Great Western (USA)
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Post by Kimmy on Apr 18, 2009 12:28:09 GMT
Email from Mathematician.
Scottish Grand National
SCOTTISH GRAND NATIONAL
Not a race I am staking heavily in myself but its the big race of the day and I thought you would be interested in the analysis and research.
AYR 3.25 CORAL SCOTTISH GRAND NATIONAL HANDICAP CHASE GRADE 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) 4m110y
7/1 Chief Dan George, 8/1 Nine De Sivola, 8/1 Tricky Trickster, 10/1 West End Rocker, 12/1 Merigo, 12/1 That’s Rhythm, Gone To Lunch, 16/1 Hello Bud, 16/1 Out The Black, According To John, 20/1 Brooklyn Brownie, 20/1 Chiaro, 20/1 Dear Villez, 20/1 King Barry, 20/1 Sound Accord, 25/1 Coe, 33/1 L’Aventure, 33/1 Native Coral, 33/1 Sea Diva, 40/1 Arteea, 50/1 Le Toscan.
SPLIT STAKE BET
DEAR VILLEZ 28/1 NINE DE SIVOLA 8/1
SAVER Place Bet on HELLO BUD 4/1
* The Scottish Grand National is a 4m Handicap Chase * There has been 16 renewals since 1992 * I have looked at 64 other races * Since 1993 there has been 64 Handicap Chases * Thats 64 races between Febuary and June * Thats 64 races over distances of 3m 7f or more * Thats 64 races in Class 2 or Higher Grade * This includes several Nationals and the the Eider * These 64 are the closest races to the Scottish National
The first thing I would do is ignore horses that ran in the Grand National. You have to go back to 1987 for the last horse to win this race coming from the Grand National. ARTEEA fails that. I would oppose all older horses aged 11 or more with under 5 runs this year. NATIVE CORAL is out aged 11 with 3 runs this year. No horse has won this race with under 3 runs this year so ACCORDING TO JOHN is out.
I think LE TOSCAN is up too far in trip. Preperation is everything in Nationals and its interesting that horses who Fell last time out or who Pulled Up had a 0-109 record in this race. You want a horse coming here confident and in form and I’d be wary of horses coming here not finishing or falling intheir last race. GONE TO LUNCH , COE and BROOKLYN BROWNIE have it to overcome. This trend is supported in most similar races and not just this one and a last time out Fall is not a profile you want in this sort of race. Both L´AVENTURE and SEA DIVA are out as mares from 4m.
NUMBER OF CHASE STARTS (1st 2nd 3rd)
2008 - 13 9 10 2007 - 10 11 16 2006 - 19 10 14 2005 - 6 5 5 2004 - 24 19 20 2003 - 21 10 16 2002 - 14 9 8 2001 - 14 8 11 2000 - 5 10 15 1999 - 9 18 27 1998 - 10 10 17
This table shows how many Chase starts the winner - second - third had in recent years. There was a winner in 2000 with 5 Chase starts but no horse had less than that and THATS RHYTHM has only four runs. I’d be against him because of that and also against TRICKY TRICKSTER who also has just Four chase runs. TRICKY TRICKSTER comes from a Novice Chase and No past winner of this race did that. I think this pair might Fail.
I am against the horses that come from ordinary Novice Chases. SOUND ACCORD does that and is out as is THATS RHYTHM whose had only 4 chase starts and comes from a Beginners chase.
Last year was the first year that the winner had never ran in Graded Class before. That was a 66/1 winner and I would be much happier if my horse had previously ran in Graded Class before. This puts me of HELLO BAY who hasnt a typical sort of preparation anyway running very recently in a lower class handicap. The last 11 year old to win was in 1996 and all 48 since then lost. I think he is beatable but I do think the fact he ran 4 days ago may work in his favour and I am inclined to shortlist him at the price. KING BARRY also lacks Grade 1 form and has a Career high mark. I have to wonder if OUT THE BLACK has the class as he is an 11 year old and has no Graded Class at all.
Horses aged 7 have the worst record in recent years with a 1-40 record and whilst not a good statistic I dont want CHICARO as an exposed 7 year old who is down from 4m races. If you look at the 64 races at this time of year No exposed 7 year old won any of those races. WEST END ROCKER is also a 7 year old. He comes from a Novice Chase which worries me. No past winner of this came from a Novice Chase. In 64 other races only 1 horse managed to do it. WEST END ROCKER has just 5 chase runs and is a 1st season chaser and has no Graded form at all and I didnt want to be with him.
I dont have a problem with DEAR VILLEZ at all and as he is unexposed I like his chance giving weight to many Novice Chasers and inexperienced horses that all have plenty to prove. Around 28/1 DEAR VILLEZ has been underestimated here
* CHIEF DAN GEORGE looks opposable * He comes from a Novice Chase * No past winner of this race did that * In 64 other races only 1 managed it (1-34) * That was Narrow Water in the 2001 Eider Chase * He looks inexperienced with 5 chase starts * He is a First season chaser * I see this as a problem coming from a Novice race * He’s a small horse which doesnt fill me with confidence * The only time he ran in a chase at Ayr he flopped * CHIEF DAN GEORGE wouldnt be my choice
* MERIGO won the Eider Chase last time out * He is 8lbs higher in this race * No past winner came from the Eider Chase * MERIGO has no Graded form another problem * He is a horse that will want the ground soft * Overall his profile does have Flaws in it
SHORTLIST
DEAR VILLEZ 28/1 NINE DE SIVOLA 8/1 HELLO BUD 16/1
* NINE DE SIVOLA was 2nd in the 2007 renewal * He had a 10lbs lower mark but it was a good run * Not least after running 2nd in the Irish National * He comes from the 4m Chase at Cheltenham * Thats one race I am fine with as a trial * Stormez was 2nd in that before coming 2nd here * Old Benny was 4th in this having won that race last year * NINE DE SIVOLA has been laid out all year for this * HELLO BUD could be worth chancing * A Win 4 days ago could work two ways * Given so many have poor profiles I’ll risk him
SPLIT STAKE BET
DEAR VILLEZ 28/1 NINE DE SIVOLA 8/1
SAVER Place Bet on HELLO BUD 4/1
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