Post by Old Timer on Mar 31, 2009 10:44:44 GMT
Another one to tease Banger's brains!
Southwell 2.40 Cl2 Hcap 112/97 (91.1) 5f AW – 9 Run
Tajneed 6-9-4 OR 97 Dr 8 (92.4) (0.6)
Win % 22% AW 0/0 5f 0/1/2 South 0/0
Tr 14d 6/34 Tr C 22/319 J 14d 3/18 J/C 7% J/Tr 20% J/H 1/1/2
Last hcap win:
16 Aug 374/104 (96.5) Hcap 6f gd/sf Rip 17/2 8-12 (92) 1/20 0.2l Valery Borzov (+6) – [189.0]
tracked leader far side, ridden over 1f out, stayed on to lead inside final furlong, driven and held on gamely
Lto:
20 Sep 935/108 (98.9) Hcap 6f hv Ayr 8/1 8-12 (96) 2/27 2.25l Regal Parade (-2) – [189.4]
prominent stands' side, led that group over 1f out to inside final furlong, kept on under pressure, 2nd of 13 in group
Making AW debut and won 2 of his 5 starts last year in a light first season after coming over from Ireland. Finished the season by finishing 2nd in the Ayr Gold Cup and is basically a 6f horse, although has won at a mile. Has won after a break, but needed his first race last year.
Tournedos 7-9-1 OR 94 Dr 6 (97.0) (0.5)
Win % 11% AW 0/0/2 5f 5/5/34 South 0/0
Tr 14d 6/34 Tr C 22/319 J 14d 0/3 J/C 6/62 J/Tr 12% J/H 1/0/1
Last hcap win (2nd last):
15 May 165/100 (93.5) Hcap 5f gd/fm York 33/1 9-3 (96) 1/11 0.5l River Falcon (-2) – [191.0]
held up in rear, headway on outer over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong to lead final 50yds
Lto:
07 Jun 312/100 (89.5) Hcap 5f gd Eps 12/1 9-4 (96) 10/19 5.25l Holbeck Ghyll (-11) – [169.7]
taken down early, raced in midfield, ridden and effort 2f out, weakened entering final furlong
Won at York on his second start last May, but not seen since finishing midfield in the ‘Dash’ at Epsom in early June. Just the two starts on the AW and while he’ll be better suited by the distance than stable companion Tajneed, it’s hard to believe he’s expected to make a winning start to his 2009 campaign.
Cheveton 5-9-3 OR 96 Dr 4 (85.5) (6.0)
Win % 36% AW 1/1/5 5f 5/1/7 South 0/0/1
Tr 14d 1/5 Tr C 4/32 J 14d 4/25 J/C 9/61 J/Tr 7/11 J/H 4/0/5
Last Hcap win:
21 Aug 76/90 (83.8) Hcap 5f AW Grt Lghs 7/2F 9-6 (87) 1/12 1.25l Harry Up (-5) – [174.6]
chased leader, ridden well over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on well
Lto:
25 Oct 312/105 (91.5) Hcap 5f gd Donc 6/1F 8-9 (96) 13/20 4l Judge ‘n Jury (+11) – [181.5]
slowly into stride, headway halfway, soon ridden and stayed on approaching final furlong, never a factor
Was a maiden starting last season, but racked up a 5-timer in the summer, the final win coming at Great Leighs at the end of August. Has given no indication of going well fresh, although distance will suit and enjoys a fine understanding with his jockey.
Pawan 9-8-12 OR 91 Dr 9 (75.7) (16.0)
Win % 6% AW 4/15/64 5f 2/10/43 South 3/11/46
Tr 14d 0/3 Tr C 8/124 J 14d 0/3 J/C 3% J/Tr 3% J/H 8/26/128
Last hcap win:
01 Jan 117/104 (91.1) Hcap 5f AW South 6/1 8-4 (91) 1/9 0.5l Rebel Duke (-7) – [183.6]
soon ridden along to chase leaders, switched right and headway over 1f out, stayed on under pressure inside final furlong to lead final 50yds
Lto:
12 Mar 91/94 (86.7) Hcap 5f AW South 9/1 8-11 (92) 4/6 4l Arganil (+7) – [166.7]
close up on outer, ridden along 2f out, weakened over 1f out
Infrequent winner, but back to the same mark as when beating Rebel Duke (-7) by 0.5l over C&D here back in January. Meets him on 6lbs better terms today, but was behind him lto on today’s terms, plus does have the worst of the draw coming out of stall 9.
Rebel Duke 5-8-6 OR 85 Dr 1 (80.2) (6.5)
Win % 24% AW 4/4/11 5f 5/5/18 South 3/2/7
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 14/131 J 14d 0/4 J/C 7% J/Tr 8% J/H 1/1/6
Last hcap win (2nd last):
06 Jan 49/83 (77.9) Hcap 5f AW South 11/8F 9-1 (80) 1/7 0.5l First Order (-5) – [159.4]
close up, led halfway, ridden over 1f out, driven and edged left inside final furlong, kept on
Lto:
12 Mar 91/94 (86.7) Hcap 5f AW South 6/4F 8-10 (86) 3/6 2.5l Arganil (+8) – [165.2]
took keen hold, steadied start, tracked leaders, headway to chase winner 2f out, ridden over 1f out and soon one pace
Followed up 2nd to Pawan here by winning when dropped in class over C&D 5 days later. Given a break then and probably needed the race when finishing 3rd here earlier in the month. That should have put him about right for today, though his January win was the stable’s last success.
Whiskey Creek 4-8-4 OR 82 Dr 7 (72.5) (11.5)
Win % 24% AW 5/6/14 5f 3/3/11 South 2/1/3
Tr 14d 0/4 Tr C 2/36 J 14d 3/19 J/C 16% J/Tr 1/14 J/H 1/0/1
Last hcap win:
05 Feb 27/75 (69.4) Hcap 5f AW South 3/1F 8-9 (73) 1/9 0.25l Incomparable (0) – [143.2]
close up, led over 2f out, ridden clear entering final furlong, stayed on
Lto:
21 Feb 49/81 (76.0) Hcap 5f AW Ling 11/4JF 8-10 (80) 2/6 0.5l Chjimes (+4) – [154.5]
tracked leader, led over 1f out, strongly ridden and headed final 50yds
Has enjoyed a successful AW season, winning 5 and finishing runner-up in 3 of his 11 starts. Four of those wins came in January and February in lower class, since when he’s found one too good on each of his last 3 starts.
On the face of it this looks a classy enough field for a Tuesday handicap at Southwell, but given the time of year there’s the question of how many are actually fit and fancied. Certainly the Nicholls pair and Cheveton would be far more interesting with a race or two under their belts, plus the distance would appear to be against Tajneed too on his AW debut. Tournedos has only had a couple of starts on the AW too (none at Southwell), plus by the look of it had some fitness problems last year as well. Cheveton came to hand in the summer last year, but seeing as how he started the season as a maiden perhaps he can be expected to be a little more forward this time round, especially as the stable has been in decent form of late. Pawan is one of those you have to guess about, but looks drawn out of it today and could not confirm earlier running with Rebel Duke lto even though the latter probably needed the run. Rebel Duke and Whiskey Creek have both enjoyed reasonable success here – as has Stoneacre Lad! – though in lower class than this. Whiskey Creek would look to have the tougher task of the pair, as he’s never won above class 5 before and has finished runner-up in class 4 the last thrice; he also runs from 1lb out of the handicap. While Rebel Duke has never won above class 4, he has at least run in class 2 before and comes from class 3 lto. So my pair here would be Cheveton and Rebel Duke with preference for the latter.
Oldtimer
Southwell 2.40 Cl2 Hcap 112/97 (91.1) 5f AW – 9 Run
Tajneed 6-9-4 OR 97 Dr 8 (92.4) (0.6)
Win % 22% AW 0/0 5f 0/1/2 South 0/0
Tr 14d 6/34 Tr C 22/319 J 14d 3/18 J/C 7% J/Tr 20% J/H 1/1/2
Last hcap win:
16 Aug 374/104 (96.5) Hcap 6f gd/sf Rip 17/2 8-12 (92) 1/20 0.2l Valery Borzov (+6) – [189.0]
tracked leader far side, ridden over 1f out, stayed on to lead inside final furlong, driven and held on gamely
Lto:
20 Sep 935/108 (98.9) Hcap 6f hv Ayr 8/1 8-12 (96) 2/27 2.25l Regal Parade (-2) – [189.4]
prominent stands' side, led that group over 1f out to inside final furlong, kept on under pressure, 2nd of 13 in group
Making AW debut and won 2 of his 5 starts last year in a light first season after coming over from Ireland. Finished the season by finishing 2nd in the Ayr Gold Cup and is basically a 6f horse, although has won at a mile. Has won after a break, but needed his first race last year.
Tournedos 7-9-1 OR 94 Dr 6 (97.0) (0.5)
Win % 11% AW 0/0/2 5f 5/5/34 South 0/0
Tr 14d 6/34 Tr C 22/319 J 14d 0/3 J/C 6/62 J/Tr 12% J/H 1/0/1
Last hcap win (2nd last):
15 May 165/100 (93.5) Hcap 5f gd/fm York 33/1 9-3 (96) 1/11 0.5l River Falcon (-2) – [191.0]
held up in rear, headway on outer over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong to lead final 50yds
Lto:
07 Jun 312/100 (89.5) Hcap 5f gd Eps 12/1 9-4 (96) 10/19 5.25l Holbeck Ghyll (-11) – [169.7]
taken down early, raced in midfield, ridden and effort 2f out, weakened entering final furlong
Won at York on his second start last May, but not seen since finishing midfield in the ‘Dash’ at Epsom in early June. Just the two starts on the AW and while he’ll be better suited by the distance than stable companion Tajneed, it’s hard to believe he’s expected to make a winning start to his 2009 campaign.
Cheveton 5-9-3 OR 96 Dr 4 (85.5) (6.0)
Win % 36% AW 1/1/5 5f 5/1/7 South 0/0/1
Tr 14d 1/5 Tr C 4/32 J 14d 4/25 J/C 9/61 J/Tr 7/11 J/H 4/0/5
Last Hcap win:
21 Aug 76/90 (83.8) Hcap 5f AW Grt Lghs 7/2F 9-6 (87) 1/12 1.25l Harry Up (-5) – [174.6]
chased leader, ridden well over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on well
Lto:
25 Oct 312/105 (91.5) Hcap 5f gd Donc 6/1F 8-9 (96) 13/20 4l Judge ‘n Jury (+11) – [181.5]
slowly into stride, headway halfway, soon ridden and stayed on approaching final furlong, never a factor
Was a maiden starting last season, but racked up a 5-timer in the summer, the final win coming at Great Leighs at the end of August. Has given no indication of going well fresh, although distance will suit and enjoys a fine understanding with his jockey.
Pawan 9-8-12 OR 91 Dr 9 (75.7) (16.0)
Win % 6% AW 4/15/64 5f 2/10/43 South 3/11/46
Tr 14d 0/3 Tr C 8/124 J 14d 0/3 J/C 3% J/Tr 3% J/H 8/26/128
Last hcap win:
01 Jan 117/104 (91.1) Hcap 5f AW South 6/1 8-4 (91) 1/9 0.5l Rebel Duke (-7) – [183.6]
soon ridden along to chase leaders, switched right and headway over 1f out, stayed on under pressure inside final furlong to lead final 50yds
Lto:
12 Mar 91/94 (86.7) Hcap 5f AW South 9/1 8-11 (92) 4/6 4l Arganil (+7) – [166.7]
close up on outer, ridden along 2f out, weakened over 1f out
Infrequent winner, but back to the same mark as when beating Rebel Duke (-7) by 0.5l over C&D here back in January. Meets him on 6lbs better terms today, but was behind him lto on today’s terms, plus does have the worst of the draw coming out of stall 9.
Rebel Duke 5-8-6 OR 85 Dr 1 (80.2) (6.5)
Win % 24% AW 4/4/11 5f 5/5/18 South 3/2/7
Tr 14d 0/0 Tr C 14/131 J 14d 0/4 J/C 7% J/Tr 8% J/H 1/1/6
Last hcap win (2nd last):
06 Jan 49/83 (77.9) Hcap 5f AW South 11/8F 9-1 (80) 1/7 0.5l First Order (-5) – [159.4]
close up, led halfway, ridden over 1f out, driven and edged left inside final furlong, kept on
Lto:
12 Mar 91/94 (86.7) Hcap 5f AW South 6/4F 8-10 (86) 3/6 2.5l Arganil (+8) – [165.2]
took keen hold, steadied start, tracked leaders, headway to chase winner 2f out, ridden over 1f out and soon one pace
Followed up 2nd to Pawan here by winning when dropped in class over C&D 5 days later. Given a break then and probably needed the race when finishing 3rd here earlier in the month. That should have put him about right for today, though his January win was the stable’s last success.
Whiskey Creek 4-8-4 OR 82 Dr 7 (72.5) (11.5)
Win % 24% AW 5/6/14 5f 3/3/11 South 2/1/3
Tr 14d 0/4 Tr C 2/36 J 14d 3/19 J/C 16% J/Tr 1/14 J/H 1/0/1
Last hcap win:
05 Feb 27/75 (69.4) Hcap 5f AW South 3/1F 8-9 (73) 1/9 0.25l Incomparable (0) – [143.2]
close up, led over 2f out, ridden clear entering final furlong, stayed on
Lto:
21 Feb 49/81 (76.0) Hcap 5f AW Ling 11/4JF 8-10 (80) 2/6 0.5l Chjimes (+4) – [154.5]
tracked leader, led over 1f out, strongly ridden and headed final 50yds
Has enjoyed a successful AW season, winning 5 and finishing runner-up in 3 of his 11 starts. Four of those wins came in January and February in lower class, since when he’s found one too good on each of his last 3 starts.
On the face of it this looks a classy enough field for a Tuesday handicap at Southwell, but given the time of year there’s the question of how many are actually fit and fancied. Certainly the Nicholls pair and Cheveton would be far more interesting with a race or two under their belts, plus the distance would appear to be against Tajneed too on his AW debut. Tournedos has only had a couple of starts on the AW too (none at Southwell), plus by the look of it had some fitness problems last year as well. Cheveton came to hand in the summer last year, but seeing as how he started the season as a maiden perhaps he can be expected to be a little more forward this time round, especially as the stable has been in decent form of late. Pawan is one of those you have to guess about, but looks drawn out of it today and could not confirm earlier running with Rebel Duke lto even though the latter probably needed the run. Rebel Duke and Whiskey Creek have both enjoyed reasonable success here – as has Stoneacre Lad! – though in lower class than this. Whiskey Creek would look to have the tougher task of the pair, as he’s never won above class 5 before and has finished runner-up in class 4 the last thrice; he also runs from 1lb out of the handicap. While Rebel Duke has never won above class 4, he has at least run in class 2 before and comes from class 3 lto. So my pair here would be Cheveton and Rebel Duke with preference for the latter.
Oldtimer
