|
Post by Old Timer on Mar 12, 2020 11:09:32 GMT
Cheltenham 16.10 Gr 3 Hcap Chase 619 (146.8) 20.5 sf – 24 Run
Sorry have had little time to look at things as work got in the way – still takes me longer to type than it used to.
I see Simply The Betts is a very warm favourite in a race where they don’t do well; 17/20 were not in the top 4 in the betting,
Nor is it a horses for courses race, as only one of the last 15winners had won a chase here before – highly untypical for the meeting. That wipes out last year’s winner, Siruh Du Lac, Mister Whitaker, Simply The Betts, Mister Diva and Oldgrangewood.
It’s a race usually made for lightweights, in fact only a single winner out of the last 11 carried more than 10-13, and none of the last 15 had an official rating above 147. Things may change but I’m going for those at the bottom of the handicap, Springtown Lake 8-10-11(142) (142.3) 21 Feb Cl 2 Hcap (166/137.1) 20f hv Warw 11/4 F 10-12 20l 1/9 off 135 – 125.3 chased leaders, went 2nd 13th, led and mistake 2 out, clear last, easily Facile winner lto and looks ready to improve further. Plus: going (W); distance (W); course (F); form run lto (20 days); down 1lb (wt); Minus: up 7lbs (OR); up in class; Verdict: coming to form at the right time.
The other one that fits the trends criteria, just about, is Charmant, but is coming from a Cl 3 handicap chase. So my very speculative selections are Springtown Lake from Charmant.
|
|
|
Post by Kimmy on Mar 12, 2020 15:49:57 GMT
Nothing from me.
|
|