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Post by Kimmy on Jul 21, 2013 13:31:38 GMT
15 THE JAMESON SYSTEM THE JAMESON SYSTEM is specifically designed for use with Handicap Races, and as such it is not a system which will provide you with a bet every day, or perhaps not even every week for long periods of time for that matter, but it is certainly worth keeping to hand because when it does provide you with a selection then you will have a very good chance indeed of collecting. It works for both Flat and National Hunt Racing so if you exercise just a little bit of patience it will soon be second nature for you to operate it throughout the year. If you are a regular punter the chances are that you watch many races, either on track, at home on TV or on SIS at the bookmakers. How many times have you been watching the finish of a race and said to yourself: "Ah! Old so-and-so is finishing strongly, it looks like he is ready to win a race, P11 back him next time out." However, next time out old "so-and-so" is entered in one of the big handicaps, cannot quite handle the better class animals and duly fails to win, at this point we forget all about him and continue our never ending quest for winners, quite unaware that we have probably eliminated just what we are looking for from our thoughts. Let me elaborate a little...... Horses cannot, no matter what "class" of animal they are, be 100% fit ALL of the time, this is especially the case when they are frequently running in handicap company. So when you see a horse like old "so-and-so" running on strongly at the finish, it is, as you correctly assume, a good indication that he is running into form and is worth keeping a very close eye on. But we must do this for more than just one race. Remember, anything can happen in a horse race, no matter how meticulously an animal is prepared to land a race, that horse can be badly drawn, it can be going for a gap when it closes and effectively ends it's challenge, thejockey can simply fall offi Anything can, and frequently does, happen to prevent a well prepared horse from winning its target race. However, if you continue to follow that horse, for a limited period of course, it will land its desired win and you will be handsomely rewarded for your faith. It is worthwhile remembering also that time and time again, a badly hampered horse will, somehow, manage to battle it’s way through to a place. So, keep your eyes open when watching handicap races and if you see a horse like "so-and-so" finishing strongly, follow him and back him EACH-WAY in his next THREE races. It is virtually certain that you will at the very least recoup your stake if he only manages a place, but he will almost certainly win one of those three races AND at an attractive price which will show you a very healthy profit overall. REMEMBER Make a note of any improving horses in Handicap races. Once noted back them EACH-WAY for their next THREE races, but do not forget to STOP AT A WIN. IMPORTANT NOTE. DO NOT stop at a PLACE, only STOP AT A WIN. You must always remember that these horses are being prepared to win a specific target race or to land a pre-planned gamble, and if everything goes to plan and they do manage to win first or second time out, then the chances are that they are going to be eased off until preparations are ready for them to go and attempt to win their next target race.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 25, 2013 18:26:01 GMT
1 CLAIMING STAKES PLAN As the title of the plan suggests, we are backing horses running in claiming stakes only. The newspaper required to operate this system is the Daily Mirror. Any system horse will be found in seconds and should be backed to win. To find if we have a system horse just follow these very simple rules:- 1. Look for all the Claiming Stakes races 2. Look at the forecast favorite horse 3. Look to see if this horse is either Strongly Fancied (SF) of Fancied (F) 4. No bet if forecast odds-on 5. Fancied (F) horses must be forecast shorter than 3/1 If a horse fits these 5 rules then it is a system horse. Yes, it is incredibly simple, but the beauty of it is that it works. Any system worth following must produce a good level stake profit over a period of time and this certainly does. For the last 21 months it has given 16 winning months and 5 losing - a level stake profit of +77 IMPORTANT NOTE: Do not back in maiden Claiming races with the words "Claiming Stakes" in the title. Do not back in maiden Claiming races with the words "Claiming Stakes" in the title. This is an exceptionally simple plan, but very, very effective. 2 DAILY DOUBLE SYSTEM • Use only the daily mirror. It uses the same starting prices forecast as the Racing Post while only costing about a fifth the price and has the specialist information required to operate the system. To get the information we require, first look at the horse's name, and then look at the abbreviations in brackets after the jockey's name. The abbreviations that we require are: i) SF =Strongly Fancied to win ii) F =Fancied to win iii) EW =Each way Fancied to be placed 1st, 2nd, 3rd • Only use races of 8, 9, or 10 runners maximum. • Starting from races of 8 runner's look at the strongly fancied marked horses and pick out those with a starting price forecast of 6/1 or better. • Should there be no 8 runner races with SF horses at 6/1 then move on to 9 runner races and so on. • Should this still not produce any selections then start again at 8 runner races taking only the Fancied horses working your way up, move on to the Each Way horses if this fails to produce horses with an SP of 6/1 and over. • Do this until you get a maximum of two runners. We back these daily half a point each way each i.e. 50p each way/£5 each way (depending on your spending power and are able to afford the possible loss). Cover with a small each way double if you wish. • If you only find one horse then back it each way. Obviously in such circumstances we will not have a double bet. If no horses are found then no bet. It is very important that the rules are adhered to If you find more than two then the following rules should be observed. Flat races: Horses running over a longer distance are preferred therefore a horse running over 1m would be better suited to one running over 5f National Hunt: horses running over hurdles make better selections than horses running over fences. Distances should be disregarded as a consideration. If you have two identical types of races and you need to dispose of one, it is actually best to pick the horse with the lowest SP, as this ought to have a more realistic chance of winning. For example if you have two 8 runner flat races run over 1m both with an SF horse, if one has an SP of 8/1 and one has an SP of 16/1, the horse with the SP of 8/1 is the preferred selections. And that is all there is to it. It is actually very easy to operate the system and selections should be found in a few minutes. This system is safe because it only picks horses in small fields at what ought to turn out to be generous odds. If we only used pure guesswork we would have a 30% chance of picking a horse at random finishing in the first three. But because our selections should at least be able to get a place or better then anyone can see that the odds are tipped in our favour. The essence of this system is to steadily put the odds on your side, so it is important to implement the rules thoroughly and not cut corners. If you do this you will see that your betting bank will at worst be breaking even but I am convinced that in the long term your bank will grow and grow. Remember the golden rule of gambling is never to bet with money you cannot comfortable to lose. Tiresome warnings told by many, but ignore it at your peril! 3 THE BOOKIE BASHER 1. Newspaper required is the Racing Post. 2. Look at Forecast Favourites with odds in the range 8/11 - 9/4 inclusive. 3. The 2nd favourite must be at least 4/1. 4. The horse must have been placed in the first 3 last time out. 5. It must have run within the last 28 days. 6. It must be top-rated by POSTMARK - not joint top-rated. 7. Minimum of 5 runners - maximum of 14. 8. Must be ridden by a professional or top apprentice claiming 3 or 5lbs. 9. Must be able to handle the going:- 1. If 3 or more runs in its lifetime it must have won or placed (beaten a maximum of 3 lengths) on going similar to the reported going. 2. 3-Y-O and older horses with less than 3 runs - no going qualification needed. 3. 2-Y-O with less than 3 runs must handle the going by either having won or placed (beaten max 3 lengths) on the EXACT going as shown is Racing Post. 10. Eliminate all selling races, amateur races, juvenile hurdles, novice handicap hurdles, maiden chases, and all national hunt races in August. 4 THE CHEVY CHASE This system is based solely on HANDICAP CHASES. It concentrates on races with 8 to 12 runners. The selection must be carrying 11st-7lbs or less to qualify. The horse must have been out, and must have the best recent form of the horses which qualify. In the event of there being several horses with comparable form, choose the one ridden by the best jockey, (preferably the jockey with the best record at the course). If the favourite for the race is odds on - no bet. Staking one point to win. If the selction is 8-1 or above, 1 point each way. The sytem requires patience, but it is very profitable. 5 THE DAILY BANKER SYSTEM Works with any daily newspaper, is quite straightforward and can produce a regular flow of winners. Scan the racing page of your favoured newspaper. Cross out any race with less than eight runners and more than twelve runners. Of the remaining races look at the forecast SPs. Your "banker" for the day is the horse that is the one with the SP with the greatest expected price difference from the second favourite. For example: Race A - forecast SPs 5/4, 3/1 (1.75 difference) Race B - forecast SPs 6/4, 4/1 (2.50 difference) Your "banker" is the forecast favourite in race B. 6 CRACKING THE PLACEPOT INTRODUCTION The Placepot is without doubt the best value bet in gambling. Just a £1.00 bet can return dividends in excess of several hundred pounds! To win the placepot you have to select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races at a meeting. As well as being great value it is an excellent "fun" bet as it gives you an interest in a large number of races for just a small investment. Placepots are run by the Tote, but most high street bookmakers will now accept placepot bets. Whether you bet most days or just on Saturdays, a Placepot bet is a smart investment to make! Obviously finding a horse to place in six consecutive races is not easy. However this publication "Cracking The Placepot" with a new, updated version is a real winner. It really works! Using it will help you to win the Placepot dividends with great regularity, you are virtually guarantted a win every week. Not all placepot are in the £500+ region (although from time to time returns can be in four figures!), but compared with other tyes of race betting the "level-stakes" returns on a week to week basis are huge. THE METHOD Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult. Conversely, the lowest grade meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard. So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the one to use. Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections. To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips which make entering easier. To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved. Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729 times our stake. Too much. The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00. It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets. Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very reliable selection method to use with this plan. Here's what to do: 1. Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act as our "single" entries in the perm. 2. Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three" selections in the perm. 3. Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm. We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should scoop the Placepot at least once a week. One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use, keep to the same one each day. 7 FACTOR 4 The 4 FACTORS which indicate a winning selection The beauty of the FACTOR 4 system is that it is essentially very simple.When a horse meets the FOUR selection criteria on which FACTOR 4 is based,quite simply it represents a very good bet. I make no apology if FACTOR 4 looks too simple.(Simplicity is usually a benefit! There are those who blieve that a betting system must be complicated in order to produce results.In fact,certain tipsters deliberately make their systems appear complicated and difficult to understand in order to give the false impression that their system is more scientific than it actually is). But why make a betting system more complicated than it needs to be? If you really want it,I will be quite happy to devise a personal system for you which will involve you in 2 days work before you know which horse you should be backing. Just follow the four selection criteria of FACTOR 4 and you will achieve equal or better results without the need to invest hours of your valuable time before placing your bet. HERE ARE THE 4 SELECTION CRITERIA FOR FACTOR 4 1 The horse must be rated 78 or above in the Daily Mail 2 It must have won,or been placed 2nd or 3rd last time out 3 It must be running within 4 days of its last run. 4 It must be favourite. FOLLOW THOSE 4 SIMPLE RULES FOR WINNER SELECTION AND YOU ARE BOUND TO SECURE WINNERS AT LEAST 50%OF THE TIME. And if you are doing that consistently,you will end the season well ahead.There is no reason why starting with a £1000 bank and betting 10% on each selection with your winnings rolled forward-you cannot make £20000 to £50000 per annum as a TAX FREE second income from your betting activity. SIMPLICITY IS THE KEY Lets face it, if you know what you’re about and have devoted your life to doing it,it is not at all difficult to devise a winning horse racing system. But the usual problem is that deploying successful backing systems is a full-time occupation.And most people do not have the time available to spend time analysing several months previous results in order to reach a conclusion about the likely winner in a particular race. FACTOR 4 renders such a time commitment unnecessary, because all of the work has been done for you. Just deploy the four simple selection criteria and start making your TAX FREE second Income. What you need to use FACTOR 4 As I have already indicated, FATOR 4 was designed with the" amateur" punter in mind-the person who knows little or nothing about horses or horse racing Here are the 4 key items of information you will be using: They are: 1 Result last time out 3 The rating of the horse 2 Number of days since last race 4 Is it the favourite? 8 THE BROWN JACK 1. Results are obtained by use of the Daily Mail newspaper. 1. To obtain the one named horse for the day, proceed as follows:- (a) Below each race the Daily Mail gives where the favourite finished in previous years (normally 7 years results). Go through each card and find the race that the favourite won most times. (b) Repeat the procedure and find the race where the favourite finished second most times. 2. The race for the day will be that with the highest figure ie. The race with the most wins for the favourite or the race with the most seconds. In the event of a race having an equal number of wins and seconds then discard that race. In the event of there being two races with an equal number of wins and seconds then give preference to the race with favourite wins. 3. The one named bet will be as follows:- If the selected race is that in which the favourite has won most times, then back the Named Forecast Favourite, if joint favourites then ignore that race and go on to the next qualifier. If the selected race is that in which the favourite finished second most times then back the horse quoted as Clear Second Favourite, again if Joint Second Favourite then ignore that race. The reason for this bet is that in a good race for backers the most likely horse to beat the favourite is the second favourite and over the years the Daily Mail betting forecast has proved to be the most accurate. 4. The following exceptions must be adhered to:- (a) No bet if less than 3 years results. (b) No bet if less than 2 wins or 2 seconds. (c) No bet if the horses has never run before. (d) No bet if quoted at odds-on. 5. In the event of a tie, give preference to:- (a) Non Handicap race over a Handicap race. (b) The race with the lowest added prize money. (c) The smallest field. (d) The shortest price Note, if you have discarded any race related to rule 5, then automatically go on to the next best race. Rule 2 should have a 'rider', in the event of a race having been split, then count each division as half a race, in other words if the favourite results were 0011101.0 the last race was split and so the total wins would be 3.1/2, this happens seldom and is easily picked out in the Daily Mail as when a race has missed a year they put a dash and when it is split they put a dot. Addition to Rules In the event of a selected race being run in two or more divisions then take the shortest priced horse provided it qualifies i.e. has run before. Should it not have run before then ignore all divisions of that particular race and go on to the next best race 9 THE CURTIS RACING SYSTEM THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM offers you the chance to assess each horses form and to produce your own simple, but accurate ratings. You do not need one of the specialist Racing papers to operate this system successfully. Any ordinary Daily newspaper with a Horse racing section will be more than adequate for our needs. The basis for THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM originates from a method that was devised over 70 years ago by one of the first truly professional backers, and as far as I am aware the original method has been in constant use, by a few fortunate people, since it’s introduction all those years ago, and so, therefore, I believe that we can safely assume that this has more than stood the test of time! It was only ever passed on by word of mouth, in fact any interested parties were invited, and then only at the sole discretion of the Originator of the plan, along to a series of presentations, paying a fee for each session. They were, by all accounts, very successful, and those fortunate enough to attend doubtless went on their way armed with their new found knowledge and plagued the Bookmakers for many years. THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM is a greatly enhanced version of this earlier system and has, over the past twenty or so years that it has been in use, provided the user with consistent profits every season. SELECTION METHOD. THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM can be used with equal success during both the Flat and National Hunt seasons. All meetings are considered, but eliminate the following types of races: Selling: Apprentice: Ladies: National Hunt Flat: All other types of races now qualify for consideration. Once we have our short list of races to concentrate on, take each race in turn and award FORM POINTS for the last THREE runnings of each horse. The FORM POINTS are as follows: RUN LAST OUTING LAST BUT ONE LAST BUT TWO WIN 9 6 3 SECOND 6 4 2 THIRD 3 2 1 EXAMPLE. Horse A 012 FORMRATINGS 0+6+6=12 Horse B 113 FORMRATINGS 3+6+3=12 Horse C 001 FORMRATINGS 0+0+9= 9 Horse D 113 FORMRATINGS 3+6+3=12 Horse E 212 FORMRATINGS 2±6+6=14 Horse F 001 FORMRATINGS 0+0+9= 9 As you can see Horse E is clear top rated with 14 FORM POINTS. On the occasions when more than one horse is rated the same, take the horse with the shortest price in the betting forecast as your selection. Repeat the above procedure for all the qualifying races. STAKING ADVICE. It has always been recommended that level stakes be used with THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM. Excellent profits are indeed attained by level stakes, but do feel at liberty to use you own staking system if you so wish. 10 THE DOUBLE TOP SYSTEM Here is quite an old yet remarkably effective system that shows a level stakes profit most months. Prices vary from odds-on to 4/1 and the longest losing run since April 2001 has been just 6 on one occassion. Paper: Racing Post Examine the 'selection box' of tipsters for each in the Racing Post. For a selection to qualify it must be tipped by the first four tipsters in the 'selection box'. That is, it must be the selection of Postmark, Postdata, Topspeed and Spotlight. No bet in handicap races, nurseries, claimers, sellers, amateur or apprentice races. Starting with a £1,000 bank in April 2001, you would now have a bank of over £10,000 using this system and the 'stepper' staking plan. Level stakes bets of £100 would have returned a profit of over £3,30 11 The Dream Racing System While gaming at casinos is always -- ultimately -- a function of luck, the Sport of Kings is elevated far above games of mere chance. Regardless of the elegance of the roulette wheel or the intensity of the blackjack table, neither can approach racing for its subtlety, complexity, and beauty. The terms of casino games are always set. The odds might just as well be written in stone. Not so with this great sport. Flesh and blood come into play. The interplay of horse and rider. The conditions of the track. The field. Timing. In order to bet successfully in this great sport, you must bring to bear your skill and judgment. In no other betting environment do you have so much control over your fate. Your greatest advantage over the bookmakers is one of choice. Whereas you can choose your races -- and bets -- the bookmaker is obligated to participate in virtually every race conducted for 52 weeks a year. You can avoid a bet in a race that is not to your advantage. The bookmaker enjoys no such freedom. Yes, choice is your greatest ally. Yet for too many, it is their greatest enemy as well. Without mincing words, the simple truth is that the average bettor frequently makes the wrong choice. In doing so, he concedes the edge he has over the bookmaker and virtually guarantees that he will remain a loser over time. Common wisdom dictates that you should familiarize yourself with the individual characteristics of the horses, the field, the track and the form book. Needless to say, such an endeavor demands a huge commitment -- in time and effort. Indeed, it is virtually a full-time job. Those who master this knowledge will always be best placed to beat the book. They deserve the profits they earn. But you are not such a person. You already have a job and you cannot invest the time or energy to compete with these professionals. What are you to do? By being disciplined, intelligent and sticking to a system that works, you can increase your odds of success. Bookmakers love the bettor who places bets on whim, on the name of a horse, on the colour eyes of the jockey -- on anything but a system. You need a system if you are to win! The worst possible system you could use is no system at all! You must focus on the most dependable horses if you are to correctly pick the day's best bet. Favourites will almost always be the ones you will look at. With good reason. They are favourites for a reason. By simply selecting any favourite at random you will have a 30% - 40% chance of picking a winner. The question is, how to improve those chances! The most reliable favourites on any given day inevitably are those who occupy the lower end of the price range. You must remember that because of all the variables involved in horse racing, the actual favourite cannot possibly be determined until right before the race. Obviously, you will have to consult with one of the printed betting forecasts such as the national dailies or The Sporting Life. Study each race to be run that day and write down the names of the five favourites with the lowest odds. In the event that there is a tie, include all such runners for further consideration. From this short list, you will be determining the day's single horse selection. Do not fear low odds. Short odds should not be rejected due to a cursory examination. Even money often translates into an outstanding value if its true price should be 4-7. There are those who reject the favourite on the grounds that they can get better "value" elsewhere. We call these people fools. What is the "value" of backing a horse at 5-1 if, in reality, there is only a one in ten chance that your bet will succeed? There is only one person who will profit from a "system" like that -- the bookmaker. The real key to successful betting is not being greedy. Do not look for a small stake to garner you thousands of pounds. Rather, use a system which will consistently make you a winner. Financially -- and psychologically -- winning small but often is a smart approach to any kind of wager. Okay, so now you have your five favourites. What next? Your next gambit is to establish a system to evaluate these five contenders. By following this point system, you will take the guess work out of your evaluation. Forecast Odds Points Given 1-2 67 8-15 65 4-7 63 8-13 62 4-6 60 8-11 58 4-5 55 5-6 54 10-11 52 Evens 50 11-10 48 6-5 45 5-4 44 11-8 42 6-4 40 13-8 37 7-4 36 15-8 35 2-1 33 9-4 31 5-2 28 11-4 27 3-1 25 10-3 23 7-2 22 4-1 20 Further, it is possible to evaluate a horse based on its last outing. This makes sense. After all, winning begets winning. For this reason, we can begin to quantify this aspect of our evaluation. If a horse placed 1st in its last race, award 45 points. If a horse placed 2nd in its last race, award 40 points. If a horse placed 3rd in its last race, award 40 points. For all other finishes, award 35 points. Also, horses that have yet to race in the current season receive 35 points irrespective of their final finish of the previous season. Another consideration in quantifying your decision is the value of your horse's last race. If the winner's prize money of the previous race was worth at least 20% more than the current prize money, award the horse 50 points. All others should follow this criteria: Last race prize same as current race, award 40 points. Last race prize 20% less than current race, award 30 points. You should also bear in mind that favourites win more regularly in non-handicap events. For this reason, it makes more sense to award more points to contenders in these events. Therefore, award 40 points to a contender running in a non-handicap race and 30 points for running in handicap or nursery races. Another consideration in evaluating your contender is the size of the field. After careful review of the long history of racing, we have concluded that favourites succeed less often in events containing a large field. Therefore, we reject the "folk wisdom" that a bigger field means a "bigger" certainty and suggest the following awards: 45 points in those races with 10 or fewer runners. 40 points in those races with 11 - 16 runners. 30 points in those races with 16 or more runners. Market leaders often have a poorer record in competitive races. Consider the following point award: 45 points if there are no rivals which won the last time out. 45 points if there is one rival which won last time out. 35 points if there are two rivals which won the last time out. If three or more rivals won their last time out, award 30 points. Finally, if a horse has demonstrated success on the day's course then this must be factored into your calculations. Award your horse 10 points if it has previously won on the course and 10 points if it has previously won over the day's distance. Once you have factored in all these considerations, tally the points you have awarded to each of your five contenders. The horse with the greatest total is your best qualifier for the day's bet. It's that simple. No "feelings in the belly". No emotion. No getting caught up in the thrill of the race. Just smart calculation. Even so, you should never forget that both horse and rider are living creatures bound to have better and worse days. This is a variable which you cannot often calculate and which makes betting exciting. Remember, it is the uncertainty which makes it wonderful. Never give up. Follow these calculations and you will win -- if not today then certainly tomorrow. 12 THE FAST HANDICAP RATER SYSTEM This simple, but very effective, system operates for both Flat and National Hunt Racing. An added bonus is that any Daily newspaper which has a racing section can be used - you do not need to purchase one of the specialist racing papers. SELECTION PROCEDURE. 1. Delete all Non-Handicap races and any Handicap races with less than EIGHT runners. 2. In any remaining Handicap races, make a note of any horse in the following weight range:- FLAT 8-7 to 7-8 NATIONAL HUNT 10-8 or LESS But ONLY if they are 5-1 or more in the betting forecast. 3. Only using the form figures for the current season make a. note, next to any selection arrived at by using the rules above, of the last TWO runs of each selection. If there is more than one selection, use the table below as an eliminator, with the figures at number one being the best, number two the next best and so on. FORM TABLE. 1. 1 4 2. 2 4 3. 2 0 4. 3 0 5. 4 0 6. 4 4 7. 4 2 8. 4 3 9. 2 2 10. 7 3
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 18:23:31 GMT
CHEVY CHASE HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use only national hunt handicap chase horse races. #...The race must have between 8 to 12 horses inclusive. #...The horse must have run in the current season and have the best form on offer. #...If more than one horse qualifies then use the horse ridden by the best jockey. #...If the favourite for the race in the tissue betting is odds on then no bet #...Use a 1 point win for all selections unless the horse is 8/1 or betterthen the stake is 1 point each way.
NATIONAL HUNT GOOD THINGS HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...National hunt horse racing first and second favourites win noticeably more often than their flat counterparts. #...They also keep their form for longer periods so,find a well fancied consistant horse in non handicap horse races and you will be on to winner at least 50% of the time. #...You bet in non-handicap horse races only. #...The race must have between 5 to 11 horse running, inclusive. #...The official going must not be described as heavy. #...The horse must have WON its last two races. #...The horse should be either clear favourite, joint favourite, or clear second favourite in the Racing post betting forcast. #...IF TWO SELECTIONS QUALIFY IN THE SAME RACE CHOOSE THE FIRST FAVOURITE. #...This system finds the winner around 50% of the time with starting prices of up to 8/1. Because of high strike rate and minimal losing runs an increasing staking plan could safley be used to maximize profits. Results over 4 years show a remarkably consistant strike rate.
PIPE DREAM HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...National Hunt horse racing system. #...Check all the national hunt horse race meetings in the UK during December to May inclusive. #...Check the leadin trainer at the days meetings and ensure that Martin Pipe is the leading trainer for the course. #...Consider all chase and hurdle horse races but not national hunt flat or bumper races. #...Only consider horse races with between 8 to 15 runners inclusive. #...Discard a race if the top trainer saddles the first or second favourite in any race and only consider the horses that are third down to sixth favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The betting forecast price should be between 4/1 to 20/1 inclusive. #...The horse should be between 4 to 6 years old inclusive. #...The horse should have finished in the first four home in its last race or be having its first run in this country. #...Results over the past 4 season show a strike rate of around 39% and return on investment of around 244%.
NATIONAL HUNT STRIKERS HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use all national hunt horse races in the UK and concentrate on handicap hurdle races only. #...Do not bet if the official going is described as heavy. #...The race should have no less than 8 horses running and no more than 15. #...The horse should have won its last race by a distance of more than half a length. #...The horse should be carring a weight penalty of up to 7lb. #...The horse should be quoted as the first or second favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...This system has provided a strike rate of around 55% and return on investment of aroun 108% over the last 3 seasons.
WINNING COMBINATIONS HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Following top jockeys when they ride for certain trainers. #...Only three sinple rules. #...Back A.P Mcoy when he rides for J.J. o'Niel in handicap chases horse races or handicap hurdles horse races. #...Back A. Dobbin when he rides for L. Lungo in handicap chases or handicap hurdles. #...Back R. Walsh when he rides in the UK for any trainer in handicap chases only. #...Going on the last 3 seasons results this system should give a a strike rate of around 30%-40%.
NATIONAL HUNT METHOD HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Select only national hunt horse races between november to january 1st. #...Exclude all novice horse races, sellers, claimers, conditional, amateur and bumpers. #...Only select horses that have won their last race in the current season. #...The last outing must have been within 35 days of the day in questions race. #...In the event of 2 horses with the exact same criteria split your stake and back both horses. #...After january the 1st any last time out winner in the current season becomes a qualifiying horse. #...Results show a strike rate of around 31% and return on investment of around 28%.
NATIONAL HUNT HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use only the daily mirror for selection process #...Ignore all Irish, Hurdle, Claiming, Selling, Ameteur, Maiden, Conditional jockey races and Hunter chases, #...Race must have over 3 runners and be at a distance of shorter than 3 miles. #...Betting forecast favourite must be less than 3/1 but never back odds on. #...No horses over the age of 12. #...Horse must have won a race in its previous six outings. #...The selection must have a minimum spotform rating of 35 or over. #...The strongest bets are those that are spotform top rated and are quoted as "SF" or strongly fancied and are 3 point win bets. #...2 point win bets are for those horses that are spotform top rated and that are quoted as "F" or fancied. #...Finally 1 point win bets are for those horses that are clear second top rated and are quoted as "SF".
INFORMANT HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use only non handicap races. #...No all weather races. #...Use any newspaper and find any horse that has won its last 2 races, if it has won its last 3 or more then ignore. #...Of those horses select any one that is forecast as favourite. #...Forecast price must be no less than 4/6. #...This becomes the selection. #...Should no horses qualify you can use maiden non hanicap races were a horse has finished second last time out. #...Again the horse must be favourite adn no less than 4/6. #...Should there be more than one selection choose the race with the least amount of runners. #...Staking should be 1,1,2,2,3,5 after each loser After each winner start again.
Relayline Horse Racing Systems - Flat Horse Racing Systems
JEFERIC STRATEGY HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use Flat non handicap races. #...Omit any ameteur, apprentice, selling or ladies races. #...Find any horse that has come 2nd in its previous outing but beaten by no more than 3 lengths. #...Make sure that its previous run is within the last month. #...This is the selcetion and can be backed to win if less than 5/1 or each way if 5/1 or better.
FALONS FLYERS HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Look for any horse ridden by Kieron Fallon #...Select only those who have run in the previous seven days. #...Select only those horses between the ages of 2 to 7 inclusive. #...Select only those horses that are forecast as 2nd, 3rd or 4th favourite in the racing post bestting forecast. #...Shows a strike rate of around 33% over the last 4 years.
PENSION PROFIT HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Only horses 6 years or over to be considered. #...Use any uk flat races #...Use only handicap races #...The horse must be top weight from all declared runners #...If two or more horses are alloted topweight, irrespective of age, then there is no bet #...Ignore overweights and aprentice allowances.
WINDFALL FLAT RACING HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...The windfall flat racing system operates from 1st may through to 31st october. #...Selections will be found from the Racing Post daily papers. #...Claiming races are the only races considered by the Windfall flat racing system. #...The only horses to consider in claiming races are those that are forecast favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...TO BECOME A WINDFALL SELECTION THE HOURSE MUST BE #...Top rated on Topspeed ratings, must have finished in first three last time out which #...Must be a race in the current season and the betting forcast price must be in the range of 1/2 to 5/1 inclusive. #...Any shorter than 1/2 no bet, any higher than 5/1 no bet. #...STAKING PLAN #...Use a starting bank of 10 points and back to level stakes using one 10th of the bank, eg . 100 point starting bank will give you a 10 point level stake. #...Always stake one tenth of the bank at it's highest level, do not decrease stakes if the bank falls below the highest point.e.g. bank increases from 100 to 150 points, the bet is one tenth of 150 which is 15 points. #...If the bank falls below 150 points remain on 15 point stake untill 150 is surpassed. Stake will then increase to one tenth of the new bank.
PREMIUM FAVOURITES HORSE RACING SYSTEM #... Backing certain favourites on the flat can pay handsomely if you concentrate on fields of 7 runners or less. #... Consider all flat races in the UK (turf and all-weather) but do not bet in claiming, selling, auction or maiden races. #... The race should have no more than seven runners. #... The horse should be the clear forcast favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #... The forecast price should be 2/1 - 7/2 inclusive. #... The horses last outing should have taken place within the previous 15 days. #... The horse should be a colt or gelding running in a race open to both sexes. Do not bet on fillies or mares. #... The horse should be 2 to 6 years old inclusive. #... Results over 3 years show very good profits from an average strike rate of 41% and return on investment of around 33%.
TRIPLE CROWN HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Consider all flat races in the uk but do not bet on horses making their turf or all weather debut. #...Only bet in handicap with official ratings of C,D,E or F (can be found at the top of each race card in the racing post). #...Do not bet in ameteur riders races. #...The horse must be forecast favourite or joint favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The forecast price should be between 2/1 to 11/2 inclusive. #...The horse should have won its last race within a period of 15 days. #...The horse should be a colt ie do not bet on fillies or mares. #...The horse should be 2 to 5 years old. #...This system gives an overall average strike rate of 33% over the past 3 seasons with a return on investment of around 31%.
THE REPEATER HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use all flat racing handicap races in the UK including all weather races. #...The horse must be the betting forcast favourite or joint favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The price must be between 2/1 to 15/2 inclusive. #...The horse must have won its last race within the last 15 days. #...The horse should be between 2 and 5 years old. #...The horse should be male ie a colt or gelding. #...Results show a strike rate of around 30% and return on investment of around 25%.
THE JEWEL IN THE CROWN HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Consider flat races at the following courses. #...catterick, chepstow, epsom, folkstone, goodwood, hamilton, haydock, kempton, lingfield, pontefract, redcar, southwell, thirsk, windsor, wolverhapton and yarmouth. #...Do not bet during april. #...Do not bet in maiden races. #...The horses last race should have been within the last 3 days. #...On its last run the surface should have been the same as the selected race. #...The horse should be no more than 6 years old. #...The horse should be male, no fillies or mares. #...The horse should be quoted as first or second favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The forecast price should be between 2/1 to 15/2 inclusive. #...Results show a strike rate of around 30% and return on investment of around 25%.
THE SELECTIVE HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Consider all flat and all weather handicap races in the UK. #...Race must have a maximum of 13 runners. #...The selection must have won last time out. #...It must have last run no longer than 10 days previous. #...The minimum forcast price for the horse should be at least 5/2 or bigger. #...It must be carrying topweight, include any jockey allowances for the total. #...Any horse with the above conditions qualifies as a bet. #...Level one point win bets are advised on each qualifying selection. #...Over the past ten years the system has generated at least 60 points profit in all of those years.
PROFESSIONAL GEARING HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use this system during the months of April to october inclusive. #...Use only flat, including all weather, racing. #...Use only races over a distance of 1 mile (includes ones which state for example 1m 76yrds). #...Use only non handicap races for 3year olds and upwards ie no 2 year old races. #...Dont bet in sellers, amateurs or apprentice races. #...No bet in races with over 13 runners. #...Bet on the S.P favourite only not the betting forecast favourite, ie you need to back the horse just before the race. #...Make sure a bank of at least 8 points is always available, stakes can be raised each time the bank increases to a stage where this rule can still be adhered to ie 2 points when the bank is 16 points and so on. #...Results show a strike rate of around 30% and return on investment of around 24%.
INFORMANT HORSE RACING SYSTEM #...Use only non handicap races. #...No all weather races. #...Use any newspaper and find any horse that has won its last 2 races, if it has won its last 3 or more then ignore. #...Of those horses select any one that is forecast as favourite. #...Forecast price must be no less than 4/6. #...This becomes the selection. #...Should no horses qualify you can use maiden non hanicap races were a horse has finished second last time out. #...Again the horse must be favourite adn no less than 4/6. #...Should there be more than one selection choose the race with the least amount of runners. #...Staking should be 1,1,2,2,3,5 after each loser After each winner start again.
Relayline Horse Racing Sytems - All Weather Flat Horse Racing Systems
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters FALONS FLYERS HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Look for any horse ridden by Kieron Fallon #...Select only those who have run in the previous seven days. #...Select only those horses between the ages of 2 to 7 inclusive. #...Select only those horses that are forecast as 2nd, 3rd or 4th favourite in the racing post bestting forecast. #...Shows a strike rate of around 33% over the last 4 years.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters PENSION PROFIT HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Only horses 6 years or over to be considered. #...Use any uk flat races #...Use only handicap races #...The horse must be top weight from all declared runners #...If two or more horses are alloted topweight, irrespective of age, then there is no bet #...Ignore overweights and aprentice allowances.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters PREMIUM FAVOURITES HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #... Backing certain favourites on the flat can pay handsomely if you concentrate on fields of 7 runners or less. #... Consider all flat races in the UK (turf and all-weather) but do not bet in claiming, selling, auction or maiden races. #... The race should have no more than seven runners. #... The horse should be the clear forcast favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #... The forecast price should be 2/1 - 7/2 inclusive. #... The horses last outing should have taken place within the previous 15 days. #... The horse should be a colt or gelding running in a race open to both sexes. Do not bet on fillies or mares. #... The horse should be 2 to 6 years old inclusive. #... Results over 3 years show very good profits from an average strike rate of 41% and return on investment of around 33%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters TRIPLE CROWN HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Consider all flat races in the uk but do not bet on horses making their turf or all weather debut. #...Only bet in handicap with official ratings of C,D,E or F (can be found at the top of each race card in the racing post). #...Do not bet in ameteur riders races. #...The horse must be forecast favourite or joint favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The forecast price should be between 2/1 to 11/2 inclusive. #...The horse should have won its last race within a period of 15 days. #...The horse should be a colt ie do not bet on fillies or mares. #...The horse should be 2 to 5 years old. #...This system gives an overall average strike rate of 33% over the past 3 seasons with a return on investment of around 31%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE REPEATER HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use all flat racing handicap races in the UK including all weather races. #...The horse must be the betting forcast favourite or joint favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The price must be between 2/1 to 15/2 inclusive. #...The horse must have won its last race within the last 15 days. #...The horse should be between 2 and 5 years old. #...The horse should be male ie a colt or gelding. #...Results show a strike rate of around 30% and return on investment of around 25%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE JEWEL IN THE CROWN HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Consider flat races at the following courses. #...catterick, chepstow, epsom, folkstone, goodwood, hamilton, haydock, kempton, lingfield, pontefract, redcar, southwell, thirsk, windsor, wolverhapton and yarmouth. #...Do not bet during april. #...Do not bet in maiden races. #...The horses last race should have been within the last 3 days. #...On its last run the surface should have been the same as the selected race. #...The horse should be no more than 6 years old. #...The horse should be male, no fillies or mares. #...The horse should be quoted as first or second favourite in the racing post betting forecast. #...The forecast price should be between 2/1 to 15/2 inclusive. #...Results show a strike rate of around 30% and return on investment of around 25%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE SELECTIVE SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Consider all flat and all weather handicap races in the UK. #...Race must have a maximum of 13 runners. #...The selection must have won last time out. #...It must have last run no longer than 10 days previous. #...The minimum forcast price for the horse should be at least 5/2 or bigger. #...It must be carrying topweight, include any jockey allowances for the total. #...Any horse with the above conditions qualifies as a bet. #...Level one point win bets are advised on each qualifying selection. #...Over the past ten years the system has generated at least 60 points profit in all of those years.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters PROFESSIONAL GEARING SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use this system during the months of April to october inclusive. #...Use only flat, including all weather, racing. #...Use only races over a distance of 1 mile (includes ones which state for example 1m 76yrds). #...Use only non handicap races for 3year olds and upwards ie no 2 year old races. #...Dont bet in sellers, amateurs or apprentice races. #...No bet in races with over 13 runners. #...Bet on the S.P favourite only not the betting forecast favourite, ie you need to back the horse just before the race. #...Make sure a bank of at least 8 points is always available, stakes can be raised each time the bank increases to a stage where this rule can still be adhered to ie 2 points when the bank is 16 points and so on. #...Results show a strike rate of around 30% and return on investment of around 24%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters ALL WEATHER REPEATER SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Consider all handicap, claiming and auction races at the all weather tracks. #...The horse should have won its last race within a period of 4 to 7 days inclusive. #...The horse should have one recorded win over the todays distance. #...The horse should have recorded one win on the same surface/track as todays race. #...Results over four seasons show a strike rate of around 38% and return on investment of around 76%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters Relayline Horse Racing Systems - All Purpose Horse Racing Systems bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters SPECIFIC STRATEDGY HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only horses priced at 6/1 or bigger. #...Find only non handicap races with 8 to 10 runners. #...Delete any 2 year old races and 5-6 furlong races. #...Find the races that have two clear favourites in the betting forecast. #...Look for the 3rd favourite and choose only those that are priced at 6/1 or better. #...Back the horse each way when the betting opens on course, make sure if the race has eight runners that all are running..
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters HANDICAP WINNER HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Start with the principal meeting of the day. #...Find all the handicap races. #...Delete all selling handicap races. #...For flat handicaps delete all races with 11 or more runners. #...For national hunt handicaps delete all races with 15 or more runners. #...Delete all the runners in the bottom half of the race ie divide the number of runners by 2 and use only the top half. #...Delete any hosre that did not finish in the top three in its previous outing. #...Give the horses points for its previous three placings as follows :- 3 poinnts for a win, 2 points for 2nd and 1 point for a 3rd place. #...The horse with the most points is the bet, should more than one have the same number of points then schoose the one with the lowest weight.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE LOGICAL SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only the racing post naps table for selections #...Use only one, two or three single selections per day and no doubles or trebles. #...Checking the naps table look for tipsters with a 50% strike rate or more. #...Look also for the longest losing sequence, this should be between 5 and 9 inclusive. #...Look also for the present losing sequence, this should be equal to his longest losing sequence. #...Continue to follow the tipsters naps untill he has a winner, an increased staking plan is advised for each losing bet'.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE FESTIVAL SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only the racing post for selections #...Use only horses that have have finished in the first 3 places in each of its previous 3 outings. #...Eliminate any horse that does not appear in the topspeed rating. #...Eliminate any horse that is not forcast as being the`race favourite. #...If you are then left with more than one selction choose the horse with the shortest forecast odds. #...This becomes the selection.'.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters WINNING WAYS HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use both the racing post and daily mail for selection process #...Find any races with less than 10 runners. #...Only selcet the races where all the horses have a rating. #...Omit any race were the favourite is 4/5 or shorter in the betting forecast. #...Find the horses that the tipsters in the racing post tipster box give as the selection 9 times or more. #...Omit any horse having its first run ever. #...Omit any horse having its first run ever. #...If left with more than one selection use the race with the fewest amount of runners.. #...Gives a good strike rate of around 46% but short prices.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters MONEYMAKER HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only the racing post for selections. #...Find the signpost section and look for the most tipped horse. #...Back all the selections with points ratio per number of selections. #...Gives between 1-3 bets per day. #...Simple method but shows a strike rate of around 45%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters CERT SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only the racing post for selections. #...Use only the principal meeting of the day. #...Use only non handicap races. #...Check the tipster selections for all the racing post tipster for any race that qualifies. #...You need four or more to pick the same horse in a race. #...The selection should be the favourite in the betting forecast. #...Omit any horses that are forcast at lower than 2/5 in the betting forecast. #...Find the horse that has the lowest forcast price from all qualifiers. #...Should there be more than one then back both to equal stakes. #...If there are no selections go to the 2nd principal meeting and so on. There be one or more bets per day but on odd occasion there will be none. #...This give a very high strike rate but expect to be betting odds on most of the time.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters LONG ODDS HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Look for handicap races only, the more runners the better. #...Select horses that are are in the bottom 5 in the weights. #...Look for jockeys who are recieving weight allowances. #...Find the betting forecast price for these horses and select only the ones priced at 4/1 or over. #...If you find one then back the horse each way. #...If there are two then back both hores to win at equal stakes. #...Should there be more than two then leaved the race alone. #...Gives a low strike rate of around 20% but with prices up to 33/1 this more than makes up for it.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters ONE A WEEK HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only handicap races. #...Flat, including all weather, and national hunt races can be used. #...Look at the topweight, if more than one carries topweight then leave the race out. #...Look for any horse that won its last race and is carrying a penalty. #...This system only gives on average one bet per week. #...Shows average strike rate of 50% at average odds of 4/1.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters WINNING WEALTH SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing
#...Trainers are instrumental to the success of this sytem and following stables which are in form will make your objective of beating the boomaker far easier. #...The trianers in form can easily found in the racing post, both overall stats along with the course stats for the days racing are posted. #...Using the top 5 from these tables you then need to find the right horses rather than backing all of them. #...Find the horses from the top 5 stables that have won at least one race during the last three season. #...From those find the horses who have won a race of at least the same value as the race they are competing in. #...Should the race in question be a handicap then the horse must have won a handicap before. #...Avoid races with more than 12 entries. #...The horse must be in the first six in the racing post betting forecast. #...Any horses that manage to meet all the above criteria becomes selection. #...This system gives an overall average strike rate of around 30% over the past 3 seasons with a return on investment also around 30%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters POST DATED SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use all national hunt races in the UK. #...The horses last run must have been 80 days or more. #...The horse should be the top rated by postmark in the racing post. #...The horse should be quoted as the 2nd to 6th favourite in the betting forecast in the racing post. #...The price should be between 2/1 to 16/1 inclusive. #...The horse should not be the betting forcast favourite. #...The horse should be between 4 to 8 years old inclusive. #...The race should be a handicap with between 5 and 20 runners inclusive. #...Results over 3 seasons show a strike rate of around 24% and return on investment of around 50%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE GEM SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use the racing post only. #...For each meeting covered refer to the selection box that covers all the selections of the tipsters. #...Make a note of any horse that is tipped by at least 8 of the correspondents. #...From this list delete any horse that doesnt have at least twice as many tipsters selecting it as the next most popular horse. #...From the horses left delete any which are not in the top 2 on the topspeed ratings. #...From this list delete any horse that is forecast at less than evens in the betting forecast. #...The remaining selections are classed as bets. #...Results show a strike rate of around 34% and return on investment of around 33%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters VALUE FOR MONEY SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only races with 8 to 16 runners inclusive. #...Look for betting forecast favourites at odds of 4/1 or bigger. #...These are the only races to use for the system. #...If one horse is clear favourite then back the horse each way. #...If there are joint favourites then back both horses to win. #...If there are 3 horses sharing close favouritism then no bet. #...the system works best when backed near to the off rather than prior to the race. #...Results show a strike rate of around 20% and return on investment of around 25%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE TRUMP CARD HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Look for beaten favourites last time out. #...Check the form of the horses and if no worth while form then this is a candidate. #...Check the early morning betting forecast price for the horse, you can also use betfair. #...If at any time in the day, up to the off time of the race, there appears to be money for the horse ie the price starts to shorten then this is a selection. #...Results show a strike rate of around 38% and return on investment of around 35%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters RACING INVESTMENTS SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Bet only in claiming, selling, and maiden races open to any age and condition races for two year olds only. #...The race must have 5, 6 or 7 runners only. #...The horse must be no older than 7 years. #...The horse should be clear favourite just before the off. #...The price should be evens or better ie dont bet odds on. #...Results over four seasons show a strike rate of around 43%.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters NULLI SECUNDUS HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Select only handicap flat races run over a distance of between 5 furlongs to 2 miles or any handicap national hunt race. #...Use only the racing post. #...Must be topspeed rated. #...Must have been placed 1st last time out in a time faster than average or placed second but beaten less than 2 lengths when the winner recorded a time faster than average. #...Must have been placed in the 1st four in at least one of the previous two runs before being placed 1st or 2nd. In this run it must have been beaten under 4 lengths or the race won in a time faster than average. #...If the horse won one or both of its previous races then it must have been in a time no slower than 2 seconds above the average. #...On the flat the horse must have won over the distance. Over teh jumps the horse must have run well over the distance or 2 furlongs either side of the distance. #...There should be 6 runners or more in the race. #...The last outing of the horse should have been within the last 14 days. #...No bet if the horse is forecast at 11/10 or less in the betting forecast. #...No bets in ameteur or all weather races.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters DOUBLEX DOUBLE SYSTEM HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Look for handicap races with between 8 - 14 runners inclusive. The race must have the word handicap in the title. #...Ignoring the bottom two in the weights work up from the bottom to find the first horse placed either second or third last time out. Must be current seasons form and not placed 1st. #...Ignore races where 2 horses qualify with the same placings and weight. #...If only one race gives a selection on the card then this is a 1 point win bet. #...If there are 2 races with a selection on the card then back the selections in a 1/2 each way doulbe. #...If there are more than 2 selections on any one card then back the selections in mixed each way doubles
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters FAVOURITE NAP HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only non handicap races with the fewest number of runners and with a maximum of eight declared. #...Should two races qualifiy then choose the race with the shortest price favourite in the betting forecast. #...If the horse is at least nine or more betting prices clear of the second favourite then this is a selection.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE GIMCRACK HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only national hunt handicap chase races. #...Use only the daily mail for selections #...Use the principal meeting of the day #...Check the selections of both Gimcrack and Robin goodfellow, look for a race were both tipsters pick the same selection. #...If no race at the principal meeting meets above requiremnet then no bet. #...Leave out any horse not in thefirst two in the betting forecast. #...Leave out any horse that is 5/1 or over. #...If only one selection left then this is the bet. #...If two or more are left then choose the one with the highest odds in the betting forecast. #...If you still have more than one selection choose the race that has the least amount of runners. #...If you still have more than one then it is a no bet day. #...Stake 1,1,2,3,6,12 increasing after each loser. Back to 1 point after a winner or 6 consecutive losers. #...Shows a strike rate of around 35% with averaqge price of around 4/1.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters Relayline Hore Racing Information - Horse Racing Lay Systems bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters THE TOP WEIGHT HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only the racing post paper for selections #...Find only handicap races. #...Use only flat races including all weather races. #...Lay every top weighted horse.
horse racing free horse racing tips horse racing tips horse racing tipsters SEVEN DAY WINNERS HORSE RACING SYSTEM bet horse racing horse racing tips horse racing tipsters horse racing #...Use only the racing post paper for selections #...Look in the signposts section and find the seven day winners and ahead of the handicap horses. #...Can be used for all races. #...Lay every horse that is mentioned, should the horse appear in both seven day winners and ahead of the handicap then lay the horse to double the single stake.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:02:18 GMT
The Best Horse Racing System
The best horse racing system is the one you create yourself during research or methods you come accross on the web and find they fit your style of betting.
Check out the free racing plan futher down the page.
You may have a similar system to many others but just one small ingredient/system rule that suits your betting style will be unique to you and that makes a big difference.
Many horse racing systems are on offer for sale, quite often with extravagant claims concerning profits and guaranteed success and with the claims come a large price tag as well!
There is no such thing as guaranteed success, such claims are erroneous and will leave you disappointed and out of pocket.
The better horse racing system is based on sound logic with rules that fit the current racing environment. Systems also have a limited shelf life: either because rules of racing change - rendering a part of the system or all of it obsolete - or the system becomes over used. With many punters using the same angle, prices become depressed but the win percentage doesn't change, so although the system itself is functioning fine the prices are too low, resulting in a loss over time.
Common Misconceptions abound regarding fixed methods. People often search for the 'holy grail' as it's often called when in fact it does not exist. A plan may well show profits over many seasons and some have shouted eureka, only for the system to eventually fail. Another misconception is research. A strategy based on sound rules that is researched over one or more previous seasons is already old, it can tell you that in the past the system worked and if the current racing environment hasn't changed in which the system will operate you may have reason to be optimistic for the season ahead. Research has its place but never forget that results are past results and even if the system still looks to be valid in the current climate it does not automatically follow that results will bare fruit.
Let's say a plan has 3 rules (it doesn't matter what the rules are at the moment) based on sound reasoning.
In the past we know that those 3 rules have proved successful and they are all valid for today, everything appears to be in place but results are disappointing.
All the rules work but they are not working together, the most common reason is that in our research we have identified a pattern, a sequence.
Quite often there is the temptation to tweak with the rules, and sods law has it that the next winner would have qualified under the old rules and not the new! Random sequences have fooled many researchers.
Horse Racing Systems are powerful filters that can narrow down a days racing from a list of 30 races down to 3 or 4. A chosen method can highlight the races and type of horse you most favour. A system that suits your style is better than a plan which you have to fit around.
Whoever it was that set in stone the law that you must back every system qualifier must have either had shares in the major bookmaking companies, or have been too rigid in his thinking to ever get involved in the racing game!
Check out this Free Horse Racing Plan that seeks to get the very best out of the Daily Mirror racing pages.
See more Plans for some useful information on using the systems available.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:02:44 GMT
Understanding Odds
Getting to grips with understanding odds is a vital component when wagering on horse racing. Knowing what the odds represent unlocks important information that every punter needs to know before betting in earnest: what is the chance of my selection winning? Does it represent value? How much can I potentially win?
When I had betting odds and Probability explained to me in a simple manner it moved my understanding of the racing game on in leaps and bounds.
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds are usually expressed as fractions, 2/1, 7/2 and 6/4 as examples. With the aid of a simple calculator or spreadsheet we can calculate how much we can win from a bet and also the percentage chance of our chosen selection. Let's start with the first odds mentioned, the 2 to 1 chance, written as 2/1. We can find the percentage chance of the 2/1 shot winning by adding the right hand side (1) to the left hand side (2) giving us 3, the right hand side (1) is then divided by 3 giving the answer 0.333 or 33.3%. Now we can calculate any odds that are expressed as fractions. Let's try the 7/2 chance, add the 2 to the 7 giving 9 and divide 2 by 9 which gives us 0.222 or 22.2%. The 6/4 shot has a 0.40 (40%) chance of winning, 4 added to the 6 (10) 4 divided by 10 = 0.4, it's that simple. Awkward odds like 13/8 can easily be calculated, 13 + 8 = 21, 8 divided by 21 = 0.38 (38%).
For your convenience we have provided a Betting Odds Percentage Table
Now that we have mastered understanding betting odds, calculating returns is just as simple. Our 2/1 shot is simple, 2+1 = 3, if we have £10 on at 2/1 we have a return of £30, £20 winnings and our stake of £10 = £30. 7/2 is 7+2 = 9, 9 divided by 2 = 4.5, so £10 at 7/2 returns us £45, £35 in winnings plus our £10 stake. 6/4 is 6+4 = 10, 10 divided by 4 =2.5, £10 at 6/4 returns £25, £15 in winnings plus our £10 stake. And what of the awkward 13/8? It's not awkward any more, 13+8 = 21, 21 divided by 8 = 2.625, £10 at 13/8 returns £26.25. We are now in position to use Horse Racing Odds to make a backers book.
From the early morning prices or the Live on course market we can estimate whether there is value in the market. Also with the knowledge of Understanding Odds comes the ability to Calculate Odds which put the chance of winning firmly in our favour.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:03:05 GMT
The Best Horse Racing System
The best horse racing system is the one you create yourself during research or methods you come accross on the web and find they fit your style of betting.
Check out the free racing plan futher down the page.
You may have a similar system to many others but just one small ingredient/system rule that suits your betting style will be unique to you and that makes a big difference.
Many horse racing systems are on offer for sale, quite often with extravagant claims concerning profits and guaranteed success and with the claims come a large price tag as well!
There is no such thing as guaranteed success, such claims are erroneous and will leave you disappointed and out of pocket.
The better horse racing system is based on sound logic with rules that fit the current racing environment. Systems also have a limited shelf life: either because rules of racing change - rendering a part of the system or all of it obsolete - or the system becomes over used. With many punters using the same angle, prices become depressed but the win percentage doesn't change, so although the system itself is functioning fine the prices are too low, resulting in a loss over time.
Common Misconceptions abound regarding fixed methods. People often search for the 'holy grail' as it's often called when in fact it does not exist. A plan may well show profits over many seasons and some have shouted eureka, only for the system to eventually fail. Another misconception is research. A strategy based on sound rules that is researched over one or more previous seasons is already old, it can tell you that in the past the system worked and if the current racing environment hasn't changed in which the system will operate you may have reason to be optimistic for the season ahead. Research has its place but never forget that results are past results and even if the system still looks to be valid in the current climate it does not automatically follow that results will bare fruit.
Let's say a plan has 3 rules (it doesn't matter what the rules are at the moment) based on sound reasoning.
In the past we know that those 3 rules have proved successful and they are all valid for today, everything appears to be in place but results are disappointing.
All the rules work but they are not working together, the most common reason is that in our research we have identified a pattern, a sequence.
Quite often there is the temptation to tweak with the rules, and sods law has it that the next winner would have qualified under the old rules and not the new! Random sequences have fooled many researchers.
Horse Racing Systems are powerful filters that can narrow down a days racing from a list of 30 races down to 3 or 4. A chosen method can highlight the races and type of horse you most favour. A system that suits your style is better than a plan which you have to fit around.
Whoever it was that set in stone the law that you must back every system qualifier must have either had shares in the major bookmaking companies, or have been too rigid in his thinking to ever get involved in the racing game!
Check out this Free Horse Racing Plan that seeks to get the very best out of the Daily Mirror racing pages.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:03:27 GMT
Free Horse Racing System
This Free Horse Racing System utilises the information contained in the Mirror Racing pages.
Eight factors provided by the Mirror make up the rating process, what we are looking for is a consensus from the factors in order to provide the best bets of the day. But there is flexibility within the rating method that enables the backer to pick and choose the type of selection and odds.
The type of race selected for rating purposes, is as always, very important but every race type can be rated by this method.
The Eight factors used are Form Figures, Forecast, the Tips of Newsboy and Bouverie, Strongly Fancied and Fancied selections plus the EW tip if enough runners, the Spotform selection and finally the Speed Horse selection for the day.
This Free Horse Racing System allocates points in the following way……
Free Horse Racing System
First we have the Form Figures, (use current seasons form only) from the last three runs award 3 points if a horse has at least one win and 2 places so for example form figures such as 111, 213,112, 311 etc receive 3 points. (Placed meaning in the first 3)
2 points are awarded for 2 wins from the last 3 runs, the 2 wins can be in any order, 141, 811, 117, so even if the last run was unplaced but 2 wins came before it, award 2 points.
Award 1 point for a win last time out but previous runs contain a placed effort and/or unplaced run, such as, 421, 001, 251 etc.
1 point is given for 3 placed efforts, 222, 232, 333 or any other combination of place order.
Half a point is given for 2 placed efforts from the last 2 outings.
Half a point is awarded for a win that was not last time out but in the previous 2 runs and with no placed efforts, 100, 414, 010.
It sounds a little complicated but an example will make things clear.
The Forecast, 2 points for the forecast Favourite if joint favourites award both 2 points, the 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the betting each receive 1 point and the 5th in the betting receives half a point.
The Tips of Newsboy and Bouverie each receive 1 point and their Naps receive 2 points.
The Strongly Fancied selection gets 2 points whilst the Fancied selection and the Each Way selections receive 1 point.
The top rated horse (Spotform) gets 1 point and finally the Speed horse selection for the day receives 1 point.
With the ratings done we have narrowed down the field to just 2 runners, there is ample room to apply your betting style when selecting from either the Top Rated or 2nd rated runner.
In essence what we have done is root out the very best of the Papers selections for the day.
This process provides a structure to ones betting and although there is no substitute for form study, the Tipsters would have done this for us.
You can choose to rate every race being run that day or go straight to your favourite type of race.
Selecting the right type of race is obviously very important, Non Handicaps with upto 10 runners prove best for this type of rating.
If you’re a fan of the Placepot, putting in some of the 2nd and 3rd rated runners can make a very effective perm.
Here’s an example of the free horse racing system in action.
1.15 Newbury Grade 2 Chase
Form
Horse
Tips
Spotform
Rating
641
Cornas
2 tips +Fancied
55
5
F20
Tchico Polos
-
59
2
21-0
French Opera
Strongly Fancied
64* Top Rated
4
640
Oiseau De Nuit
-
54
0
03-4
Sports Line
-
58
0
3-24
Take The Breeze
-
57
0
040
I’msingingtheblues
-
62*
0.5
Betting Forecast 11/4 Tchico Polos, 3/1 French Opera, 4/1 Cornas, 13/2 Sports Line, 15/2 I’msingingtheblues.
The Top Rated Cornas received 1 point for being 3rd in the Forecast, 1 point for a win last time out, 1 point for each Tip and being Fancied giving a rating of 5, French Opera received 1 point for being 2nd in Forecast, 2 points for being Strongly Fancied and 1 point for being Spot form Top Rated = 4 points.
Tchico Polos received only 2 points, being the Forecast Favourite.
It’s interesting to note that only 1 other runner (I’msingingtheblues) gets to within 3 points of French Opera’s rating of 64.
There seems to be a deal of mixed messages being sent by the horse racing system points and Spotform but as Cornas started at 7/1 there could be a case made for backing both the system horses to show a profit.
The Result
1st French Opera 7/2
2nd Tchico Polos 5/2f
Another example, this time from Ascot, the Betfair Ascot Chase (Grade 1)
Form
Horse
Tips
Spotform
Rating
-2F
Big Fella Thanks
67
0.5
-3U
Deep Purple
Fancied
71*
2
155
Gauvain
67
0.5
-1
Pride of Dulcote
66
2
500
Racing Demon
-
0
-12
Riverside Theatre
2 Tips + Strongly Fancied
72* Top Rated
7.5
311
Tartak
68
4
Betting Forecast 15/8 Riverside Theatre, 9/4 Pride of Dulcote, 11/2 Tartak, 7/1 Deep Purple, 10/1 Big Fella Thanks, 12/1 Gauvain
Riverside Theatre tops the ratings and this is a good example of a horse being awarded half a point for its form figures, from his 2 previous runs his win was not last time out so he receives half a point ( if his form figures would have been the other way round 21 he would have received a full point for a last time out win) Forecast Favourite = 2 pts, 2 Tips = 2pts, SF = 2pts and Spotform top rated = 1pt.
Tartak was second rated on 4pts, 1 pt for the Forecast and 3 pts for his form figures (just use the highest form figure point allocation, so in this case Tartak receives 3 points but not an additional 2 points for 2 wins in his last 3 runs)
Gauvain receives half a point for that one win.
Note once again that Spotform is pointing you in the direction of a real form horse in Riverside Theatre, only Deep Purple gets to within 3 points, but note also an unrated horse in the form of Racing Demon lurking in the field.
Result
1st Riverside Theatre 11/10
2nd Gauvain 14/1
Example 3 from the same Wincanton card Hurdle (Grade 2)
Form
Horse
Tips
Spotform
Rating
113
Silviniaco Conti
61*
4
333
Celestial Halo
60
1.5
212
Overturn
1 Tip Fancied
64* Top Rated
7
521
Mille Chief
1 Tip Strongly Fancied
62*
6
120-
Ronaldo Des Mottes
58
1
Betting Forecast Evens Mille Chief, 9/4 Overturn, 5/1 Silviniaco Conti, 14/1 Ronaldo Des Mottes, 16/1 Celestial Halo
A tight looking race on paper. Overturn (1 point for Forecast,3 points for form fig’s, 1 Tip and Fancied + Top Rated) on 7 points just heads Mille Chief on 6 points for top spot. Spotform rate 3 out of the 5 runners with chances on form with Celestial Halo just on the other side of the radar rated 60.
Result
1st Mille Chief 15/8
2nd Celestial Halo 8/1
When assessing a race for rating purposes Spotform is a useful key point, the ratings work best with well established form (The philosophy of Spotform is that whatever a horse has achieved in the past it is capable of repeating given the right circumstances) young horses in their sphere often are poorly rated because of the lack of evidence which the ratings depend on.
Look for races where less than a third of the field come within 3 points of the top rated horse (ideally just 3 or 4) but be wary of runners with no rating or with 3 or less lifetime runs.
Because of a lack of space some cards are cut short where form figures are concerned, check online if you have the time or maybe give the meeting a wide berth.
More ideas, methods and systems that may be of use. And here is the Racing Paper Chase the opportunity to discover the information the bookmakers would rather you did not know.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:04:10 GMT
Horse Racing Past Performance
Evidence is the key in horse racing past performance. Each time a horse takes to the track it leaves clues, even a poor run can provide important information. Data such as time of year, Class , weight, Flat Racecourses and National Hunt Racecourses The Distance and the going to name just a few all bare relevance in assessing a horse’s credentials.
Here is a list of all Irish Racecourses set out in a basic format yet showing that as well as the UK, the courses of Ireland provide some of the most diverse tracks in the world.
I recently viewed a race where there was a 3/1 favourite. I had no selection in the race myself but was amazed that the horse in question was given such a position in the betting market - the race was to be run on good to soft ground but the horse’s past performance on good to soft ground was 0 for 6.
The form ratings I use had the horse rated best on good ground with a rating of 95. Its best rating on good to soft was 89, 6lbs lower, which is not far off its best but, on the days racing surface it seemed that one horse at least would beat it to the winning post on 6 occasions.
None of the defeats were in a close finish i.e. in a photo or less than a length. The horse was unplaced in the race and went straight into my note book as a possible value bet when back on its favoured ground.
I think what swayed the punters and many paper tipsters was the bare Racing Form which on the face of it seemed very good, having won its last race well and had previously been placed on good to soft ground but as said, not in a close finish.
As an example, let’s say the horse was 0 for 2 on good to soft ground with the same ratings as given above, it would be wise to give less significance with only 2 runs under its belt on the surface although doubts would remain and at the price, it would not tempt me.
Horse racing past performance has to be evaluated critically.
Information from Horse Racing Records The following example shows how it’s wise to bring information together as and when necessary:
A horse’s career record to date (going wise) was on good to firm ground with 1 win from 4 (103) starts, 0 for 4 (101) on good ground and 1 for 6 (104) on good to soft ground. The figures in brackets are the ratings I use.
The days going was forecast as Good, the horse has won on good to firm and good to soft ground, common sense and the ratings tell us to group all the performances together giving a profile of 2 wins from 14 races, a 14% strike rate.
As well as the going the Horse Racing Distance factor needs analysing.
We then have to consider whether the horse in question will handle the Course characteristics, is the horse a long striding galloper or a quick nippy type who handles sharp turning tracks
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:04:32 GMT
Horse Racing Statistics
Horse racing statistics can provide a wealth of valuable information, from Trainers, Jockeys, Courses, and Favourites winning percentages on individual races. Information is freely available on the Web or from the specialist racing press.
Statistics highlight trends especially where Trainers are concerned. Trainers are generally creatures of habit - especially in the bigger stables where a large number of horses are in training. The smaller yards must take their opportunities as and when they can, but still target a favoured race course or race type.
Jockeys are closely bound to the ability of the trainer (and the current form of the yard) and the horse being ridden, but they still have favoured courses where they seem to ride the track better than some other venues.
A Trainer may have a good record at a particular course but his yard may be out of form when visiting a favoured course. This is where a view of the Stables recent form is vital. The same can be said for Jockeys because confidence has a big part to play. A lot of rides and very few wins can hardly do the jockeys confidence any good - especially if beaten on horses well fancied to win!
Course statistics regarding the performance of runners at the head of the betting market provide clues as to the reliability of the form at the track or how competitive the racing generally is. At the lower grade meetings form can be unreliable, at the top flight race courses (especially the festivals) racing is overall much more competitive.
As said earlier, statistics highlight trends and concerning recent form what we don't want to do is jump in on a Trainer's selection just as his form has peaked and he is on a downward trend. When horseracing statistics show figures for a Trainer or jockey for example that are far higher than his usual strike rate, we know that at some point there is going to be a downward turn in fortunes.
Websites such as THE SPORTING LIFE and ATTHERACES offer a wealth of freely available information.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:05:05 GMT
Bayes Theorem
Bayes Theorem in short is a method of analysing data.
Horse Racing is a very good model for using Bayes Theorem because it deals with degrees of belief. A purely systematic approach is far too rigid whilst frequency models are not a good fit either.
Thomas Bayes came up with the formula P(H\E) which is simply the conditional probability of an hypothesis H given some evidence E.
What we want to do is sort out which evidence is important and the formula above enables us to do just that.
The first step is to gather data for analysis; this is where a system comes in very handy. A system is a set of rules (few the better) which provide a selection for a race.
As an example lets say you have researched a system and have gathered 500 results. You want to find out how winners last time out fared against the system as a whole. Of the 500 selections, 100 were winners and 400 were losers, sifting through the data you record that 100 selections had won last time out and 40 were system winners.
We can see from these basic figures that its looking pretty good for last time out winners but rarely does it look this obvious, what we need is a way to calculate pieces of data to clear an otherwise muddy picture, this is where Likelihood Ratios come in.
The best way is to show you using a simple table.
Filter Winners
Total Losers
40
400
100
60
Total Winners
Filter Losers
Remember that we want to calculate Winners and Losers not Winners and Bets, the calculation using the table above is as follows…..
(Filter Winners x Total Losers) Divided by (Total Winners x Filter Losers) (40 x 100)/(100 x 60) = 2.666
2.666 is then our Likelihood Ratio for last time out winners in our system under review. The Posterior odds are system winners divided by systems losers, in this case its 0.666 (40/60)
We then calculate 0.666 x 2.666 = 1.778, we now add 1 to this figure giving 2.778.
To bring us back to a workable percentage we divide 1.778 by 2.778 = 64% The system running normally with its rules has a strike rate of 20%
This particular way of using Bayes theorem has increased the strength of the system selection to 64% using just one piece of information.
Sample size is very important and given enough test results from a researched set of system rules, Filtering can reveal strength and weakness which may otherwise lay undetected.
We are looking at a small Filter sample so caution must be maintained. But using this example shows that pieces of information can be filtered and assessed for its effectiveness, whether improving a plan or filtering out non production material.
It’s easier done on a spreadsheet but can be done on a calculator; it’s a very interesting past time in its own right if you like number crunching but also if you like hunting for as of yet uncovered angles which may turn your system into a nice little earner.
The more filtering you do,the smaller the sample size, so less reliable, build up a good sized set of Data on a system and then let Thomas Bayes help you on your way!
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:05:48 GMT
Betting Strategy
Having a Betting Strategy in any sphere offers the best chance of success; however, it doesn’t guarantee a winning outcome.
Knowing your selections in advance and how much you are going to invest immediately puts you at an advantage over the majority of punters.
Most Gamblers don’t have a betting strategy which is why haphazard staking, changing one’s mind over a particular selection (then seeing your original choice romp home) and no betting bank to bet from, often sees a Punter run out of cash or most times with so little money left to bet with, that horrible occurrence of having a very small bet on a nice priced winner which if stakes having been placed to level stakes, the gambler would walk home in profit, but alas, he leaves with little or nothing.
Two questions to ask yourself contemplating a Betting Strategy, (1) is the type of Betting Strategy you are considering a comfortable fit with your personal betting style and (2) is the blueprint of your plan flexible enough.
There are some brilliant books on Horse Racing and Betting on the market, sound advice, betting angles and examples of betting methods in action from the Author.
But the key word in all those books is Advice, trying to make a system out of information gleaned from books is all well and good if it suits your style and is adaptable.
The usefulness of Betting Systems is their ability to hook you into your favoured area/s of Betting, but somewhere along the line the idea that if you run a system you must slavishly back every bet without question seemed to be set in concrete; it simply isn’t true and quite easy to disprove.
Flexibility
An analogy of a Sky Scraper shows the point quite well…..
The foundations are huge and rock solid, the base upon which the building is pinned is vital, without a foundation no building of any substance can stand. So the foundation is solid, it must not shift at all.
The Sky Scraper is then constructed but one vital element is built into its construction, flexibility.
Earth quakes are amongst the worst of natural disasters and tall structures are at extreme risk. Early constructions were built too rigid and although the foundations remained intact, the building itself would suffer devastating damage because of the movement of the earth against the rigidity of the structure.
Architects now build flexibility into the Sky Scrapers they design so that when earth quakes strike, the structure is flexible enough to survive.
A Betting Strategy that is too rigid with inflexible rules that cannot take into account the ever changing racing scene, always have and always will suffer extreme loss, that loss being in monetary terms; bankruptcy, ruin, plus ones confidence totally shattered.
Horse Racing is compelling as a sport; just taking in the variety of racecourses upon which Horse and Jockey compete is breath taking enough with some of the most picturesque tracks in the world. Flat Racing, National Hunt Racing and Flat “Dirt” tracks; its an ever changing picture, the Horses themselves as they mature, the Jockeys, the Trainers, the Weather, the seasons of the year, its absolutely fascinating and quite a puzzle to work out!
A sound Betting Strategy can help put some of the pieces in place.
1. Sound Racing Logic
2. Types of Races
3. Types of Horse/Selection
4. Staking Plan to suit your style
At the time of writing there are 3 race meetings today, my chosen race type happens to be 3yo+ Handicaps with 8 to 12 runners. I leave out Selling Races, races for Amateurs or Apprentices, of the 20 races taking place, 6 fit the conditions set out. I like winning form so look for at least 4 runners in the race to have had a win in one of their last 4 outings, any runner in the first 5 in the forecast without winning form is included because the forecast in made by professional people who compile forecasts on a daily bases and those runners without winning form but are still able to punch their way into the lower end of the forecast must have some credentials worth looking at, so they are included in the short list. Just the one race match the criteria, plenty of time then to rate the race and see whether there is a contender worthy of selection.
Some might find that approach too narrow but the point is about developing a plan that suits you best. So from 20 races to 1 in less than a minute and that is just one angle, you may have another approach that specialises in Maiden Races based around Trainer Form, so many angles to choose from, there is sure to be more than one to suit your style and to suit your time available to study the Factors that come with your Betting Strategy.
BETTING ANGLES
Following winning Form and Horses that have the will to win is always a sound and logical approach, yet even this angle can be vulnerable at certain times of the year. Autumn is one such time, Horses that have shown winning form through the Summer months start to race against fresh animals who have (for various reasons) had a Summer break, the rigours of a hard Season takes it toll and Form can become unstable.
This is where flexibility comes into play, monitoring form and results can provide you with all the clues you need, even a reduction in stakes can be vital, not losing as much is more than a consolation prize, it could keep you on the winning side in the long run.
Always back your judgement and if you find yourself questioning that judgement then that’s a sure sign to take a break and gather your thoughts.
There are some Betting system Truths that can guide the punter in the right direction.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:06:13 GMT
Horse Racing Staking Plans
Horse racing staking plans provide a methodical approach to betting which can have a major role to play in a bettors endeavour to beat the book.
Faulty betting is at the heart of many a deficit, winners are found which backed to the same amount of money would either make a profit or at least achieve a near brake even situation but on so many occasions more has been laid on losing selections and less on winning ones, why?
Certain betting methods would avoid the following scenarios.
Very often a bettor will commence with a certain amount of money in his pocket for the days punting ahead, two scenarios now follow, an early winner is backed and the bettor feels that his luck is in and stakes often rise accordingly, an example might be a winner at 3/1 with £5 on, the bettor is £15 to the good, the next 2 bets are at £10 sakes and both lose.
At the same stake of £5 the bettor would still be £5 to the good, instead he finds himself £5 in the red. The other scenario is a run of 4 losers at £5 making a loss of £20, the punter has 3 selections left and £10 to bet with, the next 2 bets are £4 which lose and the final bet is for £2 on a winner at 5/1. In both examples more has been backed on Losers than winners.
As well as good Staking Plans there are bad ones,one such staking plan is the Martingale System which tries to win back any lost money when a winner is found.
As does the Fibonacci Staking Plan which you might say is a close relative of the Martingale method.
But a very safe Staking Arrangement is the Retirement Staking Plan
A betting formula that’s taken from the Roulette table is the La Bouchere staking method, it’s a cancellation plan and as you’ll see it needs a high strike rate to operate with.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 26, 2013 19:06:39 GMT
Horse Racing TV
Horse Racing TV coverage is better than ever, not only can we watch every race live via Racing channels, Racing UK and Attheraces or in the betting shops or of course at home sat at our computers!
But the best move forwards for us Punters is being able to watch replays of every race, whenever we want and how often we want.
Formbook comments in running are excellent and should never be under estimated, after all, the race comments are put together by professionals who have vast experience in reporting tale of the race.
However, there can be no substitute for viewing the race for yourself, vital clues from the start, middle and most importantly the finish of the race.
Comments in running and replays give excellent clues like the following example...
Lets say your watching a replay of an 8 furlong race, the first couple of furlongs see a fairly hot pace with 3 horse dueling for the lead, just in behind them you notice the 4th placed horse going well within himself a couple of lengths off the lead, with 3 furlongs to go the leaders are still battling away but the early pace has taken its toll, other runners are closing in and our noted horse who travelled well upto now drops away.
The formbook comments might well read, Tracked leaders til effort and weakened over 2 furlongs out.
Eventually finishing 11th of 14 runners you scan the horses previous form, it has not raced for 87 days, where as other horses in the race were showing good recent form.
You note the horse has won previously so is a proven winner but has never even been placed after such a long lay off, it has tended to need 2 or 3 races to bring it to full fitness, this horse is a candidate for your notebook.
Another scenario is the unlucky in running type, boxed in with nowhere to go or a gap closes when just making its effort, such a horse may well be noted in the racing press but scan the horses career stats, does it have the habit of being "unlucky"? maybe it lacks a turn of foot to go through that gap before it closes or likes to pass tired horses off a strong pace?
Maybe the horse does not like being in front too long so the Jockey has to produce the horse late of the scene, such horses can be frustratingly hard to win with and bookmakers love them!
The Punters have Horse Racing TV coverage and replays at their fingertips, all the clues and the thrill of the race are before our eyes.
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 8, 2013 7:47:33 GMT
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 9, 2013 10:28:25 GMT
The Truth About Odds On Shots!
Whenever someone tells you never back odds on do not listen,they are obviously an idiot or a bookmaker trying to spread this myth about! There's no difference between getting 1-2 about a 1-4 chance and getting 4-1 about a 2-1 chance. Confidence is the number one. Say one fellow bets 20-1 shots. After 20 losers, he backs a winner, and he's level. Another fellow's betting evens. After 10 winners and 10 losers, he's level. They've both got the same money, but he's been right 10 times. Who's going to have more confidence? But nobody talks about confidence, the mental instabilities involved in gambling. And that's what it's all about.
Quick Tip ! There's always time for a Quick Tip, We are here to help you profit from your gambling... 1. Trainer's - Never underestimate the power of a trainer hitting form. When trainers hit a run of winners not only do their short priced horses win but some of their outsiders win also. How to tell if a trainer is in form? - Check out the hot trainers section in your Daily Newspapers horse racing section. Follow Any trainer with a better than 33% strike rate of winners. This is a fantastic section of the paper that is updated daily so you are always on the hot trainers!! 2.The going and the draw are the two most important variables in determining the outcome of any flat horse race.
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 11, 2013 6:37:31 GMT
Hi , I know some of my clients love to place multiple bets in the hope of winning big money for small stakes. Although I would not recommend these as a serious startegy long-term, I must admit I do indulge myself and have enjoyed some very nice payouts over the years,but I must stress these are bets for keeping your unit stake low! Here are some Hints to help you find more winners in your multi bets: 1.When placing a multiple bet nothing is worse than if you have one or two non runners in your bet. I suggest you write at the bottom of your betting slip "Please insert favourite if non-runner" after all you should be getting the best horse in the race. 2.Pay close attention to a stables second string. Just because a stable jockey has preferred one horse to another does not give the punter licence to dismiss the other contender.The jockey may have agonised for hours over the desicion and, they do make mistakes...often! 3.Its a known fact that 80% of horse win at 5/1 or less.So dont stray too far from these prices in your multiple bets. 4.Do not be put off by the price of a horse in the morning paper.Some horse are quoted at odds on in the morning forecast and you omit these thinking they are too short in price,then it goes in at decent odds in the afternoon.Its not unknown for 2/1 favourites in the morning paper to win at 16/1+ in the afternoon! 5.Look for jockeys in form and if some of the top jockeys have five or six rides at one meeting back them all. Dont forget Frankies magnificent 7...we were on all that one weren`t we ;-) 6. Back Trainers in form. Most daily newspapers have this information in the daily racecards. 7. Most horses win from the first 5 in the betting forecast prices. The above 7 hints will help you get more winners....and returns from your multiple bets.
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 14, 2013 12:03:10 GMT
How to make a profit from horse racing tipsters
There are many punters who battle to make money from tipsters. Usually the tipster is held responsible for not providing enough winners, and there is no question that there are a lot of tipsters out there who should not be in business. However, gamblers also have to hold themselves responsible a lot of the time.
The objectives of what some gamblers expect form a tipster is a lengthy way from what is actually possible and this can be the cause of the gambler messing up as it is the mistake of the tipster.
The objective of this article is to try and clear up some of the misunderstandings, help you to set genuine objectives and actually make money by using tipsters.
When you subscribe to a racing tipster you have to carry a lot more to the desk than the tipster does. Supposing the tipster is successful, and he is going to offer you the right selections. What they can't offer you is the attitude, bank roll and learning from experience.
Here is what you must offer...
1. A bank roll you can manage to lose
2. Commitment for lengthy enough time to mathematically figure out whether they make money or not
3. A knowledge that the right attitude is needed to bet profitably
Let's go through the actions. I will believe that you have already invested a while doing analysis into various tipsters, and established one that you believe is sincere and successful. Don't do this depending on results from a few days, you want at least several months of selections to examine.
Before you start to bet on the selections these are the factors that you MUST consider
How much bank roll can you manage to lose?
Set aside a sum of cash and then add to it the price of a 3 month membership to a racing tipster service. Be sincere with yourself. If it is going to create problems if you lose this cash then it is too much to risk. It is essential to be able to not get effected emotionally in losing this cash.
How much should you bet on the selections?
Usually a tipster provides you with guidance on how many sections to divide your bank roll into. I would recommend that you choose to do this on your own! Just because a tipster is relaxed with a certain level of staking, does not mean that you are. Your scenario is absolutely different to a tipster, and they have been making money from gambling for a lot more time and so have a lot more experience than you.
Look at all the horse racing tipster's results and figure out the greatest losing run so far. Keep in mind that this is the greatest losing sequence so far. There can always be a longer one. To be on the safe side I would recommend you double this losing run and make that that the least amount of units in your betting pot for gambling. For example if the greatest losing run was 25, then I would divide my bank roll into 50 units.
Now split your total bank roll by the quantity of units your bank roll will be created of. E.g. if your total bank roll total is £500 and you have a 50 unit bank roll then you would be gambling £10 per bet. Are you relaxed with this amount? Are you going to want to be gambling more? Can you adhere to the tipsters selections if you have lost 50% or 60% of your betting bank?
If you are not satisfied with any of these questions then you need to re-assess your bank roll.
How much are you anticipating making?
If you are anticipating starting with £500 and be become full time within a few weeks then I would recommend you quit gambling now. This is just not possible. Your objectives must be genuine. If, over a period of three months or a few years, your picks are creating more than 10% revenue, then you are doing well.
Starting with a £500 bank roll and putting £10 wagers, this means that if our tipster is providing us 3 choices a day we are gambling around £900 monthly. If we are creating £90 or more revenue monthly then we should be satisfied. Anything above this should be regarded a extra.
After all you will be increasing your betting pot every six months, do you know any other way of doing that?
An unrealistic expectation is one of the greatest negative points for a lot of gamblers. They are anticipating hitting 10/1 or greater priced winners every day. This will not occur.
Are your ready to try the tipster for a reasonable interval of time?
Statistically, trying a horse racing selection service for less than 3 months is not worth it. You will not have had enough details to actually figure out whether or not the tipster's choices are successful.
All tipsters go through upswings and downswings. The Time interval these last can differ. By stopping using a service after a couple of weeks you are not getting enough details to figure out how the losing run was doing without understanding whether the winning runs are going to protect your failures and generate enough revenue.
Gambling goes in up and down in cycles. Any tipster profit/loss information will contain highs and lows. You have to go through enough of these periods to be able to figure out if the revenue periods over-shadow the losing periods.
Are you ready to lose with of a lot of your bets?
This is perhaps the most challenging emotional step to accomplish in successful gambling. Just because you aren't getting more winners than losers does not mean you aren't creating revenue.
A tipster with a very great successful amount of winners may win 30% of their wagers. It is much more regular for a tipster to win between 20% and 25% of their wagers.
If a tipster is successful in 20% of their wagers then they are dropping 80% of them! Read that again. If a tipster is successful in 20% of their wagers then they are LOSING 80% of their wagers.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THEY ARE NOT PROFITABLE
I have put that phrase in capital letters because it is one of the most significant factors you will ever comprehend. Just because you have lost 10 wagers in a row does not mean that the tipster will not be successful by time you have completed your preliminary 3 month trial run.
Do you realize you are becoming a member of tipster assistance at the start of a losing run?
Most tipsters promote and advertise their service when they are doing well. Of course, this is when punters want to get their selections. However the winning run is followed by a down swing. If you join a tipster when they are promoting the service on an upswing, then you have also registered them at the beginning of a down swing.
You need to recognise that when join a tipster you could get several weeks of bad results. There is nothing you can do about this; it is just how the industry performs. If you have done your analysis on the tipster, and followed everything in this article then you have nothing to fear because you are going to be getting their choices for several weeks whatever happens.
Above you have some of the greatest factors that so many gamblers fall short of to profit from tipsters who are effective. You must take all of this into consideration and provide a knowing of how a professional punter performs.
We all want to create immediate earnings instantaneously. Unfortunately it is just a dream. You cannot earn cash without hard work and even when using a tipster you still have to perform. As you get more experience you know how effective gambling performs, being regimented in your strategy, knowing what returns you should anticipate and not performing on emotions are the keys.
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 16, 2013 7:42:46 GMT
The Secrets To Horse Racing Winners
I have spent hundreds of hours analysing the outcome of thousands of horse races and have come to the conclusion that the five main criteria when trying to predict to outcome of a horse race are Form, fitness, proven ability over the course and distance, and weight.
1. Form. This is the most crucial factor in assessing a horse race. 65% of all races are won by horses that have finished in the first 6 last time out. A horse that has finished in the last 3 last time out has a much better chance of winning. With a horse with good recent winning form most likely to win again. I would concentrate on the previous 2 or 3 form figures for the current season only when assessing form.
2. Fitness. Another influencing factor is the fitness of a horse. Horses that run within 28 days of their previous outing win around 66% of all races. Horses running within 8-14 days of a previous outing have the most chance of winning again followed by those running 15-21 days after their previous outing.
3. Distance. Horses that have previously won at the distance they are running today win around 35% of all races.
4. Course. Horses that have previously won at the course win about 16% of all races.
5. Weight. Horses carrying top weight often brush aside the challenge of the bottom weight horses simply because of their class they have the ability to do so.
Conclusion . Predicting the outcome of a horse race is not an exact science. There are so many factors that it would be silly to think you could accurately predict the outcome of for every single race.
Other factors such as the going, jockey and the pace of the race all play a part in determining the outcome of a race. But if you concentrate on the above five factors of picking a horse with good recent form, preferably winning form that is fit and proven over the course and distance then you will be giving yourself the best chance of a winning horse.
The last thing you need to do once you have your selection is to get a value price on the horse. I very rarely back horses below 3/1 in price as there is so much that could go wrong in a race.
Very occasionally I will go as low as 2/1 if I think the horse has an outstanding chance.
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 18, 2013 8:27:36 GMT
Four Free Fast Horse Racing Rating Systems
Fast handicap rating system 1
1. Go through the race cards of your daily newspaper and delete all non-handicap races
2. Next cross off all handicap races with under ten runners
3. If any horse in the races that are left has won its last race and is the horse at the top of the race card (the top weighted horse)then this will be our selection as long as the price of the horse is 5-1 or bigger
System 2 National hunt system
1. Go through the days race cards and only pick novice chases , handicap chases and novice hurdles
2. Only select races of 10 runners or less
3. Back horses that won last time out
4. Bet on the two shortest priced winners last time out to win as long as they are in the first three in the betting forecast prices in your daily newspaper
5. The shortest price of any of the two horses must not be less than 7/4 price in your newspaper
6. Back both horses to a level stake
System 3. All weather racing system
1. Go through the days all weather racing race cards
2. Look at handicap races only
3. Pick handicap races with five to seven runners only
4. Qualifiers must have had their last run within 30 days
5. The first horse reading down the race card from the top is the selection
6. Your selection must have come in the first four last time out and have been in one of the first three in at least one of its last four appearances
7. Only consider horses of ages from three to six years olds
If your selection fits all the above rules this is a bet
System 4
This system can be used on all types of races flat nation hunt and all weather
1. The system is a very simple selection procedure and staking plan
2. Only back 2nd favourites.
3. Go to the first race of the day and back the 2nd favourite of the race
4. If the horse loses then go to the race at the next meeting and back the send favourite again
5. Your staking should take in consideration losses on the previous race. For example if you place £1 to win on the 2nd favourite in the first race and it lost you would stake an appropriate amount on the next 2nd favourite to cover the loss of the previous race/races and then to attain a profit
6. 6. You will find that many 2nd favourites win races at very good prices , quite often just as many as first favourites and the prices range from 2/1 to 8/1
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Post by Kimmy on Aug 26, 2013 7:43:28 GMT
How to win with football accumulator bets
Gambling on accumulators is one of the most well-known methods of putting on a soccer bet and there are a few techniques and methods that punters use to provide themselves the best opportunity to win an accumulator.
One method is to place all the short priced bankers in an accumulator bet and pray that they all win providing a winning bet but with obvious less danger.
The second way to go about accumulator betting is to choose teams playing at their home ground that are expected to win, but are not at really tiny odds such as 1/4, 1/3 or even 1/2. This method indicates you can choose four teams around the evens price in the bookmakers odds and your accumulator would pay out around the 8/1 level. This would produce a return of £90 for a £10 bet outlay if winning.
This is a reasonable tip on accumulator betting because it balances the danger aspect between supporting a lot of short odds favourites for a little reward, and backing bigger odds teams with a much higher risk factor.
One big thing to look out for when gambling on accumulators is when the short priced favourite is the away team. To the novice punter a team such as Chelsea or Manchester city playing away to a team like Norwich, Sunderland or Stoke looks excellent value at odds around 10/11, but playing away from home is always challenging and these teams do not always win. These teams are often best avoided when gambling on an accumulator and this is one of the best tips we can provide.
For the more risky accumulator punter, gambling on drawn games is a high risk strategy to grab an amazing pay-out if you get your selections right. If you get four matches correct you could expect a pay-out from your bookie of up to 100/1 that indicates a £1 bet could win £100! This kind of accumulator betting is hardly ever used though because it is such a difficult dilemma trying to decide which games will end up being a draw, however as you can see; the potential pay-outs are incredible.
If we were to provide you some strong accumulator gambling guidance, it would be to keep primarily to teams playing at home and look for odds of 4/6 and above, this means all your choices add actual value to the bet and it is probably simpler, and easier to pick one 4/6 choice that will win than three 1/3 selections where one upset could easily blow your accumulator.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 2, 2013 11:00:34 GMT
Horse Racing System For National Hunt Handicap Chase Races
Firstly, because they are the toughest races, higher class horse has a much better chance of coming out the winner. Secondly the prices in handicap chases are much better than in hurdle races. Most of the bets this system produces will be 3/1 or better. Here’s how to select your bets -
First look at all the handicap chase races on each race card.
1. Find any horse that won on their last outing in a handicap race within the previous 28 days.
This is the starting point of our selection method.
After locating any potential horses apply the following rules -
2. The horse must be carrying more than 11 stone.
3. Ignore maiden or novice races or any races, which are amateur or lady jockeys races.
4. If the going is good to firm no bet.
5. If more than one horse in any potential race fulfills the main criteria of winning their last race in a handicap race within the previous 28 days and carrying more than 11 stone in weight then no bet.
6. If the horses last winning race was at a different distance than today’s race (allow a couple of furlongs either way in longer chases) no bet.
7. So to recap, your selection will be the only horse that won it’s last race in a handicap race within the last 28 days, carrying more than 11stone in weight and running at the same distance as today’s race.
There are a lot of limiting factors to consider when searching for the bets and ones that fulfill all criteria above will be thin on the ground, however the bets that it does produce can really be considered as ones to bet on with confidence. So that’s all there is to it. If you like a bet over the National Hunt season but do not have the time for form study then maybe this is the system for you.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 7, 2013 7:24:19 GMT
4 ways to improve your betting overnight
If you are going to be effective and earn cash from gambling on horseracing, you must have a strong strategy. Whatever betting techniques you want to use must stick to these methods, or you are certain to fail.
But what methods should you follow? Well in the following paragraphs I'll describe what they are and why they are so essential to your achievements as a gambler.
Let's face it, no one places a wager because they want to get rid of their money do they? Now I know that may be stating the obvious somewhat, but the way many individuals bet you would think that it was their aim.
Although the game of horseracing is interesting, as a gambler you need to quit gambling for the enjoyment value of the game, and adhere to a four phase strategy that will allow you to create a useful earnings flow from gambling.
1. Sticking to Your Horse Racing method is A Must
So what do I mean by this exactly? Well, whether you use a racing tipster, gambling application or you select your own wagers, you need to select your bets, back them and then quit.
The last factor that you should do is not to chase your losses by putting on more bets, or increasing your staking levels, this is a large error that many gamblers make.
Equally, you should not heap on more cash in an attempt to win more, as you need to make your gambling like a financial investment. To not do so is lethal. It is also very essential to add here that if your gambling program does not emphasize a bet on a given day, then you should have the self-discipline to keep your cash strongly in your wallet.
If you have a strategy from the beginning and adhere to it, you will secure yourself from creating the essential faults that a lot of gamblers do.
Something that I discuss to a lot of gamblers is to start performing like a pro-punter. It is known that implementing a more targeted mind-set will help you creating better choices, rather than having the haphazard strategy that most betting shop gamblers have.
Being targeted and expert about your gambling may not appear at first to be a fun factor to do, but it works. And it's no fun to keep losing so I know which technique I would rather choose.
2. Using a Betting Pot Is Very Important
This guideline actually follows the first one quite perfectly, as it can be the first sensible phase in implementing a more targeted and expert mind-set to gambling on horseracing.
One factor that you should never do is bet with cash that you cannot manage to lose. Economically it is just not very sensible, plus it will also mean that you're gambling will no more be determined by your racing system or your gambling program, but instead they will become intensely affected by your feelings, which furthermore is covered in the next guideline.
The expert way to bet is to look at how much you can begin securely gambling with, no matter how big or little that may be, and to make your betting pot based on that. So in reality and just to highlight this very essential factor, this is basically a sum of cash which you could, in the toughest situation, manage to lose.
It is far better to begin with even a very low betting bank, and to bet very little levels to begin with, secure in the understanding that you are gambling within your means, than it would be to possibly leave yourself short or take a loan for the requirements of gambling.
Of course, as you become more effective in your wagers, so your betting pot develops and allows you to bet more cash per stake on your given racing system selections, but do not run before you can walk.
3. Do Not Let Your Emotions Be Your Guide
I do hope that you can see a sensible sequence here. First of all you have a strategy. Then you need a set sum of cash set aside to perform your strategy. The purpose that the first two are essential fundamentals is that if done effectively, they will stop your emotions that could impact your gambling.
Once your emotions begin having a say in your racing selections, you begin to make bad choices, I kid you not.
To confirm this go to a bookie and just take a look at the individuals there. Do they seem happy? The truth is that many gamblers do not bet with a strategy or a gambling betting bank, but they place bets on horses because of the name of the jockey, or even worse, backing a horse because their last bet lost and they are trying to chase their losses.
This is not the way to do it and again, it may not be too difficult, however the amount of betting shop punters gambling like this each day would run into countless numbers I would think, so do not drop into this same pitfall.
Losing runs are an inevitable aspect of horse racing and so you need to create a practice of not enabling it hassle you. You need to have trust in your given system selections, enabling feelings to interfere with your gambling is not the way to do it. Adhering to the strategy, remaining targeted and not worrying, is the way to do it.
4. Keep a History of Your Bets
I would think that this is something that most individuals do not do and yet it is so easy, as all you need is some time and a note pad.
Keeping a history of your wagers is so essential, as you need to know how you're betting is developing. Once again, its treating betting like any other business that will set you apart from most punters, the ideal, effective gambler who goes about his betting in an established way will get ahead of the casual gambler that you see in the betting shops (as described above).
To keep a record of your bets all I do is note the time, the horse, the racetrack and the result. Do not ignore of course to write down how much money you staked and what odds the horse was, and that's it. These six details per race are all you need really. You could go into more in depth details if you desired, but that's entirely up to you.
You Have No Excuses Now And there you have it. These four guidelines are the foundation to your achievements when gambling on horse racing. And as you can see, it needs little effort to do so there is really is no purpose why you cannot do this.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 13, 2013 7:08:44 GMT
The hardest part to devising your own horse racing system is finding an angle that most other punters have not thought of. Here are a few angles to base your ideas round when devising your own systems.
Most punters are picking their selections on form based systems. If a horse is in winning form. To make a profit from horse racing systems you must be a bit cleverer than this.
I think most people lose at horse racing because they over stretch their betting banks, especially during a losing run, it's very difficult to stop and have a look at the situation. If this is true for you too then devising a system with a high strike rate may be your best bet. The betting market
Many professional gamblers base their horse racing selections around the betting market. Although the favourite in the betting market wins around one in three times, backing the favourite blindly you would lose about 6% of you stake money over time. But if you found a way of backing the favourites in certain types of races say non-handicap races in moderate fields you would break even. A few more tweaks and rules and you could edge into a slight profit again.
Trainers and jockeys
A lot of the best systems I have devised have been based on backing winning inform trainers. If you can follow a trainer hitting form many of their bigger priced longshot horses win as well. Backing jockeys inform can also pay off. Some professionals think that jockeys have longer winning runs than trainers. Remember Frankie Dettori going through the card at Ascot?
Course and distance winners
If a horse has won over the course or distance it is a more important factor than most punters consider. I look for specialist horses that like quirky tracks such a Chester or Fakenham. The old adage horse for courses is certainly still true. If you can find a system based around these facts you are on to a winner. One system that seemed to work well once was backing the only horse in a race that was a distance winner. Specialist distances such as two and a half miles over the jumps and seven furlongs on the flat racing are worth looking out for. Some horses only seem to win at these distances.
Tipsters
You can get all of the newspaper tipster's selections from the Racing Post newspaper. Good systems can be based around these tipsters. You tend to find that if you back their selections in every race you would probably be slightly down in profit. But if you can see which type of races these tipsters excel in and only back their selections in these it could turn a loss into a nice profit.
The daily naps table Good systems can be based around the daily newspaper tipster nap. The nap bets are the tipster's best bets of the day. Following the top two tipsters on top of the naps table towards the end of the season usually pays off.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 16, 2013 8:06:43 GMT
Roulette
1. When playing roulette, money management is more important than having a method of play. Play in short busts and have a cut off point.
Football betting
2. Try to specialise in one league such as the conference.
3. Never underestimate the importance of key players.
4. Leave your bets until the last possible moment for managerial changes or injures to key players etc
Greyhound racing
5. It is well known that traps one and six win more often than any other traps.
6. Also trap numbers tend to come in close to each other such as trap two and three or five and six together so consider this in your forecast bets.
7. Go to your local greyhound track and get to know the local trainers and note when they hit form.
Horse Racing
8. Two strongly fancied 2/1 shots in an each way double will get you your money back if both are placed. If both win it will be a tidy profit.
9. If you are at the track take time to check out the horse in the parade ring. Only two percent of punters bother to do this so it could give you a vital edge
10. Bet on horses drawn low at Chester race track. In five runner races back stall 1, in six to ten runner races back stall 1 and 2, in eleven to fifteen runner races back stall 1, 2 and 3
11. When having a fun bet keep your stakes to a minimum. I find the occasional Trixie bet OK if i have three strong favorites
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 19, 2013 9:37:03 GMT
4 more import lessons to backing winners
1 - big field handicaps
In Big 16-plus runner handicaps, more than 50% of the winners come from the first 4 in the betting. Eliminate the rest and concentrate your study on these fancied 4 horses
2 - Each way betting
An each way double on two 5/1 chances doubles your money if placed, and pays 35/1 for the win. Find two solid horses with a good chance of winning and an outstanding chance of being placed, and you can make a lot.
3 - Win even if your horses lose
When the favourite is heavily odds-on, the 2nd and 3rd favourites usually represent fantastic each way value. Find two or three races like this, have an each way doubleor treble , and you can win even if your horses lose (as long as they are both placed, of course).
4 - Don't chase after your losses
The pro gambler has to learn to live with disappointment without allowing it to cloud their decision-making ability. If I have a losing streak, I take a break. It's very hard to continue making the right judgments if you're losing.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 21, 2013 9:19:06 GMT
5 soccer betting tips to improve your returns
1 - Read the sporting press and be updated with the movement of players. Take note of the change in management also. Also beware of injury reports and any external news that can affect the team.
2 - Be bold with your bets occasionally. Try to make some predictions for the championship winners or how teams will fare in the coming season. This allows you to take advantage of the good odds.
3 - Be a specialist. Focus your attention on just a few teams. It is recommend to bet on the teams that are not the favorites in the overall tournament as their odds would be better and more constant.
4 - Look out for player performance bets. You may get lucky and spot on the first scorer of the game. Study the pre-match report before you make the bet.
5 - Do not diversify your bets too much. Niche your areas in order to maximize your profits.
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 27, 2013 8:01:21 GMT
You should bear in mind that although the systems are prolific winners, past success does not guarantee future success, and each system should be checked on paper before you make bets with your own money. 1.The worlds simplest system is to back non-handicap favourites, especially in the second half of the flat racing season. There are plenty of bets' and you can bet knowing you are going to get plenty of winners. The best way to make money from the many winners-is to cut out those runners, which are going to be hard odds on. The betting forecast in any newspaper will tell you at a glance the probable price of the first in the betting forecast; if it is below say 4-6 then ignore the race. Concentrate your efforts on the better prices, and play up your winnings day after day. When the flat racing season ends, you can then move onto the next big source of winners.
2.This next system operates during the national hunt season. The rule is, back the favourite in races of six and less runners. Some of these throw up surprisingly long prices, but some like the last method will have to be checked against the betting forecast of a newspaper so that some of the odds on' runners can be eliminated. Some people take The Racing Post or, see it displayed in the betting offices. For every race the paper shows a number of tipsters who give their best bet in the race. Where all tipsters agree on a runner, then this often wins. Backing the very low prices is again not worth the effort, but by picking those runners with a price better than 4-6 often gives long winning runs without any effort. In many cases it is the betting forecast, which is the guide to the prices in the race, often the compilers are surprisingly accurate in their assessment of the final starting prices
3. Now for one of the best systems ever devised. To help select for this system, use the racing pages of the Daily Mirror, it is not- necessary for you to use the same newspaper, pick any with racing pages and two tipsters who give selections for each race.
The Daily Mirror's two, tipsters are Newsboy and Bouverie; and all you do for each race is to take the runner of each tipster. Sometimes the two will agree, while at other times they will not. Treat both tipsters in the same way, and that is as completely separate entities. By keeping, the two separate, you can bet on both with stop at a winner staking plans. Some people swear by staking plans, which use a steadily rising stake to regain losses and pay out on winners. Others will only use level stakes, which means, they place the same stake on every runner irrespective of the odds or how many previous losers they have had. It is your choice what you finally use, because in racing the only thing that is important is percentage profit on turnover. The systems given here will give you the chance, to achieve that aim
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Post by Kimmy on Sept 29, 2013 8:20:25 GMT
With these FREE tips you will be able to improve your betting
Tip 1) To make money long term in horse racing, you must avoid doing the same as everyone else! The betting industry would not exist if we could all get it right most of the time. Join the small percentage of long term winning punters and think for yourself.
Tip 2) Race fitness is key to picking winners early in the season, and you can select some really big priced winners with this. Be careful following everyone as they smash in to underpriced favourites that are being backed off the boards'. based on last seasons performance! Do not write off horses that are race fit either from one or two runs this new season or maybe from all weather racing. Tip 3) If you take your betting seriously and like to make long term profits. NEVER have bets for 'fun'. Every single selection should be placed on its own merits. If you consider that every loss should really hurt if you lose, you will only be making the most sensible and considered bets. Tip 4) A quality tipster service will cost money, but once with the right service you will be receiving the very best horse racing tips today and everyday after that! Someone else will have considered many of the factors above saving you time and also the guesswork involved with whether a horse is ready to win or not.
Tip 5) Look at the horses: Among all tips this is probably the most important. Although you will get information about the horses from the reviews and programs a physical look in at the horse has no substitute. For this you will have to go to the Paddock. Here the horses are saddled and taken through their paces. See that the horse you have selected looks relaxed but alert. It should not look fazed out instead it should look ready to run.
Tip 6) Horses coming back from a layoff may or may not be as good as they were before the layoff. While it is true that some trainers can condition a horse well enough to get a win first time out after an extended rest, unless the trainer has accomplished the feat before with that very horse, it is a shaky bet and should probably be avoided.
Tip 7) Knowledge. I do not think it has ever been easier to obtain knowledge about horse racing. Apart from practically every race being on television, there are books and articles galore on every aspect of horse racing. There is also a wealth of knowledge on the Internet. The more you learn about horse racing the better a punter you will become
Use the above tips to become more professional about your betting.
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Post by Kimmy on Oct 3, 2013 15:39:26 GMT
A Tennis System This is a really easy system. Usually tennis matches are very predictable.
Simply lay any match with odds between 2 and 4 (decimal) or between evens and 3/1 (fraction) on the betting exchanges.
That's all you need to do to make a good profit!
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Post by Kimmy on Oct 3, 2013 15:53:14 GMT
SELECTION OF SYSTEMS.
Channel 4 Yankee Dandy This system is what the name suggests. It can be operated any day that Channel 4 covers four races on the television. The reason we use only days when Channel 4 covers four races on the television is that the object of the system is to have a Lucky 15. We therefore have 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 accumalator on the television races. You will know from previous days that the television races are the hardest races to pick the winner. I agree with you, so this system relies on a gentleman who is paid a lot of money to just tip a horse in each of the television races. So to find the four horses for your Lucky 15, you use the horses that the tipster in your daily newspaper expects to win. I think I can hear you laughing at this system, that is up to you. All I can say is that you will be amazed at how many times he selects the winner in three of the four races, giving you a fantastic profit to your Lucky 15. Because of the sort of racing now covered by television, just two winners will give a profit.
Claiming Stakes Plan As the title of the plan suggests, we are backing horses running in claiming stakes only. The newspaper required to operate this system is the Daily Mirror. Any system horse will be found in seconds and should be backed to win. To find if we have a system horse just follow these very simple rules:- Look for all the Claiming Stakes races Look at the forecast favourite horse Look to see if this horse is either Strongly Fancied (SF) of Fancied (F) No bet if forecast odds-on Fancied (F) horses must be forecast shorter than 3/1 If a horse fits these 5 rules then it is a system horse. Yes, it is incredibly simple, but the beauty of it is that it works. Any system worth following must produce a good level stake profit over a period of time and this certainly does. For the last 21 months it has given 16 winning months and 5 losing - a level stake profit of +77 IMPORTANT NOTE: Do not back in maiden Claiming races with the words "Claiming Stakes" in the title. This is an exceptionally simple plan, but very, very effective.
MAIDEN SUPER SYSTEM Rules of system - 1 - Maiden races (can be handicaps) of 12 runners or less. 2- Concentrate on first 3 in betting (Racing Post betting Forecast recommended). 3 - All three must have run at least once before (i.e. no un-raced horses - otherwise no bet). 4 - Add together the value of the prize money of the races which the horses ran (irrespective of how the horse finished) and divide by the number of races run to get the average value of the races it had been competing in. (E.g. Horse 1 ran 3 times in races valued £1000, £2000 and £3000. Average value =£2000). 5- System selection is horse with the highest average value
THE 10K SYSTEM The purpose of this system is to take a starting "bank" of money and steadily increase it on a week to week basis, using a very clever and somewhat unusual method of staking. This system is not based on any in-depth study and record keeping. It is very simple to use. It is based on a sound staking strategy. In fact you don't need to produce a high strike rate of winners for this plan to work, a hit rate of one in six is good enough! Now although the system is based on clever staking, we still need to select horses to bet on. As you will see further on, the horses we select to bet on have to be within certain prices ranges. One day we will need to find a 2/1 shot, another we may need a 4/1 chance etc. (You will understand why when you have finished studying the system) Obviously we appreciate that finding winners at any price is never easy and trying to find a winner at particular odds is exceptionally difficult.. However remember that as this system requires such a low level of winners, all we really need to locate each day for the bets, are horses at approximately the correct prices, which are in with a reasonable chance of winning. So long as now and again one returns as a winner, the system will work, without the worry of having to hit a high strike-rate. If you are not confident about picking horses yourself, here's what we suggest; Follow the advises of one or two reliable tipsters out of your daily paper. If the system requires a 4/1 shot for that days bet, find a horse from the tipsters daily lists which is approximately around the price desired. Now that we have explained the selection requirements, lets turn to the crux of the system, the betting plan. In most staking plans the backer is required to increase stakes after each loser. It is usually hoped that the eventual winner will return enough to pay off the loses to date and still yeild a profit. This idea is full of problems. Continually increasing stakes during a losing run will soon see you needing to bet very, very high stakes to return even a small profit. However with the 10K system, stakes gradually diminish as each week goes by whilst the odds of horses backed increase! In this way we overcome the fundamental deficiencies of the usual type of staking system. The staking plan works like this: On Monday and Tuesday of each betting week, you look to back a 2/1 shot. On the Wednesday and Thursday you back 4/1 shots and on Friday and Saturday of each week you stake on 6/1 shots. The price requirements for each particular day applies regardless of the number of winners and losers you back. At the start of each week divide your betting bank up into 20 equal parts. Each part is one unit. Now you stake on the horses each day as follows. MONDAY ODDS=2/1 STAKE=3 UNITS TUESDAY ODDS=2/1 STAKE=3 UNITS WEDNESDAY ODDS=4/1 STAKE=1 1/2 UNITS THURSDAY ODDS=4/1 STAKE=1 1/2 UNITS FRIDAY ODDS=6/1 STAKE=1 UNIT SATURDAY ODDS=6/1 STAKE=1 UNIT Remember at the end of each , total up your bank and then divide up the total by twenty to give you your new "unit" for the following week. With this system, if you only get one winner on the week, the most you can lose is up to three units, however if just two horses go in, depending to some extent which ones win, you will see a profit on the week of between three and seven units. Two winners out of six in not too much to expect, some weeks you will hit three or four winners! So it should average out at around five units each week, will see your bank increase by around 25% each week. That will turn a starting bank of £5000 into more than £10,000 in just fifteen betting weeks. Just stick to the plan, and leave any winnings in the bank until the fifteen weeks are up, then you can spend the profits.
THE 500/1 PLAN INTRODUCTION The purpose of this plan is to consistently locate winning fourfold accumulators. The underlying aim is to locate winning fourfolds with odds in excess of 500/1 - hence the name THE 500/1 PLAN. The accumulators this plan produces are not always quite as profitable as 500/1, but if you use the plan correctly, the minimum returns will be at least 250/1. This plan really is that profitable! You cannot expect the 500/1 plan to be always winning, but at the kind of adds you'll get on winning days, you need only the occasional success to stay well and truly in profit. Having said this, if you apply the principles of the plan with care, you may be surprised at just how consistent it can be. You will not need a large bank of money to bet with to operate this plan, you will only be placing comparatively small stakes each day you decide to bet. Neither will you need to use any expensive staking plans, (increasing stakes after losing days etc.). You can decide initially what unit stake you can afford and stick to that unit stake until your winnings allow you to increase it. One word of caution, don't be too ambitious when deciding what unit to use at the beginning. Make sure you can afford to suffer a few losing days before you start getting the big returns. There is nothing to say that one of your first fourfolds wont win and in such a case you will be off to a flying start and you should then always have sufficient funds to finance your betting, but "sods law" dictates that if you budget your funds to allow you to withstand an initial losing run of ten days, then the first successful accumulator you select will be on the eleventh! For the purposes of this booklet, I have used a unit stake of £1.00. This would entail having to bet £6.00 plus tax per day - you'll understand why later. Obviously you can adjust the unit stake to suit your own circumstances. One final point, although there is no reason why this plan can't be used on any racing day, it is best to limit it to days when there are plenty of races to choose from, Fridays, Saturdays, Bank Holidays etc. THE 500/1 PLAN A fourfold accumulator usually entails selecting one horse to win in each of four separate races. All four horses chosen have to win, if not then the bet is lost. The odds on correctly selecting four winners from four races are huge. Even the most knowledgeable racing enthusiast would find it impossible to select four straight winners with any regularity. Even if you just picked four odds-on favourites, it would be a rare day that all four came home in front - only about 50-60% of odds-on actually win! Using reasonable selection methods, most gamblers should be able to pick two or even three winners from four races from time to time, but it is getting a fourth winner that is the problem. How many times have you said "just one horse let me down"? Each element of an accumulator bet increases the risk of that bet losing greatly, but this risk can be significantly reduced if we select more than one runner in each element of the bet. Imagine if instead of just one horse in each race you selected two or three. If in each element of your accumulator any one of three horses you selected could win, then even if you made your selections by sticking a pin in the race card and thus produced three runners in each of four races, you would have a reasonable chance of winning. Unfortunately, as you have no doubt realised, it is more than a little impractical to actually bet on any one of three horses winning in each part of a fourfold. The number of bets needed to cover all the possible winning combinations would be much too great to make this a viable possibility (81 bets actually), but I am sure you can see the principle of how increasing your selections in each element of a combination, greatly reduces the risks of your bet losing. Although we may not be able to make multiple selections in every part of an accumulator, we can make more than one choice in at least some of the elements. Good selection methods will help us to reduce the need for too many selections. The principle of the plan is that we combine thoughtful, informed selections with some multiple options, working together this will greatly increase our chances of winning. There are a great many different combinations of bets we can use, eg. two selections in each of the four races, this would require a total of 16 different bets (still a little too many), or maybe just selecting just one runner in each of the first three races combined with five options in the last race, this would only need 5 different bets to be placed, but it isn't the most reasoned way of doing things. The format I suggest requires placing just 6 different bets, but I feel that this format provides the right balance between intelligent selection methods and the use of multiple options. This is what I propose doing: In two of the races we make just one selection. In the third race we pick two horses and in the remaining race we pick three runners. This requires just six different bets. We will need to be careful with our selecting, especially in the first two elements where we have no margin for error, but I feel this is the right combination to use all things considered. One of the main advantages of using this combination is the scope it gives us for increasing the accumulated odds of the bet. To explain further, although we need to stick to short priced certainties" in the two elements of the bet where we can only make one selection, the luxury of being able to pick two and more so three horses in a field allows us to more adventurous with our selections. For the "three horse race" we can choose a wide open race and select three runners at longer prices. This really helps to multiply the returns. HORSE SELECTION As we have said, even though this plan does give us something of a margin of error, we still have to be very careful when making our selections. Methods of selecting horses are many and varied. In all my time of studying racing, I have yet to see a method of selecting winners that was 100% consistent. I know some very good methods of increasing your chances, but it is impossible for me to say to you do x, y and z and you are guaranteed winners. What I can do is pass on to you a few guidelines that I use when looking for winners. The first pieces of advice are particularly aimed at locating the single horses for elements 1 and 2, after which I have a couple of suggestions to help you when looking for the two and three horse combinations. Use a race at a meeting of reasonable quality. You do not necessarily have to use the major meeting of the day, but the prize value of the race you use should be sufficient to ensure that the horses entered are there to make a genuine effort to win, (£3,000 upwards minimum). Ensure that all the runners in the race you use have a reasonable amount of form behind them. They should have had at least two races in the present season. Look for favourites that are between 1.5 and 2 points clear of the next horse in the betting, eg. if the favourite is 6/4, then the next horse in the betting should be at least 3/1, preferably around 7/2. Don't put too much faith in tipsters unless you know from your own experience which tipsters to trust. Having said this, if the horse you are considering is hardly being tipped by any of the tipsters, there is probably a good reason. Try to avoid races which are any of the following; specifically for amateurs, lady jockeys or apprentices, Claimers or Sellers, maiden races. Personally, I am still cautious about using races at all-weather meetings. Form gained on turf does not seem to have too much bearing on a horse's form on these tracks, and subsequently a little too many outsiders seem to win for my liking. However, this is just my own opinion, and all-weather races can sometimes supply the right kind of races for use as element 3 or 4 where we have the luxury of picking two or three contenders, but where we need better prices. Locating the race to use for the third element of our bet can be awkward. Although it may seem an easier job to find a winner when we are picking two horses in the same race, the problem we have is that we realistically need to find horses around 5/2 or 6/1 if we want to get the really good returns. To help you find a supply of winners around these prices here is probably one of the best selection hints I've ever given. Look for a horse in a race that is forecast to be about the correct odds we're looking for, its form will quite often be fair to indifferent, (plenty of thirds, fourths etc but few firsts), look at this horse's racing history notes, you will only find these in proper racing papers, I use the Sporting Life. If the horse's prior results were gained better classes of races than the one it is about to run in, ie. if its last few races had prize values of £4,000 or £5,000 etc. and it is now running in a race for £2,000 then this horse's chances might well be better than its odds suggest. Find a horse like this and cover it along with a shorter priced horse in that race, this will act as something of an insurance policy. You will be surprised at just how often a horse dropping in class comes home at a good price! When looking for a race for the fourth element where we pick three horses, what I tend to do is look for a handicap with between 8 and 12 runners in the field and where the betting forecast suggests that the race is quite open. The forecast favourite should be about 4/1+. Pick the favourite plus two others from the top half of the forecast to use. In a handicap race like this it is a bit of a lottery selecting the winner, but by covering three runners in the way we are doing the odds will be in your favour.
BOOKIE BASHER 1. Newspaper required is the Racing Post.
2. Look at Forecast Favourites with odds in the range 8/11 - 9/4 inclusive.
3. The 2nd favourite must be at least 4/1.
4. The horse must have been placed in the first 3 last time out.
5. It must have run within the last 28 days. 6. It must be top-rated by POSTMARK - not joint top-rated.
7. Minimum of 5 runners - maximum of 14.
8. Must be ridden by a professional or top apprentice claiming 3 or 5lbs.
9. Must be able to handle the going:-
a. If 3 or more runs in its lifetime it must have won or placed (beaten a maximum of 3 lengths) on going similar to the reported going. b. 3-Y-O and older horses with less than 3 runs - no going qualification needed.
c. 2-Y-O with less than 3 runs must handle the going by either having won or placed (beaten max 3 lengths) on the EXACT going as shown is Racing Post.
10. Eliminate all selling races, amateur races, juvenile hurdles, novice handicap hurdles, maiden chases, and all national hunt races in August.
The Brown Jack Results are optained by use of the Daily Mail newspaper. To obtain the one named horse for the day, proceed as follows:-
(a) Below each race the Daily Mail gives where the favourite finished in previous years (normally 7 years results). Go through each card and find the race that the favourite won most times. (b) Repeat the procedure and find the race where the favourite finished second most times.
The race for the day will be that with the highest figure ie. The race with the most wins for the favourite or the race with the most seconds. In the event of a race having an equal number of wins and seconds then discard that race. In the event of there being two races with an equal number of wins and seconds then give preference to the race with favourite wins. The one named bet will be as follows:- If the selected race is that in which the favourite has won most times, then back the Named Forecast Favourite, if joint favourites then ignore that race and go on to the next qualifier.
If the selected race is that in which the favourite finished second most times then back the horse quoted as Clear Second Favourite, again if Joint Second Favourite then ignore that race. The reason for this bet is that in a good race for backers the most likely horse to beat the favourite is the second favourite and over the years the Daily Mail betting forecast has proved to be the most accurate.
The following exceptions must be adhered to:- (a) No bet if less than 3 years results. (b) No bet if less than 2 wins or 2 seconds. (c) No bet if the horses has never run before. (d) No bet if quoted at odds-on. In the event of a tie, give preference to:- (a) Non Handicap race over a Handicap race. (b) The race with the lowest added prize money. (c) The smallest field. (d) The shortest price
Note, if you have discarded any race related to rule 5, then automatically go on to the next best race. Rule 2 should have a 'rider', in the event of a race having been split, then count each division as half a race, in other words if the favourite results were 0011101.0 the last race was split and so the total wins would be 3.1/2, this happens seldom and is easily picked out in the Daily Mail as when a race has missed a year they put a dash and when it is split they put a dot.
Addition to Rules In the event of a selected race being run in two or more divisions then take the shortest priced horse provided it qualifies i.e. has run before. Should it not have run before then ignore all divisions of that particular race and go on to the next best race.
The Chevy Chase This system is based solely on HANDICAP CHASES. It concentrates on races with 8 to 12 runners. The selection must be carrying 11st-7lbs or less to qualify. The horse must have been out, and must have the best recent form of the horses which qualify. In the event of there being several horses with comparable form, choose the one ridden by the best jockey, (preferably the jockey with the best record at the course). If the favourite for the race is odds on - no bet. Staking one point to win. If the selction is 8-1 or above, 1 point each way. The sytem requires patience, but it is very profitable.
THE CONSENSUS SYSTEM ( DESIGNED FOR USE WITH LEVEL STAKES )
This system uses the Teletext facility of modem televisions to help you pick winners, but you will also need to refer to your normal daily newspaper for additional information,
Proceed as follows each morning;
Change your TV channel to BBC 1 or BBC2 Turn to the horse racing page Look for the 'TIPS' section and mm to that page If any horse is tipped by 10 or more tipsters for any race, make a note of it Refer to your normal daily newspaper If any horse you have noted did not win its last race, eliminate it If any horse you have noted is not the forecast favourite, eliminate it Anv horse which comes through the above selection and elimination process is a Consensus bet. Use either level stakes or the following staking plan; 1. 1, 3, 5, 7. Revert back to 1 point after a winner or five consecutive losers (very unlikely). A 50 point bank is recommended for this staking plan.
THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM offers you the chance to assess each horses form and to produce your own simple, but accurate ratings. You do not need one of the specialist Racing papers to operate this system successfully. Any ordinary Daily newspaper with a Horse racing section will be more than adequate for our needs. The basis for THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM originates from a method that was devised over 70 years ago by one of the first truly professional backers, and as far as I am aware the original method has been in constant use, by a few fortunate people, since it’s introduction all those years ago, and so, therefore, I believe that we can safely assume that this has more than stood the test of time! It was only ever passed on by word of mouth, in fact any interested parties were invited, and then only at the sole discretion of the Originator of the plan, along to a series of presentations, paying a fee for each session. They were, by all accounts, very successful, and those fortunate enough to attend doubtless went on their way armed with their new found knowledge and plagued the Bookmakers for many years. THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM is a greatly enhanced version of this earlier system and has, over the past twenty or so years that it has been in use, provided the user with consistent profits every season. SELECTION METHOD. THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM can be used with equal success during both the Flat and National Hunt seasons. All meetings are considered, but eliminate the following types of races: Selling: Apprentice: Ladies: National Hunt Flat: All other types of races now qualify for consideration. Once we have our short list of races to concentrate on, take each race in turn and award FORM POINTS for the last THREE runnings of each horse. The FORM POINTS are as follows: RUN LAST OUTING LAST BUT ONE LAST BUT TWO WIN 9 6 3 SECOND 6 4 2 THIRD 3 2 1 EXAMPLE. Horse A 012 FORMRATINGS 0+6+6=12 Horse B 113 FORMRATINGS 3+6+3=12 Horse C 001 FORMRATINGS 0+0+9= 9 Horse D 113 FORMRATINGS 3+6+3=12 Horse E 212 FORMRATINGS 2±6+6=14 Horse F 001 FORMRATINGS 0+0+9= 9 As you can see Horse E is clear top rated with 14 FORM POINTS. On the occassions when more than one horse is rated the same, take the horse with the shortest price in the betting forecast as your selection. Repeat the above procedure for all the qualifying races. STAKING ADVICE. It has always been recommended that level stakes be used with THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM. Excellent profits are indeed attained by level stakes, but do feel at liberty to use you own staking system if you so wish.
THE ELITE SELECTOR DESIGNED FOR USE WITH LEVEL STAKES
This is a system which takes little time to produce high-quality selections from your normal daily newspaper. Many users have commented that its selections regularly out-perform those of expensive premium rate 0891 numbers, and often gives excellent level stake profits,
To operate the system:
• Use onLy from the 1 st of May to the 30th of September each year on flat races,
• Use Grade 1 races of 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12 runners only. Use only on going which is good, good to firm, or firm.
• In the selected race, award points to each runner as follows;
1 For each 1st place in its last three races award 10 points
2. For each 2nd place in its last three races award 7 points
3 For each 3rd place in its last three races award 4 points
If the highest rated horse in the race is also the favourite, AND you can obtain odds of 6/4 or better, place a bet.
Use either level stakes or the following staking plan: 1,1,3,5,7 Revert back to 1 point after a winner or five consecutive losers (very unlikely). A 50 point bank is recommended for this staking plan.
The Festival Method You must only use the Racing Post for this method. No other paper will do. If you follow the rules closely you will end up with one selection sometimes two.
Mark down all the horses that are running who have consistent form, horses that have finished in the first three in each of their last three races. The horses in question must have these form figures to qualify. Next you have to eliminate horses to get down to one horse.
Eliminate all horses that are not rated in the topspeed ratings. These can be found underneath each race. There is usually a maximum of three. Next you eliminate all horses that are not forecast favourite by the Racing Post. If you are left with one horse then this is the days selection. If you are left with one horse then this is the days selection. If you are left with more than one horse then the selection should be the horse quoted at the shortest price in the Racing Post forecast. If two horses or more are quoted at the same price then all horses are to be backed.
If, when you have eliminated all the horses that are not forecast favourite, you end up with no horses left, you move on to the next rule.
Obviously with not having a selection from the first rule then this rule must be brought into operation.
All the horses that qualified through topspeed ratings will requalify. Next eliminate all horses who are not quoted second favourite in the Racing Post forecast. Once again if you are left with one horse then this is the selection. If you are left with two or more selections then there is no bet for that day.
If no horse qualifies under both rules then there is no bet for that day.
What you are backing is a horse who has shown consistent form and returned good times. So the horse when running against others must have a first rate chance.
GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM By utilising THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM wisely it will make handicaps much more of an attractive proposition for you by providing many regular, decent priced winners. To successfully operate this system you will need one of the specialist Racing papers, either the Sporting Life or The Racing Post, the betting forecast in an ordinary Daily newspaper will not be accurate enough for our needs. All examples, trials and statistics studied have been obtained by using the above named papers. SELECTION METHOD. We are having a serious attempt at making Handicap races pay here, and pay for US, not the Bookmaker. So the first thing that we must do is eliminate all those really big fields, you know the sort I mean, those with 20+ runners where it looks like The Charge Of The Light Brigade coming down the hill. I admit, it is a terrific sight, but our primary aim here is to WIN, so don’t bet on those races, just sit back and enjoy watching the spectacle. The next thing that we must now do is eliminate nearly all of the other Handicap races as well! In fact any Handicap race with more than SIX runners we are definitely not interested in! Nor are we interested in fields of LESS than six runners, but for a different reason. With less than six runners in a race you simply will not get any value for money. The purpose of THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM, apart from providing plenty of winners of course, is to find decent priced winners as well. So, go through the race card each day and look for any SIX RUNNER HANDICAP RACES - these, and only these, are the races that we are going to use. If there are not any that day, then quite simply there is no bet. If there is more than one qualifying race, use the selection procedure and back them both if the race is run at different times. If, by some unfortunate coincidence, the races are at the same time, select the race with the highest prize money. The majority of six runner handicap races are won by the first second or third horse in the betting forecast. This is a statistically proven fact, we know that the winner will, with incredible regularity, come from one of these three. But which one? You are probably thinking to yourself right now: “With my luck, even by narrowing it down like this, I am still bound to pick the wrong one! “. Well, simply by following a logical line of reasoning THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM takes all the guess work out of it for you. Remember, we are after value, so we select the THIRD favourite in the betting forecast - EVERYTIME. WHY? Because he is the better Price Statistically it has just as much chance of winning as the first and second forecast favourites, precisely the same, no more no less, so by selecting the third forecast favourite we are consistently going to get the best price and so, over a sustained period of time, it is CERTAIN to pay off. In fact, you can expect an average price of 7-2 for the third forecast favourite. You will average out at 33% winners using this system, and at an average price of 7-2 this is beginning to sound very attractive. However, this system gives you one other bonus as well that really makes it pay big for you. Over a three year study for THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM the longest losing run was only eight consecutive losers. So if we could develop an effective staking plan to go with this, we could have a very worthwhile proposition indeed. STAKING ADVICE. It is mentioned above that there was a run of eight consecutive losses, it should be stressed though that this was not, by any means, the norm, in fact it was such a rare occurrence that it is perfectly possible to show a healthy profit simply by using level stakes. However, if you wish to maximise your potential return with THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM it is suggested that you use the following staking method: 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5, reverting back to one point stakes after a winner. You will see from the staking method that we allow for a run of ten losses, even though the maximum ever reached was eight, this is merely a precautionary measure, it is doubtful it will ever be needed. However, if it is, simply return to 1 point stakes and progress again, you will soon recover your losses. EXAMPLE 1 (Pre-tax) RACE 1 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 1PT STAKED - LOSE - 1PT LOSS. RACE 2 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 1PT STAKED - LOSE - 1PT LOSS. (MINUS 2PTS) RACE 3 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 2PTS STAKED - WIN 4-1 - (8PTS - 2PTS) = 6PTS PROFIT. RETURN TO IPT STAKE. Note. To demonstrate just how effectively this staking method is with THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM, there now follows an example of what a fairly typical poor run will look like, and how, by having decent priced winners virtually guaranteed, any possibility of incurring heavy losses is practically eliminated. EXAMPLE 2 (POOR RUN COMING UP) RACE 1 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 1PT STAKED - LOSE - 1PT LOSS. Race 2 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 1PT STAKED RACE 2 LOSE - IPT LOSS (MINUS 2PTS) RACE 3 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 2PTS STAKED - LOSE - 2PTS LOSS (MINUS 4PTS) RACE 4. 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 2PTS STAKED - LOSS - 2PTS LOSS (MINUS 6PTS) Race 5 3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE - 3PTS STAKED - WIN 7-2 - (10.5 PTS - 6PTS) = 4.5PTS PROFIT. RETURN TO 1PT STAKE. IMPORTANT NOTE. All you need to operate THE GEORGE WRIGHT HANDICAP SYSTEM successfully is to learn to exercise a little bit of patience when selecting your races. Do not be tempted to gamble on more, or less, than six runner Handicaps just because you cannot find a qualifying race for a few days. This system is tried and tested on six runner Handicaps, if you stick to the guidelines you will make consistent long term profits, and surely that is what you desire, isn’t it?
HANDICAP BUSTER 1 - Handicaps of 8 or more runners only. 2 - Ground must be good or firm. 3 - Use only those horses in first six of betting forecast.
4 - Eliminate horses not amongst the top four weights. 5 - Eliminate horses that have not run within the last fourteen days. 6 - Selection is the lowest weight of the remaining horses. 7 - If no horse remains then no bet.
THE HIGHLIGHTER SYSTEM Thank you for purchasing the Highlighter system which you will find very easy to operate and most important of all very profitable.
This method will not give selections every day, you can sometimes go days on end without a selection, but I can assure you that when a selection is given, it is a BANKER. Very few lose, which will become apparent as the season progresses, so be patient and make your racing - pay.
SYSTEM RULES
Rule 1. Selections are found from the "Sun" daily newspaper which Is displayed in most betting offices if you do not already take this paper.
Rule 2. Three year old non-handicap races are the only ones we use, and then only those run over a distance of one mile two furlongs.
Rule 3. From these races note the selection given a rating of 97 in the Sun ratings. Rule 4. To be a system selection, the 97 rated must have been placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd in its last race and must be the only qualifier in the race. Should there be more than one qualifier, no bet. THE JAMESON SYSTEM THE JAMESON SYSTEM is specifically designed for use with Handicap Races, and as such it is not a system which will provide you with a bet every day, or perhaps not even every week for long periods of time for that matter, but it is certainly worth keeping to hand because when it does provide you with a selection then you will have a very good chance indeed of collecting. It works for both Flat and National Hunt Racing so if you exercise just a little bit of patience it will soon be second nature for you to operate it throughout the year. If you are a regular punter the chances are that you watch many races, either on track, at home on TV or on SIS at the bookmakers. How many times have you been watching the finish of a race and said to yourself: "Ah! Old so-and-so is finishing strongly, it looks like he is ready to win a race, P11 back him next time out." However, next time out old "so-and-so" is entered in one of the big handicaps, cannot quite handle the better class animals and duly fails to win, at this point we forget all about him and continue our never ending quest for winners, quite unaware that we have probably eliminated just what we are looking for from our thoughts. Let me elaborate a little...... Horses cannot, no matter what "class" of animal they are, be 100% fit ALL of the time, this is especially the case when they are frequently running in handicap company. So when you see a horse like old "so-and-so" running on strongly at the finish, it is, as you correctly assume, a good indication that he is running into form and is worth keeping a very close eye on. But we must do this for more than just one race. Remember, anything can happen in a horse race, no matter how meticulously an animal is prepared to land a race, that horse can be badly drawn, it can be going for a gap when it closes and effectively ends it's challenge, thejockey can simply fall offi Anything can, and frequently does, happen to prevent a well prepared horse from winning its target race. However, if you continue to follow that horse, for a limited period of course, it will land its desired win and you will be handsomely rewarded for your faith. It is worthwhile remembering also that time and time again, a badly hampered horse will, somehow, manage to battle it’s way through to a place. So, keep your eyes open when watching handicap races and if you see a horse like "so-and-so" finishing strongly, follow him and back him EACH-WAY in his next THREE races. It is virtually certain that you will at the very least recoup your stake if he only manages a place, but he will almost certainly win one of those three races AND at an attractive price which will show you a very healthy profit overall. REMEMBER Make a note of any improving horses in Handicap races. Once noted back them EACH-WAY for their next THREE races, but do not forget to STOP AT A WIN. IMPORTANT NOTE
DO NOT stop at a PLACE, only STOP AT A WIN. You must always remember that these horses are being prepared to win a specific target race or to land a pre-planned gamble, and if everything goes to plan and they do manage to win first or second time out, then the chances are that they are going to be eased off until preparations are ready for them to go and attempt to win their next target race.
THE JAMESON SYSTEM THE JAMESON SYSTEM is specifically designed for use with Handicap Races, and as such it is not a system which will provide you with a bet every day, or perhaps not even every week for long periods of time for that matter, but it is certainly worth keeping to hand because when it does provide you with a selection then you will have a very good chance indeed of collecting. It works for both Flat and National Hunt Racing so if you exercise just a little bit of patience it will soon be second nature for you to operate it throughout the year. If you are a regular punter the chances are that you watch many races, either on track, at home on TV or on SIS at the bookmakers. How many times have you been watching the finish of a race and said to yourself: "Ah! Old so-and-so is finishing strongly, it looks like he is ready to win a race, P11 back him next time out." However, next time out old "so-and-so" is entered in one of the big handicaps, cannot quite handle the better class animals and duly fails to win, at this point we forget all about him and continue our never ending quest for winners, quite unaware that we have probably eliminated just what we are looking for from our thoughts. Let me elaborate a little...... Horses cannot, no matter what "class" of animal they are, be 100% fit ALL of the time, this is especially the case when they are frequently running in handicap company. So when you see a horse like old "so-and-so" running on strongly at the finish, it is, as you correctly assume, a good indication that he is running into form and is worth keeping a very close eye on. But we must do this for more than just one race. Remember, anything can happen in a horse race, no matter how meticulously an animal is prepared to land a race, that horse can be badly drawn, it can be going for a gap when it closes and effectively ends it's challenge, thejockey can simply fall offi Anything can, and frequently does, happen to prevent a well prepared horse from winning its target race. However, if you continue to follow that horse, for a limited period of course, it will land its desired win and you will be handsomely rewarded for your faith. It is worthwhile remembering also that time and time again, a badly hampered horse will, somehow, manage to battle it’s way through to a place. So, keep your eyes open when watching handicap races and if you see a horse like "so-and-so" finishing strongly, follow him and back him EACH-WAY in his next THREE races. It is virtually certain that you will at the very least recoup your stake if he only manages a place, but he will almost certainly win one of those three races AND at an attractive price which will show you a very healthy profit overall. REMEMBER Make a note of any improving horses in Handicap races. Once noted back them EACH-WAY for their next THREE races, but do not forget to STOP AT A WIN. IMPORTANT NOTE
DO NOT stop at a PLACE, only STOP AT A WIN. You must always remember that these horses are being prepared to win a specific target race or to land a pre-planned gamble, and if everything goes to plan and they do manage to win first or second time out, then the chances are that they are going to be eased off until preparations are ready for them to go and attempt to win their next target race.
THE “LAY AND GO” SYSTEM is specially designed for those punters who wish to place their whole day’s bets in one go, or if they are having a day out at the races it will give them a simple method of finding winners.
Many punters like to follow their favourite jockey, but even a cursory glance at the jockey’s table shows that very, very few jockeys show a level stake profit on their mounts. So clearly, in order to succeed, a system backing a jockey needs to be linked with some other sound basis of selection, the most obvious being the form of the horses that the jockey will be riding.
SELECTION METHOD.
This will only work at one meeting at a time so, if you are not actually at the track, it is suggested that you concentrate on the day’s Principle meeting.
Go through the entire race programme and note the jockey who is riding the most horses which were winners last time out. This is the jockey that you will be following today.
In the event of more than one jockey tying for selection, you will select the jockey who is currently the highest in the jockeys championship table at the present time.
You may place a bet at the Bookmakers on each of the jockeys mounts as per the following example.
Example.
2.00 L Dettori’s mount £1.00 win 2.30 L Dettori’s mount £2.00 win 3.00 L Dettori’s mount £3.00 win 4.00 L.Dettori’ s mount £4.00 win 4.30 L.Dettori’s mount £5.00 win 5.00 L Dettori’s mount £6.00 win
STOP AT A WINNER
The staking method that is used in the above example is a simple, but effective one whereby the stake is increased by just 1 point after a loss.
THE “LAY AND GO” SYSTEM (continued)
IMPORTANT NOTE.
You must put your selected jockey down for ALL the races on the programme, even if he is not down to ride in one or more races. If he does not ride then there is no loss, but if, for example, he was not down to ride in the 4.00 but managed to pick up a spare ride which duly trotted in at big odds, then I do not imagine you would be too happy. So play safe and put your jockey down for each race.
Of course, if you are at the track, or even in the Bookmakers, then you could perhaps be a little bit more adventurous with your staking system, although the one used in the example is perfectly adequate and has proved to be very successful over the years.
The Fast Form Finder This method of selecting horses is extremely easy to use and will take up only one or two minutes of your time each day. The method eliminates all races of a highly competitive nature and selects only those horses that have good recent form and the ability to repeat it. There will be an average of 3-4 bets each week and you can expect 50-60% winners all at odds against both on the flat and over the jumps. The method uses "The Sporting Life" although you needn't buy the paper if you don't want to because all the relevant information is on the pages placed on the walls of all betting shops. Here then, is the method: Select all non-handicap races with fields of up to and including 12 declared runners. Eliminate Amateur, Apprentice and Ladies races. Check any horse that won last time out to see if it is tipped by "Form" of "The Sporting Life" and if it is, then that a selection provided it is forecast at odds against in the betting forecast not odds on or evens. You will find Form's tips for each race in the box at the top of the page near the race card. When placing your bet write, "Odds on or evens, no bet" on your slip and this will automatically eliminate odds on and evens bets and ensure all your selections are priced at odds against. The method may also be used with ordinary newspapers. I advise you to use either the "Daily Mirror" or the "Daily Express". The same rules apply except instead of using "Form" of the Life, the black spot form horse is used instead. Both these papers have a spot form rating and both have proved to be profitable with the method. N.B. All selections must be current season last time out winners.
THE SPECIFIC STRATEGY The strategy is based on high value, each-way bets. We are looking to back horses which are between 6/1 and 10/1. Using the guidelines below around 80-90% of the chosen horses should at least place, which at fifth of the odds will show small profits. However experience has taught us that approximately 1 in 5 of these horses will actually win, it is these win bets, (at prices up to 10/1), that will see our profits spiral. Effectively, using this method you will be backing on a week to week basis confident in the knowledge that most of the time your money will be returned, plus a small profit for your trouble, patiently waiting for the big price winners we all hope for. The Specific Strategy does not incur any long losing runs. Here is how the plan operates. Firstly, we confine our betting to certain types of races, these being non-handicap races with eight, or sometimes nine runners. During the jumps season, chases are preferable to hurdles, but don't exclude hurdles altogether as the plan is still profitable with these types of races. During the flat season do not ever use two-year-old races or sprints (5-6 furlongs). This may seem to leave us very little to play with, but there will still be quite a few races of interest to us each week. The next thing we look at in the suitable races, is the betting. You can use the morning forecasts in the papers, or wait for the markets to open proper. Look for races which the bookmakers rate as a "two horse race", i.e.. the first two in the betting should be very shortly priced, usually one will be odds-on and the second horse around 7/4 to 2/1. Find a race that fulfils all the criteria above and you have a bet! The horse to back each-way will be the third one in the betting. This will usually be 6/1 or better in races with a two-horse book. This will be the horse that the form experts rate as the third best in the race. Because the odds set by the bookmakers represent each horses chances of winning (not placing), backing the third best horse each-way is the finest value bet you can get in racing. It really is a loophole in the bookmakers way of working. So much so that in races of the kind the strategy is concerned with, the on-course bookmakers are unlikely to accept each-way bets like these. They realise the danger of such bets. The off-course bookmaking chains have to have a general policy and cannot adjust their betting practises for specific races. Now two notes of caution: Firstly, when you are selecting the "third" horse to back in races with a two-horse book, always stick to using the third horse in the betting. Don't be tempted to try to pick a bet from the remaining runners. A hard and fast selection method that does not allow room for emotions, hunches or personal judgement will always prove most profitable in the long run. Secondly, in eight runner races be careful that there are no withdrawals. In eight runner races a place counts as first, second or third, but if there is a withdrawal and less than eight horses start, then only first and second will count as places. This is something to avoid. Good luck.
Factor 4 Simple system based on 4 variables. You will need The Mirror (or failing that any paper with speed ratings) To qualify, a horse must be: 1) Top rated in the speed ratings (usually signified by a dot) 2) Finished in the top 3 last time out 3) Favourite 4) Is running within 4 days of its last outing Very simple and very effective A short note about Factor 4 This method was so popular, easy and profitable that that it lost its 'value'. That is to say that the bookies, expecting a run of bets on it, reduced the price. So instead of getting the true value of say evens only 4/6 would be on offer. Time passes, however, so check for value on these bets now and you may be pleasantly surprised. There will be more about Factor 4 later.
Simple System 1 The system is quite simple. As you glance through your paper looking for any horses with the form figures 111 or 1 and 2 in their last three races make a note of any race with two qualifiers only. You then back both horses in that race at level stakes. That’s the system pure and simple. Believe me you get some nice priced winners. For example at Cheltenham there were three races that qualified and they produced two winners at 16/1 and 4/1. Stakes 60 points, returns 220 points. Not bad. I suggest that where the shortest priced qualifier is quoted less than 2/1 you place the full stake on the other qualifier, it will almost certainly increase your returns. 10 points on each qualifier, if one less than 2/1 in betting place full 20 points on other qualifier. Simple System 2 Horse must have been place between 1st and 4th in its last two races Add the two form figures together along with the number of days since the horse last ran Only select horse which score 20 or less. Pick the horse(s) with the lowest score. Simple System 3 Handicap race of 12 runners or less. Must be Top 3 most consistent horse. First or Second last time out. Top 3 in Weights. Same distance as last time out. C or D winner. Simple System 4 Go through the racecard of each meeting for that day, make a note of every Handicap race. Make a note of the weight that the TOP WEIGHT is carrying. Make a note of the weight that the SECOND TOP WEIGHT is carrying. Subtract the second top weight from the top weight and make a note of the DIFFERENCE. Repeat this procedure for every Handicap race of the day. The system selection is the TOP WEIGHT that is set to carry the biggest margin of weight over its nearest (second top weight) rival. System 5 Consider 6 Runner or less Handicap races only. Must be Top 3 most consistent horse. Top 3 Official Rating. Top 3 on Postmark. Top 3 on Topspeed Adjusted Or Latest. Rule: runner must have had a recent run.
CRACKING THE PLACEPOT INTRODUCTION The Placepot is without doubt the best value bet in gambling. Just a £1.00 bet can return dividends in excess of several hundred pounds! To win the placepot you have to select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races at a meeting. As well as being great value it is an excellent "fun" bet as it gives you an interest in a large number of races for just a small investment. Placepots are run by the Tote, but most high street bookmakers will now accept placepot bets. Whether you bet most days or just on Saturdays, a Placepot bet is a smart investment to make! Obviously finding a horse to place in six consecutive races is not easy. However this publication "Cracking The Placepot" with a new, updated version is a real winner. It really works! Using it will help you to win the Placepot dividends with great regularity, you are virtually guarantted a win every week. Not all placepot are in the £500+ region (although from time to time returns can be in four figures!), but compared with other tyes of race betting the "level-stakes" returns on a week to week basis are huge. THE METHOD Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult. Conversely, the lowest grade meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard. So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the one to use. Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections. To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips which make entering easier. To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved. Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729 times our stake. Too much. The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00. It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets. Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very reliable selection method to use with this plan. Here's what to do: 1. Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act as our "single" entries in the perm. 2. Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three" selections in the perm. 3. Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm. We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should scoop the Placepot at least once a week. One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use, keep to the same one each day.
THE DOUBLE TOP SYSTEM Here is quite an old yet remarkably effective system that shows a level stakes profit most months. Prices vary from odds-on to 4/1 and the longest losing run since April 2001 has been just 6 on one occassion. Paper: Racing Post Examine the 'selection box' of tipsters for each in the Racing Post. For a selection to qualify it must be tipped by the first four tipsters in the 'selection box'. That is, it must be the selection of Postmark, Postdata, Topspeed and Spotlight. No bet in handicap races, nurseries, claimers, sellers, amateur or apprentice races. Starting with a £1,000 bank in April 2001, you would now have a bank of over £10,000 using this system and the 'stepper' staking plan. Level stakes bets of £100 would have returned a profit of over £3,300
DAILY DOUBLE SYSTEM Use only the daily mirror. It uses the same starting prices forecast as the Racing Post while only costing about a fifth the price and has the specialist information required to operate the system. To get the information we require, first look at the horse's name, and then look at the abbreviations in brackets after the jockey's name. The abbreviations that we require are: i) SF =Strongly Fancied to win ii) F =Fancied to win iii) EW =Each way Fancied to be placed 1st, 2nd, 3rd • Only use races of 8, 9, or 10 runners maximum. • Starting from races of 8 runner's look at the strongly fancied marked horses and pick out those with a starting price forecast of 6/1 or better. • Should there be no 8 runner races with SF horses at 6/1 then move on to 9 runner races and so on. • Should this still not produce any selections then start again at 8 runner races taking only the Fancied horses working your way up, move on to the Each Way horses if this fails to produce horses with an SP of 6/1 and over. • Do this until you get a maximum of two runners. We back these daily half a point each way each i.e. 50p each way/£5 each way (depending on your spending power and are able to afford the possible loss). Cover with a small each way double if you wish. • If you only find one horse then back it each way. Obviously in such circumstances we will not have a double bet. If no horses are found then no bet. It is very important that the rules are adhered to If you find more than two then the following rules should be observed. Flat races: Horses running over a longer distance are preferred therefore a horse running over 1m would be better suited to one running over 5f National Hunt: horses running over hurdles make better selections than horses running over fences. Distances should be disregarded as a consideration. If you have two identical types of races and you need to dispose of one, it is actually best to pick the horse with the lowest SP, as this ought to have a more realistic chance of winning. For example if you have two 8 runner flat races run over 1m both with an SF horse, if one has an SP of 8/1 and one has an SP of 16/1, the horse with the SP of 8/1 is the preferred selections. And that is all there is to it. It is actually very easy to operate the system and selections should be found in a few minutes. This system is safe because it only picks horses in small fields at what ought to turn out to be generous odds. If we only used pure guesswork we would have a 30% chance of picking a horse at random finishing in the first three. But because our selections should at least be able to get a place or better then anyone can see that the odds are tipped in our favour. The essence of this system is to steadily put the odds on your side, so it is important to implement the rules thoroughly and not cut corners. If you do this you will see that your betting bank will at worst be breaking even but I am convinced that in the long term your bank will grow and grow. Remember the golden rule of gambling is never to bet with money you cannot comfortable to lose. A tiresome warning told by many, but ignore it at your peril!
THE DAILY BANKER SYSTEM Works with any daily newspaper, is quite straightforward and can produce a regular flow of winners. Scan the racing page of your favoured newspaper. Cross out any race with less than eight runners and more than twelve runners. Of the remaining races look at the forecast SPs. Your "banker" for the day is the horse that is the one with the SP with the greatest expected price difference from the second favourite. For example: Race A - forecast SPs 5/4, 3/1 (1.75 difference) Race B - forecast SPs 6/4, 4/1 (2.50 difference) Your "banker" is the forecast favourite in race B.
The Dream Racing System
While gaming at casinos is always -- ultimately -- a function of luck, the Sport of Kings is elevated far above games of mere chance. Regardless of the elegance of the roulette wheel or the intensity of the blackjack table, neither can approach racing for its subtlety, complexity, and beauty. The terms of casino games are always set. The odds might just as well be written in stone. Not so with this great sport. Flesh and blood come into play. The interplay of horse and rider. The conditions of the track. The field. Timing.
In order to bet successfully in this great sport, you must bring to bear your skill and judgment. In no other betting environment do you have so much control over your fate.
Your greatest advantage over the bookmakers is one of choice. Whereas you can choose your races -- and bets -- the bookmaker is obligated to participate in virtually every race conducted for 52 weeks a year. You can avoid a bet in a race that is not to your advantage. The bookmaker enjoys no such freedom.
Yes, choice is your greatest ally. Yet for too many, it is their greatest enemy as well. Without mincing words, the simple truth is that the average bettor frequently makes the wrong choice. In doing so, he concedes the edge he has over the bookmaker and virtually guarantees that he will remain a loser over time.
Common wisdom dictates that you should familiarize yourself with the individual characteristics of the horses, the field, the track and the form book. Needless to say, such an endeavor demands a huge commitment -- in time and effort. Indeed, it is virtually a full-time job. Those who master this knowledge will always be best placed to beat the book. They deserve the profits they earn.
But you are not such a person. You already have a job and you cannot invest the time or energy to compete with these professionals. What are you to do? By being disciplined, intelligent and sticking to a system that works, you can increase your odds of success.
Bookmakers love the bettor who places bets on whim, on the name of a horse, on the colour eyes of the jockey -- on anything but a system. You need a system if you are to win! The worst possible system you could use is no system at all!
You must focus on the most dependable horses if you are to correctly pick the day's best bet. Favourites will almost always be the ones you will look at. With good reason. They are favourites for a reason. By simply selecting any favourite at random you will have a 30% - 40% chance of picking a winner.
The question is, how to improve those chances!
The most reliable favourites on any given day inevitably are those who occupy the lower end of the price range. You must remember that because of all the variables involved in horse racing, the actual favourite cannot possibly be determined until right before the race. Obviously, you will have to consult with one of the printed betting forecasts such as the national dailies or The Sporting Life.
Study each race to be run that day and write down the names of the five favourites with the lowest odds. In the event that there is a tie, include all such runners for further consideration. From this short list, you will be determining the day's single horse selection.
Do not fear low odds. Short odds should not be rejected due to a cursory examination. Even money often translates into an outstanding value if its true price should be 4-7.
There are those who reject the favourite on the grounds that they can get better "value" elsewhere. We call these people fools. What is the "value" of backing a horse at 5-1 if, in reality, there is only a one in ten chance that your bet will succeed? There is only one person who will profit from a "system" like that -- the bookmaker.
The real key to successful betting is not being greedy. Do not look for a small stake to garner you thousands of pounds. Rather, use a system which will consistently make you a winner. Financially -- and psychologically -- winning small but often is a smart approach to any kind of wager.
Okay, so now you have your five favourites. What next?
Your next gambit is to establish a system to evaluate these five contenders. By following this point system, you will take the guess work out of your evaluation. Forecast Odds
Points Given
1-2 67 8-15 65 4-7 63 8-13 62 4-6 60 8-11 58 4-5 55 5-6 54 10-11 52 Evens 50 11-10 48 6-5 45 5-4 44 11-8 42 6-4 40 13-8 37 7-4 36 15-8 35 2-1 33 9-4 31 5-2 28 11-4 27 3-1 25 10-3 23 7-2 22 4-1 20
Further, it is possible to evaluate a horse based on its last outing. This makes sense. After all, winning begets winning. For this reason, we can begin to quantify this aspect of our evaluation.
If a horse placed 1st in its last race, award 45 points.
If a horse placed 2nd in its last race, award 40 points.
If a horse placed 3rd in its last race, award 40 points.
For all other finishes, award 35 points. Also, horses that have yet to race in the current season receive 35 points irrespective of their final finish of the previous season.
Another consideration in quantifying your decision is the value of your horse's last race. If the winner's prize money of the previous race was worth at least 20% more than the current prize money, award the horse 50 points. All others should follow this criteria:
Last race prize same as current race, award 40 points.
Last race prize 20% less than current race, award 30 points.
You should also bear in mind that favourites win more regularly in non-handicap events. For this reason, it makes more sense to award more points to contenders in these events. Therefore, award 40 points to a contender running in a non-handicap race and 30 points for running in handicap or nursery races.
Another consideration in evaluating your contender is the size of the field. After careful review of the long history of racing, we have concluded that favourites succeed less often in events containing a large field. Therefore, we reject the "folk wisdom" that a bigger field means a "bigger" certainty and suggest the following awards:
45 points in those races with 10 or fewer runners.
40 points in those races with 11 - 16 runners.
30 points in those races with 16 or more runners.
Market leaders often have a poorer record in competitive races. Consider the following point award:
45 points if there are no rivals which won the last time out.
45 points if there is one rival which won last time out.
35 points if there are two rivals which won the last time out.
If three or more rivals won their last time out, award 30 points.
Finally, if a horse has demonstrated success on the day's course then this must be factored into your calculations. Award your horse 10 points if it has previously won on the course and 10 points if it has previously won over the day's distance.
Once you have factored in all these considerations, tally the points you have awarded to each of your five contenders. The horse with the greatest total is your best qualifier for the day's bet. It's that simple. No "feelings in the belly". No emotion. No getting caught up in the thrill of the race. Just smart calculation.
Even so, you should never forget that both horse and rider are living creatures bound to have better and worse days. This is a variable which you cannot often calculate and which makes betting exciting. Remember, it is the uncertainty which makes it wonderful. Never give up. Follow these calculations and you will win -- if not today then certainly tomorrow.
THE FAST FORM FINDER This method of selecting horses is extremely easy to use and will take up only one or two minutes of your time each day. The method eliminates all races of a highly competitive nature and selects only those horses that have good recent form and the ability to repeat it. There will be an average of 3-4 bets each week and you can expect 50-60% winners all at odds against both on the flat and over the jumps. The method uses "The Sporting Life" although you needn't buy the paper if you don't want to because all the relevant information is on the pages placed on the walls of all betting shops. Here then, is the method:
1. Select all non-handicap races with fields of up to and including 12 declared runners.
2. Eliminate Amateur, Apprentice and Ladies races. 3. Check any horse that won last time out to see if it is tipped by "Form" of "The Sporting Life" and if it is, then that a selection provided it is forecast at odds against in the betting forecast not odds on or evens.
You will find Form's tips for each race in the box at the top of the page near the race card.
When placing your bet write, "Odds on or evens, no bet" on your slip and this will automatically eliminate odds on and evens bets and ensure all your selections are priced at odds against.
The method may also be used with ordinary newspapers. I advise you to use either the "Daily Mirror" or the "Daily Express". The same rules apply except instead of using "Form" of the Life, the black spot form horse is used instead. Both these papers have a spot form rating and both have proved to be profitable with the method.
N.B. All selections must be current season last time out winners.
THE FINE FORM RATING FORMULA The formula is both swift & effective in rating runners on the flat & over the jumps. The combination of two positive potential winning factors - good recent form & proven ability - is utilised in the ratings.
Points are awarded as listed below for each of the runners' previous TWO OUTINGS OF THE CURRENT SEASON ONLY.:-
1st 5 points 2nd 3 points 3rd 2 points 4th 1 point D (disqualified from 1st place) 5 points Course & Distance (C&D) C&D 3 points C.D 3 points D 2 points C 1 point All runners in the race are awarded points according to their previous achievements, and the runner that is rated the highest TOTAL number of points is the selection. The maximum total rating that can be achieved is 13 points.
If joint Top Rated an extra 1 point for a distance winner. If still even the horse nearest the top/bottom of the card is the selection.
You can use the second(third) rated horse for forecasts. If you are selective and factor in the selections ability to go on the going, and its proven fitness with a recent run you should be in with a chance at the finish. Clive Holt supports his formula with numerous statistics. I find it is a good base to finalise selections., and it often throws up decent price winners.
The Fineform Maximum Selection i.e. 13 points choices. By just backing these selections only over the season, everything I have read indicates you will come out on top. If have also seen this selection criteria method known as the "Financial Security for Life Formula," amongst others.
With regards to your betting strategy I would suggest you just do single bets, although I am sure you have some very good days. Why? Because professional gamblers only normally bet in singles (I assume they must know something), and bookmakers are always encouraging multi-bets (I assume they must know something). E.g. In a Yankee out of 11 bets , if your first horse loses you lose out on 7 bets, leaving you only with 4 bets left for your last 3 selections.
For staking I look at the amount I want to win and adjust my stake accordingly. E.g. I want to win £20 - on a 4/1 chance I bet £5 & on a 2/1 chance I bet £10. I always respect the market so if a horse is a 5/1 - its chance of winning should be around that, likewise an even money horse should be 50/50. But then that's where we all look for value! THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM operates on an occasional, rather than everyday basis, but if you operate it wisely it will give you an extraordinarily high proportion of winners. Any Daily newspaper with a Horse-Racing section will suffice, you do not need one of the specialist Racing papers to successfully operate this system. You can pinpoint the most likely races that you will be interested in quite quickly by looking through the betting forecast in the racing pages. Make a note of any forecast favourite in the 2-1 to 5-4 region. These, and only these, are the horses that we are interested in. To maximise it's potential you need to take notice of the betting as each of these races comes up, which means either being on-course, in a Bookmakers or, if you prefer, you are able to operate it just as successfully from home with a telephone, television with teletext facility and a credit/debit account. When the market opens on our chosen race, watch how the favourite reacts, if it "drifts" out to 5-2 or more immediately eliminate that race. We are no longer interested in having a bet. However, if the price of our horse, the forecast favourite, begins to "harden", then keep a very close eye on it because, if all the following rules are met to our satisfaction, we could decide to have a bet on it BETTING ADVICE 1. Wait as long as possible before placing your bet. 2. If the price drifts out, ignore it for betting purposes. Just watch and see what happens, the chances are it will lose. 3. If the price hardens to a MINIMUM of 4-6, then this is the one to be on, this is why you must hold back from placing your bet for as long as possible. 3. If the price hardens to less than 4-6, DO NOT BET. 4. There is no such thing as a certainty in Horse-Racing arid very short priced losers HURT. 5. With THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM you have got a very good indicator of when a horse is well fancied to win, and if you are cautious about the price you act upon, you will show a good profit. But you must be patient and only bet when the circumstances, and therefore the price, is acceptable for you to do so. Better than evens on a horse when it is as strongly fancied as this represents excellent value, even as low as 4-6 can give a healthy return because you will have a very high percentage of winners. However, lower than 4-6 offers appalling value for money under any circumstances, so exercise discretion and wait for another race when ALL the signals are in your favour and you can get the value you want. Statistics show that you can fully expect 75% of winners from THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM. THE SIMPLE SYSTEM Here is a simple system that was printed 15years ago and it does throw up its fair share of winners.
You have to stick to the rules though.
Do not bet Sellers or Claimer Races.
Do not bet Amateurs or Ladies Races.
Do not bet N H flat or Hunter Chases.
Do not bet Apprentice or Condition races.
Do not bet Novice Hurdles or Chases.
Do not bet TYO Nurseries or Handicap.
Do not bet Races with less than 5 runners.
Do not bet Races with more than 12 runners.
Do not bet any horse that is not in the First 3 of the betting forecast.
Do not bet any horse quoted 10/1 or more.
Do not bet any horse that has not run within 18 Days NH & 24 days Flat.
Do not bet any horse that has not had at least 2 Outings.
Do not bet any horse not placed in first 3 in both its Races.
Do not bet any horse that is not a Distance Winner.
Do not bet any horse that is not Top Rated by a Form Expert.
If left with 2 Horses then No Bet.
End
As you can see this system really narrows the field down to Class Form And Distance horses. If used with Timeform it turns out a lot of winners but you have to wait on the runners. Remember, you must stick to the rules and don't be tempted to break them.
THE WINNING OUTSIDER SYSTEM THE WINNING OUTSIDER SYSTEM can be operated either from the Bookmakers or, if you prefer, just as well from the comfort of your own armchair. All that you will need is a television, with Teletext facility, a telephone and a credit/debit account at one of the major bookmakers. The strategy that we are going to adopt with this method is to choose Handicap races, both Flat & National Hunt Chases are acceptable - but NOT National Hunt Hurdles. Each qualifying race must be limited to between 4 to 8 runners. If you are operating at the bookies simply watch the board for the latest prices. If you are at home call up page 380 on BBC Ceefax or 570 on C4 Teletext for the Horse Racing Index and then call up the page of the latest show for your selected race. Once you have the latest prices on show our selection will be the outsider, yes that's quite right, the outsider! There is, you will be pleased to hear, a logical reason behind this, which I will now explain.... In small fields, no matter what the quality of the field is, regardless of whether or not it is a Flat race or "over the sticks", you will, with alarming frequency, get a falsely run race, with the end result being a three mile chase turns out to be a five furlong sprint! And you can get some amazingly priced animals "trotting up". Well, you now have the means to be on them ! I have checked back over many years and THE WINNING OUTSIDER SYSTEM works equally well on the Flat as it does over fences, with the exception being Hurdles races, the reason for this is a peculiarity which is unique to hurdles. Very few Handicap Hurdle races have less than 9 runners! Those that are less than 9 usually turn out to have just 4 or 5 runners and the prices are all pretty low, there rarely is a true "outsider" in these races and so they are best left completely alone. The statistics that I have based this system on certainly do not warrant the inclusion of Handicap Hurdle races, and anyway, it works perfectly well without them. STAKING ADVICE. Because of the odds that we can expect with a winner from this system, you need only raise your bet occasionally when the circumstances dictate, and then simply as a means to cover your losses. Example 1 (This is allowing for a longish losing sequence) Odds £5 per point 10-1 L Stake 1 point £5.00 12-1 L Stake 1 point £5.00 8-1 L Stake 1 point £5.00 16-1 L Stake 1 point £5.00 10-1 L Stake 1 point £5.00 14-1 L Stake 1 point £5.00 Increase stake to 2 points to cover our losses. 6-1 W Stake 2 points £10.00. Win £60,00 - £30.00 = £30.00 profit. It will work perfectly adequately using this staking method, but do feel at liberty to implement your own favourite staking plan. The advantage of using this one though is that it is safe, you will not drain your betting bank as you would if, for example, you simply doubled the stake after each bet. But before you entertain such an idea ask yourself whether or not you would be capable of putting £400 on the 20-1 outsider of six. The chances are that you wouad bottle out, and then imagine how sick you would feel when it bolted in - this would happen at some stage, unless, that is, you have nerves of steel. The above staking plan is simple, but it is very, very effective. I do urge you to use it until you have proved to yourself just how incredibly successful THE WINNING OUTSIDER SYSTEM is. FURTHER ADVICE. If you are at the point where you are about to increase your stake in order to cover your losses, delay placing your bet until the last possible moment, because the price of the outsider does tend to drift out just before the off. You may have the situation where the outsider is 12-1 and you are in the position where you are going to have to increase the stake to cover your losses, if you wait a little while you may find that the horse drifts out to 20-1, thereby eliminating the need to increase your stake. The key point is:- WATCH THE PRICES AT ALL TIMES. When there are two horses tied as outsiders, then back them both, the odds will permit this. If there are more than 2 tied as outsider, which is very uncommon, so uncommon in fact that it is hardly worth mentioning, but I do attempt to cover every eventuality, in such an event NO BET. 25-1 or over, halve your stake. 33-1 or over, NO BET. 33-1 winners in small fields are as rare as hen's teeth. That is all there is to it, I have been using this system on a regular basis for ten years and yet it never fails to amaze me how consistent it is in providing me with big priced winners. YANKEE GOLD The Yankee Gold is a very simple plan but it can win a lot of money from horse racing. A notebook and your normal daily paper are required. Make a note of the trainer that wins each race (when using the system for the first time it is best to start on Monday). When you find a trainer that has two winners in one day or two winners in two days (days must be consecutive i.e. Monday/Tuesday or Wednesday/Thursday etc) that is the system trainer and you back his next three runners only. Providing they comply with the following conditions.
1. Must have won a race in the current season. 2. If in a handicap there must not be more than 12 runners. 3. If in a non-handicap there must not be more than 15 runners. 4. Do not bet in Selling races. 5. Do not bet in any race with less than 4 runners and don't bet if the system selection is quoted at odds-on in your paper. In handicaps don't bet on horses carrying a penalty larger than 3lbs.
NOTE: System Banker Bets are horses that comply with the above rules and that were either 1st or 2nd last time out and are quoted favourite in your paper's betting forecast.
STAKE: Level stakes, or back the three horses using 1,2,3 points stop-at-a-winner. Back each horse to win you a fixed sum plus previous losing stake.
Outstanding Outsiders This formula is designed to locate the best value betting proposition of any racing day, ie. a long priced horse with a realistic chance of winning. Clearly, handicaps are the races in which a plan based on outsiders is most likely to succeed. They are more open than other kinds of races and winners and placed horses start at good odds. The difficulty of course is to locate viable bets at long prices when the basis of any good system must be form. Well it is my belief that a combination of factors - one statistical and one form related, can in fact be used to pick out an outsider with a real chance each day. As far as statistics are concerned, a survey over a three year period demonstrated beyond all doubt that in flat handicaps horses near the top of the weights hold the best chance of success. Class tells in racing, so they say and this is borne out by results in handicaps just as much as in other types of event. Here are the figures which underline the point: 48% of the winners of all flat handicaps are one of the top four in the weights. 62% of all winners come from the top six in the weights. These percentages point to trends in the overall pattern of results that are just too pronounced to ignore. Whilst runners can and do come from lower down in the handicap, statistically they are most likely to stem from the group which heads the weights. As for form without which no system can hope to succeed, even one based on outsiders, it is a fact that many horses with sound win and placed form in recent runs do perform well, even though the market gives them only a slender chance of success. For example any horse good enough to reach the first four in each of it's last three races must have some chance of reaching a place again and may even win, despite whatever odds are fixed by the betting ring. The fundamental idea behind the OUTSTANDING OUTSIDERS formula is to combine these high-weight and form factors in order to pick out a horse at long odds that at the very least has a definite chance of running into a place. THE SYSTEM In the first instance it is necessary to analyse each handicap on the days cards from the point of view of weight. This is done by applying a sliding scale based on the number of runners in a race. It is logical that in a really big field we should examine a wider range of high weighted horses in a race with fewer runners. Handicaps of ten or less contestants are ignored because starting prices are unlikely to be long enough for system purposes. The scale is as follows: More than 15 runners - consider the first six in the weights 13 or 14 runners - consider the first five in the weights 11 or 12 runners - consider the first four in the weights Using this scale for every handicap race on any given day, list any horse which ran first, second, third or fourth in each of its last three public meetings and which figures in the specified weight range for the number of runners in it's race (as above). Any horse which fulfils the criteria is an OUTSTANDING OUTSIDER. Most days you will have more than one possibility. If you prefer to just back one horse each day then select the Outstanding Outsider with the biggest forecast odds. Precision Racing Systems Introduction Precision Racing Systems - PJ1 is based on one of the more well known winner finding factors, that of beaten favourites. This may not at first sight seem an original idea, and you would think that it was unlikely to gain any sort of edge. However, by selecting only certain types of races, and applying a few simple qualifying measures to these races, vastly improves the `value` nature of the selections. This system comprises of slightly different rules for chase and hurdle races, although both types of races are utilized in the overall operation of PJ1. Beaten Favourites In utilizing beaten favourites last time out the system immediately focuses on horses which were either considered to be the `form` horse in its previous race, or had been made favourite by the weight of money placed (or obviously both.) A horse that won its last race as favourite also meets this criteria, but is generally well backed and starts at considerably lesser odds than a beaten favourite In the case of hurdlers, the finishing positions in the qualifying last run does not seem to have any great effect on results. i.e.2nd, 3rd, 4th or unplaced. If the horse was favourite in its last race and the trainer runs him within 14 days, he obviously believes he is capable of going well again. Due to the competitive nature of the type of race used, value is obtainable about selections despite their previous finishing position. In chase races, a marked value advantage was identified in selecting only horses that had finished 4th or worse in its last race. During testing, a similar percentage of winners were identified whether the finishing position as favourite in its last race was in the first three, or 4th or worse (26% winners in both cases.) However, betting beaten favourites placed in the first three last time made a small loss, whereas the horses beaten into 4th place or worse realized a tidy profit when backed next time out. These animals are not so attractive to the average punter, and start at better odds. The difference between the two types of horses, their finishing positions, and the pattern of winners and starting prices is not one that is easily explained. All I will say is that the pattern has been noted over the past two seasons and should not be ignored. Within 14 days By limiting qualifiers to those who were beaten favourites in the last 14 days, the selection has good recent form. As we will be concentrating on handicap chases and hurdles, getting a quick run in before the a horse is re-handicapped is obviously a factor. Handicaps Only Initial tests were carried out on all types of races. Using beaten favourites running within 14 day, non handicaps for chasers produced 23% winners and a loss of more than £37 to £1 level stakes. Using handicap chases only, the percentage was less at 18%, but a profit in excess of £10 to the same stakes was realized. A similar picture was found in the case of hurdlers. The only restriction is to avoid conditional jockeys races. It is hard enough to select a suitable horse, that will jump well, without worrying about the quality of the jockey. Size of Field Testing backed up the theory that handicap races with 12 runners or less were more predictable as a betting medium. The number of fallers and errors made increases in proportion to the number of runners in a field. System Rules • System operates from 1st November to 30 April. • From your daily or racing paper, identify all handicap chases and hurdles with 12 or less declared runners. (Ignore conditional jockeys races) • For hurdle races, identify those runners that were beaten favourites last time out (BF), and that had run within the last 14 days. Finishing position is any, including fell, pulled up etc. • For chase races, the same rules apply, apart from the fact that the horse must have finished outside the first three on its last run, i.e. 4th, unplaced, fell etc. • Where there is more than one qualifier in a race, both or all selections are backed. Don`t be deceived by the simplicity of the above. I added various clauses such as distance, going and class in the previous race, and no difference was made to either the percentage of winners, or the profit made. As the phrase goes, `If it isn`t broke, don`t fix it!` Staking It is recommended that level stakes betting is utilized for the operation of PJ1. Having tried numerous staking methods the differences to profits were minimal, and certainly not sufficient to warrant abandoning the safety of level stakes.........
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