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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:49:51 GMT
The System - How to Win 91.3% of All Your Sports Bets As I promised, my system is very simple but highly effective. It involves just four easy steps that can be done in a few minutes each day. The System in a Nutshell We basically bet on sports where one team/player is playing against another team/player. All our bets involve backing the qualified favorite team/player to win. It’s as simple as that. We qualify our bets each day using the rules outlined below. Although the system works out the BEST bet for you each day, you could enjoy high strike rates following the other top qualified bets worked out by the system. The Rules of the System Step #1: Glance at the bookmaker’s list of all sports bets offered on the day where you can bet on one team/player to win over another. Some bookmakers call these bets “Head to Head” bets. Step #2: Make a mental note of all sports that have the option to draw the match. So these matches will have three betting options…Team/Player A to Win, Team/Player B to win or a DRAW Option. This is common with soccer matches for instance. Now make a note of all matches that DON’T have draw option. This is common with tennis matches for example. Step #3: For matches that DO have a draw option, look for the favorite team/player that has an odd of 1.53 or above WHILE having the biggest gap in the odds between the favorite and the outsider. For matches that DO NOT have the draw option, look for the favorite team/player that has an odd of 1.44 or above WHILE having the biggest gap in the odds between the favorite and the outsider. Step #4: Write down the two gaps you have for the day. The gap for the match without the draw option is the true spread. But the gap for the match with the draw option is NOT the true spread. You have to divide this gap by three (3) to get the true spread. Once you’ve got the true spread, compare the two figures. The figure that is bigger is your BEST bet for the day. You can apply this system to all betting options for the day to work out your BEST bet of the day. Or you can apply it to a specific sport to work out your best bet of the day for that particular sport. The more sports you cover to come up with just one best bet of the day, the more accurate your result will be. Here’s an example you can follow… I’ve simplified it to make things easier to understand. Please note that the Favorite player/team is the one that is paying the lesser odds and the outsider is the team/player that is paying the higher odds.
Today’s Matches Boxing Match #1: Favorite: 1.03 Outsider: 11.00 Match #2: Favorite: 1.82 Outsider: 1.96 Match #3: Favorite: 1.42 Outsider: 2.45 Tennis Match #1: Favorite: 1.48 Outsider: 2.63 Match #2: Favorite: 1.03 Outsider: 3.25 Soccer Match #1: Favorite: 1.30 Outsider: 12.00 Draw: 5.00 Match #2: Favorite: 1.80 Outsider: 3.60 Draw: 4.50 Match #3: Favorite: 1.57 Outsider: 6.50 Draw: 3.57 A quick glance at the matches above shows that boxing and tennis don’t have a draw option while soccer does. So we first look for the favorite in the soccer match that has the odds of 1.53 or more and has the biggest gap between the favorite odds and outsider odds. Both matches 2 & 3 have favorites with odds of 1.53 or more. However, the gap between the favorite odd and outsider odd for match 2 is only 1.8 (3.6 – 1.8). But the gap between the favorite and outsider odd of match 3 is 4.93 (6.50 – 1.57). So match 3 is the pick from the matches that has a draw option. To get the true spread of a match with draw option you have to divide the gap by 3. So 4.93/3 = 1.64. Now lets look at the matches without the draw option. We are looking for a favorite with odds of 1.44 or more and that has the biggest gap between the favorite odds and outsider odds. The favorite in boxing match 2 and the favorite in tennis match 1 have odds of more than 1.44. But the favorite in tennis match 1 clearly has the bigger gap between the favorite odds and outsider odds. The gap is 1.15 (2.63 – 1.48). Now, when you compare the true spread of the selected match with draw option (1.64) to the selected spread of the match without a draw (1.15)…we find that the selected match with draw option has a bigger spread. Hence it is our pick for the day. So the bet of the day in this case is Soccer Match #3 Bet on the Favorite to Win. Remember…we always divide the spread of matches with the draw option with 3 in order to get a TRUE spread value. Then only can we compare it to the spread of the match WITHOUT the draw option. Bonus One – Weekly Income Blueprint Now that you know how to pick winning matches, lets explore the core strategies of massive profit generation using effective money management techniques. Over the years I’ve had some clients ‘pester’ me about how they can make bigger gains from an average odds of $1.57. Although they failed to see the massive benefit of having a system that is actually profitable…regardless of the odds, I nevertheless decided to share my staking method that excites even the most conservative bettor. Since we bet on certain qualified favorites, we don’t have the luxury of enjoying odds of say $10 (9/1 or +900). But the good news is that we can create the results of betting on bigger odds without the added risks of betting on bigger odds. How? The secret is known as Parlay or accumulator betting. This basically involves making a bet and then once that bet has won…taking your entire winning and original stake and betting it on the next bet. You can do this as many times as you like. Say it’s Monday morning and you’ve just spotted your qualified bet for the day paying 1.75. You put $100 on it. You win the bet and get back $175 ($100 original stake/wager plus $75 profit). Now it’s Tuesday and you’ve spotted your best bet of the day paying $1.61. You take your entire winnings of $175 from Monday’s bet and invest it on Tuesday’s bet. You win your Tuesday’s bet giving you a total of $281.75 ($175 x $1.61). You can keep repeating this for the whole week! A word of caution though. With each extra bet you decide to add you your parlay bet, you increase the risk of wiping out your running total. So I suggest you first start with just two-bet parlays. As you get comfortable, add more bets to your parlay run. I’ve got many clients who run seven to ten bet parlays. A seven-bet parlay will give you an average return of $235 on a $10 starting bet. Your bet will look like this: $10 x 1.57 x 1.57 x 1.57 x 1.57 x 1.57 x 1.57 x 1.57 = $235 The above parlay bet is the equivalent to making ONE bet on odds of $23.50. Winning a bet paying odds of $23.50 is clearly a longshot. But regularly nailing a 7-bet parlay is not difficult. Plus, you only have to win one parlay bet out of 23 to make a profit! Here’s What I do for Great Fun and Returns My parlay bets start with $80 and I run them over either a four-bet, fivebet, six-bet, or seven-bet parlay…all depending on how I feel. And if my parlay loses, I start my next parlay with an additional $10. So if my $80 parlay loses, my next one starts with $90. If that loses, I start the next one with $90. I’ve never had to go past $110. The beauty of this method is that the extra $10 adds massively to my profits. An $80 parlay makes on average $1880 on a 7-bet parlay. Say I lost the $80, 90 & $100 bets. My total loss is $170. Then I win the $110 parlay giving me $2,586. I take the loss of $170 out of $2,586 and I’m still $2,416 ahead! Bonus Two – The $96,000 Yearly Blueprint If you are looking for a very robust and conservative way to accumulate massive amounts of money from sports betting…then the method I’m about to disclose to you is the BEST there is. This money management method involves starting betting with just $100 but can make $96,000 per year with no extra risk. I’ll base my bets on $100 bets but you can start with any amount you like and are comfortable with. The first thing you need to do is to establish a betting bank. A betting bank is your separate funding allocated specifically for betting. You cannot add outside money into your betting bank and you only withdraw money from it when it hits maturity. The betting bank has to be selfsustaining and all profits and losses are adjusted within the bank. I like to see a starting betting bank to be an amount 20 times the betting amount. So if you plan to start your bets with $100, your betting bank has to be $2,000. The Rules of Operating a Betting Bank 1- Establish a maturity amount 2- Make bets with 5% of your original bank 3- Reinvest all profits back into your betting bank 4- Let the bank absorb all losses as well 5- Once your original bank doubles in size, you also double the bet amount A maturity amount is the amount of money you plan to make before withdrawing money from the betting bank. A good maturity amount to aim for is $32,000. Here’s what my plan looks like with a $32,000 maturity amount. Betting bank $2,000. Start betting with $100. Reinvest all profits bank into the betting bank. So when my bank has grown to say $3,100…I still make bets with $100. However, once my bank doubles from $2,000 to $4,000 - then only I double my bet amount from $100 to $200. I try to double my bank every 4 to 6 weeks. I keep doubling until my bank has grown to $32,000. So it looks like this: $2,000, $4,000, $8,000, $16,000 & $32,000. Once I had hit the $32,000 mark, I take out $30,000 and start the process all over with $2,000 betting bank. In most years I’m able to make $32,000 three times a year. So my net profit amounts to $96,000. The maximum amount I’d recommend as a maturity figure is $64,000. To double a $32,00 bank into $64,000 your bets have to be $1,600 each time. From experience, betting larger than $1,600 regularly with the same bookmaker arises suspicions amongst the bookmaker loss management staff. So it’s best to stick to $1,600 as the maximum bet size. But You Can Make More Money… Once you hit your maturity betting bank amount and you do not need to use the money, you can continue to bet with that amount. Say your maturity amount is $64,000. Once your betting bank hits $64,000, you basically continue to bet with $1,600 per bet and reinvest all your profits into your matured betting bank. Your bank will continue to grow larger and larger but you stick to betting with $1,600 per bet and DO NOT double it once your bank doubles. Imagine making $32,000 every 6 weeks! Bonus Three – The PRO Bettor's Blueprint All professional bettors have five elements in common. And they are: 1. Plan 2. Persistence 3. Patience 4. Specialize 5. Business Mindset In fact these elements are common with ALL successful people…from politicians to highly successful sports people…and to the very wealthy business people. I’ll show you how each of these elements apply directly to sports betting and how they have helped me become a million dollar bettor. Follow my advice and you’ll also succeed. Plan Starting profit-driven sports betting without a plan is like getting into your car and driving without knowing where you’d like to go. You’ll just go around in circles and eventually burnout. So plan every aspect of your betting. Some questions you should be asking yourself to help with the planning process is: How big will your betting bank be? What will your bet size be? How often do you think you’ll manage to double your betting bank? What will be the maturity amount for your betting bank? How will you structure your parlay/accumulator bets? What time of the day will you be betting? Persistence Just because you have a few bad days, it doesn’t mean you look at quitting sports betting. If everyone quits after experiencing a few bad days at whatever he or she does then the human race would still be living in the dark ages. There would have been very little to no progress in all areas of our life. You need to keep your heads up through the good and bad times and keep pushing forward. I see way too many people give in too early in almost everything they do. It’s a recipe for disaster and longterm failure and most definitely a trait you don’t want to develop. Patience Betting on just one BEST bet per day can become boring at times. Also, betting on favorites paying around $1.57 may seem like a slow road to the riches. But believe me, making money this way is far more exciting than most other ways out there. Also, being able to double a betting bank every 4 to 6 weeks is by no means a slow way to riches. So always think of the bigger picture when you feel bored with my strategy. Specialize No surprises here at all. We specialize by betting on certain qualified favorites and manage our money using two money management techniques. We do not bet on any other offers given by bookmakers so all other types of bets are not attempted at all. Business Mindset Have you ever been to a retain store and found it to be empty…making you wonder how they ever manage to make any money at all and stay in business? But the same store could be busy at other times and that is when it makes its money. The same principle applies to sports betting. You may not always have profitable days or weeks. But that’s cool. It’s just part of doing business. The main thing is to make profits over a defined period. If you start worrying about results of a particular day or week and start basing your future decisions on that result, you will start to make bad business decisions. These decisions will be mainly based on hunch as suppose to accurate data. This is why businesses always look at their quarterly or half-yearly profit figures to base future decisions from. Because a few weeks figures will never give you a trend reliable enough. Working with bad information is worse than working with no information at all. So you should always look at 2 to 3 months of betting data before making decisions about your future betting strategies. You’ll be surprised how much this will help you make the correct decisions in all areas of your life! Please do not take these five elements lightly. They are your building blocks to highly successful sports betting and a very rewarding financial future…
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:58:10 GMT
Bookie Beater
1. At 14:00 GMT (UK Time) go to Oddschecker, My Oddschecker then Market Reports.
2. Sort the list by clicking Bookies with Odds Cut column.
3. Choose only first 5 horses with 11+ odds cut and 400+ Significance.
4. Check that your selections are not from the same race (disregard the ones that are).
5. Back, Place or Each Way your selections.
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Post by delboy on May 27, 2013 8:59:45 GMT
THE BANK SYSTEM.
The selection rules are very straight forward :-
There are only two types of qualifying races.
These are non handicap Novice Hurdles on National Hunt racing and Maiden races on the Flat (both Turf and All Weather).
The maximum number of runners allowed is Eight.
In any qualifying race the horse to be backed is the unnamed favourite. All bookmakers accept this type of bet.
PROFESSIONAL SYSTEM SELECTION RULES.
The rules are quite straightforward:-
1) From all the days races make a note of any forecast favourite which has a forecast starting price of:-10/11, Evens, 11/10, 6/5 and 5/4.
2) The horse must have the top formcast rating of 78. Daily Mail
The 80% Winners System.
The selection rules are as follows:-
1.) Any race (handicaps or non handicaps) up to a maximum of 11 runners.
2.) The forecast price of the forecast favourite (which is the potential selection), must be between 1/2 (minimum) up to evens (maximum).
3.) It must be tipped by both Robin Goodfellow and Gimcrack.
4.) It must have the top Formcast rating of 78. Daily Mail
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Post by Kimmy on May 27, 2013 19:43:05 GMT
Thanks for joining in Delboy and posting these on the thread.
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Post by Kimmy on Jun 4, 2013 19:47:37 GMT
A successful betting insight of how to beat the bookmaker!
Bookmakers despise these each way bets so much that they even have a name for people like us who use them "Each Way Thieves". One really solid each way bet is the each way double. 1. For example say you really fancy the favourites in two races and they are at the 7/4 price range. If they both win you make a tidy profit. If they are both only placed you win your stake money back! As you can see, arithmetically, each way doubles are a great bet for us and very BAD NEWS for the bookmaker. 2. If you can find two highly fancied horses at the 5/1 price range another good bet is to place an each way single on both horses and also an each way double. At the 5/1 price range if both horses are only placed you make a tidy profit!
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Post by Kimmy on Jun 22, 2013 8:02:39 GMT
Understanding Horse Racing Market Moves
Following the money in horse racing is a mind of free information and worth pursuing. Here are a few tips to how the betting market works.
These price fluctuations reflect the options of thousands of gamblers across the country that have spent many hours studying form, examining ground conditions and checking the horses condition in the paddock.
A horse's recent form can be further evaluated by checking its strength in the betting market.
Some punters use market moves as one of the main ways to finalise their bets. The idea is that the collective opinion of all these thousands of punters will provide a more accurate idea of the winner of a race.
A horse that has been backed down in price from its morning odds quite heavily is called a steamer.
Market moves for unraced horses with no exposed form in maiden races are also worth checking.
One idea for using market moves is to back the horse that you think will win from your usual form study. If it is favourite just before they go off double your stake. If it has drifted in odds then bet on the horse that been backed into favourite as a saver so you have two horses running for you.
Some of the things that effect market moves are,
· The state of the horse in the parade ring before that race.
· Recent form of a horse.
· A change of jockey from a moderate one to a top class jockey.
· Connections in the know.
· inside information from the trainer who knows the horse is in peak condition
· Sudden change in the ground conditions.
· Horse racing tipping phone lines have a big effect on morning price changes. A lot of the big bet punters all wanting to back the same horse will shorten the odds.
With so many professional form students now in the game as soon as a horse's morning price comes out they will know at an instant that the horse is very well handicapped. If the horse has opened at a big price of say 15/1 and they know a more realistic price would be 5/1 the word will get out and the price will soon shorten.
So if you want to benefit from all the hard work by the professional just follow the money. If you only bet when you are fully satisfied that everything is in your favour you will benefit in the long run. Good recent form with the ground, course and draw all in your favour. Plus good trainer and jockey form taken into account combined with the horses price remaining strong in the betting market will give you your best chance of coming out ahead of the game.
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Post by Kimmy on Jun 27, 2013 18:54:27 GMT
How to start winning with a systems portfolio!
The aim of this article is to try to explain how by placing different horse racing methods in a portfolio of systems will give you a better chance of making money from racing. If you run various systems covering different methods just as a share investor would cover different market sectors, you should be able to keep on making profits. Just as a share price can go up and down, a systems performance can go up and down too. It is far better to run a lot systems all at the same time, this spreads the risk.
Set up a database or method to analyze your systems results. These can be either computer or paper based. The information you will get from this will be invaluable. You need to incorporate the following sections in your database. Profit and Loss. Strongest and Weakest Systems. Accuracy of horse racing selections. In fact as you go along you can add many more sections that, at a glance, will enable you to maximize the returns of your bets. Enter all information and results as you go along. Do not leave it until you can't remember why you did what or why. I am extremely disciplined about this part of managing my portfolio. I set aside a certain amount of time each day to record and monitor. If you do not do this you will fail. We all have seen successful racing systems go through bad runs, and this approach is designed to account for a system or systems that are going through a difficult, losing spell - the other systems will then balance out most of the results. This is ideal if you want a smoother ride with your betting and do not want too many major ups and downs with your wagers.. The portfolio approach should give punters this smoother ride with shorter losing runs. My idea therefore was to find several systems that would potentially produce a fair profit on a yearly basis. The aim was to eventually have between 10 and 12 systems to put into the portfolio and I have now achieved this. I will tell you more about these systems in tomorrows email.
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Post by Kimmy on Jun 28, 2013 8:15:09 GMT
"This System Will Win You Too Much Money!"
A bold statement maybe, but its a fact that many years ago (1938/39) bookmakers stopped accepting bets on a system that was based on a wins to runs record as people were winning too much money!
I still use the system today as part of my portfolio and although I may not be winning too much money it certainly pays its way over the course of a season. It can't believe I am actually going to reveal it to you, but I am feeling in a generous mood after a successful summers punting. So here goes you lucky people....
The system is based on consistency and class. The simple rules to the racing system are -
Bets are limited to horses that have won a third of their starts and finished placed in at least half of the races they did not win.
That's it, it takes minutes to find the bets each day and it has stood the test of time and will continue to profit for those of you who wish to use the plan.
Keep a strict record of your bets to see the full potential.
I have quite a collection of old systems that still prove profitable to users today.
Here is another very simple system that takes minutes to find the selections. It doesn't have to be difficult to make money at racing; sometimes the simplest ideas are the best!
1.Each day select the non-handicap race with the smallest field, provided that the forecast favourite in your newspaper is at odds against and there are six or more runners.
2.The system bet is two points on the favourite and one point on the second favourite.
That's it; I told you it was simple. Give it a try for a week or two; you will be surprised at the good winners it throws up!
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Post by Kimmy on Jun 28, 2013 18:06:42 GMT
Horse racing trainer trends
There are a lot of methods to discover successful horse racing bets. One that can perform very well if you have the right analysis is following trainers. Trainers perform in the same way season in season out. They focus on the same kinds of races with the same type of techniques.
Being a racing trainer is the same as any other type of business and a good trainer needs to keep getting winners if he is to maintain his clients and get new clients. Many trainers have winners all year round but many have a pattern which you can follow year after year.
One of the areas where you'll be able to make use of these trainers' stats is right in front of your nose where anyone who goes to the races can see it. I'm referring to the bookmaker's odds and tote board. While the bookies prices are essential because they should be the details you use to figure out if a bet is value, the tote odds also provide some help to the would-be handicapper.
I begin by observing the trainers and owners for horses in each competition and note down the starting odds and the tote pool amounts in the area beside their name in my racing paper. I also make a note of the prices and pool totals a couple of minutes before the race is off. Finally I write down the closing odds and tote pool in the same area. This is beneficial because how the cash goes through the tote pools sometimes will tip you off to a hot insider gamble.
It's well known that some stables and trainers place wagers on their own horses. Of course, some will always place a wager on their horse while others are more discerning and only do it when they think their animal is a dead cert. Granted some owners are hopelessly bias to their horse's and always think it will win, but there are some trainers and owners who know when they will deliver their horse for the win. They are excellent at placing their horses when they want to and the odds are big enough
These effective stables are the ones to pay attention to and you will discover them by monitoring patterns in the betting odds. Some stables will send cash in early while others gradually feed money in. Then there are those that pile in with the money at the last second if the prices are right for their horse. They know its odds and can tell when a bet is value.
You will monitor many trainers and not identify any traits for most of them but for a few you'll discover patterns that will tip you off when their horses are laid out for a race and they're going to win with it. You'll have to monitor many of their horses until the patterns appear but once they do, you'll be gambling as if you have inside info. This is one of the best methods of getting regular winners at the races.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 1, 2013 8:36:40 GMT
Horse won in the last 5 days. Must have won by 2 lengths or more. Max. 8 years of age. If on the AW no fillies unless a fillies race. RPFP anything 8/1 and over EW. 10 points win or 5 points EW. This system has been running since 3/1/04 and has shown to date + 1953.51 points. If two or more selections in a race ignore race.
Just recently I have amended slightly a couple of the rules in the hope of improving things but a record is still being maintained of the original system.
I am now trying 7 days instead of 5 days this of course gives us more selections. And if it is a handicap race the selection is ignored if it has won its last 2 races. I think it is very difficult for a horse to win 3 consecutive handicap races. Also use a 2% stake of the bank. If more than one selection in race back both / all.
Another staking system I am considering/trying out is to 'Dutch' selections for a profit if a number of selections starting with a min. 9/4. Thay way if there are 3 sels. you can show a profit on the day if just 1 wins. If less than 2 selections just try a 'Dutch' on them.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 3, 2013 8:41:39 GMT
Amendments made to above system. I have posted this so it shows up on the forum as a new post as when you amend previous posts it does not recogonise a new post.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 4, 2013 8:15:49 GMT
Horse Racing System - And Clever Doubles Plan and Staking System
This system should be regarded as a weekly operation. It involves backing six forecast favorites a day in fifteen win doubles, using the staking arrangement 1-2-3-4-5-6 from Monday to Saturday, but returning to one point after any particular winning double. Here's how it works. The basis for the day's six selections can be variable - e.g:
1. The six shortest priced forecast favorites using all the days' meetings. 2. The forecast favorites of the first six non-handicap races using all the days meeting. 3. The six most valuable races of the day etc.
I use the forecast favorites of the first six races of the principle meeting of the day from my daily newspaper.
Staking method
First of all, arrangement of the bets. Number the selections 1 to 6. Each day then the fifteen doubles will be on the horses 1&2, 1&3, 1&4, 1&5, 1&6, 2&3, 2&4, 2&5, 2&6, 3&4, 3&5, 3&6, 4&5, 4&6, 5&6. It is useful to make a weekly chart, placing the fifteen doubles numbers across the top and the days Monday to Saturday down the left-hand column.
On Monday the stake will be one point to win on each bet, i.e. a total stake of fifteen points. If there are no winners, or only one, and, therefore, no winning doubles, the stakes on the second day will be two points on each bet, a total stake of 30 points.
Suppose that on the second day four horses numbers 1,3,4,5 - won, this would give six winning doubles 1&3, 1&4, 1&5, 3&4, 3&5, 4 &5. On the next day, the stakes of the six winning doubles bets would now revert to one point and the stakes on the other nine doubles would now be 3 points and so on.
The highest stake, which should be placed, is six points, which will be on a Saturday for any double bet, which has not won during the previous five days.
Over a period I have found this a very lucrative method.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 4, 2013 8:17:34 GMT
A successful betting insight of how to beat the bookmaker!
Bookmakers despise these each way bets so much that they even have a name for people like us who use them "Each Way Thieves". One really solid each way bet is the each way double. 1. For example say you really fancy the favourites in two races and they are at the 7/4 price range. If they both win you make a tidy profit. If they are both only placed you win your stake money back! As you can see, arithmetically, each way doubles are a great bet for us and very BAD NEWS for the bookmake. 2. If you can find two highly fancied horses at the 5/1 price range another good bet is to place an each way single on both horses and also an each way double. At the 5/1 price range if both horses are only placed you make a tidy profit!
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 7, 2013 19:39:30 GMT
1 CLAIMING STAKES PLAN As the title of the plan suggests, we are backing horses running in claiming stakes only. The newspaper required to operate this system is the Daily Mirror. Any system horse will be found in seconds and should be backed to win. To find if we have a system horse just follow these very simple rules:- 1. Look for all the Claiming Stakes races 2. Look at the forecast favorite horse 3. Look to see if this horse is either Strongly Fancied (SF) of Fancied (F) 4. No bet if forecast odds-on 5. Fancied (F) horses must be forecast shorter than 3/1 If a horse fits these 5 rules then it is a system horse. Yes, it is incredibly simple, but the beauty of it is that it works. Any system worth following must produce a good level stake profit over a period of time and this certainly does. For the last 21 months it has given 16 winning months and 5 losing - a level stake profit of +77 IMPORTANT NOTE: Do not back in maiden Claiming races with the words "Claiming Stakes" in the title. This is an exceptionally simple plan, but very, very effective.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 8, 2013 6:56:21 GMT
2 DAILY DOUBLE SYSTEM • Use only the daily mirror. It uses the same starting prices forecast as the Racing Post while only costing about a fifth the price and has the specialist information required to operate the system. To get the information we require, first look at the horse's name, and then look at the abbreviations in brackets after the jockey's name. The abbreviations that we require are: i) SF =Strongly Fancied to win ii) F =Fancied to win iii) EW =Each way Fancied to be placed 1 st , 2 nd , 3 rd • Only use races of 8, 9, or 10 runners maximum. • Starting from races of 8 runner's look at the strongly fancied marked horses and pick out those with a starting price forecast of 6/1 or better. • Should there be no 8 runner races with SF horses at 6/1 then move on to 9 runner races and so on. • Should this still not produce any selections then start again at 8 runner races taking only the Fancied horses working your way up, move on to the Each Way horses if this fails to produce horses with an SP of 6/1 and over. • Do this until you get a maximum of two runners. We back these daily half a point each way each i.e. 50p each way/£5 each way (depending on your spending power and are able to afford the possible loss). Cover with a small each way double if you wish. • If you only find one horse then back it each way. Obviously in such circumstances we will not have a double bet. If no horses are found then no bet. It is very important that the rules are adhered to If you find more than two then the following rules should be observed. Flat races: Horses running over a longer distance are preferred therefore a horse running over 1m would be better suited to one running over 5f National Hunt: horses running over hurdles make better selections than horses running over fences. Distances should be disregarded as a consideration. If you have two identical types of races and you need to dispose of one, it is actually best to pick the horse with the lowest SP, as this ought to have a more realistic chance of winning. For example if you have two 8 runner flat races run over 1m both with an SF horse, if one has an SP of 8/1 and one has an SP of 16/1, the horse with the SP of 8/1 is the preferred selections. And that is all there is to it. It is actually very easy to operate the system and selections should be found in a few minutes. This system is safe because it only picks horses in small fields at what ought to turn out to be generous odds. If we only used pure guesswork we would have a 30% chance of picking a horse at random finishing in the first three. But because our selections should at least be able to get a place or better then anyone can see that the odds are tipped in our favour. The essence of this system is to steadily put the odds on your side, so it is important to implement the rules thoroughly and not cut corners. If you do this you will see that your betting bank will at worst be breaking even but I am convinced that in the long term your bank will grow and grow.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 7:15:37 GMT
How to win at golf betting - Narrowing down the field for the British Open Championship
There's usually at least one golf competition being played somewhere each week. And most online internet betting sites will be providing possibilities on the result. The odds on offer for some players to win the competition are usually quite big or may seem so, but you have to keep in mind that most tournaments have 156 players at the beginning of the competitions so it's very big odds of picking the actual winner.
So how can you increase the possibility of picking the winner in your favour?
You can begin by removing any individual over the odds of 150/1. During the season there will be a number of competitions won by players at large prices, but it seldom ever happens and it's worth discounting any player over 150/1.
This should only leave you with around one third of the remaining players to consider, usually around 40+ level.
You should then look to begin to research the form of the remaining players. The two PGA golf sites have a lot of player and competition statistics available and they are a crucial resource for anyone seeking to have a bet on a golf competition.
If a golfer is out of form and has never made the cut in his last two or three competitions it's beneficial to hold out from backing him until he returns to his normal form before placing any cash on him. That will probably decrease the size of the field by another 5 or 6 players.
You should then look for players with previous good form over the course or a course that is very identical in its layout. In the same way any golfer that has formerly done well in the competition in the last few years has to be regarded.
Players who are currently in an excellent run of form must also be included in your calculations of possible champions and should be on your short list.
Lastly look for a variety of any player with reasonable form, plays well on the course and has won a previous tournament at this course. This should significantly narrow down the field of prospective players to consider.
It's important to note that a lot of bookies offer pay-outs on the first four or five placed players. So each way betting can be profitable especially if your final selection is big a big price.
Once you have chosen the player(s) you think have a reasonable possibility of winning or being placed, check out all of the online bookmakers to discover the best odds available.
There is a lot of gambling odds comparison sites you can use and you can see at a glance the bookmaker that is providing the best prices on your selection.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 10:42:29 GMT
DAILY DOUBLE SYSTEM • Use only the daily mirror. It uses the same starting prices forecast as the Racing Post while only costing about a fifth the price and has the specialist information required to operate the system. To get the information we require, first look at the horse's name, and then look at the abbreviations in brackets after the jockey's name. The abbreviations that we require are: i) SF =Strongly Fancied to win ii) F =Fancied to win iii) EW =Each way Fancied to be placed 1 st , 2 nd , 3 rd • Only use races of 8, 9, or 10 runners maximum. • Starting from races of 8 runner's look at the strongly fancied marked horses and pick out those with a starting price forecast of 6/1 or better. • Should there be no 8 runner races with SF horses at 6/1 then move on to 9 runner races and so on. • Should this still not produce any selections then start again at 8 runner races taking only the Fancied horses working your way up, move on to the Each Way horses if this fails to produce horses with an SP of 6/1 and over • Do this until you get a maximum of two runners. We back these daily half a point each way each i.e. 50p each way/£5 each way (depending on your spending power and are able to afford the possible loss). Cover with a small each way double if you wish. • If you only find one horse then back it each way. Obviously in such circumstances we will not have a double bet. If no horses are found then no bet. It is very important that the rules are adhered to If you find more than two then the following rules should be observed. Flat races: Horses running over a longer distance are preferred therefore a horse running over 1m would be better suited to one running over 5f National Hunt: horses running over hurdles make better selections than horses running over fences. Distances should be disregarded as a consideration. If you have two identical types of races and you need to dispose of one, it is actually best to pick the horse with the lowest SP, as this ought to have a more realistic chance of winning. For example if you have two 8 runner flat races run over 1m both with an SF horse, if one has an SP of 8/1 and one has an SP of 16/1, the horse with the SP of 8/1 is the preferred selections. And that is all there is to it. It is actually very easy to operate the system and selections should be found in a few minutes. This system is safe because it only picks horses in small fields at what ought to turn out to be generous odds. If we only used pure guesswork we would have a 30% chance of picking a horse at random finishing in the first three. But because our selections should at least be able to get a place or better then anyone can see that the odds are tipped in our favour. The essence of this system is to steadily put the odds on your side, so it is important to implement the rules thoroughly and not cut corners. If you do this you will see that your betting bank will at worst be breaking even but I am convinced that in the long term your bank will grow and grow.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:09:24 GMT
3 THE BOOKIE BASHER 1. Newspaper required is the Racing Post. 2. Look at Forecast Favourites with odds in the range 8/11 - 9/4 inclusive. 3. The 2nd favourite must be at least 4/1. 4. The horse must have been placed in the first 3 last time out. 5. It must have run within the last 28 days. 6. It must be top-rated by POSTMARK - not joint top-rated. 7. Minimum of 5 runners - maximum of 14. 8. Must be ridden by a professional or top apprentice claiming 3 or 5lbs. 9. Must be able to handle the going:- 1. If 3 or more runs in its lifetime it must have won or placed (beaten a maximum of 3 lengths) on going similar to the reported going. 2. 3-Y-O and older horses with less than 3 runs - no going qualification needed. 3. 2-Y-O with less than 3 runs must handle the going by either having won or placed (beaten max 3 lengths) on the EXACT going as shown is Racing Post. 10. Eliminate all selling races, amateur races, juvenile hurdles, novice handicap hurdles, maiden chases, and all national hunt races in August.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:10:08 GMT
THE CHEVY CHASE This system is based solely on HANDICAP CHASES. It concentrates on races with 8 to 12 runners. The selection must be carrying 11st-7lbs or less to qualify. The horse must have been out, and must have the best recent form of the horses which qualify. In the event of there being several horses with comparable form, choose the one ridden by the best jockey, (preferably the jockey with the best record at the course). If the favourite for the race is odds on - no bet. Staking one point to win. If the selction is 8-1 or above, 1 point each way. The sytem requires patience, but it is very profitable.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:10:33 GMT
THE DAILY BANKER SYSTEM Works with any daily newspaper, is quite straightforward and can produce a regular flow of winners. Scan the racing page of your favoured newspaper. Cross out any race with less than eight runners and more than twelve runners. Of the remaining races look at the forecast SPs. Your "banker" for the day is the horse that is the one with the SP with the greatest expected price difference from the second favourite. For example: Race A - forecast SPs 5/4, 3/1 (1.75 difference) Race B - forecast SPs 6/4, 4/1 (2.50 difference) Your "banker" is the forecast favourite in race B.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:11:25 GMT
CRACKING THE PLACEPOT INTRODUCTION The Placepot is without doubt the best value bet in gambling. Just a £1.00 bet can return dividends in excess of several hundred pounds! To win the placepot you have to select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races at a meeting. As well as being great value it is an excellent "fun" bet as it gives you an interest in a large number of races for just a small investment. Placepots are run by the Tote, but most high street bookmakers will now accept placepot bets. Whether you bet most days or just on Saturdays, a Placepot bet is a smart investment to make! Obviously finding a horse to place in six consecutive races is not easy. However this publication "Cracking The Placepot" with a new, updated version is a real winner. It really works! Using it will help you to win the Placepot dividends with great regularity, you are virtually guarantted a win every week. Not all placepot are in the £500+ region (although from time to time returns can be in four figures!), but compared with other tyes of race betting the "level-stakes" returns on a week to week basis are huge. THE METHOD Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult. Conversely, the lowest grade meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard. So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the one to use. Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections. To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips which make entering easier. To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved. Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729 times our stake. Too much. The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00. It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets. Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very reliable selection method to use with this plan. Here's what to do: 1. Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act as our "single" entries in the perm. 2. Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three" selections in the perm. 3. Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm. We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should scoop the Placepot at least once a week. One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use, keep to the same one each day.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:11:55 GMT
he 4 FACTORS which indicate a winning selection The beauty of the FACTOR 4 system is that it is essentially very simple.When a horse meets the FOUR selection criteria on which FACTOR 4 is based,quite simply it represents a very good bet. I make no apology if FACTOR 4 looks too simple.(Simplicity is usually a benefit! There are those who blieve that a betting system must be complicated in order to produce results.In fact,certain tipsters deliberately make their systems appear complicated and difficult to understand in order to give the false impression that their system is more scientific than it actually is). But why make a betting system more complicated than it needs to be? If you really want it,I will be quite happy to devise a personal system for you which will involve you in 2 days work before you know which horse you should be backing. Just follow the four selection criteria of FACTOR 4 and you will achieve equal or better results without the need to invest hours of your valuable time before placing your bet. HERE ARE THE 4 SELECTION CRITERIA FOR FACTOR 4 1 The horse must be rated 78 or above in the Daily Mail 2 It must have won,or been placed 2 nd or 3 rd last time out 3 It must be running within 4 days of its last run. 4 It must be favourite. FOLLOW THOSE 4 SIMPLE RULES FOR WINNER SELECTION AND YOU ARE BOUND TO SECURE WINNERS AT LEAST 50%OF THE TIME. And if you are doing that consistently,you will end the season well ahead.There is no reason why starting with a £1000 bank and betting 10% on each selection with your winnings rolled forward-you cannot make £20000 to £50000 per annum as a TAX FREE second income from your betting activity. SIMPLICITY IS THE KEY Lets face it, if you know what you’re about and have devoted your life to doing it,it is not at all difficult to devise a winning horse racing system. But the usual problem is that deploying successful backing systems is a full-time occupation.And most people do not have the time available to spend time analysing several months previous results in order to reach a conclusion about the likely winner in a particular race. FACTOR 4 renders such a time commitment unnecessary, because all of the work has been done for you. Just deploy the four simple selection criteria and start making your TAX FREE second Income. What you need to use FACTOR 4 As I have already indicated, FATOR 4 was designed with the” amateur" punter in mind-the person who knows little or nothing about horses or horse racing Here are the 4 key items of information you will be using: They are: 1 Result last time out 3 The rating of the horse 2 Number of days since last race 4 Is it the favourite?
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:14:48 GMT
THE BROWN JACK 1. Results are obtained by use of the Daily Mail newspaper. 1. To obtain the one named horse for the day, proceed as follows:- (a) Below each race the Daily Mail gives where the favourite finished in previous years (normally 7 years results). Go through each card and find the race that the favourite won most times. (b) Repeat the procedure and find the race where the favourite finished second most times. 2. The race for the day will be that with the highest figure ie. The race with the most wins for the favourite or the race with the most seconds. In the event of a race having an equal number of wins and seconds then discard that race. In the event of there being two races with an equal number of wins and seconds then give preference to the race with favourite wins. 3. The one named bet will be as follows:- If the selected race is that in which the favourite has won most times, then back the Named Forecast Favourite, if joint favourites then ignore that race and go on to the next qualifier. If the selected race is that in which the favourite finished second most times then back the horse quoted as Clear Second Favourite, again if Joint Second Favourite then ignore that race. The reason for this bet is that in a good race for backers the most likely horse to beat the favourite is the second favourite and over the years the Daily Mail betting forecast has proved to be the most accurate. 4. The following exceptions must be adhered to:- (a) No bet if less than 3 years results. (b) No bet if less than 2 wins or 2 seconds. (c) No bet if the horses has never run before. (d) No bet if quoted at odds-on. 5. In the event of a tie, give preference to:- (a) Non Handicap race over a Handicap race. (b) The race with the lowest added prize money. (c) The smallest field. (d) The shortest price Note, if you have discarded any race related to rule 5, then automatically go on to the next best race. Rule 2 should have a 'rider', in the event of a race having been split, then count each division as half a race, in other words if the favourite results were 0011101.0 the last race was split and so the total wins would be 3.1/2, this happens seldom and is easily picked out in the Daily Mail as when a race has missed a year they put a dash and when it is split they put a dot. Addition to Rules In the event of a selected race being run in two or more divisions then take the shortest priced horse provided it qualifies i.e. has run before. Should it not have run before then ignore all divisions of that particular race and go on to the next best race
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:16:19 GMT
THE CURTIS RACING SYSTEM THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM offers you the chance to assess each horses form and to produce your own simple, but accurate ratings. You do not need one of the specialist Racing papers to operate this system successfully. Any ordinary Daily newspaper with a Horse racing section will be more than adequate for our needs. The basis for THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM originates from a method that was devised over 70 years ago by one of the first truly professional backers, and as far as I am aware the original method has been in constant use, by a few fortunate people, since it’s introduction all those years ago, and so, therefore, I believe that we can safely assume that this has more than stood the test of time! It was only ever passed on by word of mouth, in fact any interested parties were invited, and then only at the sole discretion of the Originator of the plan, along to a series of presentations, paying a fee for each session. They were, by all accounts, very successful, and those fortunate enough to attend doubtless went on their way armed with their new found knowledge and plagued the Bookmakers for many years. THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM is a greatly enhanced version of this earlier system and has, over the past twenty or so years that it has been in use, provided the user with consistent profits every season. SELECTION METHOD. THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM can be used with equal success during both the Flat and National Hunt seasons. All meetings are considered, but eliminate the following types of races: Selling: Apprentice: Ladies: National Hunt Flat: All other types of races now qualify for consideration. Once we have our short list of races to concentrate on, take each race in turn and award FORM POINTS for the last THREE runnings of each horse. The FORM POINTS are as follows: RUN LAST OUTING LAST BUT ONE LAST BUT TWO WIN 9 6 3 SECOND 6 4 2 THIRD 3 2 1 EXAMPLE. Horse A 012 FORMRATINGS 0+6+6=12 Horse B 113 FORMRATINGS 3+6+3=12 Horse C 001 FORMRATINGS 0+0+9= 9 Horse D 113 FORMRATINGS 3+6+3=12 Horse E 212 FORMRATINGS 2±6+6=14 Horse F 001 FORMRATINGS 0+0+9= 9 As you can see Horse E is clear top rated with 14 FORM POINTS. On the occasions when more than one horse is rated the same, take the horse with the shortest price in the betting forecast as your selection. Repeat the above procedure for all the qualifying races. STAKING ADVICE. It has always been recommended that level stakes be used with THE CURTIS RATING SYSTEM. Excellent profits are indeed attained by level stakes, but do feel at liberty to use you own staking system if you so wish.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:16:50 GMT
10 THE DOUBLE TOP SYSTEM Here is quite an old yet remarkably effective system that shows a level stakes profit most months. Prices vary from odds-on to 4/1 and the longest losing run since April 2001 has been just 6 on one occassion. Paper: Racing Post Examine the 'selection box' of tipsters for each in the Racing Post. For a selection to qualify it must be tipped by the first four tipsters in the 'selection box'. That is, it must be the selection of Postmark, Postdata, Topspeed and Spotlight. No bet in handicap races, nurseries, claimers, sellers, amateur or apprentice races. Starting with a £1,000 bank in April 2001, you would now have a bank of over £10,000 using this system and the 'stepper' staking plan. Level stakes bets of £100 would have returned a profit of over £3,30
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:48:15 GMT
11 The Dream Racing System While gaming at casinos is always -- ultimately -- a function of luck, the Sport of Kings is elevated far above games of mere chance. Regardless of the elegance of the roulette wheel or the intensity of the blackjack table, neither can approach racing for its subtlety, complexity, and beauty. The terms of casino games are always set. The odds might just as well be written in stone. Not so with this great sport. Flesh and blood come into play. The interplay of horse and rider. The conditions of the track. The field. Timing. In order to bet successfully in this great sport, you must bring to bear your skill and judgment. In no other betting environment do you have so much control over your fate. Your greatest advantage over the bookmakers is one of choice. Whereas you can choose your races -- and bets -- the bookmaker is obligated to participate in virtually every race conducted for 52 weeks a year. You can avoid a bet in a race that is not to your advantage. The bookmaker enjoys no such freedom. Yes, choice is your greatest ally. Yet for too many, it is their greatest enemy as well. Without mincing words, the simple truth is that the average bettor frequently makes the wrong choice. In doing so, he concedes the edge he has over the bookmaker and virtually guarantees that he will remain a loser over time. Common wisdom dictates that you should familiarize yourself with the individual characteristics of the horses, the field, the track and the form book. Needless to say, such an endeavor demands a huge commitment -- in time and effort. Indeed, it is virtually a full-time job. Those who master this knowledge will always be best placed to beat the book. They deserve the profits they earn. But you are not such a person. You already have a job and you cannot invest the time or energy to compete with these professionals. What are you to do? By being disciplined, intelligent and sticking to a system that works, you can increase your odds of success. Bookmakers love the bettor who places bets on whim, on the name of a horse, on the colour eyes of the jockey -- on anything but a system. You need a system if you are to win! The worst possible system you could use is no system at all! You must focus on the most dependable horses if you are to correctly pick the day's best bet. Favourites will almost always be the ones you will look at. With good reason. They are favourites for a reason. By simply selecting any favourite at random you will have a 30% - 40% chance of picking a winner. The question is, how to improve those chances! The most reliable favourites on any given day inevitably are those who occupy the lower end of the price range. You must remember that because of all the variables involved in horse racing, the actual favourite cannot possibly be determined until right before the race. Obviously, you will have to consult with one of the printed betting forecasts such as the national dailies or The Sporting Life. Study each race to be run that day and write down the names of the five favourites with the lowest odds. In the event that there is a tie, include all such runners for further consideration. From this short list, you will be determining the day's single horse selection. Do not fear low odds. Short odds should not be rejected due to a cursory examination. Even money often translates into an outstanding value if its true price should be 4-7. There are those who reject the favourite on the grounds that they can get better "value" elsewhere. We call these people fools. What is the "value" of backing a horse at 5-1 if, in reality, there is only a one in ten chance that your bet will succeed? There is only one person who will profit from a "system" like that -- the bookmaker. The real key to successful betting is not being greedy. Do not look for a small stake to garner you thousands of pounds. Rather, use a system which will consistently make you a winner. Financially -- and psychologically -- winning small but often is a smart approach to any kind of wager. Okay, so now you have your five favourites. What next? Your next gambit is to establish a system to evaluate these five contenders. By following this point system, you will take the guess work out of your evaluation. Forecast Odds Points Given 1-2 67 8-15 65 4-7 63 8-13 62 4-6 60 8-11 58 4-5 55 5-6 54 10-11 52 Evens 50 11-10 48 6-5 45 5-4 44 11-8 42 6-4 40 13-8 37 7-4 36 15-8 35 2-1 33 9-4 31 5-2 28 11-4 27 3-1 25 10-3 23 7-2 22 4-1 20 Further, it is possible to evaluate a horse based on its last outing. This makes sense. After all, winning begets winning. For this reason, we can begin to quantify this aspect of our evaluation. If a horse placed 1st in its last race, award 45 points. If a horse placed 2nd in its last race, award 40 points. If a horse placed 3rd in its last race, award 40 points. For all other finishes, award 35 points. Also, horses that have yet to race in the current season receive 35 points irrespective of their final finish of the previous season. Another consideration in quantifying your decision is the value of your horse's last race. If the winner's prize money of the previous race was worth at least 20% more than the current prize money, award the horse 50 points. All others should follow this criteria: Last race prize same as current race, award 40 points. Last race prize 20% less than current race, award 30 points. You should also bear in mind that favourites win more regularly in non-handicap events. For this reason, it makes more sense to award more points to contenders in these events. Therefore, award 40 points to a contender running in a non- handicap race and 30 points for running in handicap or nursery races. Another consideration in evaluating your contender is the size of the field. After careful review of the long history of racing, we have concluded that favourites succeed less often in events containing a large field. Therefore, we reject the "folk wisdom" that a bigger field means a "bigger" certainty and suggest the following awards: 45 points in those races with 10 or fewer runners. 40 points in those races with 11 - 16 runners. 30 points in those races with 16 or more runners. Market leaders often have a poorer record in competitive races. Consider the following point award: 45 points if there are no rivals which won the last time out. 45 points if there is one rival which won last time out. 35 points if there are two rivals which won the last time out. If three or more rivals won their last time out, award 30 points. Finally, if a horse has demonstrated success on the day's course then this must be factored into your calculations. Award your horse 10 points if it has previously won on the course and 10 points if it has previously won over the day's distance. Once you have factored in all these considerations, tally the points you have awarded to each of your five contenders. The horse with the greatest total is your best qualifier for the day's bet. It's that simple. No "feelings in the belly". No emotion. No getting caught up in the thrill of the race. Just smart calculation. Even so, you should never forget that both horse and rider are living creatures bound to have better and worse days. This is a variable which you cannot often calculate and which makes betting exciting. Remember, it is the uncertainty which makes it wonderful. Never give up. Follow these calculations and you will win -- if not today then certainly tomorrow.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:51:14 GMT
12 THE FAST HANDICAP RATER SYSTEM This simple, but very effective, system operates for both Flat and National Hunt Racing. An added bonus is that any Daily newspaper which has a racing section can be used - you do not need to purchase one of the specialist racing papers. SELECTION PROCEDURE. 1. Delete all Non-Handicap races and any Handicap races with less than EIGHT runners. 2. In any remaining Handicap races, make a note of any horse in the following weight range:- FLAT 8-7 to 7-8 NATIONAL HUNT 10-8 or LESS But ONLY if they are 5-1 or more in the betting forecast. 3. Only using the form figures for the current season make a. note, next to any selection arrived at by using the rules above, of the last TWO runs of each selection. If there is more than one selection, use the table below as an eliminator, with the figures at number one being the best, number two the next best and so on. FORM TABLE. 1. 1 4 2. 2 4 3. 2 0 4. 3 0 5. 4 0 6. 4 4 7. 4 2 8. 4 3 9. 2 2 10. 7 3 If after this there is still more than one selection, take the lowest in the betting forecast, if they still cannot be separated take the one with the lowest Weight (including penalties). IMPORTANT NOTE. Some papers give extended form figures, (5,6, 7, etc.) but for this system only use 1,2, 3 and 4, anything else should count as 0. In National Hunt racing you will also see letters in the form figures, e.g P, B, S, U, F, these also should count as 0. BETTING ADVICE. Your aim, on any given day, is to find four selections from four races. If there are more than four, choose the four highest rated using the FORM TABLE on the previous page. Once you have found your four races back them in an EACH-WAY YANKEE. A Yankee is a special bet comprising of 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 fourfold, giving a total of 11 bets. Suggested stake is lOp per bet, which means an outlay of £2.20 and remember to pay tax on your bet. Your total outlay for this bet will therefore be a meagre £2.42 while the returns can be quite phenominal. SPECIAL ADVICE. If any of your selections are the favourite in the betting forecast have an extra bet to WIN on that selection.
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:52:38 GMT
13 THE FINE FORM RATING FORMULA The formula is both swift & effective in rating runners on the flat & over the jumps. The combination of two positive potential winning factors - good recent form & proven ability - is utilised in the ratings. Points are awarded as listed below for each of the runners' previous TWO OUTINGS OF THE CURRENT SEASON ONLY.:- 1st 5 points 2nd 3 points 3rd 2 points 4th 1 point D (disqualified from 1st place) 5 points Course & Distance (C&D) C&D 3 points C.D 3 points D 2 points C 1 point All runners in the race are awarded points according to their previous achievements, and the runner that is rated the highest TOTAL number of points is the selection. The maximum total rating that can be achieved is 13 points. If joint Top Rated an extra 1 point for a distance winner. If still even the horse nearest the top/bottom of the card is the selection. You can use the second(third) rated horse for forecasts. If you are selective and factor in the selections ability to go on the going, and its proven fitness with a recent run you should be in with a chance at the finish. Clive Holt supports his formula with numerous statistics. I find it is a good base to finalise selections., and it often throws up decent price winners. The Fineform Maximum Selection i.e. 13 points choices. By just backing these selections only over the season, everything I have read indicates you will come out on top. If have also seen this selection criteria method known as the "Financial Security for Life Formula," amongst others. With regards to your betting strategy I would suggest you just do single bets, although I am sure you have some very good days. Why? Because professional gamblers only normally bet in singles (I assume they must know something), and bookmakers are always encouraging multi-bets (I assume they must know something). E.g. In a Yankee out of 11 bets , if your first horse loses you lose out on 7 bets, leaving you only with 4 bets left for your last 3 selections. For staking I look at the amount I want to win and adjust my stake accordingly. E.g. I want to win £20 - on a 4/1 chance I bet £5 & on a 2/1 chance I bet £10. I always respect the market so if a horse is a 5/1 - its chance of winning should be around that, likewise an even money horse should be 50/50. But then that's where we all look for value!
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 17, 2013 18:55:18 GMT
Losing sequence to winning sequence staking
Hi there,
Thank you for clicking on to this article. It is not life changing but over time it will make you feel very happy that you read it.
There have been numerous articles written on the subject of staking and banking for the pursuit of making profits on horseracing. Unfortunately there are very few systems that make a profit on level stakes and naturally this is the let down with a very large percentage of systems. Over time selections on systems have very good periods and then very bad periods. The scenario is that no punter ever knows when the good and the bad times will occur. There is very good news despite this.
What I have for you is a way of turning the tables on the losing sequence and even if on level staking your system fails to make a profit and makes a smallish loss this staking method will put you in profit. Having said this if you have a system that loses significantly it is not a miracle cure but there are so many systems out there that make a smallish loss and this staking plan will counteract that loss.
What you will need for this is a reliable system that has preferably short losing runs and possibly a break even result
But this staking method will still show a profit when there is a slight loss on level stakes. Many systems fall into this category so now is the time to look again at a system you have tried but it just failed to make a profit.
You will need a bank that is equivalent to compensate for your longest losing run.
You may have a system that through loses you have abandoned as a no go. Well if it showed a small loss then you can resurrect it and make it into a winning system by using this staking method.
This is not a get rich quick scheme to make you an instant millionaire or get you unimaginable luxury but it will make you very happy when you use it and time after time it will stop you from losing and convert your system into a winner.
You will need just one or two winning bets to recoup the loss of your chosen system. It is yours FREE to use for as long as you wish. ( forever.)
Losing sequence to winning sequence staking
Breaking even on a system is self explanatory but below please find another way of betting that can work but has its’ pitfalls in that a loss will occur by decreasing the overall balance of a betting bank and this does not improve a break even sequence.
Having said this if the system to find winners has enough winners to compensate for the decrease then it will work fine, and if you have such a system then do try this. But please read on to find the system you have purchased.
Starting with a bank balance of 100 pounds and staking 1x 6.6th approx, 15% of the bank balance. And this is adjusted after each bet that you make.
Stake lose lose / bal win bank / bal
100 starting bank
15.00 15.00 15.00 / 85.00
13.75 13.75 28.75 / 71.25
10.62 10.62 39.37 / 60.63
9.00 win at 3-1 = + 27.00 87.63
So in this sequence a loss of : 12.37.
On level stakes this would have been break even. Fair enough but we can improve on this and make a profit. Read on.
Starting with a bank balance of 100 pounds and staking 1x 6.6th approx, 15% of the bank balance then adding the losses to the bank and this is adjusted after each bet that you make.
Stake lose lose / bal win bank / bal
100 starting bank
15.00 15.00 15.00 / 115.00
17.25 17.25 32.25 / 132.25
19.73 19.83 52.08 / 152.08
22.81 win at 3-1 +68.43 take off losses
- 52.08 = + 16.35 profit
Now lets suppose that the winner had been 5-2 instead of 3-1
22.81 win at 5-2 +57.02 take off losses
-52.08 = + 4.94 profit
And of course on level stakes at 5-2 there would be a loss.
The bank as you can see increases considerably over a sequence of bets so you will have to have a bank that can cope with the losing sequence of bets before either breaking even or showing a small loss. And if the selection system you are using does this you cannot lose.
And now another example of the same method of betting but with a smaller
percentage of the bank as a stake.
Starting with a bank balance of 100 pounds and staking 1x 8.5th approx 12 % of the bank balance
Stake lose lose / bal win bank / bal
100 starting bank
12 12 12 / 88
10.56 10.56 22.56 / 77.44
9.28 9.28 31.84 / 68.16
8.17 win at 3-1 = + 24.51 92.67
So in this sequence a loss of : 7.33
On level stakes this would have been break even.
Starting with a bank balance of 100 pounds and staking 1x 8.5th approx 12 % of the bank balance then adding the losses to the bank and this is adjusted after each bet that you make.
Stake lose lose / bal win bank / bal
100 starting bank
12 12 12 / 112
13.44 13.44 25.44 / 125.44
15.04 15.04 40.48 / 140.48
16.84 win at 3-1= +50.52 take off loses
-40.48 = +10.04 profit
Now lets suppose that the winner had been 5-2 instead of 3-1
16.84 win at 5-2 +42.10 take off losses
-40.48 = + 1.62 profit
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Post by Kimmy on Jul 21, 2013 13:30:49 GMT
14 THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM operates on an occasional, rather than everyday basis, but if you operate it wisely it will give you an extraordinarily high proportion of winners. Any Daily newspaper with a Horse-Racing section will suffice, you do not need one of the specialist Racing papers to successfully operate this system. You can pinpoint the most likely races that you will be interested in quite quickly by looking through the betting forecast in the racing pages. Make a note of any forecast favourite in the 2-1 to 5-4 region. These, and only these, are the horses that we are interested in. To maximise it's potential you need to take notice of the betting as each of these races comes up, which means either being on-course, in a Bookmakers or, if you prefer, you are able to operate it just as successfully from home with a telephone, television with teletext facility and a credit/debit account. When the market opens on our chosen race, watch how the favourite reacts, if it "drifts" out to 5-2 or more immediately eliminate that race . We are no longer interested in having a bet. However, if the price of our horse, the forecast favourite, begins to "harden", then keep a very close eye on it because, if all the following rules are met to our satisfaction, we could decide to have a bet on it. BETTING ADVICE 1. Wait as long as possible before placing your bet. 2. 2. If the price drifts out, ignore it for betting purposes. Just watch and see what happens, the chances are it will lose. 3. If the price hardens to a MINIMUM of 4-6, then this is the one to be on, this is why you must hold back from placing your bet for as long as possible. 3. If the price hardens to less than 4-6, DO NOT BET. 4. There is no such thing as a certainty in Horse-Racing arid very short priced losers HURT. 5. With THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM you have got a very good indicator of when a horse is well fancied to win, and if you are cautious about the price you act upon, you will show a good profit. But you must be patient and only bet when the circumstances, and therefore the price, is acceptable for you to do so . Better than evens on a horse when it is as strongly fancied as this represents excellent value, even as low as 4-6 can give a healthy return because you will have a very high percentage of winners. However, lower than 4-6 offers appalling value for money under any circumstances, so exercise discretion and wait for another race when ALL the signals are in your favour and you can get the value you want. Statistics show that you can fully expect 75% of winners from THE GOLD NUGGET SYSTEM.
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