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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 9:07:29 GMT
QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE
3.30: GRADE ONE — 2 MILES
Rarely can this race have seen so much drama before the tapes have even been released with hot ante-post favourite Altior undergoing an 11th-hour scare and Douvan making the field against all the odds.
The former has also suffered with a wind issue this season and in recent history there have been 106 horses which have undergone a similar campaign to him and only one has won — Riverside Theatre, trained by Nicky Henderson. Any breathing issues could well be exploited by the gruelling conditions and, at his price, he is reluctantly overlooked in preference of MIN. The latter's fitness is seemingly assured and he has looked a smart chaser in waiting this winter, not least at Leopardstown last time when he was imperious.
The joker in the pack is undoubtedly Douvan, who was an enormous disappointment in this event last year when sustaining an injury. The fact that Ruby Walsh has remained loyal to him above Min could be construed as a tip in its own right and, although he has undoubtedly been tricky to train, if the fire still burns he remains a huge threat.
BEST BET: MIN
NEXT BEST: DOUVAN
CROSS COUNTRY CHASE
4.10: 3 MILES 6 FURLONGS
The redoubtable CAUSE OF CAUSES is an incredible horse, as his Festival record over fences reads 2111, statistics which are virtually unparalleled in the modern day. He has built a terrific association with Jamie Codd who has been onboard for all three successes and the duo routed a decent field which included Bless The Wings and Auvergnat in this event 12 months ago.
The 10-year-old boasts a sharp turn of foot for a stayer and that was again in evidence last year as he came readily clear of his rivals, so he could well take all the beating again. Stablemate Tiger Roll is compiling a similar Festival record and is shortlisted once more.
Auvergnat didn't appear to quite get home last year, but he made a series of niggling errors which may have contributed to him fading from the home turn. He still travelled powerfully throughout for a large percentage of the race and confirmed his wellbeing at Punchestown with a creditable defeat of Josies Orders in the traditional prep for Wednesday's race. The Last Samurai is being prepared for another tilt at the Grand National, but if he takes to these fences he is a huge player.
BEST BET: CAUSE OF CAUSES
NEXT BEST: AUVERGNAT
FRED WINTER HANDICAP HURDLE
4.50: GRADE THREE — 2 MILES
The ability to see out the trip in deep ground will be paramount on Wednesday and, given he has finished strongly under similar conditions on his last two starts, LISP could prove the answer to one of the toughest races of the week.
As a relative of Thomas Campbell and Coeur De Lion, this type of examination should be ideal for a powerful galloper who did everything wrong at Haydock, when he pulled too hard in a small field, yet still ran a blinder behind Turning Gold. The selection should enjoy more cover in this bigger field and looks a big player.
Both Nube Negra and Look My Way have tackled Triumph Hurdle favourite Apple's Shakira at this venue and look huge contenders given they have track experience and have had good preparations.
The former tanked through a minor contest at Doncaster and clearly boasts plenty of ability, while Look My Way was a stayer on the flat and any horse that can cope with soft ground at Ffos Las shouldn't find Wednesday's conditions beyond him. French import The King Of May is another to consider as he too has finished behind Apple's Shakira and impressed on his British debut at Musselburgh.
BEST BET: LISP
NEXT BEST: LOOK MY WAY
CHAMPION BUMPER
5.30: GRADE ONE — 2 MILES
Willie Mullins has made this race his own since the turn of the century and CAREFULLY SELECTED could surprise one or two of his stablemates who have been installed at shorter prices.
From the same family as the talented Lord Sam, the selection has impressed in both of his bumper starts this term, having enjoyed success between the flags in Ireland. He boasted enough stamina to win over two-and-a-half miles at Leopardstown at Christmas, but didn't appear to lack any pace when bolting up at Naas over the minimum trip last month and his ability to see out the trip on bad ground will stand him in good stead here.
Fellow Mullins contender Blackbow enjoyed the best of a tactical affair with Rhinestone at Leopardstown. But the latter could well reverse the placings as he looked to be short of pace when the winner quickened and yet was closing all the way to the line. He is reported to be in good heart at home and should be on the scene. Acey Milan has impressed this season and is respected but the prices of Crooks Peak, a course and distance winner, and Mercy Mercy Me may offer more juice for the value seeker.
BEST BET: CAREFULLY SELECTED
NEXT BEST: RHINESTONE
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 9:08:14 GMT
PETER SCUDAMORE - EIGHT TIMES CHAMPION JOCKEY
There has been loads of hype surrounding SAMCRO in the build up to this day — but there is also plenty of evidence from his unbeaten track record that it is probably justified. I am a believer.
He has never started a race odds against in the betting, even on his point-to-point debut, and he has never looked like being extended in any finish he has contested.
PETER SCUDAMORE'S SELECTIONS
1.30 SAMCRO
2.10 PRESENTING PERCY
2.50 SPRINGTOWN LAKE
3.30 ALTIOR
4.10 CAUSE OF CAUSES
4.50 LOOK MY WAY
5.30 MERCY MERCY ME
The Ballymore Novices' Hurdle is obviously the biggest test he has ever faced — but he certainly looks up to it.
ALTIOR has overcome a minor blip with a hoof issue in the last 48 hours and overall his season has been far from what trainer Nicky Henderson would have planned — as he had to have a breathing operation as well.
But the image I cannot get out of my mind when assessing his chance was the effortless way he brushed aside Politologue on his comeback run in the Game Spirit Chase at Newbury.
There were built-in reasons why he could have performed below par that day yet he treated one of his major rivals with contempt.
I have plenty of respect for Monalee in the RSA Chase but I think he may find PRESENTING PERCY is a bit too good for him. Presenting Percy is a horse plenty of people think is a Gold Cup candidate of the future. In fact, on his last run, he was just beaten by Our Duke, one of the leading candidates for this year's big race on Friday.
CAUSE OF CAUSES could be described as a course and meeting specialist as he has won well at the Festival before. He is hard to oppose in the Cross Country Chase while LOOK MY WAY looks fairly well handicapped in the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle.
CAPTAIN HEATH (MARCUS TOWNEND)
THE KING OF MAY has only run once in Britain, but put in a very promising performance against a couple of useful rivals at Musselburgh. He is expected to improve and can give trainer Brian Ellison a first Festival winner.
FORMCAST (NIGEL TAYLOR)
AGON DE CHANAY improved by at least a stone when winning a Sandown hurdle very easily last Saturday. He has a 5lb penalty to carry for that success, but will be difficult to beat off what is still a light weight today.
CAPTAIN HEATH'S SELECTIONS
1.30 NEXT DESTINATION
2.10 PRESENTING PERCY
2.50 BARRA
3.30 MIN
4.10 CAUSE OF CAUSES
4.50 THE KING OF MAY
5.30 RHINESTONE
FORMCAST'S SELECTIONS
1.30 SAMCRO
2.10 BLACK CORTON
2.50 WILLIAM HENRY
3.30 ALTIOR
4.10 THE LAST SAMURI
4.50 ERAGON DE CHANAY
5.30 NO SELECTION
BEAT THE FAVOURITE
Our football experts like to go against the grain with their tips. Here are their picks to trounce Wednesday's fancied runners...
JAMIE REDKNAPP: 5.30 ACEY MILAN
CHRIS SUTTON: 2.50 TOPOFTHEGAME
GRAHAM POLL: 4.10 JOSIES ORDERS
WINNERS ENCLOSURE - BEST BETS, BEST ODDS WITH LADBROKES' NICOLA McGEADY
Cheltenham bankers Footpad and Buveur D'Air gave the bookmakers a bloody nose on the opening day of the Festival. And it could have been worse, about £4million worse for Ladbrokes alone, if Apple's Jade had won the Mares' Hurdle!
Punters began the day on a sour note as Ruby Walsh and hot-favourite Getabird failed to land the curtain-raiser. However, their fortunes soon changed for the better.
Willie Mullins-trained Footpad was the first massive result to go in favour of the punters. Here at Ladbrokes the 5-6 favourite was the best-backed horse of the day.
That was quickly followed up with another winning favourite in the form of Coo Star Sivola in the Ultima Handicap Chase. The final nail in the coffin for bookmakers, was a win for Nicky Henderson's Champion Hurdle 'good thing' Buveur D'Air.
Punters will pile money on these hot picks...
SAMCRO, PRESENTING PERCY, CAUSE OF CAUSES and MIN
The biggest talking horse of the entire week runs on Wednesday — the Gordon Elliott-trained Samcro. However, we think he could be a hype horse and is a hype price too at 8-11.
Don't get me wrong, he is a very good horse, but we have seen lots of odds-on good things getting beat in novice races over the years, including Elliott's Death Duty in last year's Albert Bartlett. In the RSA, we are very sweet on Patrick Kelly-trained seven-year-old Presenting Percy. He will be very hard to beat. He won the Pertemps last year and his run in the Red Mills Chase behind Our Duke on heavy ground was very impressive. The feature race is the Queen Mother Champion Chase, one of the most eagerly awaited clashes of the Festival.
The market has been shaken up with news that all is not well with Altior. Henderson's superstar was lame on Monday and although he has been declared fit we have our doubts and will take him on. The one we do like here is Willie Mullins's Min. He may have lost a Grade One at Christmas, but that feels like a distant memory after he looked so impressive in the Coral Dublin Chase in February.
... but keep an eye on these outsiders
FELIX DESJY and ACEY MILAN
We WILL be keeping Cause Of Causes on side in the Cross Country Chase. He has won the four-miler and the Kim Muir and we think he will etch his name into the history books.
Our ambassador Dan Skelton has said Nube Negra is his best chance of a festival winner in the Fred Winter.
The ground won't be a problem, he has been around the track before, and he keeps on improving. Willie Mullins's Blackbow looked very good at Leopardstown last time but there are others that take our fancy more in the Champion Bumper. I think the likes of Felix Desjy and Acey Milan could out-run their odds so we will be adding them to the list of ones to keep onside.
HOTSPOTS
Work whisper: COOLANLY (Cheltenham, 1.30)
Weighting game: GIN AND TONIC (Huntingdon, 3.45)
Down 19lb from last winning mark.
Burnt fingers: MONKS STAND (Southwell, 5.15)
Captain Heath trio
THE KING OF MAY (nap) (Cheltenham, 4.50)
PRESENTING PERCY (nb) (Cheltenham, 2.10)
NEXT DESTINATION (Cheltenham, 1.30)
Formcast special bet
ERAGON DE CHANAY(Cheltenham, 4.50)
SOUTHWELL
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.20 Warrior's Valley
1.55 Zoravan
2.35 Line House
3.15 Volatile
3.55 Captain Lars
4.35 The Resdev Way
5.15 Coiste Bodhar
GIMCRACK
1.20 Warrior's Valley
1.55 Medici Moon
2.35 The Jungle Vip
3.15 Volatile
3.55 Captain Lars
4.35 Cousin Khee
5.15 Teardrop Island
WOLVERHAMPTON
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
5.45 Bernie's Boy
6.15 Dream Magic
6.45 Seasearch
7.15 Bowditch
7.45 Peggy's Angel
8.15 Spring Romance
8.45 Sociologist
GIMCRACK
5.45 Dream Farr
6.15 King Kevin
6.45 Seasearch
7.15 Bowditch
7.45 Jonnysimpson
8.15 Spring Romance
8.45 Surrey Blaze
HUNTINGDON
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.45 Lungarno Palace
2.25 Vote Of Confidence
3.05 Your Wan
3.45 Prince Kup
4.25 Alberto's Dream
5.05 Oakley Hall
5.40 That's A Given
GIMCRACK
1.45 Pirate Look
2.25 Skint
3.05 Chandos Belle
3.45 Chilli Romance
4.25 Isle Road
5.05 As I See It
5.40 Guiding Stars
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 21:38:03 GMT
Cheltenham, 14 Mar 18 Fixture Note Race 5 The Cross Country Steeple Chase: Fence 4 omitted due to waterlogged ground on the landing side. Race 1 - 1:30pm THE BALLYMORE NOVICES' HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1)(Grade 1) (Registered as The BARING BINGHAM) BRAHMA BULL (IRE), DUC DES GENIEVRES (FR) and SCARPETA (FR) wore earplugs.
Following the race the Veterinary Officer reported that the winner, SAMCRO (IRE), lost its right fore shoe.
Race 2 - 2:10pm THE RSA INSURANCE NOVICES' STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1) (Grade 1) AL BOUM PHOTO (FR) and BONBON AU MIEL (FR) wore earplugs.
The performance of DOUNIKOS (FR), which was pulled up, was considered. Gordon Elliott could offer no explanation for the gelding’s performance. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the gelding, during routine testing, failed to reveal any abnormalities.
Race 3 - 2:50pm THE CORAL CUP HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1) (Grade 3) Alan Fleming, was fined £140 as the record of vaccinations in the passport of AS YOU WERE (FR) did not comply with the Rules of Racing.
ABBYSSIAL (IRE) wore earplugs. LE BREUIL (FR) wore earplugs in the parade ring only.
The winner, BLEU BERRY (FR) appeared to show improved form compared with its previous run at Leopardstown on 3 February 2018 where the gelding finished seventeenth of twenty-eight beaten 21 lengths on soft ground. W.P. Mullins representative’s explanation that BLEU BERRY (FR) had come on from the Leopardstown run, which was the gelding’s first race for nine months, was noted. BLEU BERRY (FR) was routine tested.
Following the race Davy Russell reported that DIAMOND KING (IRE), which was pulled up, was badly hampered by a faller at the first flight. Paul Townend reported that MAX DYNAMITE (FR), which started joint favourite and finished unplaced, jumped poorly throughout. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of MAX DYNAMITE (FR), during routine testing, failed to reveal any abnormalities. The Veterinary Officer reported that BARRA (FR), placed third, lost its left fore shoe and GRACEFUL LEGEND, unplaced, lost its right fore shoe.
Race 4 - 3:30pm THE BETWAY QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1) (Grade 1) ALTIOR (IRE) was examined by a veterinary surgeon before the race and was deemed fit to run.
MIN (FR) wore earplugs.
POLITOLOGUE (FR), ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies and trained by Paul Nicholls, left the parade early. The rider was interviewed and was fined £1000.
Following the race the Veterinary Officer reported that AR MAD (FR), which was pulled up, was lame right hind.
Race 5 - 4:10pm THE GLENFARCLAS STEEPLE CHASE (A CROSS COUNTRY STEEPLE CHASE) (CLASS 2) Having reviewed recordings of the false start, the Starters were satisfied that no riders should be reported for contravening the starting procedures.
The winner, TIGER ROLL (IRE) and THE LAST SAMURI (IRE), placed third, did not enter the winner's enclosure on veterinary advice.
The winner, TIGER ROLL (IRE), appeared to show improved form compared with its previous run at Cheltenham on 15 December 2017 where the gelding finished fifth of nine, beaten 42 lengths. Gordon Elliott’s representative’s explanation that TIGER ROLL (IRE) jumped slowly at Cheltenham and benefited from subsequent schooling at home, was noted. TIGER ROLL (IRE) was routine tested.
Following the race the Veterinary Officer reported that CAUSE OF CAUSES (USA), which was pulled up, was lame right fore, CHIC NAME (FR), placed fifth, suffered from heat stress post race and THE LAST SAMURI (IRE), placed third, suffered from mild heat stress post race.
Race 6 - 4:50pm THE BOODLES FRED WINTER JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1) (Grade 3) NUBE NEGRA (SPA) wore earplugs which were removed at the start.
The winner, VENEER OF CHARM (IRE), appeared to show improved form compared with its previous run at Navan on 20 January 2018 where the gelding finished last of the seven finishers, beaten 18 ½ lengths. It was noted that the Gordon Elliott could offer no explanation for the gelding’s improved form. VENEER OF CHARM (IRE) was routine tested.
Following the race Mark Walsh reported that MITCHOUKA (FR), which was pulled up, had been badly hampered by a faller at the third flight and was never travelling thereafter. The Veterinary Officer reported that LOOK MY WAY, unplaced, lost its left hind shoe and ERAGON DE CHANAY (FR), unplaced, lost its right hind shoe.
Race 7 - 5:30pm THE WEATHERBYS CHAMPION BUMPER (A STANDARD OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT RACE) (CLASS 1) (Grade 1) BLACKBOW (IRE), TORNADO FLYER (IRE) and COLREEVY (IRE) wore earplugs.
Permission was given for FELIX DESJY (FR) to go early to post.
Following the race the Veterinary Officer reported that NESTOR PARK (FR) lost its left hind shoe and ARCH MY BOY, unplaced, lost its right hind shoe. The representative of Jamie Snowden reported that THEBANNERKINGREBEL (IRE), which was pulled up, had a breathing problem. View Stewards report Huntingdon, 14 Mar 18 Fixture Note The Veterinary Officer reported that the box designated to UNDISPUTED (IRE), trained by Noel Williams, had not been cleaned since the last meeting. The Clerk of the Course, Veterinary Officer, Head Groundsman and the trainer, were interviewed and a report sent to the Head Office of the British Horseracing Authority. Race 1 - 1:45pm THE 188BET BEST PRICE MULLINS AT CHELTENHAM MAIDEN HURDLE RACE (CLASS 5) Permission was given for LEGEND OF FRANCE to be mounted on the chute.
DOWNLOADTHEAPP (IRE) unseated its rider shortly after entering the track. Having been checked by the Veterinary Surgeon at the start, the gelding was deemed fit to race.
An enquiry was held into the running and riding of ROMANOR, ridden by Kevin Jones and trained by Seamus Mullins which was dropped out in the rear from the start finishing seventh of fourteen, beaten by 22 ¼ lengths. The rider and the trainer’s representative were interviewed and shown recordings of the race; the Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the gelding, during routine testing, failed to reveal any abnormalities. The rider stated that his instructions were to drop out the back and to get the gelding to settle before asking for an effort and to obtain the best possible position. He added that he was aware that ROMANOR had bolted in its previous two races and as result had not finished, so he dropped the gelding out, in order to get him to settle before asking for an effort when leaving the back straight on the final circuit. He also stated that the gelding was jumping deliberately throughout the race and losing ground. The trainer’s representative confirmed the instructions and stated he was happy with the ride given and also stated that at ROMANOR’S previous run at Warwick, the gelding had bolted and did not finish the race. Their explanations were noted.
Following the race, the Veterinary Officer reported that WORLD PREMIER (FR), unplaced, had bled from the nose.
Race 3 - 3:05pm THE 188BET EXTRA PLACES AT CHELTENHAM FRIDAY MARES' HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 4) Following the race, Jack Quinlan reported that KADDY'S DREAM, placed eighth, stopped quickly turning into the home straight and Trevor Whelan reported that THE LADY RULES, which was pulled up, was never travelling.
Race 4 - 3:45pm THE 188BET LADIES RIDERS' HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 5) The winner CALLTHEBARMAN (IRE), appeared to show improved form, compared with its previous run at Gowran Park on 25 January 2018 where the gelding was pulled up. Gavin Cromwell’s representative’s explanation that the gelding was better suited by the Soft, Good to Soft going on this occasion was noted. CALLTHEBARMAN (IRE) was routine tested.
Race 5 - 4:25pm THE 188BET UP TO £75 CASH BONUS HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 5) Following the race, Adam Nicol reported that ISLE ROAD (IRE), which was pulled up, ran flat.
Race 6 - 5:05pm THE DOWNLOAD THE APP AT 188BET MAIDEN HURDLE RACE (CLASS 5) Niall Madden, the rider of the winner AS I SEE IT was suspended for 4 days for using his whip above the permitted level from after the final hurdle.
Jonjo O’Neill, the rider of OAKLEY HALL (IRE), placed second, was suspended for 2 days for using his whip above the permitted level from approaching the final hurdle. Being a 7lb claimer, O’Neill was accompanied by the representative of Richie McLernon.
Following the race, the Veterinary Officer reported that CIRCUIT COURT (IRE), unplaced, lost its right fore shoe.
Race 7 - 5:40pm THE 188BET CASINO STANDARD OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT RACE (CLASS 5) GUIDING STARS (FR) wore ear plugs which were removed at the start and permission was given for TALK OF MONTY to go early to post.
Following the race, Sean Bowen reported that GUIDING STARS (FR), unplaced, ran too free. View Stewards report Southwell, 14 Mar 18 Race 1 - 1:20pm THE 32Red.com HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5) Permission was given for GLOBAL ROSE (IRE) and WARRIOR’S VALLEY to go early to post.
Race 2 - 1:55pm THE sunbets.co.uk HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5) Ben Robinson, the rider of ALPHA TAURI (USA), placed sixth of six, had appeared to stop riding just inside the final half furlong. After being interviewed and shown recordings of the incident, Robinson was suspended for 2 days for failing to ride out on a horse that would have finished fifth.
Following the race, Kieran O’Neill reported that CHERUBIC, placed fourth, was never travelling.
Race 3 - 2:35pm THE sunbets.co.uk NOVICE STAKES (CLASS 5) Following the race, P.J. McDonald reported that PENISTONE, unplaced, was slowly away.
Race 4 - 3:15pm THE sunbets.co.uk HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 3) An enquiry was held to consider the placings in this race after interference approaching the line when the winner, VOLATILE, ridden by Oisin Murphy, interfered with HOLIDAY MAGIC (IRE), placed second, ridden by Nathan Evans. The Stewards considered that the interference had not improved the placing of VOLATILE as the winner was always holding the second and the winning margin was ¾ of a length with HOLIDAY MAGIC (IRE) losing no momentum. Murphy was cautioned for careless riding as he had allowed his mount to drift right carrying Evans off his intended line.
Approaching 2 furlongs out, IMAGINE IF (IRE), unplaced, hung left causing PHILBA, unplaced, to be switched, but after viewing a recording of the incident it was found that no riding offence was involved.
Following the race, Cam Hardie reported that IMAGINE IF (IRE) hung left and Shelley Birkett reported that MAJESTIC MOON (IRE), unplaced, was never travelling. The Veterinary Officer reported that post-race examinations revealed IMAGINE IF (IRE) had an over-reach to its left hind, and MAJESTIC MOON (IRE) was coughing.
Race 5 - 3:55pm THE CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL BETTING AT BETWAY SELLING STAKES (CLASS 4) Permission was given for CAPTAIN LARS (SAF) to go early to post.
Race 7 - 5:15pm THE BETWAY CHELTENHAM FIRST&LAST RACE LOSERS MONEYBACK HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 6) Permission was given for BOP IT to go early to post.
ARAGON KNIGHT ran yesterday, 13 March 2018, at Southwell. The Veterinary Officer reported that a pre-race examination of the gelding deemed it fit to race.
Leaving the stalls, ARAGON KNIGHT, placed eighth, jumped left as YORKSHIRE ROVER, unplaced, jumped right, causing DONNELLY’S RAINBOW (IRE), unplaced, to be hampered, but after viewing a recording of the incident, it was found that no riding offence was involved and that it had not improved the placing of ARAGON KNIGHT. View Stewards report Wolverhampton, 14 Mar 18 Race 1 - 5:45pm THE sunbets.co.uk APPRENTICE HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5) MR ORANGE (IRE), drawn 2, anticipated the start and accelerated the gate at the same moment as the race had been started, thereby enabling the gelding to break quickly. Being satisfied that it was not caused through a faulty action of the starting stalls, no further action was taken.
Following the race, the Veterinary Officer reported that DREAM FARR (IRE), placed fifth, lost its right hind shoe and PRAZERES, placed second, lost its left hind shoe.
Race 2 - 6:15pm THE BETWAY CHELTENHAM FIRST & LAST RACE LOSERS MONEYBACK HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5) An enquiry was held to consider two incidents of interference. The first incident occurred just inside the final furlong between the winner, KING KEVIN, ridden by Robert Havlin and HAZAMAR (IRE), placed third, ridden by Jack Osborn. Havlin was cautioned for careless riding as he allowed his mount to hang left without sufficient and timely correction causing HAZAMAR (IRE) to be tightened for room. The second incident occurred approximately half a furlong out involving HAZAMAR (IRE); WILLYEGOLASSIEGO, placed fourth, ridden by Liam Keniry; STONIFIC (IRE), placed sixth, ridden by Daniel Tudhope; BOYCHICK (IRE), placed fifth, ridden by Luke Morris and ICE CANYON, placed seventh, ridden by Eoin Walsh. Osborn was suspended for 5 days for careless riding as he allowed his mount to hang left without sufficient and timely correction, causing interference on his inside to WILLYEGOLASSIEGO, STONIFIC (IRE), BOYCHICK (IRE) and ICE CANYON, which was squeezed against the rail.
Following the race, Tim Clark reported that FOOL TO CRY (IRE), unplaced, hung left and Nicola Currie reported that OUTBACK BLUE, placed eighth, was slowly away.
Race 3 - 6:45pm THE 32Red ON THE APP STORE HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 6) Following the race, Franny Norton reported that SUNHILL LAD (IRE), placed second, lugged left in the home straight, Josephine Gordon reported that FABELLA BERE (FR), placed fourth, hung left throughout and Nicola Currie reported that BANJO’S VOICE, placed fifth, was never travelling.
Race 4 - 7:15pm THE 32Red CASINO NOVICE STAKES (CLASS 5) The Veterinary Officer reported that upon inspection, ALLITERATION was a gelding and not a colt as published in the racecard.
Following the race, Kieran Shoemark reported that LUMEN, unplaced, ran green and Charles Bishop reported that BILLY RAY, placed second, hung left in the home straight.
Race 5 - 7:45pm THE 32Redsport.com FILLIES' NOVICE MEDIAN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 6) Following the race, Nicola Currie reported that MOTHER OF DRAGONS (IRE), placed third, hung right.
Race 6 - 8:15pm THE 32Redpoker.com HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 6) Permission was given for BAILEYS EXCEL and SANDYTOWN (IRE) to go early to post.
SWISSIE, trained by Ivan Furtado, failed to enter the Parade Ring due to problems with the gelding’s noseband.
The Starter reported that SANDYTOWN (IRE) broke out of the stalls and was withdrawn at 8:15pm. Kevin Ryan was informed that the gelding could not run until the day after passing a stalls test.
Race 7 - 8:45pm THE 32Red.com HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5) POETIC STEPS (FR) wore earplugs which were removed at the start.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 21:38:58 GMT
Ruby Walsh will miss the remainder of the Cheltenham Festival after aggravating the broken leg injury which had kept him on the sidelines for the previous four months.
The winning-most jockey in Festival history was hurt when he parted company with Al Boum Photo at the penultimate fence in the second race of the day, the RSA Insurance Novices' Chase.
He was taken to Gloucester Royal Hospital for X-rays and further assessment.
The 38-year-old rider only returned to competitive action last Thursday, after suffering his original injury at Punchestown on November 18.
A statement issued by his sister and agent, Jennifer, said: "Unfortunately he has aggravated a recent leg injury and will see his consultant in Dublin next week for further assessment."
It had been feared earlier in the day the leg could be broken again, but trainer Willie Mullins said the injury was not as serious as first thought and even raised the possibility of Walsh returning to the saddle before the end of the season.
Mullins explained: "The information I have is that he has a stress fracture on the old break. He might need a cast for maybe three weeks or a month and then he could be back.
"Instead of being back for Galway, he could be back for Punchestown (at the end of April). That would be a fantastic result."
The champion trainer said Paul Townend is likely to come in for the ride on Un De Sceaux in Thursday's Ryanair Chase.
Asked about riding arrangements for Friday's Timico Gold Cup, in which Walsh was set to partner Killultagh Vic, Mullins added: "I haven't really thought about it, to be honest. I'll leave it up to the jockeys.
"Paul will be offered the ride on Killultagh Vic, but he might want to stay on Total Recall, in which case David (Mullins) or Patrick (Mullins) could ride Killultagh Vic. We'll see."
Davy Russell was stood down for the last two races after he suffered a fall in the Glenfarclas Chase.
Russell, who won the RSA on Presenting Percy, was signed off when he parted company from the Gordon Elliott-trained Bless The Wings.
The BHA's stewarding team tweeted: "Following a fall in the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase, Davy Russell has been stood down for the day.
"He would need to pass a further medical examination by doctors before taking any further rides at the Festival."
Elliott said that Russell has suffered a knee injury, but expects him to be fit for the third day of the Festival.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 21:39:36 GMT
Thursday: going, weather & non-runners Chelmsford (AW) GOING: POLYTRACK: STANDARD WEATHER: Showers STALLS: 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside Cheltenham GOING: SOFT (Heavy in places) (GoingStick 5.8) (Rail movements: R1 +15y, R3 & 5 +22y, R7 +75y) WEATHER: Light rain NON RUNNERS: 4:50 Dame De Compagnie (9) 5:30 Racing Pulse (22) Hexham GOING: HEAVY (Rail movements: R1 & 5 +5y, R2 & 3 +10y, R4 +15y, R6 & 7 +8y) WEATHER: Light rain Towcester GOING: HEAVY (GoingStick 6.3) WEATHER: Showers
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 21:40:13 GMT
Lambourn: James Burn
Terrefort (1.30 Cheltenham, nap)
Promising youngster who jumps well and should adore the ground, so can go close.
4/1 Terrefort 1:30 Cheltenham Others to follow Chelmsford: 5.55 Pulsating, 7.30 Glorious Army, 8.00 Start Seven, 8.30 Bold Prediction, 9.00 Beepeecee. Cheltenham: 2.10 Lovenormoney, 3.30 Yanworth, 4.10 Pougne Bobbi, 4.50 Countister, 5.30 Missed Approach. Towcester: 3.55 With Discretion.
Newmarket: David Milnes
Spare Parts (8.30 Chelmsford, nap)
Fancied to record a remarkable seventh win of the year after making most to score at Kempton last week. Phil McEntee's improver has bounced out of that and is well drawn in stall one.
5/1 Spare Parts 8:30 Chelmsford (AW) Others to follow Chelmsford: 7.00 Cartographer, 7.30 Evince, 9.00 Waloof.
West Country: Andrew King
Movewiththetimes (4.10 Cheltenham, nap)
Has not been seen for a while but has been freshened up ahead of this target and can land his first victory over fences.
7/1 Movewiththetimes 4:10 Cheltenham Others to follow Cheltenham: 1.30 West Approach, 2.10 Louis' Vac Pouch, 2.50 Cue Card, 3.30 Unowhatimeanharry, 5.30 Aubusson.
North: Colin Russell
Sam Spinner (3.30 Cheltenham, nap)
Has developed into a top-class staying hurdler this season and was most impressive when winning the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot in December. Has since been trained for the race by Jedd O'Keeffe and with the ground in his favour is fancied to land this Grade 1 prize.
7/2 Sam Spinner 3:30 Cheltenham Others to follow Chelmsford: 5.55 Impart, 6.30 Firesnake, 7.00 Bowson Fred, 7.30 Aquarium, 8.00 Mambo Dancer. Cheltenham: 2.50 Cloudy Dream, 4.10 Guitar Pete, 5.30 Very First Time. Hexham: 1.45 Cornerstone Lad, 2.25 McGinty's Dream, 3.05 Haul Us In, 3.45 Itstimeforapint, 4.25 Catchthemoonlight, 5.05 Brown Trix, 5.40 Behindthelines.
Topspeed: Dave Edwards
The New One (3.30 Cheltenham)
Seems as good as ever this season, boasts a fine Cheltenham record and richly deserves another festival success.
14/1 The New One 3:30 Cheltenham Longshot: Ed Quigley
L'Ami Serge (3.30 Cheltenham)
Enigmatic sort, but has lots of class, is versatile ground-wise and has some good Festival form in the book.
12/1 L'Ami Serge 3:30 Cheltenham Ireland: Tony O'Hehir
Un De Sceaux (2.50 Cheltenham, nap)
A three-time course winner, twice at the Festival, Willie Mullins' exciting chaser has done everything right this season, winning both his starts in good style. As tough as they come and a fine jumper, he will relish the conditions and has outstanding claims as he bids to win the Ryanair Chase for the second consecutive year.
11/10 Un De Sceaux 2:50 Cheltenham The Raceform Interactive Nugget
Four of the last five winners of the Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (2.10) were six-year-olds officially rated between 138 and 146 and all had finished in the top three on their latest start. Louis' Vac Pouch is the only qualifier.
10/1 Louis' Vac Pouch 2:10 Cheltenham Members can read the latest exclusive tipping content such as Pricewise and Paul Kealy from 8pm daily on racingpost.com
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 14, 2018 21:40:43 GMT
Jack Kennedy has a 100 per cent record (5-5) when riding Shattered Love, whereas other jockeys are just 4-10. The pair bid to extend their superb run in the Grade 1 JLT Novices’ Chase (1.30).
Willie Mullins has a 54 per cent strike-rate (86-160) with horses having their first run for him after switching from another stable. Salsaretta, who runs in the Trull House Stud Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle, makes her stable debut after moving from Francois Nicolle in France.
Warren Greatrex’s overall strike-rate stands at 18 per cent, however he has a 66 per cent strike-rate (2-3) with runners having their first start after a wind operation. Missed Approach fits the bill and goes for the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir (5.30).
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Post by dennisg on Mar 15, 2018 7:53:36 GMT
in today's sporting life...................... Mister Whitaker (13/2) and Tiger Roll (7/1) were among Ed Chamberlin's winners this week - check out his three tips for today. Un De Sceaux has been my banker of the week for some time now and while it's disappointing to lose Ruby Walsh (wishing him a speedy recovery), the ground is definitely right for him in the Ryanair. Shattered Love can continue Gordon Elliott's good run in the opening JLT and at a price I think Pougne Bobbi will run well in the Brown Advisory Plate or another trainer among the winners this week, Nicky Henderson. Ed's best Thursday bets: 10 Shattered Lovet76 710-11OR: 144 7/1 Form: 7-11211T: G ElliottJ: J W Kennedy Last run Live betting powered by 7 Un De Sceaux54 1011-10OR: 168CD 5/6 Form: 1112-11T: W P MullinsJ: Unknown Jockey Last run Live betting powered by 17 Pougne Bobbi48 710-11OR: 140
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Post by dennisg on Mar 15, 2018 7:55:36 GMT
Our flagship racing tipster Ben Linfoot seeks out the best Value Bets on day three of the 2018 Cheltenham Festival and he has five selections. Recommended Bets: Value Bet Cheltenham Festival Day Two For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record The Sun Bets Stayers’ Hurdle looks the most wide open of all the Championship races this week and with Sam Spinner, Supasundae and Yanworth heading the betting at prices ranging from just 4/1 to 11/2 it seems the market agrees. Sam Spinner deserves to be favourite as he has the best recent form at this trip but that’s not to say I think he’ll win. Indeed, as likeable as he is, I do think he has plenty to prove. He has never finished out of the first two in his career, but things only really began to get serious for him this season when he turned up in what used to be the Fixed Brush at Haydock and routed them off a mark of 139. A 16lb rise catapulted him into the big league and he announced himself at the very top level when winning the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot in December. That was a very good performance, but I’m not sure beating L’Ami Serge, a below-par Unowhaitmeanharry and The Worlds End is enough evidence to back him at 4/1 for a Stayers’ Hurdle. This is his toughest assignment yet and plenty of different form lines enter the fray. The leading one is the Yanworth and Supasundae form with the former beating the latter at Aintree last year. Supasundae is a fresher horse now then he was then, but the testing ground has gone against him considering his stamina is not a given over a soft-ground three miles. Yanworth is interesting reverting from the bigger obstacles, but the same can be said about BACARDYS and at 9/1 (General, 10/1 Boylesports) he looks the one to be on. It looks like his novice status as a chaser is being saved for another year following two defeats over fences, latterly when he was going perfectly well when coming down in a race won by Snow Falcon. The reports from Closutton are that the fall hasn’t hindered his progress this season, though, with Patrick Mullins saying that he’s been schooling really well in the build-up to this. Looking back at his win in the Tattersalls Ireland Champion Novice Hurdle last season he beat three Grade One winners in Finian’s Oscar, Death Duty and Let’s Dance and he did so by staying on strongly over 2m4f to get the job done right on the line. This time last year he was badly hampered in the Neptune won by Willoughby Court which resulted in him being pulled up, but he was sent off 4/1 for that race which gives you some indication as to the regard in which he is held. Testing ground is fine for him, he has the speed for shorter distances yet shapes as though he’ll improve for the step up in trip. It’s all about potential with him, but in a tricky race he’s taken to improve past the lot of them for Willie Mullins. 1 Bacardys77 711-10OR: 151BFD 10/1 Form: 11P1-3FT: W P MullinsJ: Unknown Jockey Last run Live betting powered by Earlier on BIGMARTRE looks to be the underestimated horse in the JLT Novices’ Chase at 16/1 (General). The key thing here is there looks to be plenty of early pace with Invitation Only, Terrerfort, Kemboy and Shattered Love likely to be up there and that will suit Bigmartre as he used to be keen in his races. He settles much better these days since he went chasing, so much so that he could well improve over the 2m4f - the first time he has tackled a distance as far over fences. His dam stayed 2m5f and she in turn was related to stayers, while Bigmartre certainly wasn’t stopping when he got to within a short head of Duke Of Navan at Doncaster over two miles last time. That he gave that experienced older horse 8lb and almost beat him was a big feather in his cap and it should stand him in good stead returned to novice company on Thursday. His jumping has been a major asset in his fledgling fencing career and so it should be in this race, a contest that has produced its fair share of drama in its short history. If Harry Bannister can keep him out of trouble Bigmartre looks like a novice chaser with the ability to have a big say and at 16/1 he’s good value. 2 Bigmartre47 711-4OR: 149BF 20/1 Form: 860-112T: H WhittingtonJ: Harry Bannister Last run Live betting powered by In the Pertemps Final Gordon Elliott holds a very strong hand with Glenloe potentially well ahead of the assessor but at the prices I like the look of his second string DELTA WORK at 12/1 (General, 14/1 bet365). He finished third behind awesome stablemate Samcro earlier in the season and then ran a good race in second in the Grade Two Guinness Novice Hurdle at Limerick over Christmas, a race that has produced four Festival winners in the last decade. The five-year-old shaped like a real stayer that day and has done in two handicaps since, firstly when running fourth to Total Recall at the Dublin Racing Festival and then when qualifying for this race at Punchestown last time. That was a good trial for this as he qualified easily despite being squeezed for room late on and the English handicapper has left him on his Irish mark of 139. It looks a rating he can do some damage off now he faces a testing three miles off what looks sure to be a strong gallop and he could well give Cheltenham maestro Davy Russell another Festival success on the back of Presenting Percy on Wednesday. 13 Delta Workh,t22 510-10OR: 139 10/1 Form: 133243T: G ElliottJ: D N Russell Last run Live betting powered by Finally, WILLIE BOY makes plenty of appeal at 20/1 (Coral, 18s General) in the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate at 4.10. His trainer Venetia Williams has won this race three times before and Willie Boy looks another likely type considering his rapid progress and ability to go well after a break. Bought in 2016 after winning a point-to-point, Willie Boy did okay in three novice hurdles but really took off once unleashed over a fence. A faller at the first at Sandown on his chasing debut this time last year, he won easily seven days later at Uttoxeter off a mark of 117 on what was effectively his first start for 80 days. Another break of 236 days came and went before he won at Newbury off 132 and then he failed to back that up three weeks later at the same track. Given 104 days off since then, it looks significant that he’s pitched in here and his big price compensates for the fact he’s relatively inexperienced. Hopefully he’ll keep out of trouble towards the front end. 21 Willie Boy104 710-9OR: 138BF 16/1 Form: 35F1-16T: Miss V WilliamsJ: B J Cooper Last run Live betting powered by If he does contribute to a strong gallop setting things up for the closers it could well be LAST GOODBYE that benefits and he's worth a final bet for the day at 12s (General). Liz Doyle’s seven-year-old was really badly hampered in Tully East’s Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase a year ago and did very well to finish fifth considering. He’s been lightly raced since then but took off in first-time blinkers at Leopardstown last time when winning a valuable pot at the Dublin Racing Festival in the style of a good horse. The third that day, Uncle Danny, a horse that was beaten 18 lengths, has subsequently come out and franked the form by running a close second at the same track five days ago and even a 14lb rise in the weights might not be enough to stop Doyle’s charge. If the blinkers have the same effect he could go close and he is only 9lb higher than he was in the Close Brothers a year ago. He’ll relish a strong gallop and the ground with the one concern being that he won’t be fast enough off his new mark. However, at 12/1, he’s worth the risk given how impressive he was last time. 3 Last Goodbyeb,t39 711-6OR: 149D 10/1 Form: 6157-01T: Miss E DoyleJ: S W Flanagan Last run Live betting powered by Posted at 1700 GMT on 14/03/18. Ben Linfoot's Value Bet aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +361.14pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).
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Post by dennisg on Mar 15, 2018 7:58:27 GMT
Richard Mann looks at the Sun Bets Stayers' Hurdle and gives his in-depth lowdown on the runners, including Supasundae and Sam Spinner. Supasundae Coral Cup hero at this meeting last year who ran Apple’s Jade very close over Christmas before dropping back to two miles to give Faugheen a beating in the Irish Champion Hurdle. The return to this longer trip is expected to suit this high-class operator, although the prospect of testing ground could stretch his stamina reserves like never before. Sam Spinner The big hope from the north who has enjoyed a tremendous season so far, landing a valuable handicap at Haydock in imperious fashion before beating a few of these easily in the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot. Still only a six-year-old, he looks to have the world at his feet, though he might not be allowed to dominate from the front in a renewal as strong as this one. Yanworth A fascinating runner in this race having been campaigned over fences all season. Didn’t appear to be in love with the larger obstacles but it’s a sign of his class that he was able to overcome some sloppy jumping to win the BetBright Dipper Novices’ Chase in that code on New Years’ Day. Excels at this track and stays really well so must be respected despite his unconventional preparation. Yanworth in action over fences Yanworth in action over fences Bacardys Another strong stayer and he beat Finian’s Oscar to land a Grade One contest at the Punchestown Festival last spring. Third in the Champion Bumper here back in 2016 so clearly handles this track and, like Yanworth, reverts to hurdles following a frustrating novice chase campaign earlier in the season. Unowhatimeanharry A good third when sent off favourite for this race last year having dominated the division throughout the season. Hasn’t looked the same force so far this term but Harry Fry’s stable are going much better now and this fella will appreciate every drop of rain that falls on Cheltenham. He could be the forgotten horse in the race. L’Ami Sege Classy operator who has run some mighty races in his career to date, including when landing the French Champion Hurdle last year. Likes to pounce off a strong gallop so should be suited by the way this race unfolds, though he was unable to get past Sam Spinner when their paths crossed at Ascot and he might face the same problem here. The New One Old warrior who tries this longer race for the first time having spent the last few years running his heart out in the Champion Hurdle. Has enjoyed plenty of big days away from here, his four Champion Hurdle Trial victories at Haydock standing out, and he acts well on deep ground. Such conditions will place a greater emphasis on his untested stamina, though. 9 The New One54 1011-10OR: 161C 14/1 Form: 4-14221T: N A Twiston-DaviesJ: Sam Twiston-Davies Last run Live betting powered by Penhill Classy Flat performer who hasn’t always found hurdling quite as easy as first expected. However, he got his act together when proving victorious in the Albert Bartlett last year and staying looks to be his game. Hasn’t been sighted since running at Punchestown the following the month but as we have seen already this week, his master handler can be expected to have him spot on for the big day. Lil Rockerfeller A real crowd favourite who wears his heart on his sleeve and invariably gives it his best shot. Ran a fine race when only narrowly touched off in this race last year and returns for another crack at this prize twelve months on following another solid campaign. Won’t mind the ground and could give his supporters a good run for their money. Wholestone Tough sort who has a touch class of class about him, too. Goes particularly well at this track and has won four times here already, including when beating a good field on New Years’ Day. Had to settle for second spot in the Cleeve Hurdle subsequently, though, and Daryl Jacob has opted to ride L’Ami Serge on this occasion. Wholestone boasts a fine record at Cheltenham The Worlds End Looked to have the world at his feet when claiming Grade One honours at Aintree last spring but this season hasn’t really gone to plan. Has finished a long way behind Sam Spinner on a couple of occasions and his latest run when only fourth in the Cleeve Hurdle was a long way below what is required in a race of this calibre. Let’s Dance Very smart mare on her day who landed the Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle at the Festival last year. Hasn’t been the easiest to catch right so far in this campaign but she showed what she is capable of when running away with a Grade Three contest at Leopardstown over Christmas. More on her plate here, however. Old Guard Fine servant to connections and has enjoyed another fruitful campaign, winning three times. Was right at the top of his game when beating Lil Rockerfeller at Fontwell recently but beaten by Wholestone here earlier in the season and the suspicion remains that he will just come up short at this elevated level. Cheltenham day three fast cards Full Sun Bets Stayers' Hurdle card and free video form Colin’s Sister Has remained in good heart since beating Wholestone at Wetherby back in November and ran another perfectly respectable race when finishing third here when last sighted. Another who has a bit to find in order to trouble the very best of these but she should give yet another good account of herself. Augusta Kate Lightly-raced mare who has always had plenty of ability and boasts some useful form to boot. Beat Let’s Dance to claim Grade One glory at Fairyhouse back in April and her most recent effort, when chasing home Presenting Percy, was another creditable showing. Handles testing ground fine but she is yet another with a fair bit to find on official ratings. Donna’s Diamond Looks set to go off a big price but he comes into this on the back of a Grade Two success at Haydock. Conditions were particularly testing on that occasion so he should be at home on the ground this week and might still be on the upgrade. Verdict: Sam Spinner is the big hope from the north and is hard to fault on what he has produced so far this season, his Grade One Long Walk Hurdle success preceded by a demolition of a valuable handicap in the Haydock mud. The ground again looks to have come right for Jedd O’Keeffe’s charge, but he has no secrets from anyone now, and whether jockey Joe Colliver is allowed to dominate from the front like he has previously could well determine where the prize goes. Supasundae looms a huge danger following his impressive Irish Champion Hurdle victory but Yanworth was seemingly able to expose his stamina limitations at Aintree last spring and the latter, a late addition to this race after novice chase plans were shelved with him, looks sure to stay all the way to the line again. His record at this track is very impressive, too, while Bacardys has always thrived when faced with a good test and trainer Willie Mullins is highly likely to have him primed to a tee for the big day. 1. Sam Spinner 2. Yanworth 3. Supasundae
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Post by dennisg on Mar 15, 2018 8:00:57 GMT
Alex Hammond with her best bets for day three of the Cheltenham Festival - and she fancies Sam Spinner in the Stayers' Hurdle. CHELTENHAM THURSDAY 1.30 JLT Novices' Chase 9 Terrefort40 511-3OR: 151D 7/2 Form: 131311T: N J HendersonJ: D A Jacob Last run Live betting powered by 2.10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle 17 Forza Milant1104 610-9OR: 138 10/1 Form: 221-622T: Jonjo O'NeillJ: Killian Moore (3) Last run Live betting powered by 2.50 Ryanair Chase 7 Un De Sceaux54 1011-10OR: 168CD 5/6 Form: 1112-11T: W P MullinsJ: Unknown Jockey Last run Live betting powered by 3.30 Stayers' Hurdle 7 Sam Spinner82 611-10OR: 164D 7/2 Form: 211-211T: Jedd O'KeeffeJ: Joe Colliver Last run Live betting powered by 4.10 Brown Advisory Plate 12 Romain De Senamh,t89 610-13OR: 142D 20/1 Form: 52-1155T: P F NichollsJ: Sam Twiston-Davies Last run Live betting powered by 4.50 Mares' Novices' Hurdle 2 Laurina47 511-7OR: 144 4/6 Form: F2-11T: W P MullinsJ: Unknown Jockey Last run Live betting powered by 5.30 Kim Muir Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase 4 Mall Dinib1,t61 811-10OR: 143C 5/1 Form: 235-545T: P G KellyJ: Mr P W Mullins Last run
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 9:27:07 GMT
Further rain at Cheltenham has maintained testing conditions for day three of the festival with the official going description soft, heavy in places.
The action moves to fresh ground on the New course for the last two days, but 9mm of rain overnight has given the track another soaking following heavy rain last weekend and the start of the week.
Clerk of the course Simon Claisse said: "Most of the track we're running on today - chase and hurdle - we've not set foot on for 12 months. It's in pristine condition and will be perfect for the afternoon sport.
"The rain we had overnight is hopefully petering out and we're looking forward to a dry afternoon."
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 9:31:17 GMT
CHELTENHAM
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.30 Terrefort
2.10 Forza Milan
2.50 Balko Des Flos
3.30 Sam Spinner
4.10 Last Goodbye (nap)
4.50 Laurina
5.30 Mall Dini (nb)
GIMCRACK
1.30 Terrefort
2.10 Glenloe
2.50 Un De Sceau x (nap)
3.30 Supasundae
4.10 King's Socks
4.50 Laurina (nb)
5.30 Mall Dini
JLT NOVICES' CHASE
1.30: GRADE ONE — 2 MILES 4 FURLONGS
Willie Mullins has dominated recent runnings of this race, taking the last three with Yorkhill, Black Hercules and Vautour, with Sir Des Champs also obliging in 2012.
Even without star jockey Ruby Walsh, he has a leading chance of extending that strong sequence courtesy of Invitation Only, who ran a blinder in the Grade One Flogas Chase at the Dublin Festival.
He is a tough horse to oppose with that form in the book, but TERREFORT has looked a special talent since joining Nicky Henderson from France and could end a frustrating run of near misses in this event for his handler.
Top Notch, Bristol De Mai and L'Ami Serge have all gone close in these colours in recent renewals and this year's representative looks likely to post a bold showing.
Terrefort showed great tenacity to see off the useful Cyrname in a Sandown Grade One last time, having previously dispensed with Bentelimar at Huntingdon.
Of the others, Snow Falcon is interesting as he ran well in the Flogas, finishing fifth, and may sneak into the frame.
BEST BET: TERREFORT 4-1
NEXT BEST: INVITATION ONLY 11-4
PERTEMPS NETWORK HURDLE
2.10: LISTED — 3 MILES
As is the norm with this race, many of the contenders have been endeavouring to hide their true abilities from the handicapper. However, Louis' Vac Pouch and FORZA MILAN have at least offered a glimpse of their capabilities and appear leading contenders.
The duo fought out the finish to an Aintree handicap last November where two lengths separated them at the line, but the latter may have been a shade unfortunate not to have finished closer as he landed in a heap after the final hurdle.
Louis' Vac Pouch has not been seen since, which may not be a bad thing given his yard have been woefully out of form this winter, but recent signs are more encouraging and he should appreciate the likelihood of a strong gallop.
Forza Milan sports a tongue tie for the first time which may help, and he represents a stable who have made a habit of winning this race since the turn of the century.
His latest effort at Newbury was another creditable one. Glenloe and Sort It Out have caught the eye with their efforts in qualifying for this race and are respected.
BEST BET: FORZA MILAN 12-1
NEXT BEST: LOUIS' VAC POUCH 8-1
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 9:31:48 GMT
RYANAIR CHASE
2.50: GRADE ONE — 2 MILES 5 FURLONGS
This may be another small field for a Cheltenham Grade One Chase, but it promises to be a belter, with last year's champion Un De Sceaux taking on 2013 winner Cue Card and a number of other interesting contenders.
Frontrunners have enjoyed success in this race recently, which will increase confidence for Cue Card fans. He posted one of the finest performances in defeat in years when picked off close to home by Waiting Patiently at Ascot.
If he can peak again just four weeks on he could be a tough nut to crack, but will not be left alone at the head of affairs with Sub Lieutenant, Frodon and Un De Sceaux likely to be snapping at his heels.
The latter has won three of his four races at Cheltenham but he was coming to the end of his tether 12 months ago and more rain may leave him vulnerable to the likes of BALKO DES FLOS and, to a lesser extent, Cloudy Dream. Ryanair have yet to win the race they sponsor but in Balko Des Flos they may have a prime candidate given how well he ran behind Road To Respect in a Leopardstown Grade One at Christmas.
BEST BET: BALKO DES FLOS 7-1
NEXT BEST: UN DE SCEAUX 5-4
STAYERS HURDLE
3.30: GRADE ONE — 3 MILES
A slog in the mud should be just about perfect for SAM SPINNER, who can exploit any stamina concerns in his rivals by leading from the front.
It will be a big ask of his young rider Joe Colliver — who lacks experience of riding at the Festival — to dictate a suitable pace. But his mount has a tremendous zest for racing and a wonderful attitude and if any horse can beat him, it will know that it has been in a race.
Sam Spinner is arguably one of few true stayers in the field and any rain will also play to his strengths. L'Ami Serge was beaten by the selection at Ascot last time, but he did manage to finish within three lengths and it isn't difficult to envisage him still with plenty in the tank heading to the final hurdle.
Whether he finds as much as Sam Spinner from that point is the question he must answer.
The ground is a major concern for Supasundae, while a severe stamina test is also a worry for The New One. But given the form of the Mullins horses this week, Penhill and Bacardys are respected.
BEST BET: SAM SPINNER 7-2
NEXT BEST: L'AMI SERGE 12-1
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 9:32:33 GMT
BROWN ADVISORY AND MERRIEBELLE PLATE CHASE
4.10: GRADE THREE - 2 MILES 5 FURLONGS
This appears one of the toughest races of the week for punters with a number of the main protagonists holding compelling claims. David Pipe boasts an excellent record in this race and King's Socks went into plenty of notebooks following an eye-catching display on his British debut at Kempton.
He has form linked with Arkle Chase hero Footpad in his native France and is sure to be a popular pick. However, the Irish have won the last two renewals of this race and LAST GOODBYE and The Storyteller could well take a hand in the finish.
The former was more than a shade unlucky in the novices' handicap won by old adversary Tully East at this meeting 12 months ago and he advertised his wellbeing with a terrific victory at Leopardstown last time. He should relish the ground.
The Storyteller shaped with a degree of promise in the Flogas Chase last time and was far from knocked about when his chance had gone. He had previously chased home Invitation Only at Punchestown and is highly interesting now that he is dropped into handicap company. It would be no surprise to see another talented novice in Movewiththetimes attract sustained market support after enjoying a break.
BEST BET: LAST GOODBYE 10-1
NEXT BEST: THE STORYTELLER 13-2
MARES NOVICES' HURDLE
4.50: GRADE TWO — 2 MILES 1 FURLONGS
LAURINA is perceived to be the banker of the week by many punters and it is hard to quibble with that, having seen her rout a field of Grade Three mares at Fairyhouse in January.
The time of the victory suggested Laurina is a special talent and runner-up Alletrix, thumped by 11 lengths that day, has since hammered a competitive field at Leopardstown to give the form a handsome boost.
Unfortunately, Laurina's price is thinner than my barnet, but she boasts tremendous quality and it will be disappointing if she doesn't stamp her authority on this event and emulate stablemates Let's Dance and Limini.
The admirable Maria's Benefit has been a revelation this season and looks a chief rival even if she suffered an 11th-hour scare in her preparation, while any further rain could play to the strengths of Cap Soleil, who won a Listed bumper at this venue last winter and has continued her education in impressive fashion over hurdles.
Any deterioration in conditions won't harm her chance and she has been tidily backed in the ante-post markets with no issues about her stamina if it did become a war of attrition.
BEST BET: LAURINA 4-7
NEXT BEST: CAP SOLEIL 12-1
FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR CHALLENGE CHASE
5.30: 3 MILES 2 FURLONGS
MALL DINI didn't enjoy the greatest passage or ride in this race 12 months ago and could be a good bet to atone this time. Trainer Patrick Kelly has produced great results at recent Festivals with a select band of horses and Mall Dini appears to have enjoyed a campaign largely geared around this race.
Connections reach for the first-time blinkers in a bid to sharpen their eight-year-old's concentration, while the booking of Patrick Mullins, who was successful on day one, is another positive for a talented horse.
Squouateur was moving into contention 12 months ago when crashing out and is sure to be popular with Jamie Codd again on board. He has had a wind operation which may prove a catalyst to a better showing than of late.
The Young Master has also been under the knife after disappointing at Newcastle, but his previous performance at Kempton behind Fountains Windfall would give him claims.
This test may also be suitable for Final Nudge, a creditable third in the Welsh National before performing soundly at Sandown. He has struggled over marathon trips this season, but travels well and could surprise.
BEST BET: MALL DINI 5-1
NEXT BEST: SQUOUATEUR 9-2
PETER SCUDAMORE - EIGHT TIMES CHAMPION JOCKEY
SUPASUNDAE landed the Coral Cup at last year's meeting and I reckon he will return this afternoon to land the Grade One Stayers' Hurdle.
Trainer Jessica Harrington seems very keen on the chances of Robbie Power's mount and it is easy to see why.
PETER SCUDAMORE'S SELECTIONS
1.30 INVITATION ONLY 11-4
2.10 LOUIS' VAC POUCH8-1
2.50 CLOUDY DREAM 10-1
3.30 SUPASUNDAE 5-1
4.10 KING'S SOCKS 8-1
4.50 LAURINA 4-7
5.30 BAND OF BLOOD 12-1
Supasundae followed last year's Festival with a length second to Yanworth, who he faces again, at Aintree but his form this season looks on a higher level.
He was narrowly beaten at this three-mile trip, trying to give Apple's Jade seven pounds at Christmas and then decisively beat Faugheen by over two lengths in the Irish Champion Hurdle back over two miles.
The Irish will be fancied to land the Ryanair Chase with the challenge headed by Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux.
But I think the prize will be heading north courtesy of Ruth Jefferson's CLO UDY DREAM .
Jefferson has bypassed this race with the talented Waiting Patiently, but Cloudy Dream has some top-class form including a last-time-out second-place finish behind Gold Cup hope Native River at Newbury. Some may think he has too many seconds in his form to be reliable but I don't think the mount of Brian Hughes has always been running over his optimum trip. He gets it today and Hughes will be able to sit off a fast pace and pounce late.
LA URINA is the horse carrying the unbeatable tag this week for the Willie Mullins team. She is a short-priced favourite I can't see being beaten in the Truill House Mares' Novices' Hurdle.
Mullins has a cracking chance too in the opening JLT Novices' Chase with INVITATION ONLY .
KING'S SOCKS jumped sketchily on his British debut at Kempton but on his French form he would have to be considered for the Brown Advisory Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase.
CAPTAIN HEATH (MARCUS TOWNEND)
MALL DINI was fifth in the Kim Muir Fulke Walwyn Handicap Chase last year — but he was left with a lot to do when badly positioned as the field had to bypass the third-last fence. With Patrick Mullins booked to ride and blinkers fitted, he has claims to get it right this time.
FORMCAST (NIGEL TAYLOR)
UN DE SCEAUX won the same Ryanair Chase last year, beating Sub Lieutenant by one-and-a-half lengths. This season he has run as well as ever with two easy wins. A three-time winner at Cheltenham, he looks a good bet to beat chief market rival Cue Card.
CAPTAIN HEATH'S SELECTIONS
1.30 INVITATION ONLY 11-4
2.10 SORT IT OUT 10-1
2.50 UN DE SCEAUX 5-4
3.30 SAM SPINNER 7-2
4.10. THE STORYTELLER 13-2
4.50 LAURINA 4-7
5.30 MALL DINI 5-1
FORMCAST'S SELECTIONS
1.30 TERREFORT 4-1
2.10 DELTA WORK 12-1
2.50 UN DE SCEAU X 5-4
3.30 SUPASUNDAE 5-1
4.10 OLDGRANGE WOOD 16-1
4.50 LAURINA 4-7
5.30 AUBUSSON 16-1
BEAT THE FAVOURITE
Our football experts like to go against the grain with their tips. Here are their picks to trounce Wednesday's fancied runners...
JAMIE REDKNAPP: 5.20 MALL DINI
CHRIS SUTTON: 4.50 MARIA'S BENEFIT
GRAHAM POLL: 2.50 CUE CARD
WINNERS ENCLOSURE - BEST BETS, BEST ODDS WITH LADBROKES' NICOLA McGEADY
YESTERDAY was nothing short of a bloodbath for bookmakers as bankers Samcro, Presenting Percy and Altior all won. Punters are now well in front at the halfway mark. Today is the unofficial St Patrick's Day at Cheltenham but we will be taking on some of the Irish good things none the less. With plenty of rain forecast, the third day is expected to be really testing.
I really fancy Terrefort to run a big race for his trainer Nicky Henderson in the JLT Novices' Chase. He made a big impression on his British debut and then again at Sandown in February. The testing conditions will be right up his street so I have him on my shortlist at 4-1.
The favourite, Invitation Only, is one we will be taking our fair share of. He was impressive when winning a Grade Three at Punchestown but came third to Monalee
Punters will pile money on these hot picks...
INVITATION ONLY, UX DE SCEAUX, SAM SPINNER AND LAURINA
last time out at the Dublin Racing Festival and there are others in the race we prefer. The Irish dominate the Pertemps Network Hurdle and Gordon Elliott trains favourite Glenloe, owned by JP McManus. He has been placed in all three of his starts this season in similar races to this. Cheltenham will suit him and he has plenty more to come.
Many believe Un De Sceaux has the Ryanair Chase sewn up. However, he is 10 years old and was all out at the end of the race last year. The soft ground could make it even more of a stamina test than before.
With Waiting Patiently out of the Ryanair Chase, I think Cloud y Dream at 12-1 is an able deputy and can make up for his absence. He came second to Altior in last year's Racing Post Arkle and his form this season looks good, with seconds to the likes of Definitly Red and Native River. I think he is good enough to cause an upset.
The feature race on the card is the Stayers Hurdle where Sam Spinner has replaced Supasundae as favourite. He will try and complete a rags-to-riches story for trainer Jedd O'Keefe. The rain is in his favour and he is a worthy favourite.
... but keep an eye on these outsiders
TERREFORT AND CLOUDY DREAM
I have been to a lot of Cheltenham preview nights and the one horse nobody is arguing with is 8-13 banker Laurina in the Mares Novices' Hurdle. Reports from the stable have been nothing short of glowing.
She is top class and there will be no ground issues. Squ ouateur runs in the Kim Muir and although he is at the front of the betting, we will look to be competitive about him. Last year he unseated Jamie Codd when three out. He is always backed at the Festival but I think is running out of excuses.
Our traders look to be top price about Pendra, but I think he could be value each-way. He has great Cheltenham form and always seems to be placed.
HOTSPOTS
Work whisper: COLIN'S SISTER (Cheltenham, 3.30)
Weighting game: HILL FORT (Towcester, 4.35)
Down 22lb from last winning mark.
Burnt fingers: EVINCE (Chelmsford City, 7.30)
Captain Heath trio
MALL DINI (nap) (Cheltenham, 5.30)
SAM SPINNER (nb) (Cheltenham, 3.30)
UN DE SCEAUX (Cheltenham, 2.50)
Formcast special bet
UN DE SCEAUX (Cheltenham, 2.50)
HEXHAM
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.45 Cornerstone Lad
2.25 Mcginty's Dream
3.05 Haul Us In
3.45 Portrait King
4.25 Princess Mononoke
5.05 Mr Witmore
5.40 Western Honour
GIMCRACK
1.45 Cornerstone Lad
2.25 Nelly La Rue
3.05 Dudette
3.45 Itstimeforapint
4.25 Princess Mononoke
5.05 Mr Witmore
5.40 Storm Nelson
CHELMSFORD CITY
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
5.55 Pulsating
6.30 Waneen
7.00 Boom The Groom
7.30 Glorious Army
8.00 Azam
8.30 Lacan
9.00 Weloof
GIMCRACK
5.55 Impart
6.30 Firesnake
7.00 Just That Lord
7.30 Aquarium
8.00 Azam
8.30 Arsenio Lupin
9.00 German Whip
TOWCESTER
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.20 Scotchtown
1.55 Lissycasey
2.35 American Life
3.15 Alberto's Dream
3.55 Oscar Star
4.35 Jasani
5.15 Hazel Hill
GIMCRACK
1.20 Abbreviate
1.55 Llantara
2.35 Banco De Logos
3.15 Call Carlo
3.55 City Star
4.35 Jasani
5.15 Hazel Hill
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 17:56:56 GMT
Cheltenham, 15 Mar 18 Fixture Note Race 7 Cheltenham Wednesday 14 March 2018 : Ms Katie Walsh, the rider of the winner, RELEGATE (IRE), was suspended for 6 days for using her whip in an incorrect place on the run in. Race 1 - 1:30pm THE JLT NOVICES' STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1)(Grade 1) (Registered as THE GOLDEN MILLER) INVITATION ONLY (IRE) and KEMBOY (FR) wore earplugs.
Following the race the Veterinary Officer reported that BENATAR (IRE), placed third, was lame left hind. Paul Townend reported that INVITATION ONLY (IRE), which was pulled up blundered badly four out and Barry Geraghty reported that MODUS, unplaced, made jumping mistakes throughout.
Race 2 - 2:10pm THE PERTEMPS NETWORK FINAL HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1) (Grade 3) Following the race the Veterinary Officer reported that FORZA MILAN (IRE), which was pulled up, had bled from the nose. He further reported that a post-race examination of FORZA MILAN (IRE), during routine testing, found it to be lame left hind. The Veterinary Officer also reported that LOUIS'VAC POUCH (IRE), unplaced, had heat stress post race. Eddie Harty reported that he had no explanation for the performance of SORT IT OUT, unplaced.
Race 3 - 2:50pm THE RYANAIR STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1)(Grade 1) (Registered as The Festival Trophy) The self certificate for DOUVAN (FR) was not acceptable to the Stewards as it was not made without delay as required by Rule (F)97. A fixed penalty of £500 was imposed on W.P. Mullins as DOUVAN (FR) was declared a non-runner after 9 a.m. on the day of declaration.
SUB LIEUTENANT (IRE) wore earplugs in the parade ring only and UN DE SCEAUX (FR) wore earplugs which were removed at the start.
Permission was given for FRODON (FR) to be mounted on the track.
The Stewards noted that SUB LIEUTENANT (IRE), ridden by Sean Flanagan, and trained by Henry de Bromhead, did not parade in racecard order, but that connections had been given permission by the Clerk of the Course to do so as the gelding was becoming fractious.
The performance of CUE CARD, which was pulled up, was considered. Colin Tizzard could offer no explanation for the gelding’s performance. CUE CARD was routine tested.
Race 4 - 3:30pm THE SUN BETS STAYERS' HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1) (Grade 1) BACARDYS (FR) and PENHILL wore earplugs.
The self certificate for APPLE’S JADE (FR) was not acceptable to the Stewards as it was not made without delay as required by Rule (F)97. A fixed penalty of £500 was imposed on Gordon Elliott as APPLE’S JADE (FR) was declared a non-runner after 9 a.m. on the day of declaration.
Following the race Trevor Whelan reported that LIL ROCKERFELLER (USA), unplaced, had been hampered by a faller at the last. The Veterinary Officer subsequently reported that LIL ROCKERFELLER (USA) lost its left fore shoe. He further reported that AUGUSTA KATE, unplaced, lost her right hind shoe.
Race 5 - 4:10pm THE BROWN ADVISORY & MERRIEBELLE STABLE PLATE HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1) (Grade 3) BALLYBOLLEY (IRE) wore earplugs and MERCIAN PRINCE (IRE) wore earplugs which were removed at the start.
Following the race Barry Geraghty reported that MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE), which was pulled up, jumped poorly. MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE) was routine tested. The Veterinary Officer reported that BALLYALTON (IRE), placed fourth, lost its right fore shoe and QUITE BY CHANCE, unplaced, lost its left hind shoe.
Race 6 - 4:50pm THE TRULL HOUSE STUD MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1) (Grade 2) (Registered as THE DAWN RUN) LAURINA (FR), HIGH SCHOOL DAYS (USA) and PIETRALUNGA (FR) wore earplugs. ELLIE MAC (IRE) wore earplugs which were removed at the start.
Davy Russell reported that HIGH SCHOOL DAYS (USA), which was pulled up, was badly hampered three out.
Race 7 - 5:30pm THE FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR CHALLENGE CUP AMATEUR RIDERS' HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 2) THE YOUNG MASTER wore earplugs. View Stewards report Hexham, 15 Mar 18 Fixture Note Fence 7 omitted for all Chases due to ground conditions Race 1 - 1:45pm THE CHELTENHAM FALLER REFUNDS AT 188BET NOVICES' HURDLE RACE (CLASS 4) (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) Following the race, Finian O'Toole reported that EXCALIBUR (POL), unplaced, ran green and did not jump fluently.
Race 3 - 3:05pm THE BEST ODDS GUARANTEED AT 188BET HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 5) Victor Thompson reported that MILLROSE BELL (IRE), placed fifth, was unsuited by the Heavy ground on this occasion and would prefer a sounder surface.
Race 4 - 3:45pm THE 188BET UP TO £75 CASH BONUS HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 4) Due to a malfunction of the starting tape, this race was started by flag.
Following the race, the Veterinary Officer reported that PORTRAIT KING (IRE), placed third, lost its right front shoe.
Race 6 - 5:05pm THE DOWNLOAD THE APP AT 188BET HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 5) An enquiry was held to consider the placings in this race after interference at the final fence, when the winner MR WITMORE, ridden by Henry Brooke, jumped left and interfered with SILVERTON, placed second, ridden by Grant Cockburn, which in turn interfered with BROWN TRIX, placed third, ridden by James Davies. The Stewards considered that the interference had not improved the placing of MR WHITMORE, as MR WHITMORE was quicker away from the final fence and had gone 4 lengths clear before idling on the run in. The interference was found to be accidental as MR WHITMORE jumped left before being quickly corrected on landing.
Henry Brooke the rider of the winner, MR WHITMORE, was suspended for 2 days for using his whip above the permitted level from the final fence. View Stewards report Towcester, 15 Mar 18 Race 1 - 1:20pm THE IMPERIAL STAKES BEGINNERS' STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 4) The winner CADEAU DU BRESIL (FR), appeared to show improved form, compared with its previous run at Taunton on 20 February 2018 where the gelding was pulled up. Grant Cann’s explanation that the gelding jumped better on this occasion was noted. CADEAU DU BRESIL (FR) was routine tested.
Following the race, the Veterinary Officer reported that ABBREVIATE (GER), placed third, lost its right fore shoe.
Race 2 - 1:55pm THE IMPERIAL CLASSIC HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 4) Charlie Deutsch, the rider of COMMODORE (FR), placed second, was suspended for 4 days for using his whip above the permitted level from approaching the second last hurdle.
Race 3 - 2:35pm THE HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO HUGO BEVAN HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 4) Following the race, Olly Murphy's representative reported that MORE THAN LUCK (IRE), which was pulled up, was unsuited by the Heavy going on this stiff track.
Race 4 - 3:15pm THE BET ONLINE NOW AT STARSPORTS.BET HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 5) An enquiry was held to consider whether Mr Shane Quinlan, the rider of BOBONYX, placed third, had continued in the race when the horse appeared to be exhausted. The rider and the Veterinary Officer were interviewed and recordings of the incident were viewed. Being a 7lb claimer, Quinlan was offered the opportunity to have someone accompany him in the enquiry but declined. The Veterinary Officer stated that that the gelding appeared to have recovered within normal parameters and had lost its left fore shoe. The rider explained that BOBONYX had jumped the second last fence well, but as they approached the final fence the gelding became distracted by OVER MY HEAD pulling up and made a mistake. He further added that BOBONYX moved poorly for a few strides after the fence, but soon seemed to recover and he was able walk the gelding over the line in third place. His explanation was noted.
Race 5 - 3:55pm THE FIRST FOR CHELTENHAM STARSPORTS.BET MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE RACE (CLASS 4) (NHMOPS Bonus Race) The performance of OSCAR STAR (IRE) which finished unplaced, was considered. Jamie Snowden’s explanation that the mare was unsuited by the course and would prefer a flatter track was noted.
Race 6 - 4:35pm THE CALL STAR SPORTS ON 08000 521 321 CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS' HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 5) The winner C’EST DU GATEAU (FR), appeared to show improved form, compared with its previous run at Uttoxeter on 31 December 2017 where the gelding finished eighth of nine, beaten by 71 lengths. It was noted that Tim Vaughan’s representative could offer no explanation for the gelding’s improved form. C’EST DU GATEAU (FR) was routine tested.
Following the race, Richard Phillips reported that SHEELBEWHATSHEELBE (IRE), placed fifth, ran flat. The Veterinary Officer reported that JASANI, which was pulled up, lost its right fore shoe and MIDNIGHT OWLE, placed fourth, lost its right hind shoe.
Race 7 - 5:15pm THE starspreads.com OPEN HUNTERS' STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 5) An enquiry was held to consider whether Mr Callum Bickers-Price, the rider of CROWDED ROOM (IRE), which landed on top of the final fence, having become tired on the approach, had continued in the race when it was contrary to the horse’s welfare to continue. The rider and the Veterinary Officer were interviewed and recordings of the incident were viewed. The Veterinary Officer stated that the initial post-race examination of the gelding was delayed due to it being treated for mild heat-stress, however, afterwards it was found to be tired, but not exhausted. The rider was suspended for 8 days.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 18:00:04 GMT
FRIDAY.
FREE TO AIR TV RACES 1:30 CHELTENHAM JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 (4yo) 2m1f ITV 9 runners 2:10 CHELTENHAM Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m1f ITV 26 runners 2:50 CHELTENHAM Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m ITV 20 runners 3:30 CHELTENHAM Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m2½f ITV 18 runners 4:10 CHELTENHAM St. James's Place Foxhunter Challenge Cup Open Hunters' Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2½f ITV 24 runners
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 18:01:57 GMT
Chelmsford stages a seven-race card tonight kicking off at 5.55, 25 minutes after the last at Cheltenham. Here are three runners to note
Boom The Groom 7.00
Started the season with two good runs – including over course and distance – but has found life tougher in better company of late.
The drop in class should help him return to form and he is an interesting contender with Adam Kirby in the saddle.
Fully effective over this minimum trip and well drawn in stall four, the Tony Carroll-trained seven-year-old has plenty in his favour.
10/3 Boom The Groom 7:00 Chelmsford (AW) Aquarium 7.30
Sets the standard in the 7f novice stakes after three solid runs so far, including when winning at Lingfield in January.
The Mark Johnston-trained colt showed better form in defeat over an extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton 17 days ago and jockey PJ McDonald will be wanting to make plenty of use of him over this shorter strip.
If he gets a soft lead, he could take some pegging back and looks the solid option.
5/2 Aquarium 7:30 Chelmsford (AW) Spare Parts 8.30
The prolific performer sits proudly at the top of the winningmost horse table for this all-weather season with six victories.
After bouncing back to winning ways eight days ago at Kempton, the Phil McEntee-trained four-year-old is turned out again with a penalty in the Class 4 mile handicap.
He has yet to score over the trip but has gone close on two occasions over course and distance and this could be the day.
6/1 Spare Parts 8:30 Chelmsford (AW) Keep track of the action at all of today's meetings in Britain with our Raceday Live service
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 21:06:05 GMT
Chelmsford City, 15 Mar 18 Fixture Note DESERT ENCOUNTER (IRE), OASIS FANTASY (IRE) AND RUBENSIAN, trained by David Simcock, were given permission to gallop prior to racing.
Race 1 was delayed by 5 minutes, until 6pm, due to the doctor being delayed by traffic. Race 1 - 5:55pm THE toteplacepot RACES 1 TO 6 AMATEUR RIDERS' HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5) Permission was given for IT MUST BE FAITH to be mounted in the chute.
On the run to the line, the winner, IT MUST BE FAITH shifted marginally left bumping BOGART, placed second, but after viewing a recording of the incident, it was found that no riding offence was involved and that it had not improved the placing of IT MUST BE FAITH.
Following the race Mr Danny Kerr reported that his saddle slipped on TORIANO, placed eighth. Mr Patrick Millman reported that IMPART, placed seventh, stumbled leaving the stalls and that his saddle had slipped.
The winner, IT MUST BE FAITH, appeared to show improved form, compared with its previous run at Chelmsford on 3 March 2018 where the gelding finished seventh of eighth, beaten by seven lengths. The explanation given by Michael Appleby’s representative that the gelding may have benefited from the reapplication of cheek pieces was noted. IT MUST BE FAITH was routine tested.
Race 2 - 6:30pm THE toteexacta PICK THE 1st AND 2nd HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 6) Permission was given for HURRICANE ALERT to go early to post.
Following the race Luke Morris reported that FIRESNAKE (IRE), unplaced, was never travelling.
The winner, INDEPENDENCE DAY (IRE), appeared to show improved form, compared with its previous run at Naas on 5 November 2017 where the horse finished eleventh of eleventh, beaten by 27 lengths. The explanation given by Shane Donohoe that the horse may have appreciated the return to the all-weather having been running on Soft ground in Ireland was noted. INDEPENDENCE DAY (IRE) was routine tested.
Race 3 - 7:00pm THE totequadpot RACES 3 TO 6 HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 3) Permission was given for BOOM THE GROOM (IRE) to go early to post and to be mounted in the chute
Following the race David Probert reported that CARTOGRAPHER, unplaced, was slowly away. Patrick Mathers reported that DYNAMO WALT (IRE), unplaced, was denied a clear run.
Race 4 - 7:30pm THE ROA/RACING POST OWNERS' JACKPOT NOVICE STAKES (CLASS 5) Following the race Hollie Doyle reported that DILLIE DALLIE (IRE), unplaced, hung right throughout.
Race 5 - 8:00pm THE totetrifecta PICK THE 1,2,3 HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 4) Following the race Tom Marquand reported that AZAM, placed third, was denied a clear run turning into the home straight.
Race 6 - 8:30pm THE toteswinger TWO IN THE FIRST THREE HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 4) Jamie Spencer, the rider of GLORY AWAITS, placed seventh, had appeared to stop riding shortly before the winning post. After being interviewed and shown recordings of the incident, Spencer’s explanation that he became short of room taking a precautionary ease and then felt his horse and no more to give thereafter was noted.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 21:06:49 GMT
West Country: Andrew King
Vaniteux (5.30 Cheltenham, nap)
Has had a wind operation since his last run and looks handicapped to bounce back to winning ways.
12/1 Vaniteux 5:30 Cheltenham Others to follow Cheltenham 2.10 Flying Tiger, 3.30 Native River, 4.10 Unioniste, 4.50 Melrose Boy.
Lambourn: James Burn
Santini (2.50 Cheltenham, nap)
Promising sort who may not appreciate a slog, but his class might just help him get away with it.
4/1 Santini 2:50 Cheltenham Others to follow Cheltenham 1.30 Apple's Shakira, 2.10 Jenkins, 3.30 Might Bite, 4.50 Diese Des Bieffes, 5.30 Theinval. Fakenham 2.40 Enjoy Responsibility, 4.35 Minella On Line Lingfield 1.40 Rivellino, 2.20 Yabass, 3.00 Snowy Winter.
North: Colin Russell
Definitly Red (3.30 Cheltenham, nap)
Has been aimed at this race all season and boosted his chance with a fine course win last time. Goes well on heavy ground and expected to make a bold bid to give the north its first Gold Cup in 25 years.
10/1 Definitly Red 3:30 Cheltenham Others to follow Cheltenham 4.10 Young Hurricane, 5.30 Forest Bihan. Fakenham 3.55 Smart Talk, 4.35 Bordeaux Bill. Lingfield 1.40 Bungee Jump, 2.20 Dalileo. Musselburgh 11.30 Nendrum, 12.05 Bedrock, 12.40 Middlebrow, 1.10 Nefyn Bay, 1.50 Arthurs Secret, 2.30 Attention Please, 3.10 Sporting Press. Wolverhampton 5.45 Etaad, 6.15 Shanghai Elastic, 6.45 Fintry Flyer, 7.15 Jessie Allan, 7.45 Rastacap, 8.15 Semana Santa, 8.45 Champagne Pink.
Newmarket: David Milnes
Ifwecan (1.40 Lingfield, nap)
Didn’t run a bad race when sixth in a claimer at Deauville last time and appears to have been found the perfect opportunity to get his head back in front. Martin Smith’s gelding has since moved well on Warren Hill.
9/2 Ifwecan 1:40 Lingfield (AW) Others to follow Lingfield 1.00 Sonnet Rose, 2.20 Night Story, 3.00 Amazing Red, 3.40 Playful Spirit, 4.20 Sweet Symphony, 5.00 Freebe Rocks, Wolverhampton 5.45 Cat Royale, 6.15 Dream For Life, 7.45 Rock On Baileys.
Topspeed: Dave Edwards
Native River (3.30 Cheltenham)
Third 12 months ago. Made a very pleasing return at Newbury recently and looks sure to be in the mix again.
5/1 Native River 3:30 Cheltenham Longshot: Ed Quigley
Anibale Fly (3.30 Cheltenham)
Will relish underfoot conditions and has stamina in abundance. The chosen mount of Barry Geraghty.
25/1 Anibale Fly 3:30 Cheltenham Members can read the latest exclusive tipping content such as Pricewise and Paul Kealy from 8pm daily on racingpost.com
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 21:07:22 GMT
Chesterfield is now on a 3lb lower mark than when winning the 2017 Scottish Champion Hurdle. He warmed up for Cheltenham’s 2.10 with a good win in a jumpers’ bumper and should go well.
It’s interesting that Willie Mullins has decided to step up Real Steel significantly in trip in the 2.50 at Cheltenham. He races over six furlongs further than he’s run over before.
Nina Carberry operates at an impressive 33 per cent strike-rate at Cheltenham and that improves to 50 per cent when riding for Enda Bolger. The pair combine in the Foxhunter at 4.10 with On The Fringe, who won the race in 2015 and 2016.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 15, 2018 22:04:34 GMT
Cheltenham could catch up to 4mm of rain overnight but Gold Cup day promises to be bright and sunny.
Speaking just before Thursday's final race, after a largely dry day, clerk of the course Simon Claisse, who left the going description as 'soft, heavy in places' for the final festival afternoon, said: "We're right on the fringe of a front which is moving up through Wales, but it's due to clear by dawn into a bright and sunny day and temperatures of 11C or 12C."
He added: "One or two jockeys have said to me that they didn't think it had been as testing today as yesterday, and I don't think 4mm would make much difference.
"We have fresh chase ground tomorrow all the way round the Gold Cup track, and we'll take a view on moving rails on the hurdles track when we have a good look after racing."
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Post by dennisg on Mar 16, 2018 7:39:59 GMT
in today's sporting life................ Our flagship racing tipster Ben Linfoot struck with 12/1 selection Delta Work on Thursday - don't miss his four tips for Cheltenham Gold Cup day. Recommended Bets: Value Bet Cheltenham Festival Day Four For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record The Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup revolves around King George winner Might Bite and plenty of punters will be backing him at 9/2 on the final day of the Festival. He has the best recent form in the race and a Festival win in the bag thanks to last year’s RSA Chase victory, but his tendency to wander right up the hill is an obvious concern. It probably is factored into his price as he should arguably be shorter on the bare form, but the recent rain looks against him as well as there is a bit of a question mark about his stamina for the trip, especially on testing conditions. The one I like is Our Duke, but he looks about right in the market now. His Irish National win as a novice suggested he had all the tools to win a Cheltenham Gold Cup and his recent defeat of Presenting Percy, giving him weight over a trip too short, looks even better now. He'd be my tentative Gold Cup selection, but there looks better betting races elsewhere on the card with three superb handicaps to wade through starting with the Randox Health County Hurdle at 2.10. I can't say it or even spell it but I can copy and paste it and SMAOINEAMH ALAINN looks a good bet at 16/1 (General) for trainer Robert Walford. She is unbeaten in three starts since moving to Walford, who stuck a hood on her straight away when she won easily in novice company this time last year. Her next race came in a novice at Wincanton in October and that set her up nicely for a handicap hurdle at Cheltenham’s December meeting where she won impressively off a mark of 129. The handicapper hit her with an 8lb rise after that and she hasn’t been seen since, but the runner-up Remiluc has, four times, and he's franked the form every time he’s run such has been his consistency in big races. Her Cheltenham win came on the New Course on testing ground and she only looks likely to improve again for a stronger gallop. Such has been her rapid improvement this season it’s impossible to know if she’s stopped progressing yet but at 16/1 I’m happy to wager she hasn’t. 22 Smaoineamh Alainnh91 610-9OR: 137CD 16/1 Form: 6421-11T: R WalfordJ: James Best Last run Live betting powered by Meanwhile, Gordon Elliott has had a fabulous week after a slow start and he’s been winning all the handicaps as well as everything else. At 40/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4,5) his BRELADE looks a massive price to add another pot to his growing collection. A strong-travelling sixth in last year’s Neptune behind Willoughby Court, Brelade has some classy back form as he was second to Saturnas in the Grade One for two-mile novices at Leopardstown the previous Christmas and he followed that up with a third in the 2017 Deloitte. He hasn’t disgraced himself over fences this season, finishing second to Footpad and Petit Mouchoir, but his smooth-travelling style lends itself well to a big-field handicap hurdle so it’s no real surprise to see him revert to timber. This is his handicap debut, but on his very best Grade One form a mark of 141 looks by no means beyond him. Considering the week his trainer is having I can’t believe he’s 40s and he’s well worth an each-way bet at that price. Shop around for the best each-way terms, most are paying five places and Sky Bet are among those going six. 12 Breladet190 610-13OR: 141BF 28/1 Form: 8-22243T: G ElliottJ: M A Enright Last run Live betting powered by The top trainers usually win the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle as well, with Willie Mullins winning it three times in recent years while Elliott won it last year and he always targets some good horses at the race named in honour of his former boss. Elliott and Mullins have loads of ammunition again in the race, but the one that stuck out at the prices was Harry Fry’s MELROSE BOY at 25/1 (General). A winner on the Old Course at the November meeting in a handicap off 123, he’s a stone higher in the weights now but has sufficiently progressed throughout the season. Last time he ran a cracking race behind subsequent Coral Cup second Topofthegame in the Betfred Heroes Handicap Hurdle at Sandown, finishing third after moving through the contest in the style of a well-handicapped horse. He just got outstayed over nearly three miles, but dropping back in trip in a race that looks sure to be run at a good clip looks a sound move. 20 Melrose Boy41 611-3OR: 137C 16/1 Form: 23-1313T: H FryJ: Kieron Edgar Last run Live betting powered by Finally, it could pay to ignore the market weakness in THEINVAL and back him at 14/1 (General) to deliver another Grand Annual for trainer Nicky Henderson. The reason for the drift is presumably because of the testing conditions, but he ran well enough on softer ground in his handicap hurdle days and he hasn’t had much chance to prove he still goes on it since. That might be because he’s been kept away from it, but at 14s I’m happy to chance him as there is a compelling case for him from a handicapping point of view. Rated 148 last spring after finishing third in this race among other good efforts, he’s dropped to a mark of 141 now but things haven’t gone his way in four starts this campaign. He fell at the first in the BetVictor and then tried 2m5f in heavy ground when last seen, but he’s at his best chasing a strong gallop over two as he proved when running so well in this contest last year. Rock The World improved from third in 2016 to winning this last year and, despite the ground, Theinval has the credentials to repeat that trick. 21 Theinvalp74 810-13OR: 141D 14/1 Form: 27-4F36T: N J HendersonJ: J McGrath Last run Live betting powered by Posted at 1700 GMT on 15/03/18. Ben Linfoot's Value Bet aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +369.14pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).
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Post by dennisg on Mar 16, 2018 7:43:27 GMT
Lydia Hislop goes through the Cheltenham Gold Cup day racecard with a fine tooth comb and she's sticking with King George hero Might Bite in the big one. JCB Triumph Hurdle Prior to the advent of the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival, the kind of juvenile you needed to navigate near 30-strong fields was usually an ex-Flat horse, hardened by the battle and accustomed to the hustle. These days, with around only half that number of runners lining up, less experienced jumps-bred types have gained a firm foothold. This year's race has attracted just nine starters – the first single-figure field assembled since Blarney Beacon beat six rivals in the 1965 Triumph. They're a relatively mixed bunch, with all bar two having some Flat experience. One of those two is long-term favourite Apple's Shakira, who’'l be looking to avenge the family honour after elder full sister Apple's Jade was surprisingly turned over in the OLBG David Nicholson (subsequently reported in season). Both trainer Nicky Henderson and jockey Barry Geraghty have always clearly held her in high regard but were keen to get her plenty of racing experience; a small field will alleviate any lingering concerns they might have. She got what John Quinn, the trainer of the runner-up, yesterday called “a mini-fright” when Look My Way briefly outpaced her over this trip and course in January. That horse was eighth in Wednesday's Fred Winter, outpaced (caveat: after getting hampered early, losing his rhythm and getting a shade lit up) when the race developed and then staying on. That such a stayer managed to provoke a flat spot from Apple's Shakira says she could be vulnerable to a rival with more wellie but she does have a strong finish and will benefit from an uninterrupted season of learning. But getting down to brass tacks, much like Getabird on Day One, she’s too short for the number of rivals she faces with a smart standard of form. Redicean showed the benefits of intensive schooling when winning for the third time at Kempton last month, this time bagging the Grade Two Adonis. Yet I also wonder whether his improved technique was also partly inspired by encountering a sound surface for the first time over hurdles. He shouldn't want for stamina, however, having stayed up to 14 furlongs in ten Flat starts. Sussex Ranger has run just as often on the Flat, most recently about three weeks ago at Kempton where he was unsurprisingly unsuited by an emphasis on speed. The Finale runner-up has taken well to hurdles and will need to have a lot of use made of him here by Jamie Moore, who also expressed a doubt earlier this season about whether Cheltenham would suit his horse. Willie Mullins fields a team of four in an attempt to win this race for the first time since Scolardy triumphed in 2002, albeit he’s hit the crossbar a few times since and especially in the last couple of years. Mr Adjudicator is the most grizzled of these, having raced 12 times on the Flat in Ireland, ultimately staying up 12 furlongs after an early career that spoke of some errancy: unruly and unseating his rider on the way to post once, at least twice blindfolded to enter the stalls and twice wearing different forms of headgear. He may well have grown up a lot since, given Mullins was last time able to remove the hood he'd applied on debut. In Leopardstown's Grade One Spring Hurdle, hoodless Mr Adjudicator got the better of Farclas in a hearty duel and in a time that would eclipse impressive Ballymore winner Samcro (admittedly hostage to a steadily run race) over the same trip and track that same day. Farclas, who ran four times on the Flat in France and stayed 12 furlongs, wasn’t easily subdued. Although he’s still a maiden over hurdles after two starts, I suspect he’ll turn around that form in a first-time tongue-tie and over a course more likely to play to his stamina reserves. Before sadly exiting the Festival due to injury on Wednesday, Mullins’ stable jockey Ruby Walsh had significantly selected the filly Stormy Ireland as his Triumph vehicle. This also spoke reassuringly of her well-being, given she’d missed joining her stablemate in the Spring Hurdle due to “a dirty nose”. Mullins erred on the side of caution with this forward-going filly because her run style does not permit her an easy race. She went hard when making all on her sole Irish start at Fairyhouse, jumping notably well and probably beating little of note but nonetheless clocking a good time when doing so. Her trainer has called the performance “awesome”. In theory, she’s got competition for the lead here from Sussex Ranger and perhaps the tough but overly eager Gumball. He’s held by Apple’s Shakira on their encounter in November but is better than his latest Huntingdon second when asked to press on too far out – Style De Garde did the same thing yet finished second in yesterday’s Fred Winter off a mark of 137. In practice, I suspect Stormy Ireland has too much essential pace for Sussex Ranger, on whom I suspect Moore will opt to chase the lead (and may stay on at a big price for a place) and too much unflappability for Gumball. Yet to side with her alone with this background worry is enough to make me add Farclas to my betting mix. Mullins' two remaining charges are fascinating contenders. Saldier won his sole hurdling start at Gowran in an average time, against an underperforming main rival and despite his jumping lacking in fluency (albeit he never looked likely to fall). He ran nine times on the Flat in France, staying at least ten furlongs and deemed good enough to run at Group Two level. Sayo won his sole Irish start over hurdles at Naas despite, rather than because, of the state of his jumping. He ran five times on the Flat in France and stayed up to 12 furlongs. He would appear the least fancied of the Mullins team but is open to a massive amount of improvement if brushing up his technique. Selections Back now: Stormy Ireland at 6/1 with William Hill Back now: Farclas at 7/1 with William Hill 9 Stormy Ireland90 410-7OR: - 5/1 Form: 2-21T: W P MullinsJ: N D Fehily Last run Live betting powered by 1 Farclast140 411-0OR: 140 13/2 Form: 22T: G ElliottJ: J W Kennedy Last run Live betting powered by Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Whereas you no longer necessarily need a cauliflower-eared veteran of the ring for the Triumph, it’s pretty much essential for the Albert Bartlett – unless your horse happens to be a Grade One Cheltenham Festival-winning chaser of the future, like Bobs Worth or Weapon’s Amnesty. So unless Santini is a future RSA or Gold Cup winner – to be fair: not impossible, at least in the case of the former race – then his comparatively marked inexperience (twice-raced over hurdles) could count against him here. There’s nothing wrong with his form, mind – he outstayed Black Op last time out and that horse found only Samcro too good in the Ballymore. Stable companion Chef Des Obeaux looks a relatively suitable vessel, having won three times in testing going and with further bumper experience under his belt. Santini beat him comfortably on their hurdling debuts over a shorter trip at Newbury but I suspect he can reverse that form in these conditions. The further rain that’s fallen this week at Cheltenham is good news for him. Chris’s Dream is also clearly a mudlark, following his 64-length demolition of a Clonmel Grade Three on his first start for Henry de Bromhead last time out. He needs to find more in this company. I prefer the stoutly bred OK Corral over Tower Bridge of JP McManus’s pair, despite the former’s inexperience. The latter appeared to need every inch of a Leopardstown 2m6f Grade One last time but that race was deceptive, the leader Fabulous Saga having gone off too hard and the real contest proving a relative speed test. Tower Bridge looked lazy rather than anything else but no headgear has been applied and he may lack the requisite toughness. There might have been an overreaction to that defeat of Fabulous Saga; he was sent off favourite that day. Ridden more conventionally in more suitable conditions can see him place at a big price. I was struck by how decisively he rallied after being headed late to win at Limerick two starts back. The going on the second day of New Course usage is likely to make this a rigorous test. Poetic Rhythm on his way to Challow glory - and our ante-post portfolio Poetic Rhythm on his way to Challow glory I certainly prefer him to owner-stablemate Real Steel, who’s switch here from two miles looks in hope rather than confidence, and Walsh’s putative pick Ballyward, the recent Naas winner who falls short on the experience count. Dortmund Park, fourth behind Tower Bridge last time, has since had a wind operation. Again, the way that race was run didn’t appear to suit this thorough stayer and he looks overpriced at 25/1. I still like this column’s 25/1 ante-post poke Poetic Rhythm, freshened up since his attritional Challow success and as a second-season hurdler. He was badly hampered prior to finishing well behind in last year’s Ballymore but has long looked in need of three miles and can bring his upwardly mobile trainer Fergal O’Brien a first Festival success. Challow runner-up and 33/1 shot Mulcahys Hill recoiled from that aggressive ride in sapping conditions when below his best here behind Santini last time. He’ll love the ground and can outrun his odds. Challow third Kilbricken Storm returned with “a dirty nose”, is bred for the trip and also holds a better chance than 40/1 suggests. Calett Mad deserves a mention after taking Musselburgh’s Pertemps Qualifier last time out. This will be his ninth hurdle start, having also run seven times over fences, so he won’t want for toughness. Selections Already advised 05/01/18: Poetic Rhythm 25/1 each-way for the Albert Bartlett with William Hill, Paddy Power or Betfair Sportsbook Back now: Fabulous Saga each-way at 28/1 4 places (1/5 odds) with Sky Bet 15 Poetic Rhythm76 711-5OR: 148CD 14/1 Form: 330-131T: F O'BrienJ: P J Brennan Last run Live betting powered by 9 Fabulous Sagat41 611-5OR: 145BFD 28/1 Form: 123117T: W P MullinsJ: D E Mullins Last run Live betting powered by Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Best horse wins race and Might Bite is now a highly palatable 9/2, perhaps on the mistaken grounds that he wants for stamina. He does not. They went a hectic pace in last year’s RSA until he went a bit faster and yet he was still able to ponder a quick one in the Guinness Village, slowing to a virtual halt, before rallying to reel in Whisper – who’s since failed by a neck to win the Ladbrokes Trophy off a mark of 161. That’s class. It’s also quirkiness, of course, but trainer Nicky Henderson and jockey Nico de Boinville have been at pains to manage his reckless streak this season with a view to maximising his longevity at this level. That plan was in evidence in the King George, for which close examination of at-first-unremarkable sectionals reveals that when allowed his head after the field crossed the all-weather pathway for the final circuit, he effortlessly broke down Bristol De Mai and won the race before idling from the third last. His jumping in Kempton’s straight gives the lie to the argument he was a tired horse; Double Shuffle (highly suited by such a flat track but unproven here) and in particular Tea For Two were flattered to get so close. Testing ground is a concern but – as Altior showed on Wednesday – great talents find a way. Our Duke is a key danger, with Presenting Percy having proved (if ever there was a doubt) that handing him a length beating while conceding 7lb is very smart form indeed. The main worry with him is a propensity to throw in a bad error at a critical moment. Last year’s third Native River is solid. He was probably second best on merit in last year’s Gold Cup, having got in a fight with Djakadam a shade too far out. (A shade.) He racked up the experience last year, is proven at this track and arrives a fresh horse after a campaign comprising one run – a taking win in Newbury’s Denman Chase. Don’t laugh but Djakadam is over-priced each-way at 33/1. You can make a slightly more tenuous argument for him being second best in 2017 had he not belted the second last after taking the fight to the race at the fourth last. He’s been undoubtedly below form this season but Cheltenham can revive and The Fellow famously won the Gold Cup in 1994 after finishing 2nd-2nd-4th in the three previous revewals. Minella Rocco rallied to get past both Native River and Djakadam last year, after being outpaced, and as the winner of perhaps the deepest-ever edition of the NH Chase, has a chance on the same Elixir De Cheltenham argument. As this year, he hit the deck in his Irish Gold Cup prep last term but this time it was an exhausted fall. Subsequent wind surgery may at least partly explain that but the likely ground is a divisive factor, placing a welcome accent on stamina but probably not being his favourite surface to jump out of. For what it’s worth given his options, Barry Geraghty has chosen to partner Anibale Fly, who took a thumping fall at Leopardstown. Increasing the stamina test poses a larger unanswered question for Road To Respect, who’s definitely an improver but must also jump better than he did early on in last year’s Plate. But it will suit both the unexposed miracle horse Edwulf and the imperturbable Definitly Red. Supplemented American is fragile but talented; can trainer Harry Fry have pushed him harder in training for a go at the big one? Bachasson is lovely but looks too small and too low a jumper for this specific task. Walsh had predictably chosen Killultagh Vic, whom I think would have won the Irish Gold Cup had he stood up at the last given it took so long for Edwulf to quell Outlander (always at his best at Leopardstown) whereas Mullins’ charge had just taken the lead as he executed his abortive Fosbury Flop. Killultagh Vic is talented, no doubt, and likely to stay; the problem is that error was far from his first in that race or indeed his career. That means there are exactly 22 good reasons not to back him at 9/1 and they’re called fences. Selection Already advised 09/01/18: Minella Rocco 20/1 each-way for the Gold Cup with various firms Back now: Might Bite at 9/2 with various firms 9 Might Bite80 911-10OR: 169C 4/1 Form: F111-11T: N J HendersonJ: Nico de Boinville Last run Live betting powered by Other Day Four selections... If you’re going to predict a Willie Mullins benefit, the Cheltenham Festival would seem a good place to do it. Hence, I’m siding with two of his novice hurdlers in two different handicaps on this last day of proceedings. First, Whiskey Sour in the County Hurdle. That looked his ideal target after finishing fourth in the Deloitte last time out and the Festival exploits of Samcro, Duc De Genievres and Paloma Blue all suggest that was decent form for a handicap that should be run to suit. Next, Carter McKay in the Martin Pipe. He wasn’t suited by the way Tower Bridge’s race panned out at Leopardstown last time – getting shuffled back and then rallying – but the likely strong gallop here should serve him well. Finally, with my original selection Diego Du Charmil not even making it to the five-day stage in the Grand Annual, I’m going to have another dart at it with Top Gamble. This race in these conditions will be ideal for a horse good enough to finish fourth in the Champion Chase 12 months ago. He’s run better than it appears on all four starts this season: three of them right-handed when he’s better going the other way around and one of them over a trip too far when the ground is testing. Trainer Kerry Lee has added cheekpieces to pep him up and taken the precaution of booking Davy Russell. Strong fancy. Back now: Whiskey Sour each-way at 20/1 BOG 5 places 1/4 odds with Bet365 Back now: Carter McKay each-way at 14/1 BOG 5 places 1/5 odds with Sky Bet Back now: Top Gamble each way at 20/1 BOG 5 places at 1/4 odds with Bet365 Already advised 04/03/18: Diego Du Charmil at 25/1 for the Grand Annual with Bet365 or Betfair Sportsbook – NON-RUNNER 14 Whiskey Sour40 510-13OR: 141D 12/1 Form: 114T: W P MullinsJ: D J Mullins Last run Live betting powered by 11 Carter Mckay41 711-4OR: 138 14/1 Form: 106-133T: W P MullinsJ: Jamie Bargary Last run Live betting powered by 9 Top Gamblep1,t41 1011-7OR: 149BFD 14/1 Form: 46-P244T: Kerry LeeJ: D N Russell
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Post by dennisg on Mar 16, 2018 7:45:36 GMT
Burning Ambition is Ashley Iveson's best bet at Cheltenham on Friday and he has a tip for every race in the UK and Ireland. Our Duke can provide Jessica Harrington and Robbie Power with their second successive victory in the Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup. The Irish trainer struck gold with her very first runner in the blue riband when Sizing John claimed top honours last season and while he is unfortunately not back to defend his crown, Our Duke is a more-than-capable understudy. The eight-year-old would have been fully entitled to run at last year's Festival after winning a Grade One novice chase at Leopardstown, but connections elected to take a cautious approach and he instead remained on home soil. The decision paid off handsomely as Our Duke ran out a brilliant winner of the Irish Grand National, looking every inch a Gold Cup contender as he jumped and galloped his rivals silly under a big weight. This season has not been so straightforward, with a back problem discovered after a listless comeback at Down Royal, but that was swiftly rectified. And after a promising enough effort in the Irish Gold Cup, he gave weight and a beating to star novice Presenting Percy in the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park. Because of his interrupted campaign he heads into the spring relatively fresh and providing he takes to the track, he should be coming home strongly when some of his rivals may have cried enough. Apple's Shakira will not be much of a price in the opening JCB Triumph Hurdle but it is hard to side against her. Nicky Henderson's runner is unbeaten in three starts since transferring to Britain, with each of those victories achieved in testing conditions at Cheltenham. She beat the reopposing Gumball by 17 lengths on her British bow before finding it slightly harder work when finishing three lengths ahead of Nuba Negra in December. Apple's Shakira also found it tough to get by Look My Way in the trial event for this back in January, but once in front she pulled away well and with the ground in her favour added to her fillies' allowance, it is hard to envisage defeat. The Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle is always an attritional affair and that should bring out the best in the battle-hardened Poetic Rhythm. The seven-year-old contested some major novice hurdles last season, including the Neptune at last year's Festival, but as he failed to the hit the bullseye, his novice status crucially remained intact for the duration of the current campaign. He is a bumper winner at the track and has also been placed here on three occasions, most recently finishing third behind the high-class On The Blind Side in November. Fergal O'Brien has sensibly given his charge time to recover from his battling top-level victory in the Challow Hurdle at Newbury the following month and with the step up to three miles expect to suit, he should give a very good account for his popular locally-based trainer. Flying Tiger struck gold at last year's Festival and he can be in the money again in the Randox Health County Hurdle. Winner of the 2017 Fred Winter, Flying Tiger has been out of luck in five starts so far this season but ran an excellent race to finish fourth in the Kingwell last time and a repeat effort off an unchanged rating might be good enough here. Burning Ambition is the young, improving horse in the St James's Place Foxhunter Chase and looks sure to go close in the hands of Jamie Codd. Deal D'Estruval can provide Willie Mullins with a fourth success in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Hurdle, while last year's winner Rock The World should put up a staunch defence of his crown in the final race of the Festival, the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual. Sporting Life tips: CHELTENHAM: 1.30 Apple's Shakira, 2.10 Flying Tiger, 2.50 Poetic Rhythm, 3.30 Our Duke, 4.10 BURNING AMBITION (NAP), 4.50 Deal D'Estruval, 5.30 Rock The World. DUNDALK: 5.20 Blastofmagic, 5.55 Settle For Red, 6.30 Kalann, 7.00 Primo Uomo, 7.30 Delegating, 8.00 Nam, 8.30 Ishigati, 9.00 Yamato. FAKENHAM: 2.00 Saucysioux, 2.40 After Aspen, 3.20 Weebill, 3.55 Canyon City, 4.35 Minella On Line, 5.10 Wood Pigeon. LINGFIELD: 1.00 Sonnet Rose, 1.40 Al Khan, 2.20 Night Story, 3.00 Regicide, 3.40 Crown Walk, 4.20 Regina Nostra, 5.00 Dolly Mixture. MUSSELBURGH: 11.30 Nendrum, 12.05 Bedrock, 12.40 Middlebrow, 1.10 Nefyn Bay, 1.50 Uptown Funk, 2.30 Misfits, 3.10 Leostar. WOLVERHAMPTON: 5.45 Cat Royale, 6.15 Dream For Life, 6.45 Highly Focussed, 7.15 Ad Vitam, 7.45 Rock On Baileys, 8.15 Met By Moonlight, 8.45 La Sioux. DOUBLE: Our Duke and Burning Ambition.
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Post by dennisg on Mar 16, 2018 7:47:51 GMT
Ed Chamberlin has been in fine form so far this week, tipping Mister Whitaker (13/2), Tiger Roll (7/1) and Shattered Love (4/1) - check out his three tips for today. 8 Apple's Shakira48 410-7OR: 146CD 13/8 Form: 1111T: N J HendersonJ: B J Geraghty Last run Live betting powered by Apple's Shakira Has done nothing wrong since joining Nicky Henderson from France, winning each of her three starts with plenty left in the tank. Crucially, those victories have all come on soft ground around Cheltenham and that should stand her in good stead in the JCB Triumph Hurdle, with conditions again sure to be testing. 25 William H Bonney34 710-5OR: 133CD 25/1 Form: 07-6568T: A KingJ: Wayne Hutchinson Last run Live betting powered by William H Bonney is a C&D winner who has dropped down to a really good mark. He an a promising race when fifth in the Greatwood back here in November and although making little impact in the Betfair Hurdle last time, you can bet that Alan King will have him cherry ripe for this. It's a typically competitive renewal but I like his chances. 4 Chef Des Obeaux27 611-5OR: 150 11/2 Form: 7/2-2111T: N J HendersonJ: N D Fehily Last run Live betting powered by I absolutely adore this horse and think he will turn the tables on his stablemate, Santini. The latter had Chef Des Obeaux's measure when they met at Newbury back in December but my fella has done nothing but improve since and he was particularly impressive when winning by a wide-margin in heavy ground at Haydock last time. He's improving rapidly and I think he'll win. 10 Minella Roccop,t40 811-10OR: 161C SP Form: U2-4P4FT: Jonjo O'NeillJ: M P Walsh Last run Live betting powered by Now here’s a mercurial horse who just keeps luring me in. It’s not been a brilliant week for Jonjo O’Neill, nor has it been a brilliant season for the master of Jackdaws, but I honestly believe Minella Rocco has stamina like no other in the field and he was finishing better than anything in last year’s Gold Cup. He’s had another chequered campaign but it’s not too dissimilar to last year’s prep and he’s had a wind operation this time around. With Native River and Might Bite expected to take each other on, it could be set up for a closer this year and at the prices, Minella Rocco ticks just about enough boxes for me in the big one. 4 Caid Du Berlaist19 912-0OR: 140C 14/1 Form: 5F8-111T: Mrs R LoxtonJ: Mr W Biddick Last run Live betting powered by The Foxhunter Chase is a different beast to years gone by with some high-class chasers lining up in a seriously competitive renewal. Irish hot-pot Burning Ambition has been the talk of the town for weeks but there are plenty in here that can match his 146 rating if at their best and Caid Du Berlais has more than a touch of class. He’s trained by Paul Nicholls’ assistant Rose Loxton and has the best British amateur on board in Will Biddick, who came close on Ms Parfois in the four miler earlier in the week. This horse has won three point to points since he last run under Rules, when eighth to Presenting Percy in the Pertemps Final, and he’s said to be thriving at home. 6 North Hill Harveyp134 711-8OR: 150CD 9/1 Form: 00-1123T: D SkeltonJ: Harry Skelton Last run Live betting powered by The ground has turned in the favour of North Hill Harvey who beat the high-class Sceau Royal at Cheltenham in October before following up back at the same track on much softer ground the following month. He'll absolutely adore these testing conditions and doesn't look too badly handicapped to me. You can make a case for a fair few of these but he'll do for me. 16 Diese Des Bieffes62 511-3OR: 137BF 8/1 Form: 5-1125T: N J HendersonJ: James Bowen Last run Live betting powered by The Lanzarote form has worked out really well and Diese Des Bieffes really caught my eye when finishing fifth in that race. He made up plenty of ground late on that day, appearing to handle the soft ground well, and his mark still looks fair to me. Nicky Henderson can call on the services of the excellent James Bowen in the saddle and he should go well.
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 16, 2018 9:36:43 GMT
Friday: going, weather & non-runners Cheltenham GOING: SOFT (Heavy in places; GoingStick 5.8) WEATHER: Showers NON RUNNERS: 2:10 Brahms De Clermont (24)Krugermac (27)I Shot The Sheriff (26) 3:30 Double Shuffle (6)Minella Rocco (10)Shantou Flyer (16) 4:50 Amour De Nuit (19) 5:30 The Game Changer (20) Dundalk (AW) GOING: POLYTRACK: STANDARD WEATHER: Showers Fakenham GOING: SOFT (Heavy in two dips) (GoingStick 5.4) (Rail movements: R2 & 6 +31y, R5 +37y) WEATHER: Showers Lingfield (AW) GOING: POLYTRACK: STANDARD WEATHER: Cloudy STALLS: 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside NON RUNNERS: 1:00 Highway One (3) 3:00 Miss Minuty (10) 4:20 Jazzy Girl (9) Musselburgh GOING: GOOD (Rail movements; R1, 2 5 & 7 +20y, R3, 4 & 6 -123y) WEATHER: Showers NON RUNNERS: 12:05 The Steward (6) Wolverhampton (AW) GOING: TAPETA: STANDARD WEATHER: Showers STALLS: 7f - Outside; Remainder - Inside NON RUNNERS: 6:15 Remal Dubai (1) 6:45 Ambitious Boy (7)Chip Or Pellet (9) 7:15 Dreams Of Glory (6)
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 16, 2018 9:39:44 GMT
CHELTENHAM
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.30 Apple's Shakira
2.10 Brelade
2.50 Poetic Rhythm (nap)
3.30 Road To Respect
4.10 Foxrock
4.50 Melrose Boy (nb)
5.30 Bouvreuil
GIMCRACK
1.30 Apple's Shakira
2.10 Flying Tiger
2.50 Poetic Rhythm
3.30 Our Duke (nb)
4.10 Burning Ambition (nap)
4.50 Deal D'Estruval
5.30 Rock The World
TIMICO GOLD CUP CHASE
3.30: GRADE ONE — 3 MILES 2 FURLONGS
The Gold Cup claims of ROAD TO RESPECT took on added significance with the result of the Ryanair Chase on Thursday afternoon — and he is taken to continue Ireland's domination.
For a trainer of his class, Noel Meade arguably hasn't enjoyed a Cheltenham record which mirrors his capabilities, but his seven-year-old crushed a decent field of handicappers at this meeting 12 months ago and has swiftly graduated into a high-class chaser.
A Grade One defeat of Yorkhill at Punchestown in the spring confirmed Meade's star chaser possessed the substance to bridge the gap between handicaps and Graded races and he reinforced that view with an impressive success in the Leopardstown Christmas Chase.
His chief victim that day was Balko Des Flos, a smooth and ready winner of Thursday's Ryanair Chase, and victory was achieved despite a serious stumble in the back straight.
That setback may have halted many a horse’s challenge, but Road To Respect was soon back on the bridle before powering clear of his rivals.
Admittedly, there is a slight concern that a fiercely competitive 18-runner Gold Cup may be a step too far at this stage of a career which is still taking shape, but a big field of battlehardened handicappers were readily dispensed 12 months ago, so it could be a chance worth taking.
Native River and Might Bite appear likely to vie for favouritism and preference is for the latter, despite an X-rated display in last year’s RSA Chase when he lost concentration late on, but rescued a perilous situation courtesy of his undoubted talent. As admirable and reliable as Native River is, he wouldn’t boast the raw ability of Might Bite, whose powers may only be submerged by a downpour.
Last year’s third, Native River is also trying to defy a major stat to win a Gold Cup as he is yet to win a Grade One chase which all previous winners this century had managed. One horse which would relish a gruelling examination would be Our Duke, who snugly beat RSA winner Presenting Percy at Gowran last time.
Although last year’s Irish Grand National winner suffered an injury setback on his comeback, his latest run confirmed the fire and enthusiasm remains and he is a huge threat if he can produce a clean round of jumping.
BEST BET: ROAD TO RESPECT 8-1
NEXT BEST: MIGHT BITE 6-4 F
FOR MORE OF SAM TURNER'S ANALYSIS AND HORSE-BY-HORSE GOLD CUP GUIDE, CLICK HERE
TRIUMPH HURDLE
1.30: GRADE ONE — 2 MILES 1 FURLONG
Cheltenham patrons were treated to wonderful performances from two superb mares on Thursday courtesy of wins for Shattered Love and Laurina and there is the prospect of further female talent on show in the opener.
Both APPLE'S SHAKIRA and Stormy Ireland have impressed this winter and preference is marginal for the former given she has loads of course experience.
Nicky Henderson's French recruit has only beaten a sum total of 13 rivals in three Prestbury Park victories this season, but she has learned on the job and her last win, at the expense of Look My Way, will have taught her plenty as she needed to be shaken up to score.
She is not the bet of the season at the morning prices, but her recent homework is said to be good and frontrunners Sussex Ranger and Stormy Ireland should ensure she has a good pace.
The latter was impressive on her debut at Fairyhouse, winning by a huge margin after galloping her rivals into submission. She could prove the best of the runners from across the Irish Sea.
BEST BET: APPLE'S SHAKIRA 2-1
NEXT BEST: STORMY IRELAND 5-1
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 16, 2018 9:39:56 GMT
COUNTY HURDLE
2.10: GRADE THREE — 2 MILES 1 FURLONG
Fancying BRELADE to win a race of this nature needs a little explaining, but the decision to return him to the smaller obstacles and equip him with a tongue-tie may prove a masterstroke by his in-form handler.
Although yet to win over fences in five starts, the son of Presenting has been trying to keep tabs on the likes of Footpad and Petite Mouchoir in his native country and he has been far from disgraced. He was only 10 lengths in arrears of Willoughby Court in last year's Ballymore Novices' Hurdle when the trip at that level looked beyond him. A strongly-run two miles with plenty of give in the ground could be the ideal test and he is worth a modest bet.
Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins have trained 13 winners between them so far, so their runners will be under close scrutiny and Bleu Et Rouge may prove the pick of the Mullins quartet. After his performance in the Betfair Hurdle behind Kalashnikov his stock has risen, given his conqueror went close in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle — and he will relish the ground.
BEST BET: BRELADE 25-1
NEXT BEST: BLEU ET ROUGE 8-1
ALBERT BARTLETT HURDLE
2.50: GRADE ONE — 3 MILES
In contrast to the two other novice hurdles at the Festival where speed and class can decide the result, this event favours the more worldly wise and battle-hardened hurdlers.
Backing horses that had run in more than six hurdles and were in their second season over hurdles has been a useful pointer to previous winners, so POETIC RHYTHM may be great value at his doublefigure price.
Freshened up since narrowly landing the Challow Hurdle in horrible ground at Christmas, the seven-year-old fits the profile of a number of past winners — while this will be his seventh start at the track, which could prove valuable course knowledge.
There is a case to suggest that Mulcahys Hill is overpriced, given he was beaten a short head by the selection at Newbury, but Chef Des Obeaux was impressive at Haydock last time when dismissing a reasonable field and he will relish this stamina test. He is a bit low on experience but looks a little like Bobs Worth in that he is a grinder rather than a quickener.
BEST BET: POETIC RHYTHM 10-1
NEXT BEST: CHEF DES OBEAUX 9-2
FOXHUNTERS CHASE
4.10: 3 MILES 2 FURLONGS
A typically competitive renewal which has all the hallmarks of an Irish versus Paul Nicholls duel. Both Burning Ambition and FOXROCK warmed up for this race by going up against the highly useful Gilgamboa last time and, although the former finished closer, the selection's experience of big fields means he narrowly gains the nod.
Burning Ambition has looked a very useful prospect to those that took a keen interest in Irish pointing and his effort over Christmas at Limerick did nothing to disprove that theory. If he can find an early rhythm at his fences he is a danger to all.
However, he is a short price and Foxrock could be the bet. He was entitled to need his comeback at Thurles and connections are reportedly very happy with preparations. The Nicholls battalion include Wonderful Charm, who was given too much to do in last year's renewal, yet flew into second. Of the Ditcheat quartet, Unioniste would be very interesting if conditions deteriorated significantly, while Sir Jack Yeats also makes some appeal given he handles soft ground well.
BEST BET: FOXROCK 7-1
NEXT BEST: SIR JACK YEATS 14-1
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Post by Kimmy on Mar 16, 2018 9:40:36 GMT
MARTIN PIPE CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS'
4.50: HANDICAP — 2 MILES 4 FURLONGS
Seven of the last eight runnings of this race have gone to either Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliott or Paul Nicholls and the trio provide more than a third of the runners this year.
Given he enjoyed a great day on Thursday, Elliott's quartet may hold sway, with Sire Du Berlais a leading contender judged on his eye-catching performance at Fairyhouse. Useful in his native France, he has clearly been tricky to train, but his performance last month when staying on steadily to snatch second suggested the fire still burns brightly.
Carter McKay has a similar profile and, although he didn't really excel in last year's bumper, he was an honourable third behind Getabird and Mengli Khan at Punchestown. He also made the frame in a Leopardstown Grade One last month.
He is very much shortlisted along with MELROSE BOY, who could make a bold bid to wrestle the prize from the allconquering triumvirate. The selection was a late nonrunner at Sandown on Saturday but has already won at Friday's track with Kieron Edgar aboard and he too should find conditions to his liking.
BEST BET: MELROSE BOY 16-1
NEXT BEST: SIRE DU BERLAIS 8-1
GRAND ANNUAL HANDICAP CHASE
5.30: 2 MILES ½ FURLONG
Like a number of these who have been targeted at the festival finale for much of the season, BOUVREUIL would prefer genuine spring ground. But he is an interesting contender back at this trip after a series of big efforts at this meeting. Trainer Paul Nicholls has seen a number of his handicappers run fine races and his seven-year-old again excelled 12 months ago to finish within seven lengths of Road To Respect, who boasts a live chance in the Gold Cup.
Admittedly, he doesn't always find what is expected off the bridle, but two pipeopeners over extended trips have served to earn a little respite from the handicapper and the likelihood of a ferocious gallop should suit.
Eleven winners this century were winning a first handicap chase and North Hill Harvey could well make it 12 if he takes to the unique test this race represents. The first-time cheekpieces could sharpen up a horse who loves this venue and wisely side-stepped the Arkle. He has four wins from six starts and already has an affinity for the big-field handicaps.
BEST BET: BOUVREUIL 16-1
NEXT BEST: NORTH HILL HARVEY 8-1
PETER SCUDAMORE - EIGHT TIMES CHAMPION JOCKEY
PETER SCUDAMORE'S SELECTIONS
1.30 APPLE'S SHAKIRA 2-1
2.10............FYLING TIGER 10-1
2.50..CHEF DES OBEAUX 9-2
3.30........KILLULTAGH VIC 8-1
4.10........SIR JACK YEATS 14-1
4.50....DEAL D'ESTRUVAL 10-1
5.30..................VANITEUX 10-1
APPLE'S SHAKIRA has impressed me in every one of her hurdle runs this season and I expect her to confirm my verdict that she is the best juvenile hurdler we have seen in the Triumph Hurdle.
The mount of Barry Geraghty is a sister to high-class Apple's Jade, who finished second to Ivanovich Gorbatov in the 2016 Triumph Hurdle.
All her three authoritative wins have come at Cheltenham, including brushing aside Nube Negra, who was a very respectable third in Wednesday's Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle.
I like FLYING TIGER in the Vincent O'Brien County Hurdle. He won the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle at the meeting last year and has run respectably all season.
He has the right profile for this race and I like the booking of top jockey Noel Fehily.
When my partner, trainer Lucinda Russell, won the 2012 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle with Brindisi Breeze, he came to the Festival off the back of a win in the Grade Two Prestige Novices' Hurdle. CHEF DES OBEAUX has followed the same route and it was eyecatching how relentlessly the Nicky Henderson-trained gelding galloped on that day in the sort of arduous conditions he will face again this afternoon.
I saw SIR JACK YEATS win at Kelso and he is a young horse who looks a decent each-way shout in the Foxhunters' Chase for Newmarket trainer Richard Spencer.
DEAL D'ESTRUVAL is my pick for the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle, while I am going for my jockey son Tom to finish the meeting with a winner on the David Pipe-trained VANITEUX in the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase. He looks to have had this contest as a longterm plan.
CAPTAIN HEATH (MARCUS TOWNEND)
EARLY DOORS has some pretty useful form in novice hurdles for trainer Joseph O'Brien and steps into handicap company for the first time in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle, running off what looks a very fair mark.
FORMCAST (NIGEL TAYLOR)
Santini has won both his starts this season and following an impressive debut, improved to beat Black Op at this course in January. That was top novice hurdles form and Santini has a good chance of remaining unbeaten.
CAPTAIN HEATH'S SELECTIONS
1.30 REDICEAN 4-1
2.10 IVAN GORBATOV 10-1
2.50 SANTINI 5-1
3.30 OUR DUKE 5-1
4.10 VIRAK 12-1
4.50 EARLY DOORS 12-1
5.30 NORTH HILL HARVEY 8-1
FORMCAST'S SELECTIONS
1.30 APPLE'S SHAKIRA 2-1
2.10 FLYING TIGER 10-1
2.50 SANTINI 5-1
3.30 MIGHT BITE 7-2
4.10 UNIONISTE 20-1
4.50 SIRE DU BERLAIS 8-1
5.30 DOLOS 14-1
BEAT THE FAVOURITE
Our football experts like to go against the grain with their tips. Here are their picks to trounce Wednesday's fancied runners...
JAMIE REDKNAPP: 1.30 STORMY IRELAND
CHRIS SUTTON: 2.10 IVAN GORBATOV
GRAHAM POLL: 3.30 DEFINITLY RED
WINNERS ENCLOSURE - BEST BETS, BEST ODDS WITH LADBROKES' NICOLA McGEADY
Thursday is known to be the trickiest day for punters and with Un De Sceaux and Sam Spinner getting turned over, the trend continued this year.
Despite that, Ladbrokes estimate that Friday's Gold Cup will spark a £20million betting bonanza in the UK and Ireland. Apart from the Grand National, the Gold Cup is the biggest betting race of the entire year.
Punters will pile money on these hot tips... APPLE'S SHAKIRA, MIGHT BITE, BURNING AMBITION Nicky Henderson's Apple's Shakira is the favourite for the Triumph Hurdle and, although she is unbeaten in four starts, she hasn't truly been tested. I think her male rivals are going to really challenge.
Redicean has been popular since his flawless performance at Kempton a few weeks ago. However, the Irish challenge in this race looks too good to ignore. Farclas is our favourite of the Irish challengers. He came to Gordon Elliott's yard from the flat and looked good on his debut in graded company at Leopardstown over Christmas. He came second to Mr Adjudicator last time out but I am expecting him to improve again. In the County Hurdle, there was plenty of ante-post interest for former Triumph Hurdle winner Ivanovich Gorbatov.
...BUT keep an eye on these outsiders: FARCLAS, IVANOVICH GORBATOV He was one of the big gambles at the festival last year, before coming sixth. He was only beaten by three lengths though and we fancy him for another big festival run.
The Gold Cup is the pinnacle of the week, the biggest betting race over four days. It looks a very strong contest and a case can be made for many. However, we are keen to take on ante-post favourite Might Bite. The King George form isn't that great and I'm not convinced that he is 100 per cent at home on the course. I also think it's unlikely he will get an easy lead.
Native River is now joint favourite. He was very impressive in the Denman Chase and is a proper stayer. We know he will handle the conditions. He came third last year and if he runs the same sort of race as he did then, he will be a player.
However, I think Jessica Harrington could land back-to-back wins. Our Duke has everything you can want in a Gold Cup and if he can avoid a major jumping error I think he's the one to beat. He came back into the frame after winning at Gowran Park and, with Robbie Power in the saddle, he will be a real danger. Burning Ambition looks like a strong favourite in the Foxhunter Chase.
He was beaten by Gilgamboa last time out, but it was still a good run and with Jamie Codd on board, we fancy him. Gordon Elliott loves the Martin Pipe and JP McManus loves a Cheltenham plot. Here, they have fancied Sire Du Berlais who we will be sure to keep on side.
HOTSPOTS
Work whisper: Poetic Rhythm (Cheltenham, 2.50)
Weighting game: Cooper's Friend (Musselburgh, 1.10)
Down 23lb from last winning mark.
Burnt fingers: Changing The Guard (Fakenham, 2.00)
Captain Heath trio
Early Doors (nap) (Cheltenham, 4.50)
Our Duke (nb) (Cheltenham, 3.30)
Virak (Cheltenham, 4.10)
Formcast special bet
SANTINI (Cheltenham, 2.50)
FAKENHAM
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
2.00 Ascendant
2.40 Twenty Eight Guns
3.20 Wisecracker
3.55 Smart Talk
4.35 Bordeaux Bill
5.10 Wood Pigeon
GIMCRACK
2.00 Saucysioux
2.40 After Aspen
3.20 Weebill
3.55 Canyon City
4.35 Minella On Line
5.10 Wood Pigeon
MUSSELBURGH
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
11.30 Nendrum
12.05 The Steward
12.40 Middlebrow
1.10 Chain Of Beacons
1.50 Buckled
2.30 Attention Please
3.10 Colby
GIMCRACK
11.30 Nendrum
12.05 Bedrock
12.40 Middlebrow
1.10 Nefyn Bay
1.50 Uptown Funk
2.30 Misfits
3.10 Leostar
LINGFIELD
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.00 Rocksette
1.40 Exchequer
2.20 Yabass
3.00 Island Brave
3.40 Crown Walk
4.20 Regina Nostra
5.00 Cloud Eight
GIMCRACK
1.00 Sonnet Rose
1.40 Al Khan
2.20 Night Story
3.00 Regicide
3.40 Crown Walk
4.20 Regina Nostra
5.00 Dolly Mixture
WOLVERHAMPTON
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
5.45 Street Poet
6.15 Carpet Time
6.45 Highly Focussed
7.15 Clergyman
7.45 Rock On Baileys
8.15 Beatbybeatbybeat
8.45 Champagne Pink
GIMCRACK
5.45 Cat Royale
6.15 Dream For Life
6.45 Highly Focussed
7.15 Ad Vitam
7.45 Rock On Baileys
8.15 Met By Moonlight
8.45 La Sioux
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